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CMU

Central Michigan 23 at Ball State 21

BALL
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:55 · Ron Coluzzi punt for 43 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 49Pregame prior−13.7Home team on offense−1.7Score differential−1.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:00: James Gilbert run for 1 yd for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +14.6 pts (now 56%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:33: Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 4 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +15.7 pts (now 66%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 10:37: Brian Eavey 47 yd FG GOOD — CMU win probability +10.8 pts (now 76%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:24: Ron Coluzzi kickoff for 54 yds , KeVonn Mabon return for 89 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +34.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. FG · Q4 5:30: Brian Eavey 34 yd FG GOOD — CMU win probability +19.1 pts (now 68%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 8 of 10CMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 12:06BALL 4th & 6 at BALL 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:38CMU 4th & 2 at BALL 11, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.3%−0.3
    87% to make
    Punt
    62.4%−2.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:31BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:55CMU 4th & 8 at BALL 43, up 3
    Close callPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    60.6%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:54BALL 4th & 4 at BALL 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:18CMU 4th & 2 at CMU 39, up 3
    Close callPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:02BALL 4th & 2 at CMU 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    40.2%−0.9
    75% to make
    Punt
    34.3%−6.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:50CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 17, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00BALL 4th & 5 at BALL 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:37CMU 4th & 17 at BALL 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−1.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    45.9%−1.0
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:34BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 19, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%−2.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:25BALL 4th & 5 at BALL 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−1.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:15CMU 4th & 2 at midfield, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%−2.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00BALL 4th & 6 at BALL 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−1.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:37CMU 4th & 7 at BALL 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    61.6%−3.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:30CMU 4th & 1 at BALL 17, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−0.7
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    27.9%−18.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:30BALL 4th & 2 at midfield, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.4%−6.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:25BALL 4th & 9 at BALL 45, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.2%−3.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:12CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:00BALL Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:00BALL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:33CMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:24BALL Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.1%−1.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4868% → 68%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
32.3%
Martez Walker run for 12 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
32.3%
Martez Walker run for 3 yds to the CMich 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+10
32.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+41
32.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 41 yds to the BalSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
32.3%
Martez Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 10Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
32.3%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 15Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
32.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 15 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
32.6%
Darian Green run for no gain to the BalSt 23Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+4
32.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 4 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
32.5%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q1 12:06
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
32.4%
Alex Egan punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 5:3068% → 68%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
32.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 1 yd to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, personal foul (Aaron Taylor) to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
32.2%
Romello Ross run for 7 yds to the BalSt 38Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+2
32.2%
Romello Ross run for 2 yds to the BalSt 36Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+2
32.3%
Martez Walker run for 2 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
32.2%
Martez Walker run for 1 yd to the BalSt 33Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+14
32.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 14 yds to the BalSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-8
32.2%
Martez Walker run for 2 yds to the BalSt 17 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, illegal block (Nick Beamish) to the BalSt 27Similar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 18
OPP 27
+6
32.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Eric Cooper for 6 yds to the BalSt 21Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+9
32.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Eric Cooper for 9 yds to the BalSt 12Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+1
32.3%
Martez Walker run for 1 yd to the BalSt 11Similar
Q1 5:38
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+29
32.1%
Brian Eavey 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
32.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Darian Green for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 14Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+4
32.5%
Darian Green run for 4 yds to the BalSt 18Similar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+1
32.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jordan Williams for 1 yd to the BalSt 19Similar
Q1 5:31
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
32.0%
Alex Egan punt for 47 yds, downed at the CMich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
32.0%
Jay Roberson run for 3 yds to the CMich 37Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+5
31.8%
RUSH, Cooper pass complete to McCORD, Ben for 7 yards to the CMU44 (WIGGINS, Sean), PENALTY BALL offside defense (AYERS, Michael) 5 yards to the CMU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+17
31.7%
Jay Roberson run for 17 yds to the BalSt 39 Jay Roberson fumbled, forced by Sean Wiggins, recovered by BalSt Sean WigginsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:4932% → 39%
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
32.2%
James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+4
32.5%
James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
32.6%
Riley Neal run for 9 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+2
32.8%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
32.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 3 yds to the CMich 37Similar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+9
32.8%
Riley Neal run for 9 yds to the CMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
33.3%
James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the CMich 22Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+22
38.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 22 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+20
36.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Martez Walker for 20 yds to the CMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
35.2%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 39Similar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 15
OWN 39
+16
35.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 16 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
34.9%
Martez Walker run for 2 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+5
34.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 5 yds to the BalSt 38Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 3
OPP 38
-5
34.9%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (Derek Edwards) to the BalSt 43Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
35.2%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Martez Walker, broken up by Zack RyanSimilar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
36.3%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 0:0037% → 38%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
37.4%
Darian Green run for 6 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+4
37.7%
Darian Green run for 4 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
37.6%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+11
37.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Chris Shillings for 11 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
39.0%
GREEN, Darian rush for 6 yards to the BALL47 (FRAZIER, Kavon), PENALTY CMU offside defense (LATTA, Kelby) 5 yards to the BALL46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 5
OWN 46
-10
39.3%
GREEN, Darian rush for 3 yards to the BALL49 (RICKETTS, N.;KANTZAVELOS, C.), PENALTY BALL holding (HARVEY, Jeremi.) 10 yards to the BALL36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 15
OWN 36
0
37.6%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to KeVonn MabonSimilar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+11
37.5%
Darian Green run for 11 yds to the BalSt 47Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
38.7%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
38.0%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 35 yds, downed at the CMich 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
37.3%
Martez Walker run for 4 yds to the CMich 22Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+9
37.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 9 yds to the CMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
37.0%
Romello Ross run for 3 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+5
36.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Romello Ross for 5 yds to the CMich 39Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 2
OWN 39
0
36.2%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse Kroll, broken up by Joshua PosleySimilar
Q2 9:18
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
37.6%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10FUMBLE
10 plays · 57 yds · 0:4938% → 43%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
37.8%
Darian Green run for 2 yds to the BalSt 37Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
38.2%
Darian Green run for 7 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+18
40.3%
James Gilbert run for 18 yds to the BALLST 38 for a 1ST down CENTRAL MICH Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
41.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jordan Williams for 10 yds to the CMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
42.6%
Riley Neal run for 1 yd to the CMich 27Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+4
42.6%
James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the CMich 23Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+3
41.3%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the CMich 20Similar
Q2 6:02
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+9
40.2%
James Gilbert run for 9 yds to the CMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
42.6%
Riley Neal run for 3 yds to the CMich 8 Riley Neal fumbled, forced by Kavon Frazier, recovered by CMich Kavon FrazierSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1461% → 61%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
39.3%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+1
39.5%
Martez Walker run for 1 yd to the CMich 9Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+8
40.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Martez Walker for 8 yds to the CMich 17Similar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 1
OWN 17
+2
38.9%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 48 yds , Corey Lacanaria returns for 2 yds to the BalSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12TD
14 plays · 63 yds · 1:4138% → 56%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
38.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Darian Green for 5 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+9
40.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 9 yds to the CMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
40.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 4 yds to the CMich 45Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+29
40.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jordan Williams for 29 yds to the CMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
42.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to Teddy Williamson for 7 yds to the CMich 9Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+7
42.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 7 yds to the CMich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
42.5%
Teddy Williamson run for 1 yd to the CMich 1Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
40.8%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
38.8%
NEAL, Riley pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, Jord., PENALTY CMU pass interference (COLEMAN, Amari) 0 yards to the CMU1, 1ST DOWN BALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
41.2%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
55.8%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0051% → 49%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
50.7%
Darian Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
50.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jordan Williams for 6 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
49.9%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to KeVonn MabonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
48.6%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 50 yds, downed at the CMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+45
50.9%
Martez Walker run for 45 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
46.0%
ROSS, Romello rush for no gain to the BALL35 (BAILEY, Avery;CONAWAY, Darius), PENALTY CMU holding (McCORD, Ben) 10 yards to the BALL45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 20
OPP 45
-5
48.7%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (Nick Beamish) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 25
50
+6
49.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Romello Ross for 6 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 19
OPP 44
-5
49.2%
Cooper Rush sacked by Lamont McPhatter for a loss of 5 yards to the BalSt 49Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 24
OPP 49
+7
50.5%
Cooper Rush run for 7 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q3 13:37
4TH & 17
OPP 42
0
51.9%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Corey Lacanaria at the BalSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0056% → 54%
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
55.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 7 yds to the BalSt 17Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 3
OWN 17
0
56.0%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to KeVonn Mabon, broken up by Blake SerpaSimilar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+2
54.5%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the BalSt 19Similar
Q3 10:34
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
53.9%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 37 yds, downed at the CMich 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 56 yds · 4:4248% → 66%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
52.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 13 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
51.2%
Martez Walker run for 2 yds to the BalSt 41Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+6
51.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 6 yds to the BalSt 35Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+5
51.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 5 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
49.9%
RUSH, Cooper pass incomplete to WILLIS, Corey, PENALTY BALL holding (CONAWAY, Darius) 10 yards to the BALL20, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
49.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 6 yds to the BalSt 14Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+5
49.5%
Martez Walker run for 5 yds to the BalSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
49.5%
Martez Walker run for 1 yd to the BalSt 8Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
49.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 4 yds to the BalSt 4Similar
Q3 4:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
33.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 4 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0039% → 37%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
39.2%
Darian Green run for 3 yds to the BalSt 18Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+2
39.3%
Darian Green run for 2 yds to the BalSt 20Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
37.7%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to KeVonn Mabon, broken up by Stefon ArmsteadSimilar
Q3 4:25
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
36.8%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 38 yds , Emmitt Thomas returns for no gain to the CMich 42 Emmitt Thomas fumbled, recovered by CMich Emmitt ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
34.7%
Corey Willis run for 6 yds to the CMich 48Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+2
34.4%
Martez Walker run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 2
50
0
34.5%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Anthony Rice, broken up by Sean Wiggins CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 3:15
4TH & 2
50
0
36.5%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Corey Lacanaria at the BalSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4940% → 37%
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
39.8%
James Gilbert run for no gain to the BalSt 21Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-1
39.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 20Similar
Q3 1:49
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+5
37.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 5 yds to the BalSt 25Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
37.4%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Emmitt Thomas at the CMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20FG
10 plays · 33 yds · 4:1864% → 76%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
36.2%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
36.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 9 yds to the CMich 46Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
35.0%
Martez Walker run for 1 yd to the CMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
34.5%
Martez Walker run for 1 yd to the CMich 48Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+19
34.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 19 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
32.6%
Romello Ross run for 1 yd to the BalSt 32Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 32
-5
32.8%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 37Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 14
OPP 37
+7
34.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 7 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
34.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Ben McCord, broken up by Martez HesterSimilar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+47
23.7%
Brian Eavey 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 4:4343% → 68%
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
56.7%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Ben McCordSimilar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-8
57.5%
Cooper Rush sacked by Joshua Posley for a loss of 8 yards to the CMich 20Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 18
OWN 20
+19
59.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Martez Walker for 19 yds to the CMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+24
54.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 24 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
51.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Romello Ross for 4 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
49.6%
Jesse Kroll pass incomplete to Corey Willis, broken up by Sean WigginsSimilar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+7
52.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 7 yds to the BalSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
49.6%
Martez Walker run for 2 yds to the BalSt 24Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+5
49.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Martez Walker for 5 yds to the BalSt 19Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+2
51.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Joe Bacci for 2 yds to the BalSt 17Similar
Q4 5:30
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+34
32.5%
Brian Eavey 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0043% → 46%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
43.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 4 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
43.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jordan Williams for 13 yds to the BalSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
47.5%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Corey LacanariaSimilar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-1
45.0%
KeVonn Mabon run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 41Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+9
41.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:30
4TH & 2
50
-1
45.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:1877% → 81%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
23.5%
Martez Walker run for no gain to the BalSt 49 Martez Walker fumbled, recovered by CMich Martez WalkerSimilar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+17
21.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 17 yds to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
19.5%
Cooper Rush pass intercepted Dedrick Cromartie return for no gain to the BalSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 25DOWNS
11 plays · 32 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
36.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 9 yds to the BalSt 22Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 1
OWN 22
0
38.0%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jordan Williams, broken up by Amari ColemanSimilar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+1
36.4%
Riley Neal run for 1 yd to the BalSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
37.4%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+10
36.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 10 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
38.3%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to KeVonn MabonSimilar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+11
37.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jordan Williams for 11 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-4
42.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the BalSt 40 TEAM fumbled, recovered by BalSt Riley NealSimilar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 14
OWN 40
+5
37.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Chris Shillings for 5 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
38.3%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
36.1%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Chris ShillingsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
11.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 46Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 11
OPP 46
-2
11.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:24
Ron Coluzzi kickoff for 54 yds , KeVonn Mabon return for 89 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)
+34.5
FG · Q4 5:30
Brian Eavey 34 yd FG GOOD
-19.1
TD · Q3 4:33
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 4 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)
-15.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com