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BGSU

Bowling Green 48 at Ball State 10

BALL
2015 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2015 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:49 · Riley Neal pass incomplete to Chris Shillings
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Home team on offense−29.3Pregame prior−29.0Score differential−17.9Garbage-time factor−9.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:37: Fred Coppet run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +1.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:39: Travis Greene run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +4.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:36: Matt Johnson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +1.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:11: Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:09: Riley Neal pass complete to Chris Shillings for 7 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +1.0 pts (now 3%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 6 of 10BGSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00BGSU 4th & 2 at BGSU 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:39BALL 4th & 2 at BGSU 45, down 6
    Close callPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    13.6%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00BALL 4th & 7 at BGSU 44, down 13
    Close callPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    12.9%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:09BGSU 4th & 5 at BGSU 16, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:14BALL 4th & 12 at BALL 36, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:06BGSU 4th & 6 at BALL 16, up 20
    Close callWent for it · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    92.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:27BALL 4th & 10 at BGSU 46, down 27
    Close callPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:49BALL 4th & 2 at BGSU 29, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.8
    58% to make
    Punt
    -1.7%−3.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:02BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 42, down 34
    Close callPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:54BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 30, up 34
    Close callPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:00BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 48, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00BALL 4th & 3 at BGSU 44, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−0.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:25BALL 4th & 3 at BGSU 15, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−1.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:11BALL 4th & 5 at BALL 35, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:21BGSU 4th & 8 at BGSU 36, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:14BALL 4th & 2 at BALL 35, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BGSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 6:45BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:37BGSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:39BGSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:36BGSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:11BGSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:09BALL Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:16BGSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:39BGSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
7.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 8 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
7.7%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
7.7%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
7.7%
Joseph Davidson punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2INT
10 plays · 46 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-1
8.1%
Darian Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 4Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 11
OWN 4
+2
8.1%
Darian Green run for 2 yds to the BalSt 6Similar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 9
OWN 6
+13
8.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 13 yds to the BalSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
8.1%
Darian Green run for 1 yd to the BalSt 20Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
8.1%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Corey LacanariaSimilar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+14
8.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 14 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
8.1%
Darian Green run for 14 yds to the BalSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
8.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 3 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
8.1%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
8.1%
Riley Neal pass intercepted Dernard Turner return for no gain to the BalSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 49 yds · 2:4090% → 90%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
9.6%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the BalSt 49Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
9.6%
Matt Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+35
9.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 35 yds to the BalSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
9.6%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 6 yds to the BalSt 8Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+3
9.6%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the BalSt 5Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+1
9.6%
Travis Greene run for 1 yd to the BalSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
9.6%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Gehrig Dieter, broken up by Darius ConawaySimilar
Q1 9:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
9.6%
Travis Greene run for 1 yd to the BalSt 3Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
10.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Hunter Folkertsma for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
10.7%
James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+4
10.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Sam Brunner for 4 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
10.7%
Riley Neal run for no gain to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q1 6:39
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
10.6%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 43 yds, downed at the BwGrn 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5TD
12 plays · 98 yds · 2:5589% → 91%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+7
10.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 7 yds to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 3
OWN 9
+10
10.9%
JOHNSON, Matt pass incomplete to LEE, Derek, PENALTY BALL holding (RYAN, Zack) 10 yards to the BGSU19, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
10.8%
Fred Coppet run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+7
10.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 7 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
10.7%
Fred Coppet run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+12
10.6%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 12 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
10.5%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 4 yds to the BalSt 47Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+8
10.4%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 8 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
10.4%
Fred Coppet run for 1 yd to the BalSt 38Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+34
10.4%
Ronnie Moore run for 34 yds to the BalSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
10.4%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the BalSt 1Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
9.4%
Fred Coppet run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:2910% → 10%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
10.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jordan Williams for 9 yds to the BalSt 48Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+5
10.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jordan Williams for 5 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
10.3%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
10.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 6 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 41
-3
10.6%
Riley Neal sacked by Shannon Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
10.4%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Ryan Burbrink at the BwGrn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-2
10.0%
Gehrig Dieter run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 12
OWN 9
+3
10.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 3 yds to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 9
OWN 12
+4
10.2%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Travis Greene for 4 yds to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 5
OWN 16
0
10.3%
Joseph Davidson punt for 46 yds, downed at the BalSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
10.9%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
10.9%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-2
10.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Chris Shillings for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 36Similar
Q2 12:14
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
10.5%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ryan Burbrink at the BwGrn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 1:3690% → 94%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
10.4%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Jacob Bennett) to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+9
10.5%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 9 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+9
10.3%
Travis Greene run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+38
10.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 38 yds to the BalSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
10.0%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 12 yds to the BalSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
10.0%
Travis Greene run for 6 yds to the BalSt 4Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
5.8%
Travis Greene run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-3
7.3%
Darian Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 10Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 13
OWN 10
+3
7.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 3 yds to the BalSt 13Similar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+8
7.2%
Riley Neal pass intercepted Eilar Hardy return for 8 yds to the BalSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
6.0%
Fred Coppet run for no gain to the BalSt 20Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+6
6.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 6 yds to the BalSt 14Similar
Q2 8:06
3RD & 4
OPP 14
-2
6.2%
Fred Coppet run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 16Similar
Q2 8:06
4TH & 6
OPP 16
0
6.6%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Ryan Burbrink, broken up by Dedrick CromartieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12INT
10 plays · 45 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
7.5%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Chris ShillingsSimilar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+13
7.4%
James Gilbert run for 13 yds to the BalSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
7.6%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+11
7.6%
James Gilbert run for 11 yds to the BalSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
8.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jordan Williams for 5 yds to the BalSt 47Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+4
8.1%
James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+3
8.2%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
8.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jordan Williams for 4 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+3
8.2%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+39
8.2%
Riley Neal pass intercepted Alfonso Mack return for 39 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:4195% → 97%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
4.8%
Fred Coppet run for 1 yd to the BalSt 26Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+12
4.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 12 yds to the BalSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
4.8%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 10 yds to the BalSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
4.8%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Roger Lewis, broken up by Darius ConawaySimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
3.3%
Matt Johnson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
3.8%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Darian GreenSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
3.6%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
3.6%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Corey LacanariaSimilar
Q2 0:27
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
3.5%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 25 yds, downed at the BwGrn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
3.0%
Darian Green run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+8
3.0%
James Gilbert run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
3.1%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to KeVonn MabonSimilar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+8
3.0%
Teddy Williamson run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 2
OPP 29
0
3.0%
Teddy Williamson run for no gain to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q3 14:49
4TH & 2
OPP 29
0
3.0%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Chris ShillingsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 1:1698% → 99%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
2.5%
Fred Coppet run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+62
2.5%
Fred Coppet run for 62 yds to the BalSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
2.0%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the BalSt 1Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
1.7%
James Gilbert run for no gain to the BalSt 33Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+6
1.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jordan Williams for 6 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+3
1.7%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q3 11:02
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
1.8%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ryan Burbrink at the BwGrn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
1.2%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 11 yds to the BwGrn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
1.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 6 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
1.1%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Roger Lewis, broken up by Tyree HolderSimilar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
1.2%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Roger Lewis, broken up by Zack RyanSimilar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
1.3%
Joseph Davidson punt for 39 yds, downed at the BalSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19TD
12 plays · 69 yds · 3:521% → 3%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
1.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 14 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
1.5%
Teddy Williamson run for 4 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
1.5%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+10
1.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to Dylan Curry for 10 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
1.6%
Teddy Williamson run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+3
1.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Dylan Curry for 3 yds Dylan Curry fumbled, recovered by BalSt Dylan CurrySimilar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+11
1.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 11 yds to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
1.7%
Teddy Williamson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+14
1.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 4 yds to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, face mask (10 yards) (Izaah Lunsford) to the BwGrn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
1.8%
Teddy Williamson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+5
1.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jordan Williams for 5 yds to the BwGrn 7Similar
Q3 4:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
2.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Chris Shillings for 7 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20PUNT
12 plays · 21 yds · 3:0599% → 99%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
1.3%
Travis Greene run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+4
1.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 4 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+2
1.2%
Travis Greene run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-9
1.3%
Matt Johnson sacked by Michael Ayers for a loss of 9 yards to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 19
OWN 28
+20
1.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Travis Greene for 20 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
1.2%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 6 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 4
OPP 46
0
1.2%
Gehrig Dieter pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 4
OPP 46
-1
1.3%
Matt Johnson sacked by Anthony Winbush for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 47Similar
Q3 1:00
4TH & 5
OPP 47
-5
0.9%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, delay of game (Matt Johnson) to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q3 1:00
4TH & 10
OWN 48
+19
0.9%
Joseph Davidson punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 39 , Corey Lacanaria returns for 19 yds to the BALLST 33 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive holding (Izaah Lunsford) to the BalSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21FG
13 plays · 46 yds · 6:252% → 2%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
2.2%
James Gilbert run for 7 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+3
2.0%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
2.5%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
50
+2
2.4%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+4
2.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 4 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 44
+12
2.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jordan Williams for 12 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
2.8%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
2.6%
Riley Neal run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+7
2.5%
Teddy Williamson run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
2.8%
Teddy Williamson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+2
2.7%
Teddy Williamson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+3
2.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 3 yds to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q4 9:25
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+32
1.9%
Morgan Hagee 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 3:0499% → 100%
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+24
0.9%
Fred Coppet run for 24 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
0.8%
Travis Greene run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+9
0.8%
Travis Greene run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+9
0.8%
Travis Greene run for 9 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
0.8%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Travis Greene) to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+16
0.8%
Travis Greene run for 16 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
0.8%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 4 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+2
0.7%
Travis Greene run for 2 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+24
0.7%
Travis Greene run for 24 yds to the BalSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
0.1%
Travis Greene run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
0.1%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-1
0.1%
James Gilbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 32Similar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+3
0.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Chris Shillings for 3 yds to the BalSt 35Similar
Q4 6:11
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
0.1%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ryan Burbrink at the BwGrn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:14100% → 100%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
0.2%
James Knapke pass complete to Scott Miller for 1 yd to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+10
0.2%
Matt Domer run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
0.2%
James Knapke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
0.2%
James Knapke pass complete to Scott Miller for 2 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
0.2%
Matt Domer run for no gain to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q4 3:21
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
0.2%
Joseph Davidson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Corey Lacanaria at the BalSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
0.1%
Teddy Williamson run for 1 yd to the BalSt 28Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 9
OWN 28
-1
0.1%
Riley Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 27Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+8
0.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Chris Shillings for 8 yds to the BalSt 35Similar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
0.1%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 60 yds, downed at the BwGrn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 26TD
1 play · 95 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+95
0.2%
Matt Domer run for 95 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) BALL ST Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
0.1%
Teddy Williamson run for 2 yds to the BalSt 15Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+2
0.0%
Teddy Williamson run for 2 yds to the BalSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:39
Travis Greene run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)
-4.2
TD · Q2 0:36
Matt Johnson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)
-1.5
TD · Q1 1:37
Fred Coppet run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)
-1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com