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WAG

Wagner 6 at BYU 70

BYU
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadWAG aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreWAG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:47 · Denzel Knight run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wagn 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:52: Algernon Brown run for 42 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK) — BYU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:35: Algernon Brown run for 37 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK) — BYU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:07: Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 19 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK) — WAG win probability +0.1 pts (now 0%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:49: Francis Bernard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK) — BYU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:17: Beau Hoge run for 2 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK) — BYU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1WAG made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:47WAG 4th & 5 at WAG 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:28WAG 4th & 15 at WAG 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:52WAG 4th & 9 at WAG 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:35WAG 4th & 12 at WAG 34, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:00WAG 4th & 4 at WAG 37, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:17WAG 4th & 11 at WAG 42, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:23WAG 4th & 10 at WAG 25, down 50
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00WAG 4th & 6 at WAG 20, down 57
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:07WAG 4th & 10 at WAG 25, down 64
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:07BYU 4th & 16 at WAG 33, up 64
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10WAG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:47BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:28BYU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:52BYU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 3:35BYU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:07BYU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 9:49BYU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 4:17BYU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:52WAG Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 3:23BYU Touchdown, up 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 0:55BYU Touchdown, up 56 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 8:07BYU Touchdown, up 63 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Devon Blackmon for 7 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+34
99.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 34 yds to the Wagn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+18
99.6%
Algernon Brown run for 18 yds to the Wagn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Colby Pearson for 16 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
Matthias McKinnon run for 3 yds to the Wagn 28Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Andre YevchineczSimilar
Q1 13:47
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.6%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Andre Yevchinecz for 2 yds to the Wagn 30Similar
Q1 13:47
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+19
99.6%
Bryan Rafano punt for 37 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 19 yds to the Wagn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3TD
3 plays · 48 yds · 0:46100% → 100%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
99.5%
Francis Bernard run for 7 yds to the Wagn 41Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+21
99.5%
Francis Bernard run for 21 yds to the Wagn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.5%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 20 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Alex Thomson run for no gain to the Wagn 25Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Otis Wright run for 4 yds to the Wagn 29Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
99.5%
WAGNER Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wagn 24Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-4
99.5%
Alex Thomson sacked by Fred Warner for a loss of 4 yards to the Wagn 20Similar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+8
99.5%
Bryan Rafano punt for 54 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 8 yds to the BYU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 1:0399% → 100%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
99.4%
Algernon Brown run for 10 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
99.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 14 yds to the Wagn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.4%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Terenn Houk, broken up by Mike MentorSimilar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+42
99.5%
Algernon Brown run for 42 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Chris Andrews run for no gain to the Wagn 25Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.5%
Chris Andrews run for 1 yd to the Wagn 26Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.5%
Chris Andrews pass incomplete to Ralph GreeneSimilar
Q1 7:52
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.5%
Bryan Rafano punt for 46 yds, downed at the BYU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 2:34100% → 100%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
99.5%
Algernon Brown run for 1 yd to the BYU 29Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+20
99.5%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to David Kessler for 20 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
99.5%
Algernon Brown run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 9
50
+6
99.5%
Francis Bernard run for 6 yds to the Wagn 44Similar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+7
99.5%
Francis Bernard run for 7 yds to the Wagn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
99.6%
Algernon Brown run for 37 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.6%
Chris Andrews run for 1 yd to the Wagn 26Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
99.6%
Matthias McKinnon run for 8 yds to the Wagn 34Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.6%
Chris Andrews run for 2 yds to the Wagn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
99.6%
Chris Andrews run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wagn 31Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+3
99.7%
Chris Andrews pass complete to Caleb Scepaniak for 3 yds to the Wagn 34Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Chris Andrews pass incomplete to Ralph GreeneSimilar
Q1 3:35
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Bryan Rafano punt for 52 yds, downed at the BYU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 86 yds · 1:53100% → 100%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+19
99.7%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Terenn Houk for 19 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
99.7%
Nate Carter run for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+5
99.7%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 5 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+46
99.7%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Terenn Houk for 46 yds to the Wagn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 19 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.7%
Matthias McKinnon run for no gain to the Wagn 31Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
99.7%
Otis Wright run for 6 yds to the Wagn 37Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
99.7%
Chris Andrews pass incomplete to Ryan Owens, broken up by Chris BadgerSimilar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 4
OWN 37
+40
99.7%
Bryan Rafano punt for 53 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 40 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:28100% → 100%
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
50
+19
99.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Devon Blackmon for 19 yds to the Wagn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+18
99.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 18 yds to the Wagn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
99.6%
Francis Bernard run for 12 yds to the Wagn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Francis Bernard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 12INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Otis Wright run for no gain to the Wagn 25Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Otis Wright run for 4 yds to the Wagn 29Similar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
99.8%
Alex Thomson pass intercepted Jordan Preator return for 3 yds to the Wagn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13TD
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:03100% → 100%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.7%
Nate Carter run for 5 yds to the Wagn 35Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+5
99.7%
Beau Hoge run for 5 yds to the Wagn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
99.7%
Beau Hoge run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 32Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+8
99.7%
Nate Carter run for 8 yds to the Wagn 24Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+8
99.7%
Beau Hoge run for 8 yds to the Wagn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
99.7%
CARTER,Nate rush for 2 yards to the WAGNER14 (APPIAH, John), PENALTY BYU illegal motion 5 yards to the WAGNER21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 15
OPP 21
0
99.7%
Beau Hoge pass incomplete to Moroni Laulu-PututauSimilar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 15
OPP 21
+16
99.7%
Beau Hoge run for 16 yds to the Wagn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.7%
Beau Hoge run for 3 yds to the Wagn 2Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.7%
Beau Hoge run for no gain to the Wagn 2Similar
Q2 4:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Beau Hoge run for 2 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
BYU Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Wagn 30Similar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
99.9%
Alex Thomson run for 13 yds to the Wagn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
99.9%
Matthias McKinnon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wagn 40Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 13
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Anthony CarringtonSimilar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 13
OWN 40
+2
99.9%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Andre Yevchinecz for 2 yds to the Wagn 42Similar
Q2 4:17
4TH & 11
OWN 42
+17
99.9%
Bryan Rafano punt for 36 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 17 yds to the BYU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15END OF HALF
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.9%
Nate Carter run for 1 yd to the BYU 40Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+7
99.9%
Nate Carter run for 7 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+4
99.9%
Beau Hoge run for 4 yds to the Wagn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.9%
Beau Hoge run for 2 yds to the Wagn 47Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+1
99.9%
Nate Carter run for 1 yd to the Wagn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 16TD
16 plays · 70 yds · 8:080% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Otis Wright run for 2 yds to the Wagn 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Otis Wright run for no gain to the Wagn 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+12
99.9%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Ryan Owens for 12 yds to the Wagn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
99.9%
Otis Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 42
+22
99.9%
Alex Thomson run for 22 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Andre YevchineczSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
99.9%
Otis Wright run for 2 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+3
99.9%
Alex Thomson run for 3 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+5
99.9%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Anthony Carrington for 5 yds to the BYU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
99.9%
Otis Wright run for 2 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+2
99.9%
Otis Wright run for 2 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+16
99.9%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Ryan Owens for 16 yds to the BYU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
99.8%
Otis Wright run for 4 yds to the BYU 2Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.8%
Otis Wright run for 1 yd to the BYU 1Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Matthias McKinnon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bryan Maley PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:20100% → 100%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.9%
Beau Hoge pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 9 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+5
99.9%
Beau Hoge run for 5 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Beau Hoge run for 3 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Beau Hoge pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+13
99.9%
Beau Hoge pass complete to Josh Weeks for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.9%
Nate Carter run for 3 yds to the Wagn 47Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+47
99.9%
Beau Hoge pass complete to David Kessler for 47 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Alex Thomson run for 3 yds to the Wagn 28Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
99.9%
Alex Thomson sacked by Fred Warner for a loss of 3 yards to the Wagn 25Similar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Anthony Carrington, broken up by Grant JonesSimilar
Q3 3:23
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Bryan Rafano punt for 51 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 10 yds to the BYU 35 BYU Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the BYU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 19TD
2 plays · 76 yds · 0:39100% → 100%
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
99.9%
Koy Detmer Jr. pass complete to Josh Weeks for 6 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+70
99.9%
Nate Carter run for 70 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:490% → 0%
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
100.0%
Denzel Knight run for 3 yds to the Wagn 19Similar
Q3 0:49
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+2
100.0%
Denzel Knight run for 2 yds to the Wagn 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 21
-10
100.0%
THOMSON, Alex pass complete to SMITH, Eli for 25 yards to the WAGNER46 (JONES,Grant), PENALTY WAGNER pass interference 10 yards to the WAGNER11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 11
+9
100.0%
Denzel Knight run for 9 yds to the Wagn 20Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Bryan Rafano punt for 57 yds, downed at the BYU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 21TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 5:42100% → 100%
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Beau Hoge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+8
99.9%
Beau Hoge pass complete to Trey Dye for 8 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q4 13:49
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+9
99.9%
Beau Hoge pass complete to Akile Davis for 9 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
99.9%
Beau Hoge pass complete to Jake Ziolkowski for 7 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+3
99.9%
Nate Carter run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
50
+7
99.9%
Nate Carter run for 7 yds to the Wagn 43Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+11
99.9%
Beau Hoge pass complete to David Kessler for 11 yds to the Wagn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
99.9%
Toloa'i Ho Ching run for 5 yds to the Wagn 27Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+13
99.9%
Beau Hoge pass complete to Jake Ziolkowski for 13 yds to the Wagn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
100.0%
Colby Hansen run for 8 yds to the Wagn 6Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+5
100.0%
Toloa'i Ho Ching run for 5 yds to the Wagn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Beau Hoge run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Matthias McKinnon run for 3 yds to the Wagn 28Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
100.0%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Caleb Scepaniak for 3 yds to the Wagn 31Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-6
100.0%
Alex Thomson sacked by Va'a Niumatalolo for a loss of 6 yards to the Wagn 25Similar
Q4 8:07
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Bryan Rafano punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · -6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
100.0%
Koy Detmer Jr. pass complete to Josh Weeks for 4 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+1
100.0%
Colby Hansen run for 1 yd to the BYU 41Similar
Q4 6:07
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+47
100.0%
Koy Detmer Jr. pass complete to Trey Dye for 47 yds to the Wagn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-15
100.0%
BYU Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Wagn 27Similar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
100.0%
Colby Hansen run for 6 yds to the Wagn 21Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 4
OPP 21
-5
100.0%
BYU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wagn 26Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+2
100.0%
Colby Hansen run for 2 yds to the Wagn 24Similar
Q4 6:07
3RD & 7
OPP 24
-9
100.0%
Koy Detmer Jr. run for a loss of 9 yards to the Wagn 33Similar
Q4 6:07
4TH & 16
OPP 33
0
100.0%
Colby Hansen run for no gain to the Wagn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
100.0%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Lloyd Smith for 3 yds to the Wagn 36Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+6
100.0%
Denzel Knight run for 6 yds to the Wagn 42Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 1
OWN 42
-1
100.0%
Denzel Knight run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wagn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 3:35
Algernon Brown run for 37 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)
+0.2
TD · Q2 4:17
Beau Hoge run for 2 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)
+0.2
TD · Q1 7:52
Algernon Brown run for 42 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com