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BGSU

Bowling Green 41 at Western Michigan 27

WMU
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2015 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Fabian Johnson run for 11 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:41: Matt Johnson pass complete to Teo Redding for 42 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +6.1 pts (now 61%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:38: Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 31 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate PAT MISSED) — BGSU win probability +7.3 pts (now 70%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:49: Zach Terrell run for 10 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +16.5 pts (now 55%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:43: Travis Greene run for 26 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +14.3 pts (now 72%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:54: Travis Greene run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +15.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9BGSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 9:29WMU 4th & 11 at BGSU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    39.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:26BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 34, up 4
    Close callPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:41BGSU 4th & 8 at BGSU 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:29WMU 4th & 8 at WMU 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:37WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    39.2%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:40WMU 4th & 13 at WMU 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−2.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:32BGSU 4th & 12 at BGSU 44, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:03WMU 4th & 16 at WMU 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−2.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:42WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:16BGSU 4th & 1 at WMU 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    70.4%−2.5
    86% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−10.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:49WMU 4th & 9 at WMU 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:08BGSU 4th & 12 at BGSU 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−2.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:24WMU 4th & 7 at BGSU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    10.0%−0.7
    32% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:17BGSU 4th & 15 at BGSU 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:33WMU 4th & 4 at BGSU 4, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    7.9%
    93% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−4.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:44BGSU 4th & 11 at BGSU 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:08BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BGSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:13BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:24BGSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:55WMU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:45WMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:41BGSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:38BGSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:49WMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:43BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:54BGSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 1:3960% → 61%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
39.6%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Ryan BurbrinkSimilar
Q1 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+15
39.7%
Travis Greene run for 15 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
39.7%
Travis Greene run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
39.8%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+8
39.8%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
50
+9
39.8%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 9 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 1
OPP 41
0
39.9%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+6
39.9%
Travis Greene run for 6 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
39.9%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+35
39.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 35 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:2839% → 40%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+19
39.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 19 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
39.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 16 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
39.7%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel BravermanSimilar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+13
39.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 13 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
39.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+3
40.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 6
OPP 26
-5
39.8%
Zach Terrell sacked by Terrance Bush for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q1 9:29
4TH & 11
OPP 31
+48
40.4%
Andrew Haldeman 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 1:5160% → 63%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
40.5%
Travis Greene run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+6
40.2%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 6 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
40.2%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 9 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+8
39.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 8 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
39.9%
Matt Johnson run for 5 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+9
39.8%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 9 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
39.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Teo Redding for 6 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+3
39.5%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+24
37.4%
Travis Greene run for 24 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 4:1538% → 43%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
37.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Kendrick Roberts for 11 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
38.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+9
38.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 9 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
38.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
38.5%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+12
38.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
38.8%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Jamauri BoganSimilar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
38.8%
Zach Terrell run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+21
38.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 21 yds to the BwGrn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
37.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the BwGrn 3Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
43.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1859% → 59%
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.9%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
40.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 9 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
40.4%
Matt Johnson run for no gain to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q1 1:26
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
41.1%
Joseph Davidson punt for 49 yds , Daniel Braverman returns for no gain to the WMich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 2:3341% → 48%
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
41.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 9 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+10
42.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 10 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
41.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+36
42.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 36 yds to the BwGrn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
43.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 5 yds to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+13
44.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 6 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Trenton Greene) to the BwGrn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
48.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:5754% → 52%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.1%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
46.4%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Ryan BurbrinkSimilar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
46.9%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+7
47.2%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Travis Greene for 7 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q2 12:41
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
47.8%
Joseph Davidson punt for 52 yds, downed at the WMich 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0746% → 45%
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
46.2%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel BravermanSimilar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
46.1%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 10
OWN 21
-10
45.3%
Terrell, Zach pass complete to Henry, Michael for 14 yards to the WESTMICH35, PENALTY WESTMICH holding (Moton, Taylor) 10 yards to the WESTMICH11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 20
OWN 11
+12
45.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 12 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 8
OWN 23
+2
45.1%
J. Schroeder punt for 49 yds , Ronnie Moore returns for 2 yds to the BwGrn 25 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Illegal Block (Clint Stephens) to the BwGrn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 1:3953% → 61%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
47.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 12 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
46.6%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 5 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+6
45.9%
Travis Greene run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
45.6%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 3 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+4
45.5%
Travis Greene run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 3
50
+8
45.5%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 8 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
45.0%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+42
38.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Teo Redding for 42 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 9 yds · 3:5041% → 39%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
41.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 12 LeVante Bellamy fumbled, forced by Taylor Royster, recovered by WMich LeVante BellamySimilar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+3
41.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 7
OWN 15
+6
39.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Kendrick Roberts for 6 yds to the WMich 21Similar
Q2 7:37
4TH & 1
OWN 21
+3
38.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
40.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
41.1%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 5
OWN 29
-5
40.0%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WMich 24Similar
Q2 6:01
3RD & 10
OWN 24
-3
39.4%
Zach Terrell sacked by Terrance Bush for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 21Similar
Q2 5:40
4TH & 13
OWN 21
0
38.8%
J. Schroeder punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 0:5062% → 70%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
38.0%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 6 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
37.5%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q2 5:09
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+5
38.0%
Matt Johnson run for 5 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
37.5%
Matt Johnson run for 3 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Holding (Asantay Brown) to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
30.2%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 31 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12FUMBLE
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:0632% → 34%
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
32.3%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to LeVante BellamySimilar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+10
32.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 10 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
33.1%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel BravermanSimilar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
32.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 8 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+8
33.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
33.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
34.3%
Zach Terrell run for no gain to the BwGrn 34 Zach Terrell fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Trenton GreeneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:4370% → 68%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
30.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 7 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+5
29.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 5 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
29.2%
Matt Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
29.2%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 10
OWN 46
-2
29.7%
Matt Johnson sacked by Andre Turner for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
31.7%
Joseph Davidson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Daniel Braverman at the WMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:2429% → 28%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
29.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 4 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 6
OWN 27
-5
29.2%
Zach Terrell sacked by Austin Valdez for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 22Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 11
OWN 22
0
28.4%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Fabian JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:10
4TH & 11
OWN 22
-5
28.2%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Eric Assuoa) to the WMich 17Similar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 16
OWN 17
0
28.2%
J. Schroeder punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Clint Stephens at the BwGrn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15INT
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:2271% → 71%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
29.4%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
50
0
28.7%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
50
+11
28.7%
Travis Greene run for 11 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+24
28.8%
Matt Johnson pass intercepted Darius Phillips return for 34 yds to the BwGrn 5 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (Marcus Milton) to the BwGrn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16END OF HALF
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:3033% → 37%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
32.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+12
32.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 12 yds to the BwGrn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
32.1%
Zach Terrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
31.8%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
37.1%
Andrew Haldeman 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:5636% → 55%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
36.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+3
36.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+15
36.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 15 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
37.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+9
36.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 9 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+14
37.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
38.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 10Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+10
55.0%
Zach Terrell run for 10 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 1:5453% → 72%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
46.9%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+20
47.2%
Fred Coppet run for 20 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
44.3%
Fred Coppet run for 14 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
43.5%
Travis Greene run for 4 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
43.2%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Ryan BurbrinkSimilar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+9
44.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 9 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
42.5%
Travis Greene run for 4 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+26
28.1%
Travis Greene run for 26 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4334% → 32%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
33.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 31Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
33.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jamauri Bogan for 6 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+1
33.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the WMich 38Similar
Q3 6:42
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
32.1%
J. Schroeder punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 3:4171% → 88%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
28.7%
Travis Greene run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+12
29.6%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 12 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
27.3%
Travis Greene run for 21 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
26.5%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+9
26.5%
Matt Johnson run for 9 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+2
26.8%
Donovan Wilson run for 2 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
25.6%
Travis Greene run for 1 yd to the WMich 20Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 9
OPP 20
-1
25.5%
Travis Greene run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 21Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+9
25.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 9 yds to the WMich 12Similar
Q3 3:16
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+7
26.8%
Travis Greene run for 7 yds to the WMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
11.8%
Travis Greene run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5716% → 14%
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.6%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
15.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 26Similar
Q3 1:59
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
14.2%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q3 1:49
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
14.1%
J. Schroeder punt for 45 yds, downed at the BwGrn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:3287% → 89%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
12.9%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+15
12.6%
Fred Coppet run for 15 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
11.6%
Fred Coppet run for 8 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 44
-6
10.5%
Matt Johnson sacked by Grant DePalma for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 8
50
-4
11.0%
Matt Johnson sacked by Jarrell McKinney and Cleveland Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 12
OWN 46
0
10.7%
Joseph Davidson punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 45 yds · 3:3714% → 11%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
13.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 24 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
15.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+10
14.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 10 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
15.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for no gain to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
14.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+5
14.2%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Zach Colvin) to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 3
OPP 37
-4
14.7%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q4 10:24
4TH & 7
OPP 41
+6
11.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 6 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:5793% → 93%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
7.4%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
6.8%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Ryan BurbrinkSimilar
Q4 9:28
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
7.0%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Travis GreeneSimilar
Q4 9:28
4TH & 10
OWN 35
-5
7.0%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (James Sanford) to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
7.1%
Joseph Davidson punt for 65 yds, downed at the WMich 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25DOWNS
12 plays · 87 yds · 4:358% → 6%
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+9
7.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for 9 yds to the WMich 14Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 1
OWN 14
+3
7.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+44
7.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 44 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-4
8.5%
Zach Terrell sacked by Izaah Lunsford for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 14
OPP 43
+16
7.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 16 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
8.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+4
7.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
7.7%
Zach Terrell run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
7.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the BwGrn 4Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
6.8%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Jamauri BoganSimilar
Q4 4:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
6.5%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q4 4:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
6.2%
Zach Terrell sacked by Zach Colvin for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 1:4395% → 97%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
4.6%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+13
4.4%
Travis Greene run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
3.5%
Travis Greene run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+2
3.3%
Travis Greene run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 6
OWN 28
-5
2.9%
Matt Johnson run for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q4 2:44
4TH & 11
OWN 23
0
2.8%
Joseph Davidson punt for 38 yds, downed at the WMich 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 27INT
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:101% → 2%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
1.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 13 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
1.5%
Zach Terrell pass intercepted Alfonso Mack return for 2 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:0898% → 99%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
2.4%
Travis Greene run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+3
1.9%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 5
OWN 49
-5
1.8%
Matt Johnson run for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q4 0:08
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
1.5%
Joseph Davidson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Daniel Braverman at the WMich 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · 11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
1.1%
Fabian Johnson run for 11 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:49
Zach Terrell run for 10 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
+16.5
TD · Q3 2:54
Travis Greene run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)
-15
TD · Q3 8:43
Travis Greene run for 26 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)
-14.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com