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KENT

Kent State 0 at Ohio 27

OHIO
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2015 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:21 · Anthony Melchiori punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Langston Provitt at the Ohio 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 156Home team on offense+36.0Pregame prior+2.0Score differential+32.1Garbage-time factor+9.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.9Blowout margin+16.5
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 3:39: A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 46 — OHIO win probability +2.2 pts (now 78%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:57: Derrius Vick run for 4 yds to the KntSt 7 — OHIO win probability +3.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:20: Derrius Vick run for 7 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +9.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 0:50: Josiah Yazdani 35 yd FG GOOD — OHIO win probability +3.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:35: JD Sprague pass complete to Jordan Reid for 41 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 8KENT made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 9:25KENT 4th & 11 at OHIO 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    29.7%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:30OHIO 4th & 14 at OHIO 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:10KENT 4th & 11 at OHIO 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:56OHIO 4th & 13 at KENT 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    68.4%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:00KENT 4th & 2 at KENT 35, down 10
    Close callPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:55OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 12, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:32KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:16OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 27, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:25KENT 4th & 3 at KENT 44, down 10
    Close callPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:22OHIO 4th & 2 at KENT 11, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.9%−<0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    72.9%−5.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:10KENT 4th & 9 at KENT 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:39OHIO 4th & 3 at OHIO 20, up 10
    Close callPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:52KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:58OHIO 4th & 2 at OHIO 46, up 10
    Close callPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.5%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:23KENT 4th & 3 at KENT 15, down 17
    Close callPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:07KENT 4th & 4 at OHIO 31, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:38OHIO 4th & 6 at KENT 30, up 20
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.4%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:36KENT 4th & 4 at OHIO 28, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−1.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:21KENT 4th & 3 at KENT 26, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 13:46OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:20OHIO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 6:35OHIO Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 1:0172% → 72%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
71.7%
Derrius Vick run for 3 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+10
71.6%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 10 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
72.0%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 49 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 42 yds · 4:0928% → 28%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
71.9%
Raekwon James run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 20Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+20
72.0%
Raekwon James run for 20 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
71.9%
Raekwon James run for 2 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+10
71.9%
George Bollas pass complete to Johnny Woods for 10 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
71.8%
George Bollas run for 4 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+1
71.8%
Antwan Dixon run for 1 yd to the Ohio 43Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+7
71.9%
George Bollas pass complete to Johnny Woods for 7 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
71.8%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Antwan DixonSimilar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-1
71.8%
George Bollas pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 37Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 11
OPP 37
0
72.2%
George Bollas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:25
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
72.5%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:4273% → 72%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-14
72.6%
Derrius Vick sacked by Elcee Refuge for a loss of 14 yards to the Ohio 6Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 24
OWN 6
+3
72.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Ohio 9Similar
Q1 8:04
3RD & 21
OWN 9
+7
72.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 7 yds to the Ohio 16Similar
Q1 7:30
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
72.2%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:1528% → 27%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
72.2%
Trayion Durham run for 7 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+3
71.9%
Trayion Durham run for 3 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
72.0%
George Bollas pass complete to Raekwon James for 2 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-3
72.0%
Raekwon James run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 47Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 11
OPP 47
0
72.6%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Ernest Calhoun, broken up by Brett LaytonSimilar
Q1 5:10
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
73.1%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Daz'mond Patterson at the Ohio 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 5:0673% → 73%
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+17
73.0%
Derrius Vick run for 17 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
73.2%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 6 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+20
73.8%
Derrius Vick run for 20 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
74.1%
Derrius Vick run for 1 yd to the KntSt 41Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+2
74.2%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Keith Heitzman for 2 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+10
73.8%
Derrius Vick run for 10 yds to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
74.2%
JD Sprague run for 2 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+9
74.3%
Derrius Vick run for 9 yds to the KntSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
74.4%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 8 yds to the KntSt 10Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+1
74.4%
Derrius Vick run for 1 yd to the KntSt 9Similar
Q1 0:06
3RD & 1
OPP 9
-12
74.2%
Derrius Vick sacked by Elcee Refuge for a loss of 12 yards to the KntSt 21Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 13
OPP 21
+38
73.7%
Josiah Yazdani 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 13
OWN 35
+15
73.3%
KENT ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4426% → 25%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
74.2%
George Bollas run for no gain to the KntSt 27Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+9
74.5%
George Bollas run for 9 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 1
OWN 36
-1
74.2%
Raekwon James run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 35Similar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 2
OWN 35
+56
75.1%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Daz'mond Patterson at the OHIO 18 OHIO Penalty, Illegal Block (Dorian Brown) to the Ohio 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:5974% → 74%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
74.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Ohio 14Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 5
OWN 14
-7
74.6%
Vick, Derrius rush for 3 yards to the OHIO17, PENALTY OHIO personal foul 7 yards to the OHIO7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 12
OWN 7
-4
74.5%
OHIO Penalty, False Start (Keith Heitzman) to the Ohio 3Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 16
OWN 3
+9
74.5%
Derrius Vick run for 9 yds to the Ohio 12Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 7
OWN 12
0
74.4%
Derrius Vick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:55
4TH & 7
OWN 12
0
73.9%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Zaquon Tyson at the KntSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1626% → 24%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
74.1%
George Bollas run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 8
50
-1
73.9%
George Bollas pass complete to P.J. Simmons for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 49Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
75.0%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q2 9:32
4TH & 7
OWN 49
+5
75.7%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 30 yds , Daz'mond Patterson returns for 5 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0775% → 74%
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
75.4%
Derrius Vick sacked by Nate Terhune for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 23Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+4
75.2%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 9
OWN 27
0
74.8%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q2 8:16
4TH & 9
OWN 27
+5
74.2%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 41 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for 5 yds to the KntSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4525% → 24%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
75.5%
James, Raekwon rush for 5 yards to the KENTST42, PENALTY KENTST illegal formation 5 yards to the KENTST32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+4
76.2%
George Bollas pass complete to Johnny Woods for 4 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
76.1%
Raekwon James run for no gain to the KntSt 36Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+8
76.9%
George Bollas run for 8 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q2 6:25
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
76.4%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11MISSED FG
19 plays · 69 yds · 5:5477% → 78%
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
76.5%
Derrius Vick run for 3 yds to the Ohio 23Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+9
76.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 9 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
77.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-2
77.6%
Derrius Vick run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 34Similar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-5
76.6%
OHIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 29Similar
Q2 4:03
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+13
76.2%
Derrius Vick run for 13 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
78.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+11
79.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 11 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
79.7%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 8 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+4
80.0%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
80.2%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Kawmae Sawyer, broken up by Najee MurraySimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
80.2%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 6 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+6
79.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 6 yds to the KntSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
80.1%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 4 yds to the KntSt 15Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+4
80.2%
Derrius Vick run for 4 yds to the KntSt 11Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 2
OPP 11
0
79.0%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Brendan Cope, broken up by Demetrius MondaySimilar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+28
78.2%
Josiah Yazdani 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
77.4%
Raekwon James run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4422% → 21%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
77.6%
George Bollas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
78.0%
Raekwon James run for 1 yd to the KntSt 36Similar
Q3 14:22
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
78.6%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Antwan DixonSimilar
Q3 14:10
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+2
79.3%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 53 yds , Daz'mond Patterson returns for 2 yds to the Ohio 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2479% → 79%
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
79.3%
Derrius Vick pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:53
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+6
79.2%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Daz'mond Patterson for 6 yds to the Ohio 19Similar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+1
78.8%
Derrius Vick run for 1 yd to the Ohio 20Similar
Q3 12:39
4TH & 3
OWN 20
+3
78.7%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 55 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for 3 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4020% → 19%
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
79.6%
George Bollas pass complete to Raekwon James for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 25Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+6
80.4%
George Bollas pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 6 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+3
80.5%
George Bollas run for 3 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q3 10:52
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
81.0%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 47 yds, downed at the Ohio 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:4281% → 81%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
80.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 9 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+10
81.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 10 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
82.2%
Derrius Vick run for 2 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+5
82.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+1
81.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 1 yd to the Ohio 46Similar
Q3 7:58
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
81.2%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:4719% → 19%
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
81.3%
Trayion Durham run for 5 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
81.2%
George Bollas pass complete to Kris White for 6 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
81.2%
George Bollas pass intercepted Jovon Johnson return for 10 yds to the KntSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18TD
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:3784% → 93%
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
84.2%
Derrius Vick run for 4 yds to the KntSt 7Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
93.3%
Derrius Vick run for 7 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:458% → 7%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
92.2%
Durham, Trayion rush for 14 yards to the KENTST22, PENALTY KENTST holding (Scott, Wayne) 4 yards to the KENTST4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 14
OWN 4
+5
92.2%
Trayion Durham run for 5 yds to the KntSt 9Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+6
92.5%
Trayion Durham run for 6 yds to the KntSt 15Similar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 3
OWN 15
0
92.9%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Charles ChandlerSimilar
Q3 4:23
4TH & 3
OWN 15
+1
93.1%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 55 yds , Daz'mond Patterson returns for 1 yd to the Ohio 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:2594% → 98%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
93.5%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 14 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
93.9%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
93.8%
Derrius Vick run for 1 yd to the Ohio 46Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+46
93.9%
Derrius Vick run for 37 yds to the OHIO 17 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, Personal Foul (9 Yards) to the KntSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
94.5%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 1 yd to the KntSt 7Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 0
OPP 7
-15
94.8%
OHIO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Daz'mond Patterson) to the KntSt 22Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 0
OPP 22
+4
94.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the KntSt 18Similar
Q3 1:22
3RD & 0
OPP 18
0
94.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the KntSt 18Similar
Q3 0:50
4TH & 0
OPP 18
+35
97.7%
Josiah Yazdani 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21INT
9 plays · 57 yds · 2:292% → 2%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
97.7%
Trayion Durham run for 3 yds to the KntSt 15Similar
Q3 0:12
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+4
97.8%
George Bollas run for 4 yds to the KntSt 19Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+44
98.0%
George Bollas pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 44 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
97.8%
George Bollas pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 5 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+4
97.5%
Raekwon James run for 4 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 1
OPP 28
-3
98.1%
Trayion Durham run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 31Similar
Q4 13:07
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+4
98.5%
George Bollas pass intercepted Quentin Poling return for 25 yds to the KntSt 44 Chad Moore return for 4 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22MISSED FG
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:2199% → 99%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
98.8%
Vick, Derrius pass incomplete to Smith, Sebastian, PENALTY KENTST holding (Monday, Demetrius) 10 yards to the KENTST34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIO.Similar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
98.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 7
OPP 31
-4
98.9%
Derrius Vick run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 35Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+5
98.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 5 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q4 10:38
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+47
98.8%
Josiah Yazdani 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 42 yds · 1:561% → 1%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
98.7%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Raekwon JamesSimilar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
98.8%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Antwan DixonSimilar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+21
98.8%
George Bollas pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 6 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
98.7%
Antwan Dixon run for 2 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+13
98.7%
George Bollas pass complete to Kris White for 13 yds to the Ohio 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
98.6%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Kris White, broken up by Brett LaytonSimilar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
98.6%
George Bollas pass complete to Kris White for 6 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 4
OPP 28
0
98.7%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q4 8:36
4TH & 4
OPP 28
0
98.8%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Kris WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:5699% → 100%
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.0%
Dorian Brown run for 2 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+13
99.0%
JD Sprague run for 13 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
99.1%
Maleek Irons run for 6 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+10
99.2%
Maleek Irons run for 10 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
99.9%
JD Sprague pass complete to Jordan Reid for 41 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:580% → 0%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
99.9%
George Bollas pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 9 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 1
OWN 28
-2
99.9%
George Bollas pass complete to Antwan Dixon for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 26Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
99.9%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Charles ChandlerSimilar
Q4 5:21
4TH & 3
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Langston Provitt at the Ohio 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 26END OF GAME
9 plays · 58 yds · 4:39100% → 100%
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.9%
Dorian Brown run for 8 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+6
99.9%
Dorian Brown run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
50
+4
99.9%
Maleek Irons run for 4 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+2
100.0%
Maleek Irons run for 2 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+37
100.0%
Bo Hardy run for 37 yds to the KntSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
100.0%
Bo Hardy run for 6 yds to the KntSt 1Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 3Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:20
Derrius Vick run for 7 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)
+9
FG · Q3 0:50
Josiah Yazdani 35 yd FG GOOD
+3.2
KEY PLAY · Q3 6:57
Derrius Vick run for 4 yds to the KntSt 7
+3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com