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GWEB

Gardner-Webb 23 at South Alabama 33

USA
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · Ladd Peebles Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadGWEB aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreGWEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDSAFETYTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:35 · Tyrell Maxwell pass incomplete to Kyle Horton, broken up by DeMarion Harper
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 113Pregame prior+10.3Home team on offense+1.5Garbage-time factor+0.7Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:15: Tyrell Maxwell pass complete to Mike Estes for 48 yds for a TD, (Paul Schumacher KICK) — GWEB win probability +5.9 pts (now 28%) (top driver: GWEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:50: Cody Clements pass intercepted for a TD Angel Guzman return for 21 yds for a TD, (Paul Schumacher KICK) — GWEB win probability +13.4 pts (now 43%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:35: Cody Clements pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 56 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK) — USA win probability +18.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 0:24: Aleem Sunanon 41 yd FG GOOD — USA win probability +9.3 pts (now 84%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:54: Xavier Johnson run for 92 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK) — USA win probability +10.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7GWEB made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 13:04GWEB 4th & 9 at USA 27, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.9%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    49.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    48.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:52GWEB 4th & 9 at GWEB 38, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00USA 4th & 5 at USA 24, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:15USA 4th & 6 at GWEB 40, up 6
    Close callPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    57.8%−0.6
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:59GWEB 4th & 10 at GWEB 20, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:17USA 4th & 8 at GWEB 48, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:32GWEB 4th & 11 at GWEB 44, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−1.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:43GWEB 4th & 1 at GWEB 37, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:51GWEB 4th & 6 at USA 38, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    43.1%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00GWEB 4th & 8 at GWEB 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:35GWEB 4th & 3 at USA 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    37.7%−2.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    38.2%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:57USA 4th & 7 at USA 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−1.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:56USA 4th & 1 at GWEB 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    64.6%−3.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    56.8%−11.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:24USA 4th & 8 at GWEB 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    56.6%−11.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:27USA 4th & 7 at GWEB 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.9%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    72.2%−10.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:27GWEB 4th & 5 at USA 42, down 10
    Close callPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    16.3%−1.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%−0.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:54GWEB 4th & 1 at USA 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%−1.0
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−4.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:19GWEB 4th & 5 at USA 5, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.6
    92% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4GWEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 13:04USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:27USA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    59.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:15GWEB Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:50GWEB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:35USA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:54USA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:19GWEB Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 1:5674% → 74%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
73.7%
Xavier Johnson run for 8 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+8
73.7%
Xavier Johnson run for 8 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
73.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to D.J. Vinson for 9 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+1
73.7%
Xavier Johnson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
73.7%
Xavier Johnson run for 8 yds to the GrdWb 49Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+49
74.1%
Terrance Timmons run for 49 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 2DOWNS
11 plays · 47 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
73.9%
Tyrell Maxwell run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 28Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+3
73.9%
Bobby Clark run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 31Similar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+7
73.9%
Tyrell Maxwell pass complete to Victor Harris for 7 yds to the GrdWb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
73.8%
Bobby Clark run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 40Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+15
73.8%
Tyrell Maxwell pass complete to Kyle Horton for 15 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
73.7%
Tyrell Maxwell run for 17 yds to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-3
73.6%
Tyrell Maxwell run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 32 Tyrell Maxwell fumbled, recovered by GrdWb Bobby ClarkSimilar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 14
OPP 32
-2
73.7%
Bobby Clark run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 34Similar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 16
OPP 34
+7
73.8%
Tyrell Maxwell pass complete to Ralph Jolly for 7 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q1 13:04
4TH & 9
OPP 27
0
73.9%
Tyrell Maxwell pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 3:1675% → 79%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
74.5%
Cody Clements pass complete to D.J. Vinson for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 24Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+11
74.4%
Cody Clements pass complete to D.J. Vinson for 11 yds to the SAlab 35Similar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+4
74.5%
Tyreis Thomas run for 4 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
74.7%
Tyreis Thomas run for 9 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 1
OWN 48
0
74.9%
Cody Clements pass incomplete, broken up by Angel GuzmanSimilar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
74.7%
Tyreis Thomas run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
50
0
74.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to Dami Ayoola for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 10
50
+50
79.0%
Gerald Everett 50 Yd pass from Cody Clements (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 4INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
77.0%
Kyle Horton run for no gain to the GrdWb 22Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
77.0%
Tyrell Maxwell pass intercepted Roman Buchanan return for no gain to the GrdWb 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5INT
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
79.5%
Terrance Timmons run for a loss of 1 yard to the GrdWb 28Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+15
79.4%
Cody Clements pass intercepted Jonathan Sherrill return for 15 yds to the GrdWb 37 Jonathan Sherrill fumbled, forced by Claude Garrett, recovered by GrdWb Jebrai ReganSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
78.2%
Kerry Bernard run for 1 yd to the GrdWb 38Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+3
78.2%
Tyrell Maxwell run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 41Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-3
78.2%
Tyrell Maxwell run for a loss of 3 yards to the GrdWb 38Similar
Q1 2:52
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
78.6%
Andrew Komornik punt for 43 yds , Josh Magee returns for no gain to the SAlab 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4880% → 80%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
79.8%
Terrance Timmons run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 17Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 12
OWN 17
0
79.7%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Claude GarrettSimilar
Q1 0:48
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+7
79.3%
Cody Clements pass complete to Terrance Timmons for 7 yds to the SAlab 24Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 24
+11
79.5%
Brandon McKee punt for 51 yds , Kyle Horton returns for 11 yds to the GrdWb 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 8TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 1:3322% → 28%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
78.2%
Bobby Clark run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
50
+2
77.7%
Tyrell Maxwell run for 2 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+48
71.8%
Tyrell Maxwell pass complete to Mike Estes for 48 yds for a TD, (Paul Schumacher KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
75.6%
Cody Clements pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
75.5%
Cody Clements pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+4
74.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 4 yds to the GrdWb 40Similar
Q2 13:15
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
74.5%
Brandon McKee punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 10PUNT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 11:59
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
73.3%
Tyrell Maxwell pass incomplete to Ralph JollySimilar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-2
73.9%
Kerry Bernard run for a loss of 2 yards to the GrdWb 20Similar
Q2 11:59
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
74.3%
Andrew Komornik punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
75.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
75.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to D.J. Vinson for 5 yds to the SAlab 47Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
75.3%
Cody Clements run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
50
0
75.8%
Cody Clements pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 10
50
+7
75.6%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kevin Kutchera for 7 yds to the GrdWb 43Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 3
OPP 43
-5
75.5%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Curtis Williams) to the GrdWb 48Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
75.1%
Cody Clements pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:17
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
74.1%
Brandon McKee punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GrdWb 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
72.9%
Khalil Lewis run for 1 yd to the GrdWb 33Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
73.1%
Tyrell Maxwell pass incomplete to Victor HarrisSimilar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+12
73.9%
Khalil Lewis run for 12 yds to the GrdWb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
72.1%
Tyrell Maxwell pass incomplete to Mike EstesSimilar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
72.5%
Tyrell Maxwell run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 5
50
-5
71.7%
Kyle Horton run for a loss of 5 yards to the GrdWb 44 Kyle Horton fumbled, forced by Jeremy Reaves, recovered by GrdWb Tyrell MaxwellSimilar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
74.1%
Andrew Komornik punt for 55 yds, downed at the SAlab 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13SF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 1
-1
71.4%
Dallas Davis run for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
70.7%
Kyle Horton pass incomplete to Ralph JollySimilar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-4
71.1%
Tyrell Maxwell run for a loss of 4 yards to the GrdWb 24Similar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 14
OWN 24
+13
71.9%
Tyrell Maxwell run for 13 yds to the GrdWb 37 Tyrell Maxwell fumbled, forced by Quinton Dent,Similar
Q2 5:43
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
71.2%
Andrew Komornik punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 36 yds · 0:0072% → 74%
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
71.6%
Tyreis Thomas run for 8 yds to the SAlab 35Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+5
72.6%
Tyreis Thomas run for 5 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
72.8%
Tyreis Thomas run for 6 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+11
73.2%
Tyreis Thomas run for 11 yds to the GrdWb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
73.6%
Tyreis Thomas run for 6 yds to the GrdWb 37 Tyreis Thomas fumbled, forced by Spencer Havird, recovered by GrdWb Laron GlennSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 1:5230% → 32%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
69.6%
Tyrell Maxwell run for 9 yds to the GrdWb 46Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+2
67.9%
Bobby Clark run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
68.0%
Bobby Clark run for 10 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
66.6%
Tyrell Maxwell pass complete to Bobby Clark for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 45Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 13
OPP 45
0
68.3%
Tyrell Maxwell pass incomplete to Mike Estes, broken up by Tre AlfordSimilar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 13
OPP 45
+2
69.5%
Bobby Clark run for 2 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 11
OPP 43
+5
70.0%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the SAlab 38Similar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
68.0%
Andrew Komornik punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17END OF HALF
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:4572% → 72%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
71.7%
Dami Ayoola run for 2 yds to the SAlab 22Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+6
71.4%
Cody Clements pass complete to Claude Garrett for 6 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 35
-5
71.6%
Corliss Waitman kickoff 65 yards to the GWU0, HORTON, K. return to the GWU13 (Kalen Jackson), PENALTY USA offside (Berron Tyson) 5 yards to the USA30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
70.7%
GARDNER-WEBB Penalty, delay of game (Tyrell Maxwell) to the GrdWb 21Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+3
71.0%
Khalil Lewis run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+5
71.0%
Tyrell Maxwell pass complete to Jacob Henderson for 5 yds to the GrdWb 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+8
71.5%
Tyrell Maxwell run for 8 yds to the GrdWb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
69.9%
Tyrell Maxwell run for 4 yds to the GrdWb 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+6
68.5%
Tyrell Maxwell run for 6 yds to the GrdWb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
68.2%
Khalil Lewis run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
67.9%
Tyrell Maxwell pass incomplete to Mike EstesSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
69.2%
Tyrell Maxwell pass incomplete to Kyle HortonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
70.8%
Andrew Komornik punt for 39 yds , Josh Magee returns for no gain to the SAlab 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+21
57.4%
Cody Clements pass intercepted for a TD Angel Guzman return for 21 yds for a TD, (Paul Schumacher KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20TD
2 plays · 56 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
75.0%
Cody Clements pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 56 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:0028% → 30%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
71.7%
Kerry Bernard run for no gain to the GrdWb 26Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+12
72.0%
Tyrell Maxwell pass complete to Mike Estes for 12 yds to the GrdWb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
70.6%
Kyle Horton run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 41Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-3
69.6%
Kerry Bernard run for a loss of 3 yards to the GrdWb 38 Kerry Bernard fumbled, forced by Blake Dees, recovered by GrdWb Kerry BernardSimilar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+15
72.0%
MAXWELL, T. pass incomplete to HORTON, K., PENALTY USA pass interference (Jeremy Reaves) 15 yards to the USA47, 1ST DOWN GWU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
68.3%
Tyrell Maxwell run for 2 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+1
68.4%
Bobby Clark run for 1 yd to the SAlab 44Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+4
68.8%
Elijah Perry run for 4 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q3 10:35
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
70.1%
Tyrell Maxwell pass incomplete to Kyle Horton, broken up by DeMarion HarperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:2175% → 72%
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
75.0%
Dami Ayoola run for 5 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+3
75.4%
Dami Ayoola run for 3 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-5
74.8%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 43Similar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
73.1%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Claude GarrettSimilar
Q3 4:57
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
71.5%
Corliss Waitman punt for 35 yds, downed at the GrdWb 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 23INT
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0030% → 32%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
70.2%
Tyrell Maxwell run for 7 yds to the GrdWb 29Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 3
OWN 29
0
68.5%
Tyrell Maxwell pass intercepted Jeremy Reaves return for no gain to the GrdWb 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 24FG
8 plays · 13 yds · 3:3277% → 84%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
76.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 7 yds to the GrdWb 30Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+2
77.0%
Terrance Timmons run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 28Similar
Q3 3:56
3RD & 1
OPP 28
0
75.9%
Cody Clements run for no gain to the GrdWb 28Similar
Q3 3:56
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+2
74.7%
Dallas Davis run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
77.0%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Marvin ShinnSimilar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-9
76.9%
Cody Clements sacked by Aaron Cook and Jebrai Regan for a loss of 9 yards to the GrdWb 35Similar
Q3 3:56
3RD & 19
OPP 35
+11
74.2%
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 11 yds to the GrdWb 24Similar
Q3 0:24
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+41
83.5%
Aleem Sunanon 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 25FUMBLE
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:2422% → 23%
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
78.4%
Khalil Lewis run for 5 yds to the GrdWb 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+1
77.3%
Khalil Lewis run for 1 yd to the GrdWb 30 Khalil Lewis fumbled, forced by Blake Dees, recovered by SAlab Dondre ChanetSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 26FG
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:2787% → 87%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
86.6%
Tyreis Thomas run for 5 yds to the GrdWb 25Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 5
OPP 25
-4
86.6%
Cody Clements run for a loss of 4 yards to the GrdWb 28 Cody Clements fumbled, recovered by SAlab Cody ClementsSimilar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+14
85.6%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to D.J. Vinson, PENALTY GWU pass interference (GUZMAN, A.) 14 yards to the GWU14, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-10
86.6%
Dami Ayoola rush for no gain to the GWU14 (HAVIRD, S.;REGAN, J.), PENALTY USA holding 10 yards to the GWU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 20
OPP 24
0
86.5%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Braedon Bowman, broken up by Thomas AdamsSimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 20
OPP 24
+14
86.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 14 yds to the GrdWb 10Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 6
OPP 10
-1
85.7%
Dami Ayoola run for a loss of 1 yard to the GrdWb 11Similar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+28
86.5%
Aleem Sunanon 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
84.3%
Tyrell Maxwell run for 18 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
82.1%
Tyrell Maxwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 49Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+4
83.2%
Kyle Horton run for 4 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+3
82.8%
Tyrell Maxwell pass complete to Bobby Clark for 3 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
83.9%
Andrew Komornik punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Josh Magee at the SAlab 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 28TD
2 plays · 92 yds · 0:4386% → 97%
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
86.4%
Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 8Similar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+92
96.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 92 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 29TD
18 plays · 70 yds · 8:354% → 7%
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
96.0%
Tyrell Maxwell run for 9 yds to the GrdWb 39Similar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+8
95.9%
Bobby Clark run for 8 yds to the GrdWb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
95.8%
Tyrell Maxwell pass incomplete to Willie Jackson IVSimilar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
95.9%
Kyle Horton run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 7
50
-5
95.9%
GARDNER-WEBB Penalty, delay of game (Tyrell Maxwell) to the GrdWb 45Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+24
96.3%
Tyrell Maxwell pass complete to Mike Estes for 24 yds to the SAlab 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
95.2%
Tyrell Maxwell run for 8 yds to the SAlab 23Similar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+1
95.0%
Bobby Clark run for 1 yd to the SAlab 22Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 1
OPP 22
0
95.4%
Tyrell Maxwell run for no gain to the SAlab 22Similar
Q4 8:54
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+3
95.5%
Bobby Clark run for 3 yds to the SAlab 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
95.0%
Tyrell Maxwell run for 3 yds to the SAlab 16Similar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 7
OPP 16
-1
95.0%
Tyrell Maxwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 17Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+9
95.6%
Tyrell Maxwell pass complete to Ralph Jolly for 9 yds to the SAlab 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
95.0%
Bobby Clark run for 1 yd to the SAlab 7Similar
Q4 8:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
95.0%
Bobby Clark run for 2 yds to the SAlab 5Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
95.5%
Khalil Lewis run for no gain to the SAlab 5Similar
Q4 0:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
92.8%
Tyrell Maxwell pass complete to Mike Estes for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Schumacher KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
96.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GrdWb 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:35
Cody Clements pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 56 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)
+18.2
TD · Q3 10:50
Cody Clements pass intercepted for a TD Angel Guzman return for 21 yds for a TD, (Paul Schumacher KICK)
-13.4
TD · Q4 8:54
Xavier Johnson run for 92 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)
+10.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com