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CMU

Central Michigan 14 at Akron 6

AKR
2015 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2015 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:45 · Thomas Woodson pass intercepted Tony Annese return for no gain to the CMich 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:46: Cooper Rush pass complete to Joe Bacci for 2 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +5.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:49: Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 57 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein PAT MISSED) — AKR win probability +5.3 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q3 11:59: Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 14 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +12.3 pts (now 74%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:44: Jahray Hayes run for 1 yd to the CMich 16 — CMU win probability +7.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:09: Jahray Hayes run for 4 yds to the CMich 44 — CMU win probability +6.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 8 of 10CMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:34CMU 4th & 16 at CMU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:43AKR 4th & 24 at CMU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    44.4%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:40CMU 4th & 5 at CMU 45, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:35AKR 4th & 11 at AKR 34, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−1.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:52CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 22, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−1.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:57AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 46, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:23CMU 4th & 12 at CMU 13, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%−2.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:41AKR 4th & 6 at CMU 44, down 1
    Close callPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    47.2%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.1%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:53AKR 4th & 17 at CMU 39, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−1.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    31.2%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:25AKR 4th & 11 at CMU 44, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−1.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    25.8%−1.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:52CMU 4th & 8 at AKR 49, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:55AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 18, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:25CMU 4th & 24 at CMU 21, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−6.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:42AKR 4th & 8 at CMU 42, down 8
    Close callPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    19.6%−1.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:33CMU 4th & 6 at CMU 32, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−1.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:43AKR 4th & 18 at AKR 14, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−1.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:57CMU 4th & 10 at AKR 48, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 13:46CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:49AKR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    45.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:59CMU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
37.5%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 6 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
37.5%
Conor Hundley run for 1 yd to the Akron 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
37.5%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
37.5%
Zach Paul punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
38.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 11 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-4
37.9%
Cooper Rush run for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 39 Cooper Rush fumbled, recovered by CMich Cooper RushSimilar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 14
OWN 39
+2
38.0%
Cooper Rush run for 2 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 12
OWN 41
+5
38.0%
RUSH, Cooper pass complete to McCORD, Ben for 11 yards to the AKRON48 (EVANS, Dylan;SENTER, John), PENALTY AKRON offside 5 yards to the CMU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 7
OWN 46
-9
37.9%
Cooper Rush sacked by Jatavis Brown for a loss of 9 yards to the CMich 37Similar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 16
OWN 37
-2
38.1%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 55 yds , A.J. Coney returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3MISSED FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 6:4339% → 41%
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
39.1%
Conor Hundley run for 2 yds to the Akron 8Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+5
39.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Josh McNeil for 5 yds to the Akron 13Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 3
OWN 13
+5
38.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Andrew Pratt for 5 yds to the Akron 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
39.2%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Josh McNeil, broken up by Malik FountainSimilar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+7
39.2%
Conor Hundley run for 7 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+15
39.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 15 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+23
39.5%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 23 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
39.8%
Conor Hundley run for 4 yds to the CMich 33Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+16
39.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Richie Cooper for 16 yds to the CMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
39.9%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the CMich 12Similar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 5
OPP 12
-3
39.9%
Conor Hundley run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 15Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+2
39.9%
Thomas Woodson run for 2 yds to the CMich 13Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 6
OPP 13
-9
39.7%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Blake Serpa for a loss of 9 yards to the CMich 31 Thomas Woodson fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 3:43
4TH & 24
OPP 31
+48
40.9%
Robert Stein 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 4:5759% → 65%
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
41.0%
Romello Ross run for 3 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
40.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Romello Ross for no gain to the CMich 34Similar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+11
41.4%
Cooper Rush run for 11 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
40.3%
Martez Walker run for 1 yd to the CMich 46Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+37
40.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 37 yds to the Akron 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
39.6%
Corey Willis run for 7 yds to the Akron 10Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+2
39.6%
Martez Walker run for 2 yds to the Akron 8Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+4
40.4%
HAYES, Jahray rush for loss of 3 yards to the AKRON11 (PITTMAN, Se'Von), PENALTY AKRON offside 4 yards to the AKRON4, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
39.9%
Jahray Hayes run for 2 yds to the Akron 2Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
34.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Joe Bacci for 2 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:5237% → 43%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
36.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Richie Cooper for 15 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
37.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Newman Williams for 5 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-1
38.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Richie Cooper for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 43Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+57
43.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 57 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
41.6%
RUSH, Cooper pass incomplete to CHAPMAN, Mark (SENTER, John), PENALTY AKRON personal foul 15 yards to the CMU40, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
40.3%
Martez Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 38Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+7
41.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 7 yds to the CMich 45Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
40.4%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:40
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
41.9%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 43 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the Akron 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:2643% → 41%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
42.8%
Conor Hundley run for 4 yds to the Akron 16Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 6
OWN 16
0
42.8%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Imani DavisSimilar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+19
42.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 19 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
43.2%
Thomas Woodson run for 1 yd to the Akron 36Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-1
43.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Andrew Pratt for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 35Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-1
41.5%
Thomas Woodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 34Similar
Q2 7:35
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
41.0%
Zach Paul punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0059% → 57%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
40.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Romello Ross for 3 yds to the CMich 22Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 7
OWN 22
0
40.8%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
41.7%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:52
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
42.6%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 36 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the Akron 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0045% → 42%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
45.1%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Jerome LaneSimilar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-1
43.8%
Conor Hundley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 41Similar
Q2 5:57
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+5
42.4%
Conor Hundley run for 5 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q2 5:57
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
42.3%
Zach Paul punt for 50 yds, downed at the CMich 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+6
41.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 6 yds to the CMich 10Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 4
OWN 10
+1
41.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Martez Walker for 1 yd to the CMich 11Similar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+4
42.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 4 yds to the CMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
41.3%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse Kroll, broken up by Zach GuiserSimilar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-2
41.6%
Martez Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 13Similar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 12
OWN 13
0
42.5%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Corey Willis, broken up by DeAndre ScottSimilar
Q2 4:23
4TH & 12
OWN 13
+8
43.3%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 43 yds , A.J. Coney returns for 8 yds to the CMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:5147% → 45%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
47.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 5 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 5
OPP 43
-7
47.1%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Blake Serpa for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard line Thomas Woodson fumbled, , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 12
50
+6
43.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Andrew Pratt for 6 yds to the CMich 44Similar
Q2 0:41
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
44.7%
Zach Paul punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -10 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
41.6%
Cooper Rush sacked by Rodney Coe for a loss of 10 yards to the CMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0158% → 74%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
42.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 18 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
40.2%
Martez Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+12
40.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 12 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
39.5%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Anthony RiceSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+27
39.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 27 yds to the Akron 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
38.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 5 yds to the Akron 14Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+14
26.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 14 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
29.8%
Thomas Woodson run for 5 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+28
30.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Anthony Young for 13 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST down CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the CMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
33.2%
Conor Hundley run for 12 yds to the CMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
34.6%
Conor Hundley run for a loss of 5 yards to the CMich 37Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 15
OPP 37
-2
31.6%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Kelby Latta for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 39Similar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 17
OPP 39
0
30.4%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Andrew Pratt, broken up by Emmitt ThomasSimilar
Q3 11:53
4TH & 17
OPP 39
0
28.8%
Zach Paul punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15INT
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:0073% → 75%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
27.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Romello Ross for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 17Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+12
28.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 12 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
27.0%
Jahray Hayes run for 2 yds to the CMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
26.7%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse KrollSimilar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+7
27.2%
Cooper Rush run for 7 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+16
26.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 16 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
25.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 3 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
25.1%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete, broken up by Rodney CoeSimilar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
25.4%
Cooper Rush pass intercepted Jordan George return for no gain to the Akron 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
25.4%
Conor Hundley run for 5 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
26.1%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 9 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
26.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 18 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
29.4%
Van Edwards Jr. run for no gain to the CMich 43Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
28.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 4 yds to the CMich 39Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
28.9%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Imani Davis, broken up by Nate Brisson-FastSimilar
Q3 4:25
4TH & 6
OPP 39
-5
26.5%
AKRON Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the CMich 44Similar
Q3 4:25
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
24.9%
Zach Paul punt for 35 yds, downed at the CMich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 42 yds · 2:5377% → 80%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
23.3%
Jahray Hayes run for 1 yd to the CMich 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+18
23.1%
Cooper Rush run for 18 yds to the CMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
21.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 2 yds to the CMich 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+19
21.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 19 yds to the CMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
20.1%
HAYES, Jahray rush for 1 yard to the 50 yardline (MONROE, Darryl), PENALTY CMU holding 10 yards to the CMU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 39
0
21.5%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 20
OWN 39
+12
18.8%
Cooper Rush run for 12 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q4 12:52
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
17.4%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse KrollSimilar
Q4 12:52
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
19.8%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 31 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the Akron 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0022% → 20%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
22.1%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Richie CooperSimilar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
22.1%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
20.8%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:55
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
19.9%
Zach Paul punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Emmitt Thomas at the CMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 0:0081% → 79%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
18.6%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-10
18.7%
RUSH, Cooper pass complete to McCORD, Ben for 10 yards to the CMU45 (MARCUS, Jamal), PENALTY CMU holding 10 yards to the CMU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 20
OWN 25
0
19.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Romello RossSimilar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 20
OWN 25
-4
20.2%
RUSH, Cooper pass incomplete to WILLIS, Corey, PENALTY CMU illegal forward pass 4 yards to the CMU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 24
OWN 21
0
21.2%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 35 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the Akron 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0025% → 23%
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
24.6%
Conor Hundley run for 3 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+9
25.5%
Thomas Woodson run for 9 yds to the CMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
26.5%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 6 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+1
26.7%
Thomas Woodson run for 1 yd to the CMich 37Similar
Q4 10:42
3RD & 3
OPP 37
-5
26.5%
AKRON Penalty, (-5 Yards) to the CMich 42Similar
Q4 10:42
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
25.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Andrew Pratt, broken up by Emmitt ThomasSimilar
Q4 10:42
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
22.5%
Zach Paul punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:1185% → 89%
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
14.8%
Jahray Hayes run for 1 yd to the CMich 16Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+12
14.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 12 yds to the CMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
14.2%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Ben McCord, broken up by Se'Von PittmanSimilar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-6
10.8%
Cooper Rush sacked by Rodney Coe for a loss of 6 yards to the CMich 22Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 16
OWN 22
+10
11.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 10 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q4 5:33
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
11.1%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 46 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the Akron 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0014% → 12%
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
13.6%
Thomas Woodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 21Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 11
OWN 21
0
13.2%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to A.J. ConeySimilar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 11
OWN 21
-7
12.6%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Tyree Waller for a loss of 7 yards to the Akron 14Similar
Q4 4:43
4TH & 18
OWN 14
+7
11.9%
Zach Paul punt for 53 yds , Emmitt Thomas returns for 7 yds to the CMich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:1294% → 97%
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
5.7%
Jahray Hayes run for 4 yds to the CMich 44Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+8
5.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 8 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
5.3%
Jahray Hayes run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 49Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 11
OPP 49
0
5.4%
Jahray Hayes run for no gain to the Akron 49Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+1
3.1%
Jahray Hayes run for 1 yd to the Akron 48Similar
Q4 0:57
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
3.3%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 44 yds, downed at the Akron 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24INT
7 plays · 36 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+7
3.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 7 yds to the Akron 11Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 3
OWN 11
0
3.8%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to A.J. ConeySimilar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+8
3.5%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 8 yds to the Akron 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
3.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Andrew Pratt for 15 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
4.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 6 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
4.9%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
4.4%
Thomas Woodson pass intercepted Tony Annese return for no gain to the CMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:59
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 14 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)
-12.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 7:44
Jahray Hayes run for 1 yd to the CMich 16
-7.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:09
Jahray Hayes run for 4 yds to the CMich 44
-6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com