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NIU

Northern Illinois 45 at Miami (OH) 12

M-OH
2015 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2015 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGSAFETYTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-1.8M-OH 1.2%Christian Hagan 26 yd FG GOODAWAY 31 - HOME 5 · Q3 2:28
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:28 · Christian Hagan 26 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 120Home team on offense−43.0Pregame prior−13.0Score differential−32.4Garbage-time factor−13.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:32: Joel Bouagnon run for 22 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +3.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 5:32: Kaleb Patterson 36 yd FG GOOD — M-OH win probability +2.4 pts (now 13%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. SAFETY · Q3 14:57: Team Safety — M-OH win probability +4.7 pts (now 13%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:36: Joel Bouagnon run for 53 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +10.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:49: Billy Bahl pass complete to Fred McRae IV for 25 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK) — M-OH win probability +3.2 pts (now 4%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 9 of 12NIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00M-OH 4th & 9 at M-OH 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:48M-OH 4th & 17 at M-OH 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:00M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 40, down 14
    Close callPunted · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:22M-OH 4th & 12 at M-OH 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00M-OH 4th & 18 at NIU 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    12.8%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:34NIU 4th & 2 at NIU 39, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    89.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:49NIU 4th & 4 at M-OH 41, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    89.7%−0.5
    32% to make
    Punt
    89.9%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:32M-OH 4th & 9 at NIU 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    9.4%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:32NIU 4th & 8 at NIU 20, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:40M-OH 4th & 7 at NIU 21, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−3.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:36M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 41, down 23
    Close callPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:28NIU 4th & 7 at M-OH 9, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    95.8%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:11NIU 4th & 10 at M-OH 29, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:11M-OH 4th & 6 at M-OH 33, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:43M-OH 4th & 1 at NIU 25, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.7%−1.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:49NIU 4th & 2 at NIU 43, up 19
    Close callPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:31M-OH 4th & 3 at M-OH 14, down 19
    Close callPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:35M-OH 4th & 11 at M-OH 39, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 0 of 1NIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:48NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:00NIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:32NIU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:36NIU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:49M-OH Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.3%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:35NIU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:19NIU Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
14.3%
Fred McRae IV run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 33
-5
14.3%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Kenny Young for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
14.3%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
14.3%
Christian Koch punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4185% → 85%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+36
15.0%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 36 yds to the MIAMIOH 39 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
14.9%
Joel Bouagnon run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 8
OPP 37
-1
14.9%
Drew Hare sacked by Kent Kern for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+12
14.9%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 12 yds to the MiaOh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
14.8%
Drew Hare run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+22
14.9%
Joel Bouagnon run for 22 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
15.1%
Billy Bahl sacked by Perez Ford for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 18
OWN 17
-9
15.1%
YOUNG, Kenny rush over right end for 9 yards to the MIAMI26, out-of-bounds, PENALTY MIAMI face mask (BECKER, Nate) 9 yards to the MIAMI8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 27
OWN 8
+10
15.1%
Leonard Ross run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
15.1%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
15.0%
Christian Koch punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 0:5985% → 86%
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
15.4%
Drew Hare run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+5
15.3%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 5 yds to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
15.4%
Jordan Huff run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+32
14.0%
Drew Hare pass complete to Tommylee Lewis for 32 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
14.7%
Leonard Ross run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+5
14.7%
Kenny Young run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+10
14.6%
Rokeem Williams run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
14.7%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+8
14.7%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Ryan Smith for 8 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+1
14.9%
Gus Ragland run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 2
OWN 40
+15
14.8%
Christian Koch punt for 30 yds, downed at the MIAMIOH 30 MIAMI OH Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the NoIll 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 37 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
14.3%
Tommylee Lewis run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+4
14.2%
Drew Hare pass complete to Tommylee Lewis for 4 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
14.3%
Joel Bouagnon run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
14.3%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Kenny GolladaySimilar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+22
14.3%
Drew Hare pass complete to Christian Blake for 22 yds Christian Blake fumbled, forced by Bert Birdsall, recovered by MiaOh Buchi OkaforSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
14.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 7
OWN 21
0
14.7%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Kenny YoungSimilar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
14.6%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem Williams, broken up by Brandon MayesSimilar
Q1 3:22
4TH & 7
OWN 21
-5
14.6%
MIAMI OH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q1 3:22
4TH & 12
OWN 16
0
14.6%
Christian Koch punt for 31 yds, downed at the MiaOh 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8TD
2 plays · 47 yds · 0:5386% → 90%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+25
14.2%
Drew Hare pass complete to Desroy Maxwell for 25 yds to the MiaOh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
10.4%
Joel Bouagnon run for 22 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 1:3211% → 11%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
11.4%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem Williams, broken up by Shawun LurrySimilar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
11.4%
Alonzo Smith run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
11.7%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 9 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+5
12.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
11.6%
Maurice Thomas run for 4 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+9
11.6%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 9 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
11.7%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-3
11.7%
Billy Bahl sacked by Ladell Fleming for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 38
-5
11.3%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 43
0
11.3%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Kenny Young for no gain to the NoIll 43Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 18
OPP 43
0
11.2%
Christian Koch punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10DOWNS
13 plays · 39 yds · 1:4591% → 90%
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
9.4%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 11 yds to the NoIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
9.5%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 5 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+4
9.4%
Jordan Huff run for 4 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 1
OWN 40
-1
9.5%
Jordan Huff run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 39Similar
Q2 11:34
4TH & 2
OWN 39
+4
9.7%
Jordan Huff run for 4 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
10.0%
Drew Hare run for 1 yd to the NoIll 44Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+4
9.9%
Jordan Huff run for 4 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+5
10.1%
Drew Hare run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
9.8%
Drew Hare pass complete to Tommylee Lewis for 6 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+1
9.7%
Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 3
OPP 40
-1
9.9%
Drew Hare pass complete to Aregeros Turner for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q2 9:49
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
10.4%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Tommylee Lewis, broken up by TJ WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11FG
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:3411% → 13%
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+39
10.6%
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 39 yds to the NoIll 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
11.2%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem Williams, broken up by Shawun LurrySimilar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+1
11.1%
Leonard Ross run for 1 yd to the NoIll 19Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
10.8%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:32
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+36
13.1%
Kaleb Patterson 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
10.3%
Drew Hare pass complete to Desroy Maxwell for 2 yds to the NoIll 20Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
10.4%
Joel Bouagnon run for no gain to the NoIll 20Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 8
OWN 20
0
10.5%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Desroy MaxwellSimilar
Q2 5:32
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
10.7%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13MISSED FG
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:4213% → 12%
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
12.8%
Fred McRae IV run for 2 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+10
12.8%
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 10 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
13.2%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 9 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+2
13.6%
Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the NoIll 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
13.6%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+2
13.4%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+1
13.0%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Kenny Young for 1 yd to the NoIll 21Similar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+38
12.1%
Kaleb Patterson 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
8.6%
Joel Bouagnon run for 5 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15SF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 14:57
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
13.3%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16INT
11 plays · 50 yds · 0:0013% → 14%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
13.0%
Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+8
13.2%
Kenny Young run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
14.0%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Fred McRae IV for 18 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
14.2%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+5
14.0%
Leonard Ross run for 5 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q3 14:57
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+14
14.1%
Maurice Thomas run for 14 yds to the NoIll 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-10
14.7%
YOUNG, Kenny rush over right end for no gain to the NIU19, out-of-bounds (FOLLIARD, Sean), PENALTY MIAMI holding (BECKER, Nate) 10 yards to the NIU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:57
1ST & 20
OPP 29
+13
14.4%
Gus Ragland run for 13 yds to the NoIll 16Similar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
14.7%
Gus Ragland run for no gain to the NoIll 16Similar
Q3 14:57
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+47
14.2%
Billy Bahl pass intercepted Shawun Lurry return for 47 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17TD
1 play · 53 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
4.2%
Joel Bouagnon run for 53 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
4.5%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem Williams, broken up by Albert SmallsSimilar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+15
4.5%
ROSS, Leonard rush up middle for loss of 2 yards to the MIAMI16 (MOSLEY, Rajshaw), PENALTY NIU personal foul (LEE, William) 15 yards to the MIAMI33, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
4.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-6
4.7%
Billy Bahl sacked by Bobby Jones IV for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 14
OWN 29
+12
4.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Spencer McInnis for 12 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 2
OWN 41
+8
4.8%
Christian Koch punt for 45 yds , Tommylee Lewis returns for 8 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19FG
15 plays · 69 yds · 4:2097% → 99%
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
3.3%
Jordan Huff run for 3 yds to the NoIll 25Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+15
3.3%
Drew Hare pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 15 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
3.1%
Jordan Huff run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
50
+4
3.1%
Jordan Huff run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+8
3.1%
Drew Hare pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 8 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
3.1%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+7
3.1%
Drew Hare pass complete to Clayton Glasper for 7 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+2
3.0%
Joel Bouagnon run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
3.0%
Drew Hare pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 4 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 6
OPP 23
0
3.0%
Drew Hare pass incomplete, broken up by Zach SmierciakSimilar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+11
3.0%
Joel Bouagnon run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
3.0%
Joel Bouagnon run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 6
OPP 8
-1
3.0%
Drew Hare run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
3.0%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Kenny Golladay, broken up by Allan KoikoiSimilar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+26
1.2%
Christian Hagan 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20FUMBLE
7 plays · 41 yds · 0:591% → 1%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
1.2%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+6
1.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+10
0.8%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Ryan Smith for 10 yds to the MiaOh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+19
0.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 19 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
0.8%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Kenny Young for 4 yds Kenny Young fumbled, forced by Sean Folliard, recovered by NoIll Marlon MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21MISSED FG
10 plays · 22 yds · 2:0199% → 99%
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
0.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+5
0.8%
Drew Hare run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
0.8%
Drew Hare pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
0.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+7
0.8%
Drew Hare run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
0.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for no gain to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
0.8%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Aregeros TurnerSimilar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
0.6%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Tommylee LewisSimilar
Q4 13:11
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+46
0.6%
Christian Hagan 46 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Zach SmierciakSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:11
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
0.3%
Christian Koch punt for 33 yds , Marlon Moore returns for no gain to the NoIll 34 Marlon Moore fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Josh DooleySimilar
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
0.4%
Leonard Ross run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+1
0.4%
Billy Bahl run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q4 13:11
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
0.4%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23TD
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:540% → 4%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
0.3%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 6 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+2
0.3%
Leonard Ross run for 2 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+1
0.3%
Leonard Ross run for 1 yd to the NoIll 25Similar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+3
0.3%
Leonard Ross run for 3 yds to the NoIll 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
0.3%
ROSS, Leonard rush over right end for 3 yards to the NIU19, out-of-bounds, PENALTY MIAMI holding (SMITH, Ryan) 10 yards to the NIU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 20
OPP 32
+6
0.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 14
OPP 26
+1
0.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the NoIll 25Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 13
OPP 25
+25
3.5%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Fred McRae IV for 25 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
2.0%
Jordan Huff run for no gain to the NoIll 35Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
2.0%
Drew Hare pass complete to Tommylee Lewis for 8 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
1.9%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Aregeros Turner, broken up by Joshua AllenSimilar
Q4 7:49
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
1.9%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 50 yds, downed at the MiaOh 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
2.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+13
2.5%
Billy Bahl sacked by Ladell Fleming for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaOh 14 Billy Bahl fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Kenny Young , return for 0 yards , return for 13 yds to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q4 6:31
3RD & 3
OWN 14
0
2.6%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
Q4 6:31
4TH & 3
OWN 14
+16
2.6%
Christian Koch punt for 24 yds, downed at the MiaOh 38 MIAMI OH Penalty, kick catching interference (-8 Yards) to the MiaOh 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 26TD
2 plays · 30 yds · 0:1899% → 100%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+27
1.1%
Jordan Huff run for 24 yds to the MiaOh 6 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, personal foul (Joshua Allen) to the MiaOh 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.2%
Jordan Huff run for 3 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
0.1%
Kenny Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 23 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, personal foul (Keith Harris Jr.) to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
0.1%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Alonzo Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
0.1%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
0.1%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:35
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
0.1%
Christian Koch punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tommylee Lewis at the NoIll 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 28TD
2 plays · 77 yds · 0:55100% → 100%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
0.2%
Marcus Jones run for 4 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+73
0.1%
Marcus Jones run for 73 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 29END OF GAME
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.1%
Maurice Thomas run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
0.0%
Spencer McInnis run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
0.1%
Spencer McInnis run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+3
0.1%
Spencer McInnis run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:36
Joel Bouagnon run for 53 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)
-10
SAFETY · Q3 14:57
Team Safety
+4.7
TD · Q1 1:32
Joel Bouagnon run for 22 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)
-3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com