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CHSO

Charleston Southern 16 at Troy 44

TROY
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
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Win probability · TROY
modelTROY aheadCHSO aheadconfidence bandkey playTROY scoreCHSO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 14:01 · Truett Burns punt for 29 yds, fair catch by LaMarcus Farmer at the ChaSo 41 CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the ChaSo 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 10Home team on offense+0.2Score differential+0.0Pregame prior+15.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:13: Kyle Copeland pass complete to Darius Hammond for 3 yds for a TD, (Bryan Jordan KICK) — CHSO win probability +3.6 pts (now 33%) (top driver: CHSO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:21: Brandon Burks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jed Solomon KICK) — TROY win probability +5.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  3. SAFETY · Q2 4:24: Brandon Silvers sacked by Aaron Brown for a loss of 3 yards for a SAFETY — TROY win probability +1.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:44: Brandon Burks run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jed Solomon PAT MISSED) — TROY win probability +7.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 14:15: Jed Solomon 32 yd FG GOOD — TROY win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TROY made the numbers' call on 4 of 7CHSO made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 14:01CHSO 4th & 17 at CHSO 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:41CHSO 4th & 11 at CHSO 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:01TROY 4th & 5 at TROY 31, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.1%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    66.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:13TROY 4th & 3 at TROY 34, up 7
    Close callPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00CHSO 4th & 8 at CHSO 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:21CHSO 4th & 10 at CHSO 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:52TROY 4th & 7 at CHSO 44, up 14
    Close callPunted · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    72.9%−1.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.0%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:53CHSO 4th & 7 at CHSO 43, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.7%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:47TROY 4th & 13 at CHSO 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    75.0%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:24CHSO 4th & 16 at CHSO 21, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−2.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:05TROY 4th & 17 at CHSO 48, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:35CHSO 4th & 7 at TROY 42, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    22.4%−<0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    21.9%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:58CHSO 4th & 6 at TROY 26, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    19.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    14.6%−5.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:11CHSO 4th & 22 at TROY 35, down 18
    Close callPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−1.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:15TROY 4th & 5 at CHSO 15, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    92.1%−3.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:30CHSO 4th & 9 at CHSO 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:30CHSO 4th & 4 at CHSO 42, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:10CHSO 4th & 4 at TROY 46, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:20TROY 4th & 21 at TROY 46, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TROY made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CHSO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:01TROY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:41TROY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:13CHSO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:21TROY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:44TROY Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:10TROY Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:26CHSO Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TROYDrive 1TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 0:5965% → 66%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
65.2%
Brandon Burks run for 1 yd to the Troy 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
65.2%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+22
65.2%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jarvis Bentley for 22 yds to the ChaSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
65.6%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 47 yds for a TD, (Jed Solomon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
65.5%
Austin Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:01
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
65.5%
Ben Robinson run for no gain to the ChaSo 19Similar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 10
OWN 19
-7
65.5%
Austin Brown sacked by Tyler Roberts and Rashad Dillard for a loss of 7 yards to the ChaSo 12Similar
Q1 14:01
4TH & 17
OWN 12
+24
65.5%
Truett Burns punt for 29 yds, fair catch by LaMarcus Farmer at the ChaSo 41 CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the ChaSo 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 3TD
4 plays · 36 yds · 0:4666% → 67%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+24
66.2%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 24 yds to the ChaSo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
66.2%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+6
66.2%
Brandon Burks run for 6 yds to the ChaSo 6Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+6
67.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 6 yds for a TD, (Jed Solomon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.1%
Austin Brown run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 27Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
67.1%
Austin Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
67.1%
Darius Hammond run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 30Similar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+15
67.2%
BURNS, T. punt 43 yards to the TROY27, Ruben, Teddy return to the TROY45 (BROWN, C.), PENALTY TROY roughing the kicker 15 yards to the CSU45, 1ST DOWN CSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
66.9%
Ben Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ChaSo 43Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+1
67.0%
Austin Brown pass complete to Larry Jones III for 1 yd to the ChaSo 44Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
67.0%
Darius Hammond run for no gain to the ChaSo 44Similar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 11
OWN 44
+41
67.1%
Truett Burns punt for 41 yds , Teddy Ruben returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 5DOWNS
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
70.0%
Brandon Burks run for 12 yds to the Troy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
70.0%
Brandon Silvers sacked by Zack Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the Troy 23Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+8
70.0%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 8 yds to the Troy 31Similar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
69.9%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Deondre DouglasSimilar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 5
OWN 31
-14
69.7%
Ryan Kay run for a loss of 14 yards to the Troy 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 6TD
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:5731% → 33%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
69.3%
Kyle Copeland run for 1 yd to the Troy 16Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+6
69.3%
Darius Hammond run for 6 yds to the Troy 10Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+4
69.6%
Darius Hammond run for 4 yds to the Troy 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
69.3%
Kyle Copeland run for 5 yds to the Troy 1Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
69.3%
Kyle Copeland run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 3Similar
Q1 3:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.6%
Kyle Copeland pass complete to Darius Hammond for 3 yds for a TD, (Bryan Jordan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
68.1%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete, broken up by Shadarius HopkinsSimilar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-5
67.8%
Brandon Burks run for a loss of 5 yards to the Troy 22Similar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 15
OWN 22
+5
67.4%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, (5 Yards) to the Troy 27Similar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+7
67.5%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Brandon Burks for 7 yds to the Troy 34Similar
Q1 3:13
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
67.5%
Ryan Kay punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ChaSo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:4932% → 31%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
67.7%
Darius Hammond run for 15 yds to the ChaSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
67.3%
Darius Hammond run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 37Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+3
67.0%
Kyle Copeland run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 40Similar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 3
OWN 40
-5
66.8%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ChaSo 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
68.2%
Kyle Copeland pass incomplete to Darius HammondSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 35
+23
68.8%
Truett Burns punt for 30 yds , LaMarcus Farmer returns for 23 yds to the ChaSo 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 9TD
2 plays · 42 yds · 0:2170% → 75%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+41
69.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to John Johnson for 41 yds to the ChaSo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.1%
Brandon Burks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jed Solomon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.7%
Darius Hammond run for no gain to the ChaSo 25Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
72.8%
Kyle Copeland run for a loss of 4 yards to the ChaSo 21Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+4
73.1%
Kyle Copeland run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 25Similar
Q2 14:21
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
73.3%
Truett Burns punt for 33 yds, downed at the Troy 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
76.2%
Brandon Burks run for 11 yds to the ChaSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
76.4%
Brandon Burks run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 44Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
76.3%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
75.9%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete TROY Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 11:52
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
75.2%
Ryan Kay punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Darius Hammond at the ChaSo 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 28 yds · 0:0025% → 26%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+31
74.8%
Kyle Copeland pass complete to Larry Jones III for 31 yds to the ChaSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
73.6%
Ben Robinson run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 42Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
73.7%
Kyle Copeland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+1
73.8%
Darius Hammond run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 43Similar
Q2 10:53
4TH & 7
OWN 43
-6
74.1%
Truett Burns run for a loss of 6 yards to the ChaSo 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0078% → 76%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
77.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 3 yds to the ChaSo 34Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 7
OPP 34
-1
77.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Clark Quisenberry for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 35Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 8
OPP 35
-5
77.4%
Brandon Burks run for a loss of 5 yards to the ChaSo 40Similar
Q2 8:47
4TH & 13
OPP 40
0
76.1%
Ryan Kay punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ChaSo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 14FUMBLE
6 plays · 76 yds · 2:3324% → 23%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
76.5%
Austin Brown pass complete to Nathan Perera for 11 yds to the ChaSo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
76.1%
Darius Hammond run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 31Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+6
76.0%
Austin Brown run for 6 yds to the ChaSo 37Similar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+56
75.5%
Darius Hammond run for 56 yds to the Troy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
76.6%
Ben Robinson run for no gain to the Troy 3 Ben Robinson fumbled, recovered by Troy Garrett Peek TROY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (4 Yards) to the Troy 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 15SF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-3
78.3%
Brandon Silvers sacked by Aaron Brown for a loss of 3 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
78.2%
Austin Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-5
78.6%
A Barnwell run for a loss of 5 yards to the ChaSo 21 A Barnwell fumbled, recovered by ChaSo A BarnwellSimilar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 16
OWN 21
0
79.0%
Austin Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:24
4TH & 16
OWN 21
+1
79.2%
Truett Burns punt for 32 yds , LaMarcus Farmer returns for 1 yd to the Troy 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:0080% → 78%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
80.2%
Brandon Burks run for no gain to the Troy 48Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+11
80.1%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Brandon Burks for 11 yds to the ChaSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
80.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 3 yds to the ChaSo 38Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+4
80.3%
Brandon Burks run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 34Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+2
79.8%
Jordan Chunn run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 32Similar
Q2 3:05
4TH & 1
OPP 32
-16
79.0%
TROY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-16 Yards) to the ChaSo 48Similar
Q2 3:05
4TH & 17
OPP 48
0
78.2%
Ryan Kay punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 18END OF HALF
15 plays · 47 yds · 1:0220% → 22%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
80.3%
Darius Hammond run for 11 yds to the ChaSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
79.7%
Austin Brown pass complete to Larry Jones III for 5 yds to the ChaSo 36Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
79.5%
Austin Brown pass incomplete to Larry Jones IIISimilar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+6
79.9%
Austin Brown pass complete to Darius Hammond for 6 yds to the ChaSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
80.6%
Austin Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+13
80.9%
Austin Brown run for 13 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
78.9%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 15
50
0
80.7%
Austin Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 15
50
0
81.2%
Austin Brown pass incomplete to Darius HammondSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 15
50
+8
81.5%
Austin Brown run for 8 yds to the Troy 42Similar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 7
OPP 42
+9
80.6%
Austin Brown pass complete to Larry Jones III for 9 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
78.0%
Austin Brown pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 19DOWNS
14 plays · 49 yds · 6:0221% → 17%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.3%
Darius Hammond run for no gain to the ChaSo 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
79.4%
Darius Hammond run for no gain to the ChaSo 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
79.7%
Kyle Copeland pass complete to Colton Korn for 11 yds to the ChaSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
78.8%
Darius Hammond run for 8 yds to the ChaSo 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+7
77.8%
Darius Hammond run for 7 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
77.8%
A Barnwell run for 2 yds to the Troy 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+6
77.8%
Kyle Copeland run for 6 yds to the Troy 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+11
77.6%
Kyle Copeland run for 11 yds to the Troy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
76.8%
Darius Hammond run for 3 yds to the Troy 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
76.5%
Kyle Copeland run for no gain to the Troy 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+1
77.9%
Darius Hammond run for 1 yd to the Troy 26Similar
Q3 8:58
4TH & 6
OPP 26
0
82.9%
Kyle Copeland pass incomplete to Darius HammondSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 20TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 2:1186% → 94%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
85.6%
Brandon Silvers sacked by Solomon Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 25Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+3
85.5%
Dontreal Pruitt run for 3 yds to the Troy 28Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+23
85.0%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 23 yds to the ChaSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
86.4%
Andre Flakes run for 14 yds to the ChaSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
86.4%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Bryan HolmesSimilar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+29
86.3%
Jordan Chunn run for 29 yds to the ChaSo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
94.2%
Brandon Burks run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jed Solomon PAT MISSED)Similar
Q3 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OWN 20
+15
93.6%
CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Troy 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 21PUNT
13 plays · 40 yds · 3:338% → 7%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.7%
Darius Hammond run for 6 yds to the ChaSo 31Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
91.2%
Darius Hammond run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
91.2%
Darius Hammond run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 41Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+3
91.1%
Kelan Fraise run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 44Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+19
91.2%
Darius Hammond run for 19 yds to the Troy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
90.9%
Kyle Copeland pass incomplete to Colton Korn, broken up by Demetrius CainSimilar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+14
90.9%
Kyle Copeland run for 14 yds to the Troy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-12
90.0%
Kyle Copeland sacked by William Lloyd for a loss of 12 yards to the Troy 35 CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, intentional grounding ( Yards) to the Troy 35Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 22
OPP 35
0
90.6%
Kyle Copeland pass incomplete to Darius Hammond, broken up by Tyler RobertsSimilar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 22
OPP 35
0
91.6%
Kyle Copeland pass incomplete to Colton KornSimilar
Q3 3:11
4TH & 22
OPP 35
0
93.2%
Truett Burns punt for 21 yds, fair catch by Teddy Ruben at the Troy 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 22FG
12 plays · 71 yds · 3:5094% → 99%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
94.3%
Brandon Burks run for 4 yds to the Troy 18Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 6
OWN 18
-2
94.3%
Brandon Burks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 16Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+13
94.2%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 13 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+19
94.4%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 4 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST down CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Troy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
94.8%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Clark QuisenberrySimilar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+11
94.7%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Clark Quisenberry for 11 yds to the ChaSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
94.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to John Johnson for 7 yds to the ChaSo 34Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+14
94.9%
Brandon Burks run for 14 yds to the ChaSo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
94.9%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to John JohnsonSimilar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
94.9%
Andre Flakes run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+2
96.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 2 yds to the ChaSo 15Similar
Q4 14:15
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
98.8%
Jed Solomon 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 23PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:452% → 0%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
98.2%
Kyle Copeland run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 21Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 21
0
98.2%
Kyle Copeland pass incomplete to Saire DavisSimilar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 7
OWN 21
-2
98.2%
Kyle Copeland run for a loss of 2 yards to the ChaSo 19Similar
Q4 12:30
4TH & 9
OWN 19
+64
99.8%
Truett Burns punt for 45 yds , Teddy Ruben returns for 64 yds for a TD, (Jed Solomon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.8%
Kyle Copeland run for 11 yds to the ChaSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.8%
Darius Hammond run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 39Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
99.8%
Kyle Copeland run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 41Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+1
99.8%
Darius Hammond run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 42Similar
Q4 12:30
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
99.8%
Truett Burns punt for 27 yds , LaMarcus Farmer returns for no gain to the Troy 36 LaMarcus Farmer fumbled, forced by Davion Anderson, recovered by Troy Teddy Ruben CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Troy 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 25TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:43100% → 100%
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
99.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Clark Quisenberry for 12 yds to the Troy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
99.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to LaMarcus Farmer for 6 yds to the ChaSo 46Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+4
99.9%
Andre Flakes run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
99.9%
Silvers, B. middle pass complete to Douglas, D. for 7 yards to the CSU35 (ANDERSON, D.;BROWN, Aa.), PENALTY TROY illegal formation 5 yards to the CSU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+47
99.9%
Andre Flakes run for 47 yds for a TD, (Jed Solomon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 26TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 5:440% → 0%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
99.9%
Kyle Copeland run for 8 yds to the ChaSo 32Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 2
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Kyle Copeland run for no gain to the ChaSo 32Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+3
99.9%
Adam Allen run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Kyle Copeland pass incomplete to Nathan PereraSimilar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+13
99.9%
Adam Allen run for 13 yds to the ChaSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.9%
Adam Allen run for 3 yds to the Troy 49Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-5
99.9%
Kyle Copeland sacked by Rashad Dillard for a loss of 5 yards to the ChaSo 46Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 12
OWN 46
+8
99.9%
Kyle Copeland run for 8 yds to the Troy 46Similar
Q4 8:10
4TH & 4
OPP 46
+12
99.9%
Kyle Copeland pass complete to Saire Davis for 12 yds to the Troy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
99.9%
Kelan Fraise run for 12 yds to the Troy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.9%
Kyle Copeland pass complete to Kelan Fraise for 22 yds for a TD, (Bryan Jordan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · -11 yds · 1:06100% → 100%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
100.0%
Josh Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ChaSo 45Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+4
100.0%
Dontreal Pruitt run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 41Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 8
OPP 41
-8
100.0%
Dontreal Pruitt run for a loss of 8 yards to the ChaSo 49Similar
Q4 1:20
4TH & 16
OPP 49
-5
100.0%
TROY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Troy 46Similar
Q4 1:20
4TH & 21
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Ryan Kay punt for 33 yds, downed at the ChaSo 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
100.0%
Kyle Copeland pass incomplete to Saire DavisSimilar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
100.0%
Adam Allen run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:44
Brandon Burks run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jed Solomon PAT MISSED)
+7.9
TD · Q2 14:21
Brandon Burks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jed Solomon KICK)
+5.2
TD · Q1 3:13
Kyle Copeland pass complete to Darius Hammond for 3 yds for a TD, (Bryan Jordan KICK)
-3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com