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AKR

Akron 37 at Miami (OH) 28

M-OH
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2015 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:58 · Christian Koch punt for 42 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the Akron 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 134Home team on offense−26.5Pregame prior−6.0Score differential−13.0Garbage-time factor−5.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:05: Cody Grice run for 2 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK) — AKR win probability +8.4 pts (now 77%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:21: Conor Hundley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein PAT MISSED) — AKR win probability +9.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:47: Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 78 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK) — M-OH win probability +9.5 pts (now 17%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:23: Billy Bahl pass complete to Ryan Smith for 6 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK) — M-OH win probability +11.1 pts (now 16%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:37: Thomas Woodson pass intercepted for a TD Marshall Taylor return for 31 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK) — M-OH win probability +17.6 pts (now 25%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 7 of 9AKR made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00AKR 4th & 7 at AKR 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 14:16M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:33AKR 4th & 6 at M-OH 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    61.9%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    61.8%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:33M-OH 4th & 9 at M-OH 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:22AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00M-OH 4th & 18 at M-OH 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−1.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:27AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:24M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:34AKR 4th & 12 at AKR 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:47M-OH 4th & 3 at AKR 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    34.2%−1.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    33.4%−2.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:47AKR 4th & 10 at M-OH 49, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:26AKR 4th & 1 at M-OH 21, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    89.3%−1.9
    74% to make
    Punt
    83.5%−7.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:58M-OH 4th & 6 at M-OH 38, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00M-OH 4th & 1 at AKR 3, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.2%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%−2.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    -2.4%−9.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:12AKR 4th & 4 at AKR 10, up 20
    Close callPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:37AKR 4th & 4 at AKR 27, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:56M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 30, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%−3.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:45AKR 4th & 15 at M-OH 33, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    83.1%−2.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:06M-OH 4th & 22 at AKR 35, down 9
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%−1.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    7.6%
    45% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 8:33AKR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:36M-OH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:32AKR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:05AKR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:21AKR Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    83.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:05AKR Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:47M-OH Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:23M-OH Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.8%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:37M-OH Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.3%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
35.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 3 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
35.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Andrew PrattSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
35.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Imani Davis, broken up by Brison BurrisSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
35.3%
Zach Paul punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
35.7%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Ryan Smith for 5 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
35.7%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 5
OWN 45
-2
35.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q1 14:16
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
35.6%
Christian Koch punt for 33 yds, downed at the Akron 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 4:0664% → 65%
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
36.3%
Conor Hundley run for no gain to the Akron 24Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+27
36.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 27 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
36.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 9 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+4
36.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 4 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-23
36.0%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-23 Yards) to the Akron 41Similar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 33
OWN 41
0
36.2%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Andrew PrattSimilar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 33
OWN 41
+19
36.2%
Conor Hundley run for 19 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 14
OPP 40
+5
36.2%
MIAMI OH Penalty, offside defense (Kent Kern) to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+3
36.0%
Thomas Woodson run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+32
35.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 32 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
35.4%
RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete, PENALTY AKRON pass interference (SCOTT, DeAndre) 15 yards to the MIAMI39, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
35.7%
Gus Ragland run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
35.7%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
35.4%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
35.2%
Christian Koch punt, downed at the Akron 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
35.2%
Conor Hundley run for 3 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+2
35.1%
Thomas Woodson run for 2 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
35.2%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 5
OWN 29
+10
35.6%
Zach Paul punt for 49 yds , Jared Murphy returns for 10 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 3:1436% → 42%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
35.6%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 9 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+3
36.3%
Kenny Young run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
36.2%
Alvonta Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+18
35.9%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 18 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
36.5%
Alvonta Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+7
36.5%
Gus Ragland run for 7 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+5
36.5%
Gus Ragland run for 5 yds to the Akron 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
36.9%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-5
36.9%
BAHL, Billy pass incomplete to BECKER, Nate (CHEEK, Bryce), QB hurry by EVANS, Dylan, PENALTY MIAMI ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the AKRON31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 15
OPP 31
0
36.4%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem Williams, broken up by Zach GuiserSimilar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 15
OPP 31
+15
35.9%
BAHL, Billy pass incomplete to HUDSON, Chris, PENALTY AKRON pass interference (CHEEK, Bryce) 15 yards to the AKRON16, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
41.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Chris Hudson for 16 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 2:0361% → 67%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+34
39.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Andrew Pratt for 34 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
50
+14
38.1%
Conor Hundley run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+22
38.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 22 yds to the MiaOh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
37.7%
Conor Hundley run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
33.4%
Conor Hundley run for 9 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:3235% → 34%
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
35.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Ryan Smith for 11 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
35.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
35.3%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 31
-9
34.7%
Billy Bahl sacked by Jamal Marcus and Jatavis Brown for a loss of 9 yards to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 22
0
34.3%
Christian Koch punt for 49 yds , A.J. Coney returns for no gain to the Akron 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
34.5%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+4
34.7%
Donnell Alexander run for 4 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
34.6%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:27
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
35.3%
Zach Paul punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
35.1%
Gus Ragland run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
35.3%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Ryan Smith, broken up by Jordan GeorgeSimilar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
34.5%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q2 12:24
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
34.1%
Christian Koch punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0067% → 65%
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
50
0
33.2%
Conor Hundley run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 10
50
-9
33.2%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Ikeem Allen for a loss of 9 yards to the Akron 41Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 19
OWN 41
+7
34.7%
Conor Hundley run for 7 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q2 11:34
4TH & 12
OWN 48
0
35.2%
Zach Paul punt, downed at the MiaOh 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:3835% → 34%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+22
35.2%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 22 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-3
37.0%
Jared Murphy run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 44Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 13
OPP 44
+10
35.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 10 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 3
OPP 34
0
35.5%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 3
OPP 34
0
34.3%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:3468% → 77%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
32.4%
Thomas Woodson run for 21 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
31.2%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+40
31.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 40 yds to the MiaOh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
30.8%
Thomas Woodson run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
30.8%
Conor Hundley run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q2 7:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
31.3%
WOODSON, T. pass incomplete to WOLF, Austin, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (KOIKOI, Allan) 3 yards to the MIAMI2, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
22.9%
Cody Grice run for 2 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
23.9%
Gus Ragland run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+11
23.8%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 11 yds to the MiaOh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
24.1%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-4
24.1%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 16 Alonzo Smith fumbled, forced by Jatavis Brown, recovered by Akron Jamal MarcusSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15TD
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:3778% → 87%
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+12
22.1%
Thomas Woodson run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
13.1%
Conor Hundley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16FUMBLE
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0017% → 18%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
16.7%
MIAMI OH Penalty, KS (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 15
OWN 29
-14
16.5%
BAHL, Billy pass complete to MARTIN, Sam for 3 yards to the MIAMI32 (SCOTT, DeAndre), PENALTY MIAMI personal foul (HOVEY, Zach) 14 yards to the MIAMI15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 29
OWN 15
+41
16.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 41 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
18.2%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 10 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
18.5%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Spencer McInnisSimilar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
18.4%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Chris HudsonSimilar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+4
18.0%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 4 yds Sam Martin fumbled, forced by DeAndre Scott, recovered by Akron Zach GuiserSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17MISSED FG
11 plays · 33 yds · 2:1686% → 89%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
14.2%
Donnell Alexander run for 9 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+17
13.6%
Thomas Woodson run for 17 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
13.5%
WOODSON, T. pass incomplete, PENALTY AKRON holding (WILLIAMS, I.) 10 yards to the AKRON49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 20
OWN 49
+9
13.7%
Thomas Woodson run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
14.9%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Jerome Lane, broken up by Bert BirdsallSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+14
15.3%
Donnell Alexander run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
14.1%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Imani DavisSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
13.0%
Donnell Alexander run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+42
10.6%
Robert Stein 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
15.6%
Billy Bahl pass intercepted Jatavis Brown return for no gain to the MiaOh 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19TD
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:3387% → 93%
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
12.9%
Thomas Woodson run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
7.4%
Conor Hundley run for 9 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20TD
2 plays · 78 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+78
16.6%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 78 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 41 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+17
14.3%
Conor Hundley run for 17 yds to the Akron 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
14.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 10 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
13.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 14 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
13.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Imani DavisSimilar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
13.3%
Thomas Woodson run for no gain to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
13.8%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:47
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
14.6%
Zach Paul punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
12.2%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 10Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+1
12.1%
Billy Bahl pass intercepted DeAndre Scott return for 1 yd to the MiaOh 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
8.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+2
8.4%
Conor Hundley run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+5
8.5%
MIAMI OH Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+2
8.3%
Thomas Woodson run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 1
OPP 21
0
9.0%
Kyle Foster run for no gain to the MiaOh 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0011% → 12%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
11.3%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Spencer McInnis, broken up by Jatavis BrownSimilar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+9
11.2%
Gus Ragland run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+4
11.8%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
11.0%
BAHL, Billy pass complete to WILLIAMS, Ro. for 8 yards to the MIAMI42 (EVANS, Dylan), PENALTY MIAMI face mask off-setting, PENALTY AKRON face mask off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
11.6%
Billy Bahl run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
11.8%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Ryan SmithSimilar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+1
11.5%
Billy Bahl run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q3 8:58
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
11.5%
Christian Koch punt for 42 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the Akron 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 25INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
6.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 4 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+8
6.7%
Conor Hundley run for 8 yds to the Akron 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
6.6%
Conor Hundley run for no gain to the Akron 32Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-1
6.8%
Thomas Woodson pass intercepted Brison Burris return for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 26DOWNS
14 plays · 62 yds · 4:026% → 7%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
6.2%
Billy Bahl run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 7
OWN 37
-7
6.2%
Billy Bahl sacked by Jatavis Brown and Jamal Marcus for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaOh 30 MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 14
OWN 30
+19
5.8%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 19 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
6.4%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
6.4%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Chris Hudson for 6 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+10
6.6%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 10 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
7.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Alvonta Jenkins for 9 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+14
7.4%
Gus Ragland run for 14 yds to the Akron 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
5.9%
Gus Ragland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 13
-15
5.4%
RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to HUDSON, Chris, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (HUDSON, Chris) 15 yards to the AKRON28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 26
OPP 28
+22
5.2%
Gus Ragland run for 22 yds to the Akron 6Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+3
6.3%
Gus Ragland run for 3 yds to the Akron 3Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 3
-1
7.1%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 4 MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
2.7%
Conor Hundley run for 1 yd to the Akron 5Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+2
2.8%
Conor Hundley run for 2 yds to the Akron 7Similar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 7
OWN 7
+3
2.8%
Donnell Alexander run for 3 yds to the Akron 10Similar
Q4 13:12
4TH & 4
OWN 10
0
2.8%
Zach Paul punt blocked by Tony Reid blocked by Tony ReidSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 28TD
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:415% → 16%
Q4 11:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
4.9%
Gus Ragland run for no gain to the Akron 1Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
5.1%
Gus Ragland run for no gain to the Akron 1Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
5.0%
RAGLAND, Gus rush over right end for no gain to the AKRON1 (BROWN, Jatavis;MONROE, Darryl), PENALTY MIAMI illegal formation 5 yards to the AKRON6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
16.1%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Ryan Smith for 6 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 29INT TD
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:4292% → 75%
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
7.6%
Conor Hundley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 19Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+31
25.2%
Thomas Woodson pass intercepted for a TD Marshall Taylor return for 31 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
24.8%
Thomas Woodson run for no gain to the Akron 21Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+6
25.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 6 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
24.2%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Imani DavisSimilar
Q4 8:37
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
26.2%
Zach Paul punt for 51 yds , Jared Murphy returns for no gain to the MiaOh 22 Jared Murphy fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Jared MurphySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 31PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
28.1%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 5 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
28.8%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+3
27.7%
Billy Bahl run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q4 6:56
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
26.5%
Christian Koch punt for 33 yds, downed at the Akron 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 32FG
15 plays · 30 yds · 3:1382% → 94%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
18.4%
Thomas Woodson run for 4 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
17.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+16
18.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 16 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
16.1%
Conor Hundley run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+8
16.0%
Conor Hundley run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
15.4%
AKRON Penalty, false start (Christian Allen) to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+1
15.7%
Thomas Woodson run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 14
OPP 32
+1
11.3%
Thomas Woodson run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 13
OPP 31
-2
11.4%
Conor Hundley run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 15
OPP 33
+50
6.1%
Robert Stein 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-5
6.2%
STEIN, Robert kickoff 41 yards to the MIAMI24, out-of-bounds, PENALTY AKRON illegal kicking 5 yards to the AKRON30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 33DOWNS
9 plays · 40 yds · 1:395% → 3%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
5.3%
Drew Kummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
5.2%
Drew Kummer run for no gain to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+14
4.8%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
50
+27
5.8%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Chris Hudson for 27 yds to the Akron 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
6.4%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-12
6.1%
Drew Kummer sacked by Jatavis Brown for a loss of 12 yards to the Akron 35Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 22
OPP 35
0
4.3%
Drew Kummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:06
4TH & 22
OPP 35
+11
3.4%
Jared Murphy run for 11 yds to the Akron 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 34END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
3.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 21Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 13
OWN 21
-1
3.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:37
Thomas Woodson pass intercepted for a TD Marshall Taylor return for 31 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)
+17.6
TD · Q4 9:23
Billy Bahl pass complete to Ryan Smith for 6 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)
+11.1
TD · Q3 13:47
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 78 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)
+9.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com