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NICH

Nicholls 0 at UL Monroe 47

ULM
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Malone Stadium
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Win probability · ULM
modelULM aheadNICH aheadconfidence bandkey playULM scoreNICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:54 · Tyler St. Germain punt for 28 yds, downed at the LaMon 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 177Pregame prior+13.6Home team on offense+35.8Score differential+30.6Blowout margin+18.4Garbage-time factor+8.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 11:07: Craig Ford 25 yd FG GOOD — NICH win probability +0.4 pts (now 2%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:08: Garrett Smith run for 10 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK) — ULM win probability +0.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:44: Garrett Smith pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 13 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK) — ULM win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 3:07: Garrett Smith pass complete to Marcus Green for 48 yds to the NicSt 23 for a 1ST down — ULM win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:09: Garrett Smith pass complete to Harley Scioneaux for 17 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK) — ULM win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ULM made the numbers' call on 4 of 7NICH made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 11:07ULM 4th & 5 at NICH 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:07NICH 4th & 6 at NICH 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:45NICH 4th & 5 at NICH 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:25ULM 4th & 12 at NICH 44, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:23NICH 4th & 1 at NICH 23, down 10
    Close callPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:08NICH 4th & 18 at NICH 36, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:12NICH 4th & 3 at ULM 25, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:37NICH 4th & 6 at NICH 14, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00NICH 4th & 9 at ULM 34, down 40
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:58ULM 4th & 2 at midfield, up 40
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:56NICH 4th & 4 at ULM 4, down 40
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:56ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 32, up 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00ULM 4th & 6 at NICH 28, up 40
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:35NICH 4th & 9 at NICH 9, down 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:05ULM 4th & 7 at NICH 46, up 47
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:54NICH 4th & 11 at NICH 43, down 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:13ULM 4th & 5 at ULM 34, up 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:04NICH 4th & 8 at NICH 36, down 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ULM made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 5:45ULM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:08ULM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:44ULM Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:09ULM Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:21ULM Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:35ULM Touchdown, up 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1FG
13 plays · 68 yds · 3:5399% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
98.5%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+10
98.5%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Tre' Perrier for 10 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
98.5%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 8 yds to the LaMon 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
98.5%
Smith, Garrett pass incomplete to Holley, Ajalen (Knight, Darius), PENALTY NICH pass interference (Knight, Darius) 15 yards to the NICH46, 1ST DOWN ULM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
98.5%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 15 yds to the NicSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
98.5%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 5 yds to the NicSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+2
98.5%
DeVontae McNeal run for 2 yds to the NicSt 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+12
98.5%
Kaylon Watson run for 12 yds to the NicSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
98.5%
Kaylon Watson run for 3 yds to the NicSt 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+3
98.5%
Garrett Smith run for 3 yds to the NicSt 6Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 6
-1
98.5%
Brayle Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the NicSt 7Similar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+25
98.1%
Craig Ford 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
98.1%
Tuskani Figaro pass complete to Terry Lucas for 2 yds to the NicSt 10Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+2
98.1%
Michael Henry run for 2 yds to the NicSt 12Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 6
OWN 12
0
98.1%
Tuskani Figaro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 6
OWN 12
0
98.1%
Tyler St. Germain punt for 39 yds, downed at the LaMon 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3TD
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:5998% → 98%
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
98.0%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Rashon CeaserSimilar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
98.0%
Kaylon Watson run for 4 yds to the NicSt 47Similar
Q1 9:44
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+22
98.0%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 22 yds to the NicSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
98.0%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 7 yds to the NicSt 18Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 3
OPP 18
-13
98.0%
Kaylon Watson run for 2 yds to the NicSt 16 UL MONROE Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the NicSt 31Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 16
OPP 31
+12
98.0%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 12 yds to the NicSt 19Similar
Q1 9:44
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+5
98.0%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 5 yds to the NicSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
98.0%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 6 yds to the NicSt 8Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+3
98.0%
DeVontae McNeal run for 3 yds to the NicSt 5Similar
Q1 9:44
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+2
98.0%
DeVontae McNeal run for 2 yds to the NicSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.8%
DeVontae McNeal run for 3 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
97.7%
Tuskani Figaro run for 9 yds to the NicSt 41Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 1
OWN 41
0
97.6%
Tuskani Figaro pass incomplete, broken up by Gerrand JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 1
OWN 41
-5
97.6%
NICHOLLS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NicSt 36Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+1
97.7%
Michael Henry run for 1 yd to the NicSt 37Similar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
97.7%
Tyler St. Germain punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaMon 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 48 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
97.6%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Tre' Perrier for 8 yds to the LaMon 16Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+28
97.6%
Garrett Smith run for 28 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
97.7%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Ajalen HolleySimilar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+14
97.7%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Harley Scioneaux for 14 yds to the NicSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
97.7%
UL MONROE Penalty, encroachment (Rashon Ceaser) to the NicSt 47Similar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+3
97.7%
Kaylon Watson run for 3 yds to the NicSt 44Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 12
OPP 44
0
97.7%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Kaylon Watson, broken up by Hezekiah WhiteSimilar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 12
OPP 44
0
97.6%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Rashon CeaserSimilar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 12
OPP 44
0
97.6%
Chris Qualls punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
97.4%
Michael Henry run for 4 yds to the NicSt 18Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 6
OWN 18
-9
97.4%
Lofton, Tobias rush up middle for no gain to the NICH18 (Johnson, G;Johnson, M), PENALTY NICH holding (Breaux, Jared) 9 yards to the NICH9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 15
OWN 9
+3
97.4%
Tuskani Figaro run for 3 yds to the NicSt 12Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 12
OWN 12
+11
97.4%
Michael Henry run for 11 yds to the NicSt 23Similar
Q1 2:23
4TH & 1
OWN 23
+16
97.4%
Tyler St. Germain punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaMon 36 , Rashon Ceaser returns for 16 yds to the LaMon 39 UL MONROE Penalty, illegal block (18 Yards) to the LaMon 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:0497% → 98%
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
97.1%
Kaylon Watson run for 12 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
97.2%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Rashon Ceaser, broken up by Adrian RichardsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
97.2%
Rashon Ceaser run for 1 yd to the LaMon 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 49
-5
97.1%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 44
+23
97.0%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 23 yds to the NicSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
97.2%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 9 yds to the NicSt 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+7
97.2%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 7 yds to the NicSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
97.2%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NicSt 22Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 22
+12
97.2%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Kaylon Watson for 12 yds to the NicSt 10Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+10
98.1%
Garrett Smith run for 10 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 8PUNT
13 plays · 16 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
97.8%
Tuskani Figaro pass complete to Charles Henderson for 2 yds to the NicSt 22Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
97.8%
Tuskani Figaro pass incomplete to C.J. BatesSimilar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+3
97.9%
Michael Henry run for 3 yds to the NicSt 25Similar
Q2 12:08
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+5
97.9%
Sciambra, Chris punt 40 yards to the ULM35, Ceaser, Rashon return to the ULM39 (Knight, Darius;Barnett, Wesley), PENALTY ULM offside (Thompson, W) 5 yards to the NICH30, 1ST DOWN NICH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
97.8%
Tuskani Figaro run for 4 yds to the NicSt 34Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-1
97.8%
Tobias Lofton run for a loss of 1 yard to the NicSt 33Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+11
97.8%
Tuskani Figaro pass complete to Terry Lucas for 11 yds to the NicSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
97.8%
Tuskani Figaro run for 1 yd to the NicSt 45 Tuskani Figaro fumbled, forced by David Griffith,Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 9
OWN 45
-4
97.8%
Tuskani Figaro pass complete to Tobias Lofton for a loss of 4 yards to the NicSt 41Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 13
OWN 41
0
97.9%
Tuskani Figaro pass incomplete to Terry LucasSimilar
Q2 12:08
4TH & 13
OWN 41
-5
97.9%
NICHOLLS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NicSt 36Similar
Q2 12:08
4TH & 18
OWN 36
0
97.9%
Chris Sciambra punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaMon 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 1:1998% → 99%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
97.9%
DeVontae McNeal run for 4 yds to the NicSt 48Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
97.9%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Ajalen Holley, broken up by Christian BoutteSimilar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+15
97.8%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 15 yds to the NicSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+21
97.9%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 21 yds to the NicSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
97.9%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Harley ScioneauxSimilar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-1
97.9%
Garrett Smith sacked by Geoffrey Hebert for a loss of 1 yard to the NicSt 13Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 11
OPP 13
+13
98.7%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 13 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 10FUMBLE
12 plays · 57 yds · 3:322% → 2%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
98.5%
Michael Henry run for 15 yds to the NicSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
98.4%
Michael Henry run for 13 yds to the NicSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
98.4%
Tobias Lofton run for 3 yds to the NicSt 45Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+8
98.4%
Michael Henry run for 8 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
98.4%
Tobias Lofton run for no gain to the LaMon 47Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+15
98.4%
Figaro, Tuskani deep pass incomplete to Bates, C.J., PENALTY ULM pass interference (Williams, J) 15 yards to the ULM32, 1ST DOWN NICH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
98.3%
Tuskani Figaro run for 3 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+2
98.2%
Tuskani Figaro run for 2 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+2
98.3%
Tuskani Figaro pass complete to Terry Lucas for 2 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q2 3:12
4TH & 3
OPP 25
-1
98.4%
Tuskani Figaro run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 29 Tuskani Figaro fumbled, forced by Gerrand Johnson, recovered by LaMon Braxton MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 0:5899% → 100%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+48
98.8%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Marcus Green for 48 yds to the NicSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
98.9%
Garrett Smith run for 6 yds to the NicSt 17Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+17
99.7%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Harley Scioneaux for 17 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 12SF
8 plays · 4 yds · 0:320% → 0%
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
99.6%
Michael Henry run for no gain to the NicSt 10Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+5
99.7%
Tuskani Figaro pass complete to Terry Lucas for 5 yds to the NicSt 15Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 5
OWN 15
-1
99.7%
Tobias Lofton run for a loss of 1 yard to the NicSt 14Similar
Q2 1:37
4TH & 6
OWN 14
0
99.7%
Chris Sciambra punt blocked by Caleb Tucker for a SAFETY blocked by Caleb Tucker for a SAFETY for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13TD
2 plays · 47 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
99.7%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 47 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 29 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
99.7%
Michael Henry run for 15 yds to the NicSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.7%
Michael Henry run for 2 yds to the NicSt 34Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+12
99.7%
Tobias Lofton run for 12 yds to the NicSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:000% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Michael Henry run for no gain to the NicSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+37
99.7%
Tuskani Figaro pass complete to C.J. Bates for 37 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
99.6%
Tobias Lofton run for 4 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
-3
99.6%
Tuskani Figaro run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
99.7%
Tuskani Figaro pass incomplete to C.J. Bates, broken up by Ben BanoguSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 34
0
99.5%
Tyler St. Germain punt for 33 yds, downed at the LaMon 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 49 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+7
99.8%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Kaylon Watson for 7 yds to the LaMon 8Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 3
OWN 8
+34
99.8%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 34 yds to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
99.8%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Rashon Ceaser for 7 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+2
99.8%
Garrett Smith pass complete to DeVontae McNeal for 2 yds to the NicSt 49Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 1
OPP 49
-1
99.8%
Kaylon Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:58
4TH & 2
50
0
99.8%
Chris Qualls punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Charles Henderson at the NicSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 17MISSED FG
18 plays · 82 yds · 5:430% → 0%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
99.8%
UL MONROE Penalty, Defensive offside (Frank Sutton Jr.) to the NicSt 19Similar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 5
OWN 19
+2
99.8%
Tobias Lofton run for 2 yds to the NicSt 21Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+10
99.8%
Tobias Lofton run for 10 yds to the NicSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
99.8%
Tuskani Figaro sacked by Caleb Tucker for a loss of 3 yards to the NicSt 28 NICHOLLS ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+4
99.8%
Tuskani Figaro run for 4 yds to the NicSt 32Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+31
99.8%
Tuskani Figaro pass complete to Terry Lucas for 31 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
99.8%
Tobias Lofton run for 3 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
99.7%
Tuskani Figaro pass incomplete to Terry LucasSimilar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+15
99.8%
Figaro, Tuskani sideline pass incomplete to Wilson, Reggie, QB hurry by Warren, S, PENALTY ULM roughing passer (Warren, S) 15 yards to the ULM19, 1ST DOWN NICH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-15
99.7%
NICHOLLS ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jonah Austin) to the LaMon 34Similar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
99.7%
Tuskani Figaro pass complete to Darryl Watson for 8 yds to the LaMon 26Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+7
99.7%
Tobias Lofton run for 7 yds to the LaMon 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
99.7%
Tuskani Figaro pass complete to Jarrell Rogers for 7 yds to the LaMon 12Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+5
99.7%
UL MONROE Penalty, Defensive offside (Alex Johnson) to the LaMon 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
99.7%
Michael Henry run for 1 yd to the LaMon 6Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.7%
Michael Henry run for 3 yds to the LaMon 3Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
99.7%
Michael Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 4Similar
Q3 4:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
99.8%
Francisco Condado 21 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.9%
Ben Luckett run for 9 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+2
99.9%
Ben Luckett run for 2 yds to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
99.9%
Brayle Brown run for no gain to the LaMon 31 UL MONROE Penalty, Offensive holding (Jeff Savage) to the LaMon 21Similar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 20
OWN 21
+4
99.9%
Ben Luckett run for 4 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 16
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Brayle Brown run for 7 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Brayle Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:56
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Chris Qualls punt for 28 yds , Charles Henderson returns for no gain to the LaMon 49 Charles Henderson fumbled, recovered by LaMon Tre' PerrierSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19TD
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:11100% → 100%
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+19
99.9%
Ben Luckett run for 4 yds to the ULMONROE 47 for a 1ST down NICHOLLS ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (B.T. Sanders) to the NicSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
99.9%
Brown, Brayle sideline pass incomplete to Turner, RJ, PENALTY ULM ineligible downfield on pass (Savage, Jeff) 5 yards to the NICH37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+3
99.9%
Earnest Carrington run for 3 yds to the NicSt 34Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+6
99.9%
Ben Luckett run for 6 yds to the NicSt 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Brayle Brown pass incomplete to Ben LuckettSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+17
99.9%
Brayle Brown pass complete to Ben Luckett for 17 yds to the NicSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-15
99.9%
UL MONROE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the NicSt 26Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Brayle Brown pass incomplete to Marcus GreenSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+8
99.9%
Ben Luckett run for 8 yds to the NicSt 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+6
99.9%
Brayle Brown run for 6 yds to the NicSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Ben Luckett run for 12 yds for a TD, (Spencer Perkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
99.9%
Tuskani Figaro run for a loss of 1 yard to the NicSt 7Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+2
99.9%
Reggie Wilson run for 2 yds to the NicSt 9Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 9
OWN 9
0
99.9%
Tuskani Figaro pass incomplete to Dorian DuraldSimilar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 9
OWN 9
0
99.9%
Tyler St. Germain punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Junior Williams at the LaMon 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
99.9%
Ben Luckett run for 10 yds to the NicSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
99.9%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 46Similar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 15
OWN 46
-4
99.9%
Kaylon Watson run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 42Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 19
OWN 42
+13
99.9%
Earnest Carrington run for 13 yds to the NicSt 45Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+4
99.9%
Earnest Carrington pass complete to Stoney Hawkins for 4 yds to the NicSt 41Similar
Q4 12:05
4TH & 2
OPP 41
-5
99.9%
UL MONROE Penalty, delay of game (Earnest Carrington) to the NicSt 46Similar
Q4 12:05
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Chris Qualls punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Charles Henderson at the NicSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
100.0%
Reggie Wilson run for 3 yds to the NicSt 22Similar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 7
OWN 22
0
100.0%
Landry Klann pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+5
100.0%
Klann, Landry deep pass incomplete to Klann, Landry, PENALTY ULM offside (Tucker, Caleb) 5 yards to the NICH27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+17
100.0%
Landry Klann run for 17 yds to the NicSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
100.0%
Kaleb Kador run for 1 yd to the NicSt 45Similar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Landry Klann pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 9
OWN 45
-2
100.0%
Landry Klann sacked by Jarred Dunn for a loss of 2 yards to the NicSt 43Similar
Q4 8:54
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Tyler St. Germain punt for 28 yds, downed at the LaMon 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
100.0%
Brayle Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 27Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Ben Luckett run for 3 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Ben Luckett run for 4 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q4 6:13
4TH & 5
OWN 34
+32
99.9%
Chris Qualls punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Charles Henderson at the ULMONROE 19 UL MONROE Penalty, personal foul (Marcus Hubbard) to the NicSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
100.0%
Reggie Wilson run for 1 yd to the NicSt 35Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Dylan Ledet run for 3 yds to the NicSt 38Similar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+3
100.0%
Landry Klann run for 3 yds to the NicSt 41Similar
Q4 4:04
4TH & 3
OWN 41
-5
100.0%
NICHOLLS ST Penalty, false start (Tyler Green) to the NicSt 36Similar
Q4 4:04
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Tyler St. Germain punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Junior Williams at the LaMon 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
100.0%
Ben Luckett run for 15 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
100.0%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 43Similar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+7
100.0%
Ben Luckett run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:08
Garrett Smith run for 10 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q2 6:44
Garrett Smith pass complete to Ajalen Holley for 13 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)
+0.8
TD · Q2 2:09
Garrett Smith pass complete to Harley Scioneaux for 17 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)
+0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com