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OHIO

Ohio 24 at Bowling Green 62

BGSU
2015 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2015 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-2BGSU 97.6%Josiah Yazdani 25 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 41 · Q3 4:12
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:12 · Josiah Yazdani 25 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 144Home team on offense+25.9Pregame prior+11.5Score differential+17.7Blowout margin+0.7Garbage-time factor+6.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:20: A.J. Ouellette run for 7 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +3.4 pts (now 22%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:03: Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +5.1 pts (now 26%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:47: Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 10 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +5.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:38: Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 75 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +7.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:51: JD Sprague pass intercepted for a TD Dernard Turner return for 85 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +4.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OHIO made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:17BGSU 4th & 20 at BGSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:03OHIO 4th & 1 at BGSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    19.8%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    19.7%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:10OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 30, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:47OHIO 4th & 11 at OHIO 21, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:06BGSU 4th & 20 at BGSU 34, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−1.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:46OHIO 4th & 6 at BGSU 46, down 13
    Close callPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    12.4%−0.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:52OHIO 4th & 14 at BGSU 28, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    -0.7%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:12OHIO 4th & 7 at BGSU 8, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    -0.7%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:58OHIO 4th & 12 at BGSU 29, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:54BGSU 4th & 5 at BGSU 34, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:20OHIO 4th & 19 at OHIO 49, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 7:24BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:20OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:01BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:03OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:20BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    80.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:47BGSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:38BGSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:51BGSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:46BGSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:38BGSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 6:53OHIO Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 3:26BGSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 1:2883% → 82%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
82.6%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 9 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
82.5%
Matt Johnson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
82.5%
Matt Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
82.4%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-10
82.3%
Matt Johnson sacked by Tarell Basham for a loss of 10 yards to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q1 13:17
4TH & 20
OWN 26
+13
82.1%
Joseph Davidson punt for 49 yds , Daz'mond Patterson returns for 13 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2DOWNS
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:5718% → 19%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
82.0%
Derrius Vick run for 4 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+7
81.9%
Derrius Vick run for 7 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
81.8%
Derrius Vick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
81.7%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+4
81.5%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 4 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
81.2%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+2
81.0%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+6
80.8%
Derrius Vick run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q1 9:03
4TH & 1
OPP 31
0
80.7%
Daz'mond Patterson run for no gain to the BwGrn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 1:3681% → 83%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
81.0%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
80.9%
Travis Greene run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+44
80.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 44 yds to the Ohio 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
81.2%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+7
81.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 7 yds to the Ohio 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
82.7%
Travis Greene run for 11 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 3:4918% → 22%
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
82.1%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 13 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-8
81.9%
Derrius Vick sacked by Taylor Royster for a loss of 8 yards to the Ohio 35Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 18
OWN 35
+9
82.1%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 9 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+11
81.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 11 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
81.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+8
81.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
81.0%
Derrius Vick run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+6
80.8%
Derrius Vick run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+15
81.1%
Vick, Derrius pass incomplete to Smith, Sebastian, PENALTY BOWLGREEN pass interference 15 yards to the BOWLGREEN7, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIO.Similar
Q1 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
77.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 7 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:1279% → 82%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.0%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Ryan BurbrinkSimilar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
78.9%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
78.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 11 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
79.4%
Fred Coppet run for 16 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
79.8%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 8 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+3
79.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Fred Coppet for 3 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
79.8%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 4 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
79.7%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Travis GreeneSimilar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+12
79.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 12 yds to the Ohio 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
79.6%
Travis Greene run for 5 yds to the Ohio 12Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+2
79.6%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Derek Lee for 2 yds to the Ohio 10Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+10
82.2%
Travis Greene 10 Yd Run (Tyler Tate Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 4:5219% → 26%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+24
81.3%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 24 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
80.5%
Derrius Vick run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+4
80.1%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
80.1%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+3
80.1%
Derrius Vick run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+8
80.1%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 8 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
79.4%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for no gain to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+18
79.3%
Derrius Vick run for 18 yds to the BwGrn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
78.9%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 10Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+6
78.9%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 4Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+4
73.8%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:2277% → 81%
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
76.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 9 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+9
77.8%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 9 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
77.9%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Alex Huettel) declinedSimilar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-3
77.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Travis Greene for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 48Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 13
OPP 48
+48
80.6%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 48 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:5120% → 18%
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.7%
Derrius Vick run for no gain to the Ohio 25Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
79.7%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for no gain to the Ohio 25 OHIO Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jordan Reid) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.1%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 5 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
81.9%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 13 yds, downed at the Ohio 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 43 yds · 1:1683% → 89%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
83.0%
Fred Coppet run for 12 yds to the Ohio 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
83.2%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 36Similar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+7
82.4%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Teo Redding for 7 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+19
83.2%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 19 yds to the Ohio 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
88.8%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 10 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10PUNT
9 plays · -4 yds · 1:5313% → 12%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
87.0%
Vick, Derrius pass complete to Reid, Jordan for 26 yards to the BOWLGREEN49, PENALTY OHIO holding 10 yards to the OHIO15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:31
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+7
87.2%
Vick, Derrius pass incomplete to Patterson, Daz'mond, PENALTY BOWLGREEN pass interference 7 yards to the OHIO22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIO.Similar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
87.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+5
87.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 3
OWN 29
-15
87.2%
Vick, Derrius pass complete to Reid, Jordan for 13 yards to the OHIO42, PENALTY OHIO pass interference (Patterson, Daz'mond) 15 yards to the OHIO14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 18
OWN 14
+7
87.8%
Derrius Vick run for 7 yds to the Ohio 21Similar
Q2 2:47
4TH & 11
OWN 21
0
87.7%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:3588% → 87%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
87.7%
Johnson, Matt pass incomplete to Rhodes, Robbie, PENALTY OHIO holding 10 yards to the BOWLGREEN44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOWLGREEN.Similar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
88.4%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
88.3%
Matt Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
87.7%
Matt Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:15
4TH & 10
OWN 44
-10
87.2%
Davidson, Joseph punt 44 yards to the OHIO12, fair catch by Patterson, Daz'mond, PENALTY BOWLGREEN holding 10 yards to the BOWLGREEN34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 20
OWN 34
0
86.9%
Joseph Davidson punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12END OF HALF
13 plays · 26 yds · 1:5413% → 13%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
87.2%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 16 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
86.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 7 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+5
86.0%
Derrius Vick pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 5 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
86.0%
Derrius Vick run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+11
85.8%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 11 yds to the BwGrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
85.0%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Jordan ReidSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
85.1%
Vick, Derrius pass complete to Ouellette, A.J. for 2 yards to the BOWLGREEN31, PENALTY BOWLGREEN offside 5 yards to the BOWLGREEN28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 5
OPP 28
0
84.7%
Derrius Vick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 5
OPP 28
-5
85.2%
OHIO Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 10
OPP 33
-10
86.1%
Derrius Vick run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 28 OHIO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Derrius Vick) to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 20
OPP 43
-7
87.2%
Derrius Vick sacked by Terrance Bush for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 2:0913% → 13%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.8%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Kawmae SawyerSimilar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.9%
Derrius Vick run for 1 yd to the Ohio 26Similar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
87.2%
JD Sprague pass complete to Jordan Reid for 11 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
86.6%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+9
86.3%
Sprague, JD pass incomplete, PENALTY BOWLGREEN pass interference (Stephens, Clint) 9 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIO.Similar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
50
+4
85.8%
JD Sprague run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
85.8%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Jordan ReidSimilar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
85.9%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Keith HeitzmanSimilar
Q3 12:46
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
87.1%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 32 yds, downed at the BwGrn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14TD
3 plays · 86 yds · 0:3789% → 97%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-3
88.9%
Fred Coppet run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 13
OWN 11
+14
88.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 14 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
96.5%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 75 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15INT TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 2:425% → 1%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.0%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to A.J. OuelletteSimilar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+13
95.2%
JD Sprague pass complete to Kawmae Sawyer for 13 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
95.3%
JD Sprague pass complete to Jordan Reid for 11 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
95.4%
JD Sprague run for 16 yds to the BwGrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
95.1%
Ouellette, A.J. rush for no gain to the BOWLGREEN33, PENALTY BOWLGREEN offside 5 yards to the BOWLGREEN28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 5
OPP 28
+4
95.1%
JD Sprague run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+9
95.2%
JD Sprague run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+85
99.2%
JD Sprague pass intercepted for a TD Dernard Turner return for 85 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16FG
18 plays · 67 yds · 4:261% → 2%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.3%
Dorian Brown run for 3 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
99.3%
JD Sprague run for 9 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.4%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Mason MorganSimilar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
99.4%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Robbie WalkerSimilar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+25
99.4%
JD Sprague pass complete to Kawmae Sawyer for 25 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.4%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Jordan ReidSimilar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-1
99.4%
JD Sprague run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+15
99.5%
JD Sprague pass complete to Dorian Brown for 15 yds to the BwGrn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
99.5%
Dorian Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 14
OPP 28
0
99.5%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 14
OPP 28
0
99.6%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Herman BrunisSimilar
Q3 5:52
4TH & 14
OPP 28
+17
99.3%
JD Sprague pass complete to Jordan Reid for 17 yds to the BwGrn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
99.5%
Dorian Brown run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+1
99.6%
JD Sprague run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 8Similar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
99.6%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Kawmae SawyerSimilar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
97.6%
Josiah Yazdani 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 2:0998% → 100%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
98.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 8 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+8
98.4%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 8 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
98.4%
Travis Greene run for 11 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
98.5%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 4 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+4
98.5%
Travis Greene run for 4 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+5
98.6%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 5 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
98.6%
Fred Coppet run for 1 yd to the Ohio 32Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+18
98.6%
Fred Coppet run for 18 yds to the Ohio 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
98.7%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (Jacob Bennett) to the Ohio 19Similar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+19
99.8%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 19 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18MISSED FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 2:370% → 0%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.8%
JD Sprague run for 8 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.8%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the Ohio 34Similar
Q3 0:42
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
99.8%
JD Sprague run for 8 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+31
99.8%
JD Sprague pass complete to Jerrid Marhefka for 31 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
99.8%
Maleek Irons run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+1
99.8%
JD Sprague run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 7
OPP 24
-5
99.8%
OHIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 12
OPP 29
0
99.8%
JD Sprague pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:58
4TH & 12
OPP 29
+46
99.8%
Josiah Yazdani 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:52100% → 100%
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.8%
Travis Greene run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Matt Johnson run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q4 12:54
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Joseph Davidson punt for 42 yds, downed at the Ohio 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
99.9%
Dorian Brown run for 14 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
99.9%
JD Sprague pass complete to Herman Brunis for 20 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-9
99.9%
JD Sprague sacked by Trenton Greene for a loss of 9 yards to the Ohio 49Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 19
OWN 49
0
99.9%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Andrew MeyerSimilar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 19
OWN 49
0
99.9%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Robbie WalkerSimilar
Q4 11:20
4TH & 19
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 91 yds · 2:30100% → 100%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+10
99.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 10 yds to the BwGrn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
99.9%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+3
99.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 3 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+20
99.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 20 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
99.9%
Fred Coppet run for 7 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+6
99.9%
Fred Coppet run for 6 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
99.9%
Travis Greene run for 43 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
100.0%
Dorian Brown run for 1 yd to the Ohio 21Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+11
100.0%
JD Sprague pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 11 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
100.0%
Maleek Irons run for 11 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
100.0%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Illegal Procedure (5 Yards) to the Ohio 48Similar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 5
OWN 48
0
99.9%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+8
100.0%
JD Sprague pass complete to Herman Brunis for 8 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
99.9%
Maleek Irons run for 44 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 23TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:19100% → 100%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
Travis Greene run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q4 5:37
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+8
99.9%
Travis Greene run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
99.9%
Fred Coppet run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+15
99.9%
Knapke, James pass incomplete to Rhodes, Robbie (TEAM), PENALTY OHIO pass interference 15 yards to the OHIO45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOWLGREEN, QB hurry by TEAM, QB hit by TEAM.Similar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.9%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Robbie RhodesSimilar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+11
100.0%
Fred Coppet run for 11 yds to the Ohio 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
100.0%
James Knapke pass complete to Scott Miller for 5 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+22
100.0%
James Knapke pass complete to Robbie Rhodes for 22 yds to the Ohio 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
100.0%
James Knapke pass complete to Teo Redding for 7 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24INT
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:310% → 0%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
100.0%
Bo Hardy run for 7 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+16
100.0%
Bo Hardy run for 16 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
100.0%
Bo Hardy run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Ian DixonSimilar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+10
100.0%
Greg Windham pass intercepted Brandon Harris return for 10 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:15100% → 100%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Fred Coppet run for no gain to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
100.0%
Matt Domer run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+5
100.0%
Matt Domer run for 5 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:38
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 75 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)
+7.7
TD · Q2 4:47
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 10 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)
+5.6
TD · Q2 10:03
Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)
-5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com