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NWST

Northwestern State 17 at Louisiana 44

UL
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadNWST aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreNWST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Steven Coutts punt for 48 yds , Ed Eagan returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NWSt 14 NORTHWESTERN ST Penalty, illegal block (12 Yards) to the NWSt 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 34Home team on offense+5.8Pregame prior+18.5Score differential+3.0Garbage-time factor+2.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:17: Chris Jones run for 41 yds for a TD, (Chris Moore KICK) — NWST win probability +4.8 pts (now 26%) (top driver: NWST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:55: Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue PAT MISSED) — UL win probability +8.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:16: Elijah McGuire run for 24 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK) — UL win probability +9.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:07: Chris Moore 21 yd FG GOOD — NWST win probability +6.5 pts (now 15%) (top driver: NWST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:56: Torrey Pierce run for 1 yd for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK) — UL win probability +3.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 0 of 1NWST made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 13:01NWST 4th & 4 at midfield, down 7
    Close callPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:07NWST 4th & 2 at UL 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    44.0%−1.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    44.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:07NWST 4th & 13 at UL 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    44.4%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00UL 4th & 1 at UL 15, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:32NWST 4th & 24 at NWST 4, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−3.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:07NWST 4th & 4 at UL 4, down 20
    Close callKicked a field goal · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.4%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−5.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00NWST 4th & 2 at NWST 45, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.4%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00NWST 4th & 16 at UL 35, down 17
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.7%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    20.2%
    45% to make
    Punt
    19.6%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:26NWST 4th & 6 at UL 37, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5NWST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:01UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:07UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:17NWST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:55UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    73.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:16UL Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:30NWST Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:56UL Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5974% → 75%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.4%
Elijah McGuire run for no gain to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
74.4%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Devin Scott for 20 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
74.4%
Elijah McGuire run for 9 yds to the NWSt 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+5
74.4%
Torrey Pierce run for 5 yds to the NWSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+34
74.4%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 27 yds to the NWSt 14 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN ST Penalty, roughing passer (Lyn Clark) to the NWSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
74.8%
Elijah McGuire run for 7 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
74.5%
Daniel Taylor run for 9 yds to the NWSt 41Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 1
OWN 41
0
74.4%
Daniel Taylor run for no gain to the NWSt 41Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+3
74.4%
Daniel Taylor run for 3 yds to the NWSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
74.5%
Joel Blumenthal run for 3 yds to the NWSt 47Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+2
74.4%
Daniel Taylor run for 2 yds to the NWSt 49Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+1
74.4%
De'Mard Llorens run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:01
4TH & 4
50
0
74.5%
Andy Wickman punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Elijah McGuire at the LaLaf 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3TD
1 play · 88 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+88
76.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 88 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 4PUNT
14 plays · 30 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
76.4%
Joel Blumenthal run for no gain to the NWSt 26Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
76.4%
De'Mard Llorens run for 3 yds to the NWSt 29Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+7
76.5%
Joel Blumenthal run for 7 yds to the NWSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
76.3%
Daniel Taylor run for 5 yds to the NWSt 41Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+6
76.2%
Shakeir Ryan run for 6 yds to the NWSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
76.2%
Chris Jones run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 7
50
+5
76.2%
De'Mard Llorens run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
76.2%
De'Mard Llorens run for no gain to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q1 9:07
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+4
76.3%
De'Mard Llorens run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
76.2%
Daniel Taylor run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 6
OPP 37
-6
76.0%
Joel Blumenthal sacked by Tyren Alexander for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 12
OPP 43
-1
76.3%
Joel Blumenthal pass complete to De'Mard Llorens for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q1 9:07
4TH & 13
OPP 44
0
76.5%
Daniel Hazlewood punt for 38 yds, downed at the LaLaf 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5180% → 80%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
79.5%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 10Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+2
79.6%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 4
OWN 12
+3
79.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 15
+60
79.6%
Steven Coutts punt for 48 yds , Ed Eagan returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NWSt 14 NORTHWESTERN ST Penalty, illegal block (12 Yards) to the NWSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 6TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 4:3121% → 26%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
79.1%
Ed Eagan run for 6 yds to the NWSt 30Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+5
78.9%
Llorens, De'Mard rush over right end for 2 yards to the NWST32, PENALTY UL offside (Lee,Taboris) 5 yards to the NWST35, 1ST DOWN NWST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
78.9%
Joel Blumenthal run for 5 yds to the NWSt 40Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+1
78.5%
Daniel Taylor run for 1 yd to the NWSt 41Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+7
78.7%
Daniel Taylor run for 7 yds to the NWSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
78.5%
Joel Blumenthal run for 1 yd to the NWSt 49Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+5
78.7%
De'Mard Llorens run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+5
78.5%
Llorens, De'Mard rush up middle for 3 yards to the UL43, PENALTY UL offside (McCollum,Troy) 5 yards to the UL41, 1ST DOWN NWST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
73.6%
Chris Jones run for 41 yds for a TD, (Chris Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7TD
14 plays · 69 yds · 6:2276% → 85%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
75.9%
Haack,Brooks sideline pass complete to Robinson,Jamal for 10 yards to the UL41, PENALTY UL illegal formation 5 yards to the UL26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+5
75.7%
Torrey Pierce run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
75.8%
Brooks Haack run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+6
76.0%
Elijah McGuire run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+22
76.8%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Devin Scott for 22 yds to the NWSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
77.2%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 2 yds to the NWSt 33Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+5
77.1%
Torrey Pierce run for 5 yds to the NWSt 28Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+8
76.6%
Brooks Haack run for 8 yds to the NWSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
77.1%
Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Gabe Fuselier, broken up by Joseph MobleySimilar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-15
77.1%
McGuire,Elijah rush over left end for 4 yards to the NWST16 (Mobley, Joseph;Clark, Lyn), PENALTY UL illegal block (Byrne,Nick) 15 yards to the NWST35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 25
OPP 35
+10
76.5%
Elijah McGuire run for 10 yds to the NWSt 25Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 15
OPP 25
+22
76.0%
Brooks Haack run for 22 yds to the NWSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
84.8%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 1:2318% → 16%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
82.5%
Joel Blumenthal run for a loss of 2 yards to the NWSt 16Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 12
OWN 16
-6
82.8%
Shakeir Ryan run for a loss of 6 yards to the NWSt 10Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 18
OWN 10
-6
83.0%
Joel Blumenthal sacked by Zachary DeGrange for a loss of 6 yards to the NWSt 4Similar
Q2 2:32
4TH & 24
OWN 4
+8
84.0%
Andy Wickman punt for 44 yds , Elijah McGuire returns for 8 yds to the NWSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 1:0685% → 94%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
84.5%
Torrey Pierce run for 5 yds to the NWSt 35Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+11
84.5%
Brooks Haack run for 11 yds to the NWSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
94.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 24 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 10FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 1:098% → 15%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
91.8%
De'Mard Llorens run for 9 yds to the NWSt 40Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+7
91.3%
De'Mard Llorens run for 7 yds to the NWSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+48
91.5%
Joel Blumenthal pass complete to Cody Jones for 48 yds to the LaLaf 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
91.3%
Joel Blumenthal run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 4Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
91.5%
Joel Blumenthal pass incomplete to Cody JonesSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
92.0%
Joel Blumenthal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
85.5%
Chris Moore 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 12DOWNS
12 plays · 55 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
87.6%
Joel Blumenthal run for 3 yds to the NWSt 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+11
87.4%
Daniel Taylor run for 11 yds to the NWSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
87.1%
Ed Eagan run for 4 yds to the NWSt 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+4
86.9%
De'Mard Llorens run for 4 yds to the NWSt 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
86.6%
De'Mard Llorens run for no gain to the NWSt 45Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+26
87.3%
Cody Jones run for 26 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
85.4%
NORTHWESTERN ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+9
86.3%
Joel Blumenthal pass complete to Daniel Taylor for 9 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 25
-1
85.4%
Chris Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 26
-9
86.3%
Joel Blumenthal sacked by Blain Winston for a loss of 9 yards to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 16
OPP 35
+13
88.0%
Daniel Hazlewood pass complete to Ed Eagan for 13 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 13TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:464% → 7%
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.5%
Daniel Taylor run for 3 yds to the NWSt 28Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
96.4%
Daniel Taylor run for 4 yds to the NWSt 32Similar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+8
96.4%
De'Mard Llorens run for 8 yds to the NWSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
96.4%
De'Mard Llorens run for 2 yds to the NWSt 42Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
96.4%
J.D. Almond pass incomplete to Ed EaganSimilar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+29
96.4%
J.D. Almond pass complete to Tuff McClain for 29 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
95.9%
Ed Eagan run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
95.9%
J.D. Almond pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+4
96.0%
De'Mard Llorens run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+14
92.7%
J.D. Almond pass complete to Cody Jones for 14 yds for a TD, (Chris Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:3494% → 99%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
94.3%
Torrey Pierce run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+2
94.3%
Torrey Pierce run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+8
94.2%
Brooks Haack run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+58
94.6%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 58 yds to the ULLAFAYTTE 1 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.7%
Torrey Pierce run for no gain to the NWSt 1Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.5%
Torrey Pierce run for 1 yd for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
98.2%
J.D. Almond pass complete to De'Mard Llorens for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
50
+4
98.2%
J.D. Almond run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+3
98.2%
Daniel Taylor run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+8
98.2%
Daniel Taylor run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.1%
De'Mard Llorens run for no gain to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
98.1%
J.D. Almond pass incomplete to Tuff McClainSimilar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+2
98.2%
J.D. Almond pass complete to Daniel Taylor for 2 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16FG
7 plays · 58 yds · 0:0099% → 100%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
99.0%
Montrel Carter run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+25
99.0%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 10 yds to the NWSt 44 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN ST Penalty, roughing passer (Josh Roberts) to the NWSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
99.0%
Montrel Carter run for 11 yds to the NWSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+17
99.1%
Montrel Carter run for 17 yds to the NWSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
99.1%
Montrel Carter run for 3 yds to the NWSt 10Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 7
OPP 10
-4
99.1%
Brooks Haack sacked by Shaw Stephens for a loss of 4 yards to the NWSt 14Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+5
99.9%
Darius Hoggins run for 5 yds to the NWSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 17DOWNS
12 plays · 0 yds · 0:070% → 0%
Q4 7:33
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+26
99.9%
Stevie Artigue 26 Yd Field GoalSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
100.0%
Matthew Flores run for 12 yds to the NWSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
100.0%
Chris Jones run for 14 yds to the NWSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
100.0%
Chris Jones run for 1 yd to the NWSt 48Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+1
100.0%
Chris Jones run for 1 yd to the NWSt 49Similar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+10
100.0%
J.D. Almond pass complete to Glenn Irons for 10 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
99.9%
Chris Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 12
OPP 43
+6
100.0%
J.D. Almond run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
99.9%
J.D. Almond pass incomplete to Glenn IronsSimilar
Q4 7:26
4TH & 6
OPP 37
-1
99.9%
J.D. Almond sacked by Mario Osborne for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18END OF GAME
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
100.0%
Darius Hoggins run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+5
100.0%
Jordan Davis run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+58
100.0%
Darius Hoggins run for 58 yds to the NWSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Montrel Carter run for no gain to the NWSt 3Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
100.0%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Lorenzo CryerSimilar
Q4 3:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
100.0%
Darius Hoggins run for a loss of 1 yard to the NWSt 4Similar
Q4 3:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
100.0%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NWSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:16
Elijah McGuire run for 24 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)
+9.7
TD · Q2 3:55
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue PAT MISSED)
+8.9
FG · Q2 0:07
Chris Moore 21 yd FG GOOD
-6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com