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M-OH

Miami (OH) 13 at Western Michigan 35

WMU
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · J. Schroeder punt for 66 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Pregame prior+13.9Home team on offense+21.8Score differential+9.9Garbage-time factor+10.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:51: Gus Ragland run for 8 yds for a TD WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined, (Kaleb Patterson KICK) — M-OH win probability +1.0 pts (now 9%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:42: Jamauri Bogan run for 17 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +4.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:43: Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +5.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 7:02: Kaleb Patterson 38 yd FG GOOD — M-OH win probability +1.5 pts (now 7%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:11: Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +1.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6M-OH made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 10:51WMU 4th & 19 at M-OH 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    88.8%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:44M-OH 4th & 4 at WMU 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.8%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:47M-OH 4th & 5 at WMU 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    16.3%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    16.2%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:42WMU 4th & 1 at M-OH 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.9%−0.9
    80% to make
    Punt
    80.6%−3.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:42M-OH 4th & 13 at M-OH 36, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:29WMU 4th & 5 at M-OH 35, up 11
    Close callPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    88.7%−0.2
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:24M-OH 4th & 10 at M-OH 2, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−1.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:02M-OH 4th & 18 at WMU 21, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−1.3
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−3.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:02WMU 4th & 5 at WMU 46, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:40M-OH 4th & 4 at M-OH 43, down 15
    Close callPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00WMU 4th & 7 at WMU 34, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:47M-OH 4th & 19 at M-OH 11, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−1.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:41WMU 4th & 1 at M-OH 16, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.7%−1.0
    81% to make
    Punt
    91.7%−3.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:44M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 20, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:11M-OH 4th & 9 at WMU 37, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5M-OH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:31WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:51M-OH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:04WMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:42WMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:43WMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:11WMU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · -17 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
92.4%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
92.4%
Leonard Ross run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
92.4%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Chris Hudson, broken up by Ronald ZamortSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-7
92.4%
Billy Bahl sacked by Asantay Brown for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaOh 8 Billy Bahl fumbled, recovered by WMich Jamar Simpkins , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:4292% → 92%
Q1 14:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
92.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 6Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
92.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 6 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 2:408% → 9%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
92.2%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 13Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 15
OWN 13
0
92.2%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 15
OWN 13
+18
92.2%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 18 yds to the MiaOh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
92.2%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 5
OWN 36
+38
92.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 38 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+18
92.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Ryan Smith for 18 yds to the WMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
91.1%
Gus Ragland run for 8 yds for a TD WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
91.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 7 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
91.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+12
91.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 12 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
91.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+16
91.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 16 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
91.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 8
OPP 35
-11
91.6%
Zach Terrell sacked by JT Jones and Ikeem Allen for a loss of 11 yards to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 19
OPP 46
0
91.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for no gain to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q1 10:51
4TH & 19
OPP 46
0
91.3%
J. Schroeder punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5FG
5 plays · 66 yds · 2:2410% → 12%
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+60
89.8%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 60 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
89.4%
Gus Ragland run for 3 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+4
89.4%
Rokeem Williams run for 4 yds to the WMich 13Similar
Q1 6:08
3RD & 3
OPP 13
-1
89.5%
Kenny Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 14Similar
Q1 3:44
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+31
88.5%
Kaleb Patterson 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 5:4089% → 89%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
88.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+25
88.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 25 yds to the MiaOh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
89.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+1
89.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 1 yd to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+5
89.0%
Zach Terrell run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
89.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+6
87.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Kendrick Roberts for 6 yds to the MiaOh 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
87.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
87.9%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
87.9%
Zach Terrell run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 6Similar
Q2 13:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
88.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 6 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7DOWNS
12 plays · 39 yds · 4:1712% → 13%
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.9%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 5 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
87.7%
Kenny Young run for no gain to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+18
88.0%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Billy Bahl for 18 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
87.2%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
87.3%
Maurice Thomas run for 9 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
87.0%
Gus Ragland run for 2 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
87.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+6
87.1%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Kenny Young for 6 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 2
OPP 33
-3
87.0%
Leonard Ross run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 36Similar
Q2 8:47
4TH & 5
OPP 36
0
86.7%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem Williams, broken up by Asantay BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 3:5887% → 90%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
87.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 21 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
87.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 9
OPP 42
-15
87.9%
TERRELL, Zach pass complete to DAVIS, Corey for 10 yards to the MIAMI32 (MOSES, Paul), PENALTY WMU pass interference (DAVIS, Corey) 15 yards to the WMU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 24
OWN 43
+31
87.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 31 yds to the MiaOh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
88.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+4
88.2%
Zach Terrell run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+2
87.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q2 8:40
4TH & 1
OPP 17
-4
87.4%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q2 4:46
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+4
86.1%
MIAMI OH Penalty, offside defense (JT Jones) to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q2 4:42
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+17
90.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 17 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
90.5%
Leonard Ross run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 13
OWN 36
0
90.9%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Sam Martin, broken up by Ronald ZamortSimilar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 13
OWN 36
0
91.1%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q2 4:42
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
91.3%
Christian Koch punt for 53 yds, downed at the WMich 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10PUNT
14 plays · 54 yds · 1:0590% → 91%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
90.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 1 yd to the WMich 12Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+22
90.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 22 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-6
90.4%
Zach Terrell sacked by Ikeem Allen for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 28Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 16
OWN 28
+6
91.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 6 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+15
91.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 15 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
91.8%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+11
91.7%
Zach Terrell run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
91.8%
Zach Terrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
91.8%
MIAMI OH Penalty, offside defense (Ikeem Allen) to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
92.0%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel BravermanSimilar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
91.8%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Carrington Thompson WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 2:29
4TH & 5
OPP 35
0
91.3%
J. Schroeder punt for 33 yds, downed at the MiaOh 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:538% → 8%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
91.9%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 2Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 2
-1
92.0%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 11
OWN 1
+1
92.4%
Gus Ragland run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 2Similar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 10
OWN 2
0
92.5%
Christian Koch punt for 40 yds , Daniel Braverman returns for no gain to the MiaOh 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
92.1%
Zach Terrell sacked by JT Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13TD
13 plays · 78 yds · 5:1790% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+18
90.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 18 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
90.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+7
91.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
91.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+3
91.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+5
90.7%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
91.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 11 yds to the MiaOh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
91.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 7 yds to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+1
91.0%
Zach Terrell run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 13Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+4
90.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
91.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14FG
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:415% → 7%
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
94.8%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Ryan Smith for 16 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+32
94.7%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 32 yds to the WMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
94.1%
Gus Ragland run for 2 yds to the WMich 11Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
94.1%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Jared Murphy, broken up by Rontavious AtkinsSimilar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 8
OPP 11
-10
94.5%
Billy Bahl sacked by Keion Adams and Robert Spillane for a loss of 10 yards to the WMich 21Similar
Q3 7:02
4TH & 18
OPP 21
+38
93.0%
Kaleb Patterson 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
93.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 16 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
94.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+4
94.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 4 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 2
OWN 49
-3
93.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 46Similar
Q3 7:02
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
93.6%
J. Schroeder punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.3%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Alonzo SmithSimilar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
93.6%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 10 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
92.8%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
93.0%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 6 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
92.9%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q3 4:40
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+47
93.1%
Christian Koch punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Daniel Braverman at the WESTMICH 19 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Robert Spillane) to the WMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:2495% → 95%
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-2
95.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 8Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 12
OWN 8
+13
95.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 13 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
95.5%
TERRELL, Zach pass intercepted by BIRDSALL, Bert at the MIAMI41, BIRDSALL, Bert return to the MIAMI48, out-of-bounds (BRAVERMAN, D), PENALTY MIAMI holding (BIRDSALL, Bert) 10 yards to the WMU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
95.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 30Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+4
95.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
95.7%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
95.3%
J. Schroeder punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
94.6%
Kenny Young run for no gain to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
94.6%
Maurice Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 11
OWN 19
-8
94.8%
Billy Bahl sacked by Robert Spillane for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 19
OWN 11
0
94.9%
Christian Koch punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Daniel Braverman at the MiaOh 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
96.4%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel BravermanSimilar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+11
96.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 11 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
96.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+6
96.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+5
96.3%
MIAMI OH Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
96.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+2
96.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+3
96.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q4 12:41
4TH & 1
OPP 16
-1
95.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
95.8%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Chris HudsonSimilar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-1
95.9%
Leonard Ross run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 11
OWN 16
+4
96.0%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Kenny Young for 4 yds to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q4 8:44
4TH & 7
OWN 20
0
96.1%
Christian Koch punt for 32 yds, downed at the WMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21TD
12 plays · 52 yds · 5:0197% → 100%
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
97.1%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+12
97.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 12 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
97.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+9
97.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 9 yds to the MiaOh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
97.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 9 yds to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+6
97.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
97.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+4
97.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 7Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+4
97.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
97.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22FUMBLE
10 plays · 37 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.5%
Maurice Thomas run for 30 yds to the WESTMICH 45 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Nate Becker) to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
99.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.4%
Billy Bahl run for 3 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+9
99.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 9 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.4%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Alonzo SmithSimilar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-5
99.4%
BAHL, Billy pass complete to GARDNER, James for 22 yards to the WMU16 (BROWN, Asantay;ATKINS, R), PENALTY MIAMI ineligible downfield on pass (SMITH, Alonzo) 5 yards to the WMU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+6
99.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 6 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
99.4%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Alonzo SmithSimilar
Q4 2:11
4TH & 9
OPP 37
-5
99.4%
Billy Bahl sacked by Jarrell McKinney for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 38 Billy Bahl fumbled, forced by Darius Phillips, recovered by WMich , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:43
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
+5.4
TD · Q2 4:42
Jamauri Bogan run for 17 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
+4.1
TD · Q4 2:11
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com