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M-OH

Miami (OH) 20 at Massachusetts 13

MASS
2015 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2015 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:47 · Logan Laurent punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 48Pregame prior+20.1Home team on offense+0.8Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:53: Alonzo Smith run for 18 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK) — M-OH win probability +14.6 pts (now 48%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:38: Marquis Young run for 28 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK) — MASS win probability +14.6 pts (now 73%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 11:05: Kaleb Patterson 28 yd FG GOOD — M-OH win probability +10.0 pts (now 45%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:32: Billy Bahl pass complete to Chris Hudson for 14 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK) — M-OH win probability +29.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:57: Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 28 — M-OH win probability +10.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 9 of 11M-OH made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00MASS 4th & 3 at M-OH 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    73.5%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:48M-OH 4th & 14 at M-OH 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:17MASS 4th & 2 at M-OH 2, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.1%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    71.1%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:17M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:13MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:17M-OH 4th & 6 at M-OH 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:13MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00M-OH 4th & 5 at MASS 38, down 3
    Close callPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    28.7%−0.4
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 14:47MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 12:50M-OH 4th & 27 at M-OH 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−1.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:36MASS 4th & 7 at M-OH 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    68.0%−3.3
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:22M-OH 4th & 8 at MASS 31, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    24.8%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q2 3:22MASS 4th & 4 at M-OH 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    69.8%−1.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    70.3%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:22M-OH 4th & 5 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:53MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%−1.9
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  16. Q3 9:13M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 42, up 4
    Close callPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%−1.0
    average punt
  17. Q3 7:30MASS 4th & 17 at MASS 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−3.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:05M-OH 4th & 9 at MASS 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−3.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    19.3%−13.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:05MASS 4th & 13 at MASS 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−6.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:46MASS 4th & 3 at M-OH 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    23.3%−1.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−12.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:32M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−1.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1M-OH made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q3 10:53M-OH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 1:38MASS Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:32M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
76.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 13 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
76.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 14 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
76.4%
Blake Frohnapfel run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+2
76.4%
Jamal Wilson run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 42
0
76.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
76.4%
Blake Lucas punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
75.9%
Maurice Thomas run for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 7Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 15
OWN 7
-1
76.0%
Spencer McInnis run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 6Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 16
OWN 6
+2
76.0%
Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 8 MIAMI OH Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 14
OWN 8
0
76.1%
Christian Koch punt for 53 yds, downed at the UMass 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:3476% → 75%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
75.6%
Jamal Wilson run for 5 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+10
75.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 10 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-6
75.9%
Blake Frohnapfel sacked by Ikeem Allen and JT Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 48Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 16
OWN 48
+17
75.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Rodney Mills for 17 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
76.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 3 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+27
76.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 27 yds to the MiaOh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
76.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae Sharpe, broken up by Tony ReidSimilar
Q1 10:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
76.0%
Jamal Wilson run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 2Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
75.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Rodney MillsSimilar
Q1 7:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
75.4%
Mike Caggiano 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
75.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Spencer McInnis for 7 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
75.0%
Kenny Young run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
75.2%
Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
75.0%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Chris Hudson, broken up by Trey Dudley-GilesSimilar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
75.2%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:17
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
75.6%
Christian Koch punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
74.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Rodney MillsSimilar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+6
74.7%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
74.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q1 5:13
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
74.4%
Blake Lucas punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
74.5%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+9
74.8%
Maurice Thomas run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 2
OWN 46
-4
74.2%
Maurice Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q1 4:17
4TH & 6
OWN 42
+2
75.0%
Christian Koch punt for 49 yds , Trey Dudley-Giles returns for 2 yds to the UMass 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
74.0%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 5
OWN 16
-1
74.0%
Marken Michel run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 15Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 6
OWN 15
0
73.5%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Jamal WilsonSimilar
Q1 2:13
4TH & 6
OWN 15
+16
73.2%
Blake Lucas punt for 44 yds , Jared Murphy returns for 16 yds to the UMass 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3827% → 27%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
72.7%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
72.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 38
0
72.8%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 38
0
73.3%
Christian Koch punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-8
73.5%
Blake Frohnapfel sacked by Bryson Albright for a loss of 8 yards to the UMass 12Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 18
OWN 12
+14
73.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Rodney Mills for 14 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-2
73.2%
Blake Frohnapfel sacked by JT Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 24Similar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
72.6%
Logan Laurent punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -17 yds · 0:0027% → 25%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
73.3%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-5
73.5%
Maurice Thomas run for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 15
OWN 24
-5
74.1%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 20
OWN 19
-7
74.2%
Billy Bahl sacked by Sha-Ki Holines and Kassan Messiah for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 27
OWN 12
+20
74.6%
Christian Koch punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 42 , Trey Dudley-Giles returns for 20 yds to the MiaOh 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11FG
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:0674% → 77%
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
74.4%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+5
74.4%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
74.7%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+1
74.7%
Jamal Wilson run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+2
74.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jamal Wilson for 2 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q2 10:42
4TH & 2
OPP 23
-5
73.2%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+45
77.1%
Logan Laurent 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12FG
13 plays · 44 yds · 4:1425% → 29%
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
75.4%
Billy Bahl run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 28 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (Sha-Ki Holines) to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
74.4%
Maurice Thomas run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 47 Maurice Thomas fumbled, forced by Shane Huber, recovered by MiaOh Sam McCollumSimilar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 6
OWN 47
-2
73.7%
Kenny Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+12
74.9%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Chris Hudson for 12 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
73.5%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
73.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
73.8%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the UMass 39Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+6
73.8%
Billy Bahl run for 6 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
72.7%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Chris HudsonSimilar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
72.8%
Spencer McInnis run for 2 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
73.7%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:22
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+48
71.3%
Kaleb Patterson 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0072% → 73%
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
72.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Elgin Long for 6 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
73.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Jamal WilsonSimilar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+8
73.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 8 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
74.0%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 49Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
73.5%
Blake Frohnapfel run for no gain to the UMass 49Similar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+6
72.2%
Blake Frohnapfel run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q2 3:22
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
72.5%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Jamal Wilson, broken up by Brad KoenigSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:2531% → 30%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
69.0%
Billy Bahl sacked by Jovan Santos-Knox for a loss of 10 yards to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 20
OWN 35
+4
72.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 16
OWN 39
+11
71.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 11 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 5
50
0
69.9%
Christian Koch punt for 46 yds, downed at the UMass 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
70.9%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 4:0729% → 48%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
71.0%
Kenny Young run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
70.8%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 13 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
69.2%
Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+16
69.0%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 16 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
68.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 8 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+6
67.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the UMass 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
67.1%
Spencer McInnis run for 9 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+18
52.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 18 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0058% → 56%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
58.0%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 18Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
57.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae Sharpe, broken up by Bryson AlbrightSimilar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 9
OWN 18
-5
56.4%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Tajae Sharpe) to the UMass 13Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 14
OWN 13
+8
56.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Andy Isabella for 8 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q3 10:53
4TH & 6
OWN 21
0
56.0%
Logan Laurent punt for 45 yds, downed at the MiaOh 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
55.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 2
OWN 42
0
53.5%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 2
OWN 42
0
53.9%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Jared Murphy, broken up by Zeke EdmondsSimilar
Q3 9:13
4TH & 2
OWN 42
+6
55.8%
Christian Koch punt for 50 yds , Trey Dudley-Giles returns for 6 yds to the UMass 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0055% → 53%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
54.5%
Frohnapfel, B. pass incomplete to Sharpe, T., PENALTY MIAMI roughing passer (ALBRIGHT, B.) 15 yards to the UMASS29, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
55.2%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+4
55.3%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Rodney Mills for 4 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+12
54.5%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 12 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-7
58.5%
Blake Frohnapfel sacked by Zach Smierciak for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 40Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 17
OWN 40
0
55.2%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Jamal Wilson, broken up by JT JonesSimilar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 17
OWN 40
0
53.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q3 7:30
4TH & 17
OWN 40
+1
52.6%
Logan Laurent punt for 50 yds , Jared Murphy returns for 1 yd to the MiaOh 41 MIAMI OH Penalty, illegal block (Daryus Thompson) to the MiaOh 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20FUMBLE
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:0049% → 50%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
51.4%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+4
51.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 13Similar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 3
OWN 13
+5
52.4%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
50.7%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 12 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
50.2%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 36 Kenny Young fumbled, forced by Trey Dudley-Giles, recovered by UMass Peter AngehSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21TD
4 plays · 36 yds · 3:1457% → 73%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
56.6%
MIAMI OH Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
56.6%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+6
58.7%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+28
73.3%
Marquis Young run for 28 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22FG
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:3330% → 45%
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
70.0%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
70.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+24
71.3%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Ryan Smith for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+3
64.9%
Billy Bahl run for 3 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+23
65.0%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 23 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
63.0%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
63.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+8
64.8%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Nate Becker for 8 yds to the UMass 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
63.0%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the UMass 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
63.0%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to James Gardner, broken up by Trey Dudley-GilesSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+1
65.4%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the UMass 12Similar
Q4 11:05
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+28
55.4%
Kaleb Patterson 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0061% → 58%
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
61.3%
Blake Frohnapfel sacked by Bryson Albright for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 17Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 13
OWN 17
0
60.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Marken Michel, broken up by Allan KoikoiSimilar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 13
OWN 17
0
58.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Elgin Long, broken up by Brad KoenigSimilar
Q4 11:05
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
57.7%
Logan Laurent punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 24TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 2:4348% → 80%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
52.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 14 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
51.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+18
51.1%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 18 yds to the UMass 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
49.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+2
49.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the UMass 14Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+14
19.6%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Chris Hudson for 14 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25INT
12 plays · 66 yds · 2:4628% → 25%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
28.2%
Blake Frohnapfel run for 5 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 5
OWN 22
0
28.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete, broken up by Ikeem AllenSimilar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+26
26.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Dan Jonah for 26 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
32.5%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jamal Wilson for 5 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+11
34.2%
Marquis Young run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
34.2%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 12 yds to the MiaOh 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
36.3%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
36.1%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+7
26.2%
Blake Frohnapfel run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q4 4:46
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+11
25.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass intercepted Bryson Albright return for 11 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 26PUNT
11 plays · 12 yds · 3:2586% → 94%
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
14.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 4
OWN 28
0
12.6%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 4
OWN 28
-5
13.0%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Mitch Palmer) to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+9
14.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
12.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
12.1%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+1
13.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q4 0:32
4TH & 8
OWN 34
+47
6.1%
Christian Koch punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Trey Dudley-Giles at the UMASS 19 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · -14 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
8.5%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-6
8.3%
Blake Frohnapfel sacked by JT Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 5 Blake Frohnapfel fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:26
3RD & 24
OWN 5
+3
7.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Rodney Mills for 3 yds to the UMass 5 lat. to Jamal Wilson for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 5 lat. to Blake Frohnapfel for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 5 lat. to Blake Frohnapfel for no gain to the UMass 5 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, illegal forward pass (Blake Frohnapfel) to the UMass 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:32
Billy Bahl pass complete to Chris Hudson for 14 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)
-29.5
TD · Q3 10:53
Alonzo Smith run for 18 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)
-14.6
TD · Q3 1:38
Marquis Young run for 28 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)
+14.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com