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EMU

Eastern Michigan 13 at Miami (OH) 28

M-OH
2015 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2015 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:14 · Christian Koch punt for 34 yds , Blake Banham returns for 4 yds to the EMich 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 36Home team on offense+2.0Pregame prior+12.3Score differential+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:27: Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK) — M-OH win probability +7.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:25: Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 33 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK) — M-OH win probability +10.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 4:08: Dylan Mulder 49 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +6.3 pts (now 17%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:17: Darius Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK) — EMU win probability +7.8 pts (now 24%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:46: Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 12 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK) — M-OH win probability +10.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 5 of 7EMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 11:23EMU 4th & 17 at EMU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:39M-OH 4th & 9 at M-OH 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:14M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:05EMU 4th & 9 at EMU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:27EMU 4th & 17 at EMU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−1.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:27M-OH 4th & 1 at EMU 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    75.3%−2.0
    42% to make
    Punt
    75.0%−2.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:08EMU 4th & 12 at M-OH 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:17M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 37, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:15EMU 4th & 18 at EMU 7, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−2.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:46EMU 4th & 22 at EMU 13, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−2.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00M-OH 4th & 7 at EMU 46, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:24EMU 4th & 9 at M-OH 38, down 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.0%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:24M-OH 4th & 2 at EMU 40, up 15
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    93.0%−1.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:07EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 20, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:19M-OH 4th & 15 at EMU 29, up 15
    Close callWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.9%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4EMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:23M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:27M-OH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:25M-OH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:17EMU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:46M-OH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3765% → 66%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
65.1%
Kenny Young run for 23 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
65.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+15
65.1%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 15 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
65.1%
Kenny Young run for 6 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+3
65.1%
Maurice Thomas run for 3 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+7
65.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 7 yds to the EMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
65.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the EMich 9Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+9
66.4%
Gus Ragland run for 9 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
65.9%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 25Similar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+5
66.0%
Brogan Roback run for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
66.0%
Darius Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMich 31Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 9
OWN 31
-8
66.1%
Brogan Roback sacked by JT Jones for a loss of 8 yards to the EMich 23Similar
Q1 11:23
4TH & 17
OWN 23
0
66.2%
Austin Barnes punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
66.6%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 5 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+5
66.6%
RAGLAND, Gus rush over right tackle for 4 yards to the MIAMI28 (RUSSELL, Devon;IBE, Great), PENALTY EMU offside defense 5 yards to the MIAMI29, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
66.6%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
66.6%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jared Murphy, broken up by Juan GiraldoSimilar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
66.4%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:39
4TH & 9
OWN 30
0
66.2%
Christian Koch punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4FUMBLE
11 plays · 50 yds · 0:0033% → 34%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
66.8%
Shaq Vann run for 9 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
66.4%
Darius Jackson run for no gain to the EMich 39Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+32
66.4%
Darius Jackson run for 32 yds to the MiaOh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
65.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Kris Strange for 15 yds to the MiaOh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
65.8%
Darius Jackson run for no gain to the MiaOh 14 Darius Jackson fumbled, forced by AJ Burdine, recovered by EMich Darius JacksonSimilar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
65.8%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 10
OPP 14
-5
66.3%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 15
OPP 19
+15
66.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 15 yds to the MiaOh 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
65.9%
Darius Jackson run for no gain to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
65.9%
Darius Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+7
66.2%
Brogan Roback sacked by Brad Koenig for a loss of 10 yards to the MiaOh 27 Brogan Roback fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Bryson Albright , return for 0 yards , return for 7 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
68.0%
Billy Bahl run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+6
67.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 6
OWN 31
-2
67.7%
Billy Bahl sacked by Nathan Adams for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q1 4:14
4TH & 8
OWN 29
+4
67.2%
Christian Koch punt for 34 yds , Blake Banham returns for 4 yds to the EMich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
67.2%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-2
66.9%
Reginald Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
67.6%
Reginald Bell pass incomplete to Kris StrangeSimilar
Q1 2:05
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
68.4%
Austin Barnes punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7TD
4 plays · 86 yds · 1:3568% → 76%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
68.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Kenny Young for 11 yds to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
68.5%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+77
68.5%
Maurice Thomas run for 77 yds to the EMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
73.0%
Darius Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 30Similar
Q2 14:27
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
73.3%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:27
3RD & 12
OWN 30
-5
73.5%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 25Similar
Q2 14:27
3RD & 17
OWN 25
0
73.6%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:27
4TH & 17
OWN 25
0
73.7%
Austin Barnes punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 3:0275% → 86%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+21
75.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 21 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
76.3%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 6
OPP 41
-1
76.3%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 42Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+6
75.8%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 6 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q2 13:27
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+3
75.3%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Ryan Smith for 3 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
86.1%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 33 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -23 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
85.2%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
85.3%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 10
OWN 24
-10
85.4%
ROBACK, Brogan pass complete to VANN, Shaq for 14 yards to the EMU38 (WILLIAMS, TJ), PENALTY EMU holding (ARMSTRONG, K.) 10 yards to the EMU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 20
OWN 14
-13
85.5%
Brogan Roback sacked by Zach Smierciak for a loss of 13 yards to the EMich 1Similar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 33
OWN 1
0
85.8%
Austin Barnes punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the EMich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11FUMBLE
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
88.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 13 yds to the EMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
88.4%
Kenny Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 18 Kenny Young fumbled, forced by Kyle Rachwal, recovered by EMich Jason BeckSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:0713% → 17%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
86.7%
Reginald Bell sacked by JT Jones for 0 yards to the EMich 18Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+14
86.9%
Reginald Bell pass complete to Dustin Creel for 14 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
86.3%
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+4
86.4%
Reginald Bell pass complete to Darius Jackson for 4 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+32
86.4%
Reginald Bell pass complete to Cody Tuttle for 32 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
85.3%
Darius Jackson run for no gain to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+4
85.4%
Reginald Bell pass complete to Kris Strange for 4 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 6
OPP 26
-6
85.7%
JACKSON, Darius rush over right tackle for 4 yards to the MIAMI22 (SMIERCIAK,Zach;MONTGOMERY, D.), PENALTY EMU holding (ARMSTRONG, K.) 6 yards to the MIAMI32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 12
OPP 32
0
86.4%
Reginald Bell pass incomplete to Darius Jackson, broken up by Bryson AlbrightSimilar
Q2 4:08
4TH & 12
OPP 32
+49
83.2%
Dylan Mulder 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13INT
6 plays · 41 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
84.9%
Gus Ragland sacked by Clay Dawson for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+12
85.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Sam Martin for 12 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+40
84.5%
Gus Ragland run for 40 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-4
85.4%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 34Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 14
OPP 34
+15
85.1%
Billy Bahl pass intercepted Anthony Brown return for 15 yds to the EMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:2216% → 14%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-14
84.5%
Reginald Bell sacked by Bryson Albright for a loss of 14 yards to the EMich 32 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, intentional grounding (Reginald Bell) to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 24
OWN 32
+29
85.7%
Reginald Bell run for 29 yds to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-9
83.4%
Reginald Bell sacked by JT Jones for a loss of 9 yards to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 19
OPP 48
-3
85.5%
Reginald Bell sacked by Bryson Albright for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 49Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 22
OWN 49
+4
85.9%
Darius Jackson run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4314% → 24%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.0%
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+58
86.0%
Shaq Vann run for 58 yds to the MiaOh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
83.4%
Darius Jackson run for no gain to the MiaOh 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
83.4%
Darius Jackson run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 10Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+5
84.3%
Reginald Bell pass complete to Cody Tuttle for 5 yds to the MiaOh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
83.4%
Darius Jackson run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 2Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
75.6%
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0080% → 78%
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
79.8%
RAGLAND, Gus rush up middle for 5 yards to the MIAMI40 (WILLIAMS, D.), PENALTY MIAMI holding (BUCHANAN, C.) 10 yards to the MIAMI25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 20
OWN 25
0
79.5%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 20
OWN 25
+5
79.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Kenny Young for 5 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q3 12:17
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+7
78.6%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 7 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q3 12:17
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
78.4%
Christian Koch punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
79.7%
Darius Jackson run for no gain to the EMich 15Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-9
80.0%
Reginald Bell sacked by JT Jones for a loss of 9 yards to the EMich 6Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 19
OWN 6
-3
81.0%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Darius Jackson) to the EMich 3Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 22
OWN 3
+4
81.0%
Reginald Bell run for 4 yds to the EMich 7Similar
Q3 10:15
4TH & 18
OWN 7
0
81.5%
Austin Barnes punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 3:1183% → 94%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
83.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+6
83.2%
Kenny Young run for 6 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+21
83.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 21 yds to the EMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
83.2%
Gus Ragland run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 19 Gus Ragland fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Gus Ragland , return for 1 yd to the EMich 19Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+7
83.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 7 yds to the EMich 12Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+12
94.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 12 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
92.7%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 21Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-2
92.9%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 19Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-6
93.0%
Reginald Bell sacked by Bryson Albright for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 13Similar
Q3 4:46
4TH & 22
OWN 13
0
93.0%
Austin Barnes punt for 47 yds, downed at the MiaOh 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:5095% → 96%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
94.7%
Kenny Young run for no gain to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
94.6%
Kenny Young run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+8
94.6%
Billy Bahl run for 8 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
94.7%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 6
OPP 45
-1
94.7%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 46
0
96.0%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Ryan Smith, broken up by Ray TillmanSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
95.6%
Christian Koch punt for 4 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21FG
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:226% → 9%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
94.4%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 12
OWN 40
-1
94.6%
Darius Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 13
OWN 39
+22
94.8%
Reginald Bell run for 22 yds to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
94.3%
Reginald Bell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
94.3%
Reginald Bell pass incomplete to Dustin CreelSimilar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+1
94.4%
Reginald Bell run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 9
OPP 38
+55
91.2%
Dylan Mulder 55 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
94.1%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Jaylen Pickett) to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
94.7%
SMITH, Alonzo rush up middle for 4 yards to the MIAMI44 (IBE, Great), PENALTY MIAMI holding (HOVEY, Zach) 10 yards to the MIAMI30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 20
OWN 30
0
94.1%
Gus Ragland run for no gain to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 20
OWN 30
+19
94.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 19 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
94.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
94.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+1
94.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the EMich 45Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+5
94.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 2
OPP 40
0
93.9%
Christian Koch punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
95.1%
Reginald Bell run for 12 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
94.8%
Reginald Bell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
94.9%
Reginald Bell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
95.0%
Reginald Bell pass incomplete to Cody TuttleSimilar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
95.1%
Austin Barnes punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 24DOWNS
16 plays · 31 yds · 3:1097% → 99%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
96.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+4
96.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+3
97.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
50
+8
97.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 8 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+4
97.2%
Spencer McInnis run for 4 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
98.8%
Spencer McInnis run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+15
98.9%
Spencer McInnis run for 15 yds to the EMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
99.0%
Spencer McInnis run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+5
99.0%
Spencer McInnis run for 5 yds to the EMich 20Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+1
98.9%
Spencer McInnis run for 1 yd to the EMich 19Similar
Q4 3:19
4TH & 5
OPP 19
-5
98.8%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Mitch Palmer) to the EMich 24Similar
Q4 3:19
4TH & 10
OPP 24
-5
98.8%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Zach Hovey) to the EMich 29Similar
Q4 3:19
4TH & 15
OPP 29
-1
98.7%
Spencer McInnis run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 25INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
97.7%
Reginald Bell pass intercepted Brison Burris return for 7 yds to the EMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:46
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 12 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)
+10.9
TD · Q2 10:25
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 33 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)
+10.8
TD · Q3 12:17
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)
-7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com