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AKR

Akron 17 at Massachusetts 13

MASS
2015 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2015 · Gillette Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:01 · Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Shakur Nesmith
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 172Pregame prior+0.5Home team on offense−9.8Garbage-time factor−8.3Score differential−1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:20: Logan Laurent 40 yd FG GOOD — MASS win probability +5.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:54: Thomas Woodson run for 15 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK) — AKR win probability +16.1 pts (now 50%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 5:43: Robert Stein 36 yd FG GOOD — AKR win probability +16.0 pts (now 73%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:55: Thomas Woodson run for 4 yds to the Akron 39 — AKR win probability +12.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:36: TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 23 — AKR win probability +22.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 8 of 12AKR made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:29MASS 4th & 3 at AKR 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:36AKR 4th & 7 at AKR 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:15MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00AKR 4th & 4 at MASS 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:15MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:18AKR 4th & 13 at AKR 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−1.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:05MASS 4th & 7 at AKR 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    56.7%−1.0
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:50MASS 4th & 8 at AKR 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    52.9%−4.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:20MASS 4th & 4 at AKR 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−1.3
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    56.9%−4.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00MASS 4th & 17 at MASS 23, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−3.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:54MASS 4th & 10 at AKR 35, down 1
    Close callWent for it · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.1%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    52.4%
    45% to make
    Punt
    51.2%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:20AKR 4th & 1 at MASS 48, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    46.8%−3.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:19AKR 4th & 12 at MASS 25, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−3.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    36.5%−15.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:19MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 39, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−2.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:39AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 39, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.9 ptsPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%−4.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:43AKR 4th & 10 at MASS 19, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−4.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    35.6%−23.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:43MASS 4th & 3 at MASS 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.0%−1.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:01MASS 4th & 20 at AKR 35, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 5.8 ptsWent for it · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.8%−5.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    26.6%
    45% to make
    Punt
    19.7%−6.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:59AKR 4th & 4 at AKR 41, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%−1.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:52MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.0%−10.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1AKR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:50MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:15AKR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:54AKR Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
59.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Andrew Pratt for 8 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
59.9%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete, broken up by Trey SealsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
59.9%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Jerome LaneSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
59.9%
Zach Paul punt for 43 yds, downed at the UMass 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 1:5260% → 60%
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
59.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jamal Wilson for 4 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+7
59.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Rodney Mills for 7 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
59.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Rodney MillsSimilar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
59.9%
Jamal Wilson run for 11 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
59.9%
Jamal Wilson run for 6 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
60.2%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Rodney Mills, broken up by Bryce CheekSimilar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+1
60.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Rodney Mills for 1 yd to the Akron 47Similar
Q1 12:29
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
60.0%
Logan Laurent punt for 42 yds, downed at the Akron 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
59.9%
Conor Hundley run for 2 yds to the Akron 7Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 8
OWN 7
-3
59.9%
Conor Hundley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 4Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 11
OWN 4
+4
60.1%
Conor Hundley run for 4 yds to the Akron 8Similar
Q1 11:36
4TH & 7
OWN 8
+9
60.2%
Zach Paul punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 40 , Trey Dudley-Giles returns for 9 yds to the Akron 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:3861% → 63%
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
60.5%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+8
60.5%
Jamal Wilson run for 8 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+5
60.4%
Jamal Wilson run for 5 yds to the Akron 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+18
60.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Rodney Mills for 18 yds to the Akron 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
63.2%
Jamal Wilson run for 9 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 4:3538% → 42%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
62.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Christian Allen for 6 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+1
61.9%
Conor Hundley run for 1 yd to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+10
62.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 10 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
61.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 4
50
0
61.5%
Thomas Woodson run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 4
50
+19
62.5%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 19 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
61.8%
Conor Hundley run for 4 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+27
57.6%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 27 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
59.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae Sharpe, broken up by Jordan GeorgeSimilar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 0
0
59.5%
Frohnapfel, B. pass incomplete to Nesmith, S., PENALTY UMASS pass interference off-setting, PENALTY AKRON pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+11
59.6%
Marquis Young run for 11 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
60.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
59.9%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 38Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
59.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae Sharpe, broken up by Zach GuiserSimilar
Q1 3:15
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
59.0%
Logan Laurent punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 1:4741% → 42%
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
58.9%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Andrew PrattSimilar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+6
59.0%
Conor Hundley run for 6 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q1 1:47
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+8
59.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tyrell Goodman for 8 yds to the Akron 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
58.5%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Randall Jette) to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
57.6%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Andrew PrattSimilar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
57.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 2 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+4
57.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 4 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
58.1%
Zach Paul punt for 44 yds, downed at the UMass 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
59.6%
Jamal Wilson run for no gain to the UMass 3Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 3
-2
59.5%
Jamal Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 1Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 12
OWN 1
+23
58.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Rodney Mills for 23 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
59.8%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 22Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+7
59.6%
Blake Frohnapfel run for 7 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
59.3%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Rodney MillsSimilar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
58.7%
Logan Laurent punt for 36 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the Akron 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0042% → 40%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
57.9%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Jerome LaneSimilar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-10
58.2%
HUNDLEY, Conor rush for 10 yards to the AKRON45 (Singh, C.), PENALTY AKRON holding (GAUTHNEY, L.) 10 yards to the AKRON25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 20
OWN 25
+4
58.7%
Thomas Woodson run for 4 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q2 11:18
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+3
59.3%
Conor Hundley run for 3 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q2 11:18
4TH & 13
OWN 32
+9
59.8%
Zach Paul punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 33 , Trey Dudley-Giles returns for 9 yds to the UMass 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:1460% → 62%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
60.2%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 34Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+10
60.2%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 10 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
61.7%
Marquis Young run for 10 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
62.2%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae Sharpe, broken up by John SenterSimilar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
62.1%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the Akron 46Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+3
60.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 3 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
61.8%
Logan Laurent punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
58.1%
Thomas Woodson pass intercepted Trey Dudley-Giles return for no gain to the Akron 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12FG
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:0265% → 65%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
64.6%
Blake Frohnapfel run for 6 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+6
64.6%
Jamal Wilson run for 6 yds to the Akron 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
64.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
64.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Marquis YoungSimilar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+2
63.6%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the Akron 19Similar
Q2 4:50
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+36
64.9%
Logan Laurent 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13FUMBLE
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
64.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 11 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
63.1%
Conor Hundley run for 1 yd to the Akron 40Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
63.4%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Jerome LaneSimilar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+1
64.2%
Thomas Woodson run for 1 yd to the Akron 41 Thomas Woodson fumbled, forced by Jovan Santos-Knox, recovered by UMass Trey Dudley-GilesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14FG
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:0567% → 70%
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
66.8%
Elgin Long run for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 49 Elgin Long fumbled, forced by Se'Von Pittman, recovered by UMass Tyrell SmithSimilar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 20
OWN 49
+11
64.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marquis Young for 11 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+11
66.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Shakur Nesmith for 11 yds to the Akron 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
67.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 3 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
67.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae Sharpe, broken up by Kris GivensSimilar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+3
66.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Rodney Mills for 3 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+40
69.8%
Logan Laurent 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15INT
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:0032% → 35%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
67.9%
Conor Hundley run for 14 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
65.4%
Thomas Woodson pass intercepted Jovan Santos-Knox return for no gain to the UMass 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-2
69.5%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0070% → 67%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
69.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
69.5%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 31
-8
68.7%
Blake Frohnapfel sacked by Jatavis Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the UMass 23Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 23
0
67.4%
Logan Laurent punt for 40 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the Akron 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 6:0634% → 50%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
66.0%
AKRON Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Akron 27Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
66.7%
Conor Hundley run for 6 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+12
65.5%
Conor Hundley run for 12 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
65.0%
Conor Hundley run for 1 yd to the Akron 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+11
65.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 11 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
63.9%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Jerome LaneSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-3
64.1%
Thomas Woodson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 46Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 13
OPP 46
+23
71.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 23 yds to the UMass 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
66.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Andrew Pratt for 4 yds to the UMass 19Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+4
66.4%
Conor Hundley run for 4 yds to the UMass 15Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+15
50.3%
Thomas Woodson run for 15 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19DOWNS
11 plays · 37 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
55.9%
Blake Frohnapfel run for 2 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-1
55.7%
Jamal Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 21Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+5
54.3%
Frohnapfel, B. sacked for loss of 6 yards to the UMASS15 (MARCUS, Jamal), PENALTY AKRON offside defense 5 yards to the UMASS26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
55.2%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Rodney MillsSimilar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+15
53.8%
AKRON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jordan George) to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+24
59.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 24 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
62.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 5 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 5
OPP 30
-5
62.1%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 35Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
59.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Elgin LongSimilar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 10
OPP 35
-8
55.6%
Blake Frohnapfel sacked by Cody Grice for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20MISSED FG
14 plays · 32 yds · 6:0150% → 49%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
50.2%
Conor Hundley run for 5 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+4
49.7%
Conor Hundley run for 4 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
49.7%
Cody Grice run for no gain to the UMass 48Similar
Q3 5:20
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+2
51.8%
Cody Grice run for 2 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-15
49.2%
WOODSON, T. pass incomplete to LANE, Jerome, PENALTY AKRON pass interference (LANE, Jerome) 15 yards to the AKRON39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 25
OWN 39
+9
52.0%
Thomas Woodson run for 9 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 16
OWN 48
0
51.7%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Imani DavisSimilar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 16
OWN 48
+18
52.7%
Conor Hundley run for 18 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
47.8%
Conor Hundley run for 1 yd to the UMass 33Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+10
47.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 10 yds to the UMass 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
47.7%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Andrew Pratt, broken up by Trey Dudley-GilesSimilar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+3
47.9%
Donnell Alexander run for 3 yds to the UMass 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 20
-5
45.9%
Thomas Woodson run for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 25 Thomas Woodson fumbled, recovered by Akron Thomas WoodsonSimilar
Q4 14:19
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+42
50.8%
Robert Stein 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0053% → 51%
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+14
52.7%
Marquis Young run for 14 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
55.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Shakur NesmithSimilar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
54.5%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae Sharpe, broken up by John SenterSimilar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
52.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae Sharpe, broken up by Kris GivensSimilar
Q4 14:19
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
51.0%
Logan Laurent punt for 41 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the Akron 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0050% → 51%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
49.8%
Thomas Woodson run for 7 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
48.1%
Conor Hundley run for 2 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
49.3%
Cody Grice run for 1 yd to the Akron 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
49.2%
Thomas Woodson run for 4 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+5
47.8%
Thomas Woodson run for 5 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
46.5%
Conor Hundley run for no gain to the Akron 39Similar
Q4 13:39
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
49.3%
Zach Paul punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Trey Dudley-Giles at the UMass 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
52.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Elgin LongSimilar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
51.5%
Blake Frohnapfel pass intercepted Kris Givens return for no gain to the Akron 17 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, HOL ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24FG
7 plays · 47 yds · 3:3254% → 73%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+25
46.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 25 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
42.5%
Thomas Woodson run for 11 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
40.9%
Conor Hundley run for 11 yds to the UMass 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
40.6%
Thomas Woodson run for 6 yds to the UMass 13Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 4
OPP 13
0
40.6%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Jerome LaneSimilar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 4
OPP 13
-6
42.7%
Conor Hundley run for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 19Similar
Q4 5:43
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+36
26.7%
Robert Stein 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25DOWNS
16 plays · 40 yds · 2:4237% → 31%
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
37.4%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 26Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
36.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 6 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q4 5:43
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
36.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Shakur Nesmith, broken up by DeAndre ScottSimilar
Q4 5:43
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+7
36.1%
Joe Colton run for 7 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
36.2%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+11
38.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Elgin Long for 11 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
40.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Shakur NesmithSimilar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+10
40.4%
Frohnapfel, B. pass incomplete to Mills, R., PENALTY AKRON holding (BROWN, Kyron) 10 yards to the AKRON35, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
44.2%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Rodney Mills for 10 yds to the Akron 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
44.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Shakur NesmithSimilar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
44.1%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q4 4:49
3RD & 8
OPP 23
-12
40.9%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, intentional grounding (Blake Frohnapfel) to the Akron 35Similar
Q4 3:01
4TH & 20
OPP 35
0
30.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Shakur NesmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:5682% → 88%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
18.3%
Thomas Woodson run for 4 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
15.5%
Conor Hundley run for 3 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q4 2:44
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-1
15.2%
Conor Hundley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 41Similar
Q4 1:59
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
12.3%
Zach Paul punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 27INT
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:0023% → 28%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
22.9%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+3
23.3%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Elgin Long for 3 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+2
21.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 2 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+7
20.4%
Marquis Young run for 7 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
24.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Elgin Long for 18 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
29.0%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
27.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass intercepted DeAndre Scott return for no gain to the Akron 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
5.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:36
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 23
-22.1
TD · Q3 8:54
Thomas Woodson run for 15 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)
-16.1
FG · Q4 5:43
Robert Stein 36 yd FG GOOD
-16
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com