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EMU

Eastern Michigan 28 at Central Michigan 35

CMU
2015 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2015 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
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Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:02 · Brian Eavey 40 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 92Pregame prior+25.9Home team on offense−12.3Garbage-time factor−3.5Score differential−6.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:57: Brogan Roback pass complete to Darius Jackson for 6 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK) — EMU win probability +12.9 pts (now 44%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:11: Romello Ross run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +15.3 pts (now 79%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:20: Romello Ross run for 17 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +15.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:04: Darius Jackson run for 49 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK) — EMU win probability +25.6 pts (now 37%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:46: Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 67 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +20.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8EMU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00CMU 4th & 3 at CMU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 14:03EMU 4th & 1 at CMU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    7.5%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:47CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:59EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:48CMU 4th & 4 at EMU 29, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.6%−0.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    81.5%−2.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:12EMU 4th & 18 at EMU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:02CMU 4th & 15 at EMU 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−2.0
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    52.2%−5.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00EMU 4th & 9 at EMU 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−2.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:47EMU 4th & 9 at EMU 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:55CMU 4th & 6 at EMU 24, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.4%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    67.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    59.5%−8.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:52EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:05CMU 4th & 11 at CMU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−3.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:51EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−2.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:36CMU 4th & 11 at EMU 34, up 7
    Close callPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    88.5%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.6%−0.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:19EMU 4th & 19 at EMU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−1.9
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:23CMU 4th & 14 at CMU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−1.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:15EMU 4th & 6 at EMU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.2%−2.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:47EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:12CMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:01EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:57EMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:47CMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:11CMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:20CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:04EMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 0:46CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.6%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
92.6%
Jahray Hayes run for 7 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
92.6%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
92.6%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 28 yds, downed at the EMich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 60 yds · 4:168% → 10%
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
92.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for 17 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
92.3%
Darius Jackson run for no gain to the CMich 43Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-5
92.3%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 48Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+7
92.3%
Shaq Vann run for 7 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+10
92.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Cody Tuttle for 10 yds to the CMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
92.3%
Brogan Roback run for 3 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 7
OPP 28
-5
92.3%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 33Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+10
92.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Cody Tuttle for 10 yds to the CMich 23Similar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+1
92.3%
Darius Jackson run for 1 yd to the CMich 22Similar
Q1 14:03
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+2
92.3%
Brogan Roback run for 2 yds to the CMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
92.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for 6 yds to the CMich 14Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+8
92.3%
Eddie Daugherty run for 8 yds to the CMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
90.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sam Browning for 6 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 17 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.6%
ROSS, Romello rush for 1 yard to the CMU26 (RACHWAL, Kyle), PENALTY EMU offside 5 yards to the CMU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+2
90.7%
Martez Walker run for 2 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-5
90.7%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 27Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
90.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 2 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
90.5%
RUSH, Cooper pass intercepted by TILLMAN, Ray at the CMU41, TILLMAN, Ray return to the CMU41, PENALTY EMU holding (TILLMAN, Ray) 10 yards to the CMU39, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
90.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jahray Hayes for 9 yds to the CMich 48Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 1
OWN 48
-1
90.8%
Jahray Hayes run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 47Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 2
OWN 47
-5
90.7%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 42Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
90.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Anthony RiceSimilar
Q1 9:47
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
90.5%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0011% → 12%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
88.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for 11 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
88.5%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 26Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 15
OWN 26
+9
88.7%
Brogan Roback run for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 20 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, sideline interference (15 Yards) to the EMich 35Similar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
88.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for 6 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
88.3%
Darius Jackson run for no gain to the EMich 41Similar
Q1 5:59
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
88.6%
Austin Barnes punt for 49 ydsSimilar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
88.4%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5MISSED FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 5:1887% → 84%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
87.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 9Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 11
OWN 9
-1
87.1%
Romello Ross run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 8Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 12
OWN 8
+17
86.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 17 yds to the CMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.1%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Mark Chapman, broken up by Juan GiraldoSimilar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.1%
Jahray Hayes run for 4 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q1 0:53
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+13
85.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 13 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+23
86.3%
Martez Walker run for 23 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
86.5%
Martez Walker run for 2 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+2
86.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 2 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+2
86.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 2 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+47
84.4%
Brian Eavey 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
83.5%
Darius Jackson run for 8 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 2
OWN 37
-4
83.1%
Reginald Bell pass complete to Sam Browning for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 33Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+26
83.5%
Darius Jackson run for 26 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-7
82.7%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 7 yards to the CMich 48 Shaq Vann fumbled, recovered by CMich Nathan RickettsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 52 yds · 2:0684% → 88%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+23
83.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 23 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
84.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 15 yds to the EMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
84.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 9 yds to the EMich 5Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+5
87.6%
Romello Ross run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
85.1%
Reginald Bell pass complete to Dustin Creel for 15 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
84.9%
Darius Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMich 35Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+1
84.9%
Reginald Bell run for 1 yd to the EMich 36Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 8
OWN 36
-5
85.1%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 13
OWN 31
-5
85.5%
Reginald Bell sacked by Mitch Stanitzek and Chris Kantzavelos for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 26Similar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 18
OWN 26
0
85.9%
Austin Barnes punt for 48 yds, downed at the CMich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+35
77.7%
Cooper Rush pass intercepted for a TD Kyle Rachwal return for 35 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10FUMBLE
9 plays · 67 yds · 0:0078% → 80%
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
77.7%
Romello Ross run for 4 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+9
77.8%
Mark Chapman run for 9 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
78.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse Kroll, broken up by DaQuan PaceSimilar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
78.1%
Martez Walker run for 1 yd to the CMich 42Similar
Q2 6:01
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+38
77.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 38 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
80.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Zach Crouch for 13 yds to the EMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
80.2%
Jahray Hayes run for 6 yds to the EMich 1Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+48
80.2%
Jahray Hayes run for no gain to the CMich 47 Jahray Hayes fumbled, forced by Great Ibe, recovered by EMich Luke Maclean , return for 48 yds to the CMich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 95 yds · 1:0931% → 44%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+29
69.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sam Browning for 29 yds to the CMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
69.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dustin Creel for 2 yds to the CMich 16Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
69.1%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+9
69.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sam Browning for 9 yds to the CMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
69.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for 1 yd to the CMich 6Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
56.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Darius Jackson for 6 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12MISSED FG
13 plays · 48 yds · 0:5561% → 59%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
60.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Amari Coleman for 9 yds to the CMich 39Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+3
61.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Martez Walker for 3 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
62.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 2
50
+8
63.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 8 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+25
63.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 25 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
62.5%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse KrollSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-5
63.4%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, (-5 Yards) to the EMich 22Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 15
OPP 22
0
63.2%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete, broken up by Clay DawsonSimilar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 15
OPP 22
0
61.0%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Ben McCordSimilar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 15
OPP 22
+40
59.4%
Brian Eavey 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
55.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
56.6%
Darius Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMich 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
56.8%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
57.3%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sam BrowningSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
58.0%
Austin Barnes punt for 37 yds, downed at the CMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15TD
1 play · 63 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
68.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Romello Ross for 63 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0034% → 32%
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
66.3%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 20Similar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
66.8%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+6
67.0%
Darius Jackson run for 6 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
67.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
Q3 13:47
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
68.3%
Austin Barnes punt for 26 yds, downed at the CMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
69.4%
Martez Walker run for 5 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+19
70.2%
Martez Walker run for 19 yds to the EMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
71.3%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete, broken up by Luke MacleanSimilar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
71.2%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+4
69.6%
Cooper Rush run for 4 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 12:55
4TH & 6
OPP 24
0
68.2%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Anthony Rice, broken up by Luke MacleanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0038% → 36%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
62.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for 1 yd to the EMich 25Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
63.0%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Shaq VannSimilar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+5
63.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q3 10:52
4TH & 4
OWN 30
+5
63.9%
Austin Barnes punt for 33 yds , Emmett Thomas returns for 5 yds to the CMich 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0064% → 60%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
64.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 2 yds to the CMich 44Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+6
64.3%
Martez Walker run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 2
50
-4
65.0%
Martez Walker run for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 46Similar
Q3 9:05
4TH & 6
OWN 46
-5
61.2%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the CMich 41Similar
Q3 9:05
4TH & 11
OWN 41
0
60.1%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0044% → 41%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
56.3%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+2
56.6%
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMich 16Similar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 8
OWN 16
0
57.5%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Kevin Davis EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 6:51
4TH & 8
OWN 16
0
58.6%
TEAM punt blocked by Kavon Frazier blocked by Kavon FrazierSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:3663% → 79%
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
63.4%
Romello Ross run for 10 yds to the EMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
78.6%
Romello Ross run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22FUMBLE
4 plays · 70 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
71.6%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 26Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
71.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dustin CreelSimilar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+61
72.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Austin Stone for 61 yds Austin Stone fumbled, forced by Josh Cox, recovered by CMich Stefon Armstead , return for 17 yds to the CMich 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 2:5673% → 88%
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
73.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 13 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
73.9%
Martez Walker run for 17 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
76.9%
Jesse Kroll pass complete to Mark Chapman for 17 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
77.9%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Joe BacciSimilar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-4
77.8%
Romello Ross run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 35Similar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 14
OPP 35
+18
74.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 18 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
90.3%
Romello Ross run for 17 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
Q3 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-15
88.4%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Romello Ross) to the CMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24TD
2 plays · 49 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
63.4%
Darius Jackson run for 49 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 25TD
2 plays · 67 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+67
88.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 67 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 0:4615% → 15%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-4
84.9%
Eddie Daugherty run for 6 yds to the EMich 28 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (Dustin Creel) to the EMich 18Similar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 14
OWN 18
+1
85.1%
Darius Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMich 19Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 23
+15
86.4%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (Josh Cox) to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
85.8%
Austin Barnes punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+4
85.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 4 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
85.7%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
83.7%
Darius Jackson run for no gain to the EMich 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
83.8%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Shaq VannSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
84.9%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 27PUNT
10 plays · 57 yds · 2:4089% → 88%
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
88.8%
Martez Walker run for 1 yd to the CMich 10Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+21
88.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 21 yds to the CMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
89.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 13 yds to the CMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
90.3%
Martez Walker run for 5 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+18
90.5%
Martez Walker run for 18 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
90.7%
Cooper Rush sacked by Luke Maclean for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 35Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+1
90.5%
Martez Walker run for 1 yd to the EMich 34Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 11
OPP 34
0
89.7%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:36
4TH & 11
OPP 34
0
88.3%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 31 yds, downed at the EMich 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 28PUNT
15 plays · 30 yds · 3:3815% → 10%
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
85.2%
Brogan Roback run for 2 yds to the EMich 5Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+14
85.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Jake Krueger for 14 yds to the EMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
84.7%
Darius Jackson run for 5 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+9
83.9%
Brogan Roback run for 9 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
83.7%
Darius Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 29Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 14
OWN 29
0
85.2%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 14
OWN 29
-2
89.9%
Brogan Roback run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 27Similar
Q4 6:34
4TH & 16
OWN 27
+15
90.4%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (Nate Brisson-Fast) to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
86.8%
Darius Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 38Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 14
OWN 38
0
88.8%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Darius JacksonSimilar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 14
OWN 38
-10
89.2%
ROBACK, Brogan pass complete to JACKSON, Darius for 42 yards to the CMU20 (FRAZIER, Kavon), PENALTY EMU holding (THORNTON, Matt) 10 yards to the EMU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 24
OWN 28
+5
89.6%
Brogan Roback run for 5 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q4 5:19
4TH & 19
OWN 33
+12
89.9%
Austin Barnes punt for 46 yds , Emmett Thomas returns for 12 yds to the CMich 45 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, illegal block (Gary Jones) to the CMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 29PUNT
10 plays · 9 yds · 2:0292% → 95%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
92.1%
Martez Walker run for 8 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+5
92.6%
Martez Walker run for 5 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
92.8%
Martez Walker run for no gain to the CMich 36Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-5
94.6%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (Nick Beamish) to the CMich 31Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 23
OWN 23
+10
94.1%
Martez Walker run for 10 yds to the CMich 33Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 15
OWN 31
-8
94.1%
Cooper Rush run for 2 yds to the CMich 33 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive holding (Martez Walker) to the CMich 23Similar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 13
OWN 33
-1
95.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Martez Walker for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 32Similar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 14
OWN 32
0
94.6%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 30DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:158% → 7%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
92.3%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, illegal touching (Eddie Daugherty) to the EMich 34Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
92.7%
Brogan Roback run for 4 yds to the EMich 38 Brogan Roback fumbled, recovered by EMichSimilar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
92.5%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Darius JacksonSimilar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
93.1%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Austin StoneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 31END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
98.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 12
OPP 40
-1
98.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:04
Darius Jackson run for 49 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)
-25.6
TD · Q3 0:46
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 67 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)
+20.9
TD · Q3 1:20
Romello Ross run for 17 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)
+15.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com