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WMU

Western Michigan 49 at Ohio 14

OHIO
2015 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2015 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:33: Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +10.0 pts (now 57%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:31: Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 27 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +10.0 pts (now 70%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:17: Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 35 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +14.5 pts (now 48%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:18: Jamauri Bogan run for 67 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +12.7 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:29: Zach Terrell run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +12.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 10WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:17WMU 4th & 14 at WMU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:02OHIO 4th & 4 at OHIO 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:34WMU 4th & 15 at WMU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00OHIO 4th & 8 at OHIO 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:01WMU 4th & 22 at WMU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:51OHIO 4th & 10 at OHIO 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:09WMU 4th & 16 at WMU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−1.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:14OHIO 4th & 1 at WMU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    61.0%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:28OHIO 4th & 14 at OHIO 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−2.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:11OHIO 4th & 2 at OHIO 17, down 14
    Close callPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:24OHIO 4th & 4 at OHIO 28, down 21
    Close callPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:49OHIO 4th & 12 at WMU 15, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:27OHIO 4th & 15 at WMU 20, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q2 3:33WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:31WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:17OHIO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:18WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:29WMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:07WMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:23WMU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:28OHIO Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:33WMU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
58.5%
Papi White run for 9 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+1
58.5%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 1 yd to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
58.5%
Daz'mond Patterson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+8
58.5%
Derrius Vick run for 8 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
58.5%
Derrius Vick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
58.5%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
58.6%
Fabian Johnson run for 2 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+5
58.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 5 yds to the WMich 20Similar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+6
58.7%
Zach Terrell run for 6 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
58.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+12
58.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 12 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
58.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 1 yd to the WMich 42Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-5
58.4%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 37Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 14
OWN 37
0
58.6%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 14
OWN 37
0
58.7%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 14
OWN 37
0
58.8%
J. Schroeder punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
58.6%
Derrius Vick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+8
58.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 8 yds to the Ohio 19Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+5
58.3%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 5 yds to the Ohio 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
58.7%
Derrius Vick run for 2 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+3
58.7%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+1
58.4%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Daz'mond Patterson for 1 yd to the Ohio 30Similar
Q1 8:02
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
58.3%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 42 yds, downed at the WMich 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
58.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 25Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+17
58.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 17 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
57.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 40Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 12
OWN 40
0
58.1%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 12
OWN 40
-3
58.5%
Zach Terrell sacked by Brandon Purdum for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 37Similar
Q1 4:34
4TH & 15
OWN 37
0
59.1%
J. Schroeder punt for 56 yds, downed at the Ohio 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:3359% → 58%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
58.6%
Papi White run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 5Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 12
OWN 5
+12
58.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Papi White for 12 yds to the Ohio 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
58.8%
Derrius Vick run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 15Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+13
58.7%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 13 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
59.0%
Derrius Vick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
58.8%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 2 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
58.2%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Jordan ReidSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
57.7%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 38 yds, downed at the WMich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:0043% → 41%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
57.4%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel BravermanSimilar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
57.6%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel BravermanSimilar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 10
OWN 32
-7
58.3%
Zach Terrell sacked by Brandon Purdum and Casey Sayles for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 25Similar
Q2 14:01
4TH & 17
OWN 25
-5
59.0%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Robert Spillane) to the WMich 20Similar
Q2 14:01
4TH & 22
OWN 20
0
59.0%
J. Schroeder punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0060% → 58%
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
60.1%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
59.5%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Sebastian Smith, broken up by Ronald ZamortSimilar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
58.8%
Derrius Vick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:51
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
57.9%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:1342% → 41%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
57.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+16
57.7%
Zach Terrell run for 16 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
56.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 37Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 11
OWN 37
-10
57.4%
TERRELL, Zach pass complete to DAVIS, Corey for 17 yards to the OHIO46 (WELLS, Ian), PENALTY WMU holding 10 yards to the WMU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 21
OWN 27
+5
58.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 5 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 16
OWN 32
0
58.9%
Zach Terrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 16
OWN 32
0
59.4%
J. Schroeder punt for 37 yds, downed at the Ohio 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0060% → 61%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
60.4%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Keith Heitzman for 4 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+7
61.0%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Daz'mond Patterson for 7 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
61.6%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Keith Heitzman, broken up by Robert SpillaneSimilar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-2
60.8%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 40Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+11
59.7%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 11 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q2 9:14
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
60.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the WMich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 51 yds · 3:0346% → 57%
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
54.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 11 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
54.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the Ohio 40Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+9
54.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 9 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+5
54.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the Ohio 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+17
53.4%
Zach Terrell run for 8 yds to the Ohio 18 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, personal foul (9 Yards) to the Ohio 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
53.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the Ohio 7Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
43.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0047% → 45%
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
46.7%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Brendan Cope for 11 yds to the Ohio 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
47.0%
Derrius Vick run for 3 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 7
OWN 27
-8
47.4%
Derrius Vick sacked by David Curle for a loss of 8 yards to the Ohio 20 Derrius Vick fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 3:28
3RD & 14
OWN 20
0
45.8%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Brendan CopeSimilar
Q2 3:28
4TH & 14
OWN 20
+33
45.4%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 32 , Daniel Braverman returns for 33 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12TD
2 plays · 32 yds · 0:1660% → 70%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
40.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 5 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+27
30.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 27 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 1:1034% → 48%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
33.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for no gain to the Ohio 27Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+13
33.4%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Brendan Cope for 13 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
34.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 5 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+8
33.4%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Brendan Cope for 8 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
34.1%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Jordan Reid, broken up by Rontavious AtkinsSimilar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
34.0%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Brendan Cope for 4 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+8
33.8%
Derrius Vick pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 8 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
48.3%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 35 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
41.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 2:3558% → 72%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
41.8%
Zach Terrell sacked by Kurt Laseak for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 15Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+11
42.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 11 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
41.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+2
40.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+67
27.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 67 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
28.2%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 10
OWN 9
-3
28.0%
Derrius Vick run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 6Similar
Q3 12:11
3RD & 13
OWN 6
+11
27.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for 11 yds to the Ohio 17Similar
Q3 12:11
4TH & 2
OWN 17
0
28.0%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 51 yds , Daniel Braverman returns for no gain to the WMich 28 Daniel Braverman fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 5:1775% → 96%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
25.5%
LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+4
25.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+41
24.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 41 yds to the Ohio 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+1
23.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the Ohio 20Similar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+12
23.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 12 yds to the Ohio 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
23.4%
Zach Terrell run for 1 yd to the Ohio 7Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
23.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the Ohio 4Similar
Q3 5:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
4.2%
Zach Terrell run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
8.6%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+6
8.6%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 6 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
8.8%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Sebastian Smith, broken up by Asantay BrownSimilar
Q3 5:24
4TH & 4
OWN 28
+48
8.6%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 48 yds , Daniel Braverman returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 2:2096% → 98%
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
4.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+14
4.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 14 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
4.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+40
4.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 40 yds to the Ohio 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
1.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 20 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 60 yds · 2:182% → 2%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
2.3%
Dorian Brown run for 12 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
2.3%
Dorian Brown run for 2 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+19
2.4%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 19 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+29
2.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 16 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (13 Yards) to the WMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
2.8%
Dorian Brown run for 2 yds to the WMich 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
2.4%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
2.3%
Derrius Vick pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 8
OPP 11
-4
2.1%
OHIO Penalty, false start (Mike McQueen) to the WMich 15Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 12
OPP 15
0
1.9%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 2:2199% → 99%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
0.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 3 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+6
0.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+12
0.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 12 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+39
0.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 39 yds to the Ohio 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
0.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 25 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:550% → 0%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.4%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the Ohio 26Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+24
0.4%
Greg Windham pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
50
+11
0.5%
Greg Windham run for 11 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
0.5%
Greg Windham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+11
0.5%
Greg Windham run for 11 yds to the WMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
0.5%
Maleek Irons run for 7 yds to the WMich 21Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+6
0.5%
Greg Windham pass complete to Maleek Irons for 6 yds to the WMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
0.5%
Maleek Irons run for 10 yds to the WMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
0.5%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (2 Yards) to the WMich 3Similar
Q4 12:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
0.5%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the WMich 2Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.3%
Daz'mond Patterson 2 Yd Run (Josiah Yazdani Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 3:48100% → 100%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
0.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 15Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+15
0.3%
Tom Flacco run for 15 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
0.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 31Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
0.3%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 31Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+13
0.3%
Tom Flacco run for 13 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
0.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for 56 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 59 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
0.1%
Dorian Brown run for 1 yd to the Ohio 28Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+6
0.1%
Greg Windham pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 6 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+51
0.1%
Greg Windham pass complete to Jordan Reid for 51 yds to the WMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
0.2%
Greg Windham sacked by Keion Adams for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 17Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 12
OPP 17
-3
0.1%
Greg Windham run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 20Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 15
OPP 20
0
0.1%
Greg Windham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:27
4TH & 15
OPP 20
+6
0.1%
Greg Windham run for 6 yds to the WMich 14 OHIO Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 38 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
0.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 16Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+38
0.1%
LeVante Bellamy run for 38 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:17
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 35 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)
+14.5
TD · Q3 12:18
Jamauri Bogan run for 67 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
-12.7
TD · Q3 5:29
Zach Terrell run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
-12.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com