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EMU

Eastern Michigan 21 at Northern Illinois 49

NIU
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:54 · Jacob Ambrose punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Pregame prior+41.5Home team on offense+1.9Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.7Blowout margin−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:16: Drew Hare pass complete to Shane Wimann for 4 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +1.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:57: Joel Bouagnon run for 8 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +2.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:45: Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 18 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:27: Darius Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK) — EMU win probability +1.0 pts (now 1%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:37: D.J. Brown run for 6 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 11:42NIU 4th & 1 at EMU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.5%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:20EMU 4th & 9 at EMU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:54NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 26, up 7
    Close callPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:22EMU 4th & 6 at NIU 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    6.8%−0.1
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:38EMU 4th & 3 at NIU 48, down 14
    Close callPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:00EMU 4th & 12 at NIU 37, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%
    40% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:58EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 42, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:52EMU 4th & 3 at NIU 49, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:09NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 26, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:33NIU 4th & 2 at NIU 28, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:58NIU 4th & 9 at NIU 34, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:17EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 22, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:45EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:34NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:16NIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:57NIU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:45NIU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:41NIU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:32EMU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:33NIU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:42EMU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:27EMU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:37NIU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1TD
19 plays · 70 yds · 5:1695% → 95%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
95.3%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 7 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
95.3%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Kenny GolladaySimilar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+5
95.2%
Drew Hare pass complete to Shane Wimann for 5 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
95.2%
Drew Hare pass complete to Tommylee Lewis for 4 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+5
95.2%
Tommylee Lewis run for 5 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+5
95.1%
Drew Hare run for 5 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
95.1%
Joel Bouagnon run for 14 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
95.1%
Drew Hare sacked by Clay Dawson for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 35Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 15
OPP 35
+14
95.0%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 14 yds to the EMich 21Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 1
OPP 21
0
94.9%
Joel Bouagnon run for no gain to the EMich 21Similar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+6
94.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 6 yds to the EMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
94.8%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Tommylee LewisSimilar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+7
94.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 7 yds to the EMich 8Similar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+3
94.7%
Joel Bouagnon run for 3 yds to the EMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
94.6%
Joel Bouagnon run for 3 yds to the EMich 2Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
94.5%
Kenny Golladay run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 4Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
94.8%
Drew Hare pass complete to Juwan Brescacin for 4 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 2:025% → 6%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
94.6%
Darius Jackson run for 8 yds to the EMich 18Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+5
94.6%
Darius Jackson run for 5 yds to the EMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
94.5%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sam BrowningSimilar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+4
94.5%
Darius Jackson run for 4 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+8
94.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Cody Tuttle for 8 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
94.4%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
94.4%
Darius Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMich 36Similar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
94.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Cody TuttleSimilar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
94.4%
Austin Barnes punt for 47 yds, downed at the NoIll 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0894% → 94%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
94.4%
Drew Hare run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 15Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+9
94.3%
Jordan Huff run for 9 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+2
94.2%
Drew Hare pass complete to Desroy Maxwell for 2 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q1 5:54
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
94.1%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4PUNT
12 plays · 37 yds · 3:256% → 7%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
94.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Cody Tuttle for 8 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+4
93.9%
Darius Jackson run for 4 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
93.9%
Darius Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
93.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 1
50
+2
93.6%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
93.5%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the EMich 47Similar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+3
93.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 12
50
+12
93.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Cody Tuttle for 12 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
93.3%
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
93.2%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dustin CreelSimilar
Q1 2:35
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+2
93.3%
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q1 2:22
4TH & 6
OPP 34
0
93.4%
Dylan Mulder punt for 8 yds , Brandon Mayes returns for no gain to the NoIll 34 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-17 Yards) to the NoIll 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 2:0094% → 95%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
93.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 11 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
93.8%
Drew Hare pass complete to Tommylee Lewis for 3 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+3
93.8%
Drew Hare pass complete to Tommylee Lewis for 3 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+5
93.7%
Drew Hare pass complete to Joel Bouagnon for 5 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
93.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 9
OPP 34
-5
93.8%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 39Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 14
OPP 39
+13
93.5%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 13 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q1 0:43
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
93.6%
Joel Bouagnon run for 4 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
93.7%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the EMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
93.7%
Drew Hare run for 3 yds to the EMich 9 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (5 Yards) to the EMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
95.1%
Drew Hare pass complete to Shane Wimann for 4 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 2:225% → 6%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for 7 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
94.4%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
94.4%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-6
94.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Kris Strange for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 29Similar
Q2 13:49
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+16
94.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Cody Tuttle for 16 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
94.4%
Darius Jackson run for no gain to the EMich 45Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
94.4%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+7
94.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dustin Creel for 7 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q2 12:38
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
94.3%
Austin Barnes punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Tommylee Lewis at the NoIll 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7TD
16 plays · 82 yds · 4:3595% → 97%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
94.8%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Juwan BrescacinSimilar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+12
94.8%
Jordan Huff run for 12 yds to the NoIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
94.8%
Jordan Huff run for 6 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+2
94.9%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+10
94.9%
Drew Hare run for 10 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
95.0%
Jordan Huff run for 5 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+4
95.0%
Drew Hare pass complete to Juwan Brescacin for 4 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+10
94.9%
Joel Bouagnon run for 10 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
95.0%
Drew Hare run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 34Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 11
OPP 34
-5
94.9%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 39Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 16
OPP 39
+12
94.9%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 12 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+5
94.9%
Drew Hare run for 5 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
95.0%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 20
OPP 32
+8
94.9%
Drew Hare pass complete to Joel Bouagnon for 8 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+16
94.9%
Drew Hare run for 16 yds to the EMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
97.4%
Joel Bouagnon run for 8 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8DOWNS
9 plays · 41 yds · 2:423% → 3%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
96.8%
Darius Jackson run for 5 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+19
96.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sam Browning for 19 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
96.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dustin Creel for 6 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+8
96.5%
Darius Jackson run for 8 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
96.4%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the NoIll 34Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
96.5%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sam BrowningSimilar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 9
OPP 34
-3
96.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 37Similar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 12
OPP 37
+5
96.9%
Sam Browning run for 5 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 1:0798% → 99%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
97.6%
Drew Hare pass complete to Desroy Maxwell for 14 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
97.7%
Drew Hare pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 11 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
97.7%
Joel Bouagnon run for 9 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+16
97.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 16 yds to the EMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.2%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 18 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:340% → 1%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
99.6%
Darius Jackson run for 9 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+4
99.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dustin Creel for 4 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.2%
Darius Jackson run for 4 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 6
OWN 44
-2
99.2%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 42Similar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
99.4%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:58
4TH & 8
OWN 42
+3
99.4%
Austin Barnes punt for 36 yds , Tommylee Lewis returns for 3 yds to the NoIll 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:1099% → 99%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
99.2%
Drew Hare pass complete to Juwan Brescacin for 22 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
99.3%
Jordan Huff run for 53 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:390% → 1%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
99.6%
Shaq Vann run for 11 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
99.6%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 45Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 9
OWN 45
-2
99.6%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 43Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+8
99.6%
Darius Jackson run for 8 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
99.5%
Austin Barnes punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:3399% → 99%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.4%
Joel Bouagnon run for 3 yds to the NoIll 23Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
99.4%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Chad BeebeSimilar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+3
99.4%
Joel Bouagnon run for 3 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
99.4%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 9 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Darius Jackson for 5 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:451% → 1%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dustin CreelSimilar
Q3 14:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-13
99.5%
Brogan Roback sacked by Perez Ford for a loss of 13 yards to the EMich 12Similar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 23
OWN 12
+13
99.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Kris Strange for 13 yds to the EMich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:54100% → 100%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
99.5%
Joel Bouagnon run for 4 yds to the NoIll 12Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+5
99.6%
Joel Bouagnon run for 5 yds to the NoIll 17Similar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+10
99.6%
Joel Bouagnon run for 10 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-6
99.6%
Drew Hare sacked by Nathan Adams for a loss of 6 yards to the NoIll 21Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 16
OWN 21
0
99.6%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Kenny GolladaySimilar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 16
OWN 21
+3
99.6%
Joel Bouagnon run for 3 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:581% → 1%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
99.5%
Shaq Vann run for 6 yds to the NoIll 8Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 4
OPP 8
0
99.5%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the NoIll 8Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+7
99.6%
Shaq Vann run for 7 yds to the NoIll 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.1%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:53100% → 100%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.7%
Joel Bouagnon run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 24Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.7%
Drew Hare pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+37
99.7%
Drew Hare pass complete to Joel Bouagnon for 37 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
99.7%
Drew Hare pass complete to Tommylee Lewis for 39 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 3:350% → 1%
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
99.7%
Darius Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMich 27Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+10
99.7%
Brogan Roback run for 10 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.7%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Kris StrangeSimilar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.7%
Darius Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+22
99.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 22 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
99.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Kris Strange for 11 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
99.7%
Darius Jackson run for 10 yds to the NoIll 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
99.7%
Darius Jackson run for 3 yds to the NoIll 14Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+4
99.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for 4 yds to the NoIll 10Similar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+9
99.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Kris Strange for 9 yds to the NoIll 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.3%
Darius Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:20100% → 100%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Jordan Huff run for 5 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
99.8%
Shane Wimann run for 5 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Aregeros TurnerSimilar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.8%
Jordan Huff run for 6 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q3 3:21
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+7
99.8%
Drew Hare run for 7 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-13
99.8%
Drew Hare sacked by Luke Maclean for a loss of 13 yards to the NoIll 35Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 23
OWN 35
+2
99.8%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 21
OWN 37
0
99.8%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Clayton GlasperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21MISSED FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 3:160% → 0%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
99.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Kris Strange for 8 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+3
99.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Kris Strange for 3 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
99.8%
Darius Jackson run for 11 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+18
99.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Austin Stone for 18 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
99.8%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the NoIll 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
99.8%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the NoIll 14Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+5
99.8%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the NoIll 9Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+3
99.8%
Darius Jackson run for 3 yds to the NoIll 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
99.8%
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds to the NoIll 4Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-15
99.8%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (Cole Gardner) to the NoIll 19Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sam BrowningSimilar
Q4 13:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dustin CreelSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:49100% → 100%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.9%
Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd to the NoIll 21Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
99.9%
Joel Bouagnon run for 5 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
Joel Bouagnon run for 2 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+11
99.9%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 46 yds , Blake Banham returns for 11 yds to the EMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 2:000% → 1%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
99.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dustin Creel for 9 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+11
99.9%
Shaq Vann run for 11 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
99.9%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the NoIll 42Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+20
99.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 20 yds to the NoIll 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
99.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dustin Creel for 5 yds to the NoIll 17Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+4
99.9%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the NoIll 13Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+2
99.9%
Brogan Roback run for 2 yds to the NoIll 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
99.9%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (9 Yards) to the NoIll 2Similar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 1
OPP 2
+2
98.9%
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 24PUNT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:2899% → 99%
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.2%
Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd to the NoIll 26Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Clayton GlasperSimilar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Clayton GlasperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 25INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.1%
Brogan Roback pass intercepted Jawuan Johnson return for no gain to the NoIll 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 26PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:3699% → 99%
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.2%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Kenny GolladaySimilar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
99.2%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Juwan BrescacinSimilar
Q4 8:28
3RD & 10
OWN 22
-11
99.2%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-11 Yards) to the NoIll 11Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 21
OWN 11
+22
99.2%
Drew Hare pass complete to Tommylee Lewis for 22 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
99.2%
Drew Hare pass complete to Tommylee Lewis for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 31Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+3
99.2%
Jordan Huff run for 3 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
99.3%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Juwan BrescacinSimilar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 9
OWN 34
-4
99.2%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 42 yds , Blake Banham returns for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:351% → 1%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.3%
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
99.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
99.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
Q4 6:17
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
99.4%
Austin Barnes punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Chad Beebe at the NoIll 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 28TD
9 plays · 56 yds · 2:3099% → 100%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
99.4%
Joel Bouagnon run for 4 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+7
99.4%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 7 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.4%
Joel Bouagnon run for 3 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
99.4%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Kenny GolladaySimilar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+11
99.4%
Drew Hare pass complete to Tommylee Lewis for 11 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
99.4%
Jordan Huff run for 15 yds to the EMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
99.4%
Jordan Huff run for 8 yds to the EMich 8Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+2
99.5%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds to the EMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
D.J. Brown run for 6 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:470% → 0%
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Austin Stone for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Blake BanhamSimilar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Austin Barnes punt for 53 yds, downed at the NoIll 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 30END OF GAME
5 plays · 40 yds · 2:30100% → 100%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+13
99.9%
Marcus Jones run for 13 yds to the NoIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Marcus Jones run for 2 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+2
100.0%
Marcus Jones run for 2 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+6
100.0%
Marcus Jones run for 6 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
100.0%
D.J. Brown run for 2 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:57
Joel Bouagnon run for 8 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)
+2.5
TD · Q1 0:16
Drew Hare pass complete to Shane Wimann for 4 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)
+1.5
TD · Q2 3:45
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 18 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)
+1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com