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WMU

Western Michigan 58 at Eastern Michigan 28

EMU
2015 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2015 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.4EMU 10.6%Andrew Haldeman 42 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 7 · Q1 9:16
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:16 · Andrew Haldeman 42 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 17Pregame prior−40.7Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:38: Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for 16 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK) — EMU win probability +1.9 pts (now 10%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:47: Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +6.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:58: Brogan Roback pass complete to Dustin Creel for 16 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK) — EMU win probability +5.2 pts (now 18%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:24: Jarvion Franklin run for 24 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +5.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:04: Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +4.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:16WMU 4th & 6 at EMU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    85.5%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:38WMU 4th & 7 at EMU 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    84.9%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00EMU 4th & 9 at EMU 32, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:20WMU 4th & 3 at EMU 3, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.5%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    80.9%−3.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:16EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 45, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:13WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 44, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:14WMU 4th & 2 at EMU 18, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    89.7%−0.7
    79% to make
    Punt
    85.5%−4.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:17EMU 4th & 3 at midfield, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:17EMU 4th & 5 at WMU 5, down 30
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:43EMU 4th & 15 at WMU 34, down 37
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:38EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:46WMU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:47WMU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:58EMU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:24WMU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:04WMU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:09WMU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:59EMU Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:39WMU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:51WMU Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 3:14EMU Touchdown, down 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 3:228% → 10%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
8.1%
Shaq Vann run for 9 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 26
-1
8.1%
Darius Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+13
8.1%
Brogan Roback run for 13 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+19
8.1%
Darius Jackson run for 19 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
8.1%
Darius Jackson run for no gain to the WMich 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+21
8.1%
Brogan Roback run for 21 yds to the WMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
8.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 6 yds to the WMich 16Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+16
10.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for 16 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2FG
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:1290% → 89%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
9.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 15 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
9.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the EMich 28Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 9
OPP 28
-2
9.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 30Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+5
9.8%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (Luke Maclean) to the EMich 25Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
9.8%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 9:16
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+42
10.6%
Andrew Haldeman 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3190% → 89%
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-8
10.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 8 yards to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 18
OPP 34
+11
10.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 11 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
10.5%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel Braverman, broken up by Anthony BrownSimilar
Q1 7:38
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+41
11.2%
Andrew Haldeman 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5INT
12 plays · 54 yds · 0:0011% → 12%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
11.3%
Darius Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMich 15Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+6
11.3%
Shaq Vann run for 6 yds to the EMich 21Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+7
11.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sam Browning for 7 yds to the EMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
11.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie Daugherty, broken up by Austin LewisSimilar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+11
11.3%
Brogan Roback run for 11 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
11.5%
Darius Jackson run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
50
+1
11.7%
Darius Jackson run for 1 yd to the WMich 49Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+22
11.7%
Darius Jackson run for 22 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-4
11.8%
Brogan Roback run for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 32 Brogan Roback fumbled, recovered by EMich Brogan RobackSimilar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 15
OPP 32
0
11.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie Daugherty, broken up by Rontavious AtkinsSimilar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 15
OPP 32
+25
11.5%
Brogan Roback pass intercepted Asantay Brown return for 25 yds to the WMich 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 2:1886% → 88%
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
13.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 11 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+33
13.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 33 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
12.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+20
12.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 20 yds to the EMich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
11.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:4012% → 12%
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
12.4%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+10
12.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 10 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
12.8%
ROBACK, Brogan pass incomplete to DAUGHERTY, Eddie, PENALTY EMU holding (THORNTON, Matt) 10 yards to the EMU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 21
0
12.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Cody TuttleSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 21
0
12.5%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Cody TuttleSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 21
+11
12.3%
Brogan Roback run for 11 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
12.3%
Austin Barnes punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 4:0788% → 87%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
12.2%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel BravermanSimilar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+10
12.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for 10 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+32
12.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 32 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
11.9%
Zach Terrell run for 6 yds to the EMich 11Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+9
11.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 9 yds to the EMich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
11.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 5Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
11.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the EMich 3Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
12.0%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis, broken up by DaQuan PaceSimilar
Q2 9:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
12.7%
Andrew Haldeman 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
12.4%
Shaq Vann run for 13 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
12.6%
Darius Jackson run for no gain to the EMich 34Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+11
12.5%
Reginald Bell run for 11 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
13.0%
Darius Jackson run for no gain to the EMich 45Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
12.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie Daugherty, broken up by Rontavious AtkinsSimilar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
12.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Kris StrangeSimilar
Q2 9:16
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
12.2%
Austin Barnes punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10TD
11 plays · 86 yds · 5:3287% → 93%
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
12.8%
TERRELL, Zach pass complete to DAVIS, Corey for 25 yards to the WMU39 (PACE, DaQuan), PENALTY WMU illegal procedure 5 yards to the WMU9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 15
OWN 9
+6
12.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 6 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+15
12.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 15 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
12.3%
Zach Terrell run for 3 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
12.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q2 7:19
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+15
12.1%
Zach Terrell run for 15 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
11.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+20
13.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 20 yds to the EMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+18
12.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 18 yds to the EMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
6.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 0:4110% → 18%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+30
9.7%
Shaq Vann run for 30 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+17
10.8%
Darius Jackson run for 17 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
11.3%
Darius Jackson run for 13 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
17.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dustin Creel for 16 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:3987% → 87%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
13.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 2 yds Daniel Braverman fumbled, forced by Nathan Adams, recovered by WMich Zach Terrell , return for 3 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+8
14.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Fabian Johnson for 8 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
12.8%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel Braverman, broken up by Devon RussellSimilar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
13.3%
J. Schroeder punt for 45 yds, downed at the EMich 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 51 yds · 0:3187% → 92%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+27
13.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 27 yds to the EMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
7.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 24 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
9.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for 4 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 6
OWN 26
-1
9.7%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 25Similar
Q3 14:18
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
9.4%
Brogan Roback pass intercepted Ronald Zamort return for no gain to the EMich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:1093% → 97%
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
7.3%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+6
7.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the EMich 20Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+2
7.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the EMich 18Similar
Q3 13:14
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+6
8.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the EMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
7.3%
Zach Terrell run for 10 yds to the EMich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
3.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
5.3%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
5.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dustin CreelSimilar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+10
5.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Cody Tuttle for 10 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
5.7%
Brogan Roback run for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 42 Brogan Roback fumbled, recovered by WMich Jarrell McKinneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17TD
2 plays · 42 yds · 0:4197% → 98%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
3.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 11 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
1.8%
Zach Terrell run for 31 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:033% → 3%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
2.8%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 16Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+27
2.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Kris Strange for 27 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
2.9%
Darius Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
2.8%
Darius Jackson run for no gain to the EMich 46Similar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+4
2.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dustin Creel for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:17
4TH & 3
50
+11
1.5%
Shaq Vann run for 11 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
1.5%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 41Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+41
3.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dustin Creel for 41 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 6:0998% → 100%
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
1.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 8 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+6
1.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 6 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
1.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+5
1.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 5 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+3
1.7%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
1.7%
FRANKLIN, Jarvion rush for loss of 3 yards to the WMU38 (BECK, Jason), PENALTY WMU holding 10 yards to the WMU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+27
1.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 27 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
1.7%
Zach Terrell run for 7 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+22
1.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 22 yds to the EMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
1.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the EMich 12Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+12
0.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 12 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20MISSED FG
13 plays · 68 yds · 4:130% → 0%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
0.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 26Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 11
OWN 26
0
0.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sam Browning, broken up by Rontavious AtkinsSimilar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+48
0.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 48 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
0.5%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+12
0.5%
ROBACK, Brogan rush for loss of 9 yards to the WMU33 (PHILLIPS, Darius), PENALTY WMU personal foul (PHILLIPS, Darius) 12 yards to the WMU12, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
0.5%
Darius Jackson run for 4 yds to the WMich 8Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+7
0.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for 7 yds to the WMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.3%
Brogan Roback run for no gain to the WMich 1Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
0.3%
Darius Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 5Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
0.3%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Shaq VannSimilar
Q4 9:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
0.2%
Dylan Mulder 22 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:26100% → 100%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
0.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 6 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+10
0.2%
Tom Flacco run for 10 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
0.2%
Tom Flacco pass complete to Michael Henry for 64 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22TD
13 plays · 76 yds · 4:290% → 0%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
0.1%
Darius Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+9
0.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dustin Creel for 9 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
0.1%
Darius Jackson run for 8 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+8
0.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Austin Stone for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
50
+9
0.1%
Shaq Vann run for 9 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+12
0.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dustin Creel for 12 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
0.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Kris Strange for 6 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 4
OPP 23
-5
0.1%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Kris Strange) to the WMich 28Similar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 9
OPP 28
-6
0.1%
Brogan Roback run for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 34Similar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 15
OPP 34
0
0.1%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Cody TuttleSimilar
Q4 7:43
4TH & 15
OPP 34
+33
0.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Cody Tuttle for 33 yds to the WMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
Brogan Roback run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23END OF GAME
6 plays · 65 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
0.1%
Tom Flacco run for 10 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
0.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+5
0.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+37
0.1%
Tom Flacco run for 37 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
0.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 9 yds to the EMich 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:47
Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
-6.3
TD · Q3 14:24
Jarvion Franklin run for 24 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
-5.8
TD · Q2 0:58
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dustin Creel for 16 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)
+5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com