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KENT

Kent State 15 at Massachusetts 10

MASS
2015 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2015 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:37 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:14: George Bollas pass complete to Charles Chandler for 1 yd for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK) — KENT win probability +11.0 pts (now 44%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 9:14: Shane Hynes 39 yd FG GOOD — KENT win probability +6.2 pts (now 50%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  3. SAFETY · Q4 9:54: Blake Frohnapfel run for a loss of 3 yards for a SAFETY — KENT win probability +6.8 pts (now 65%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:39: Raekwon James run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line — KENT win probability +9.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:37: TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 40 — KENT win probability +14.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 9 of 10KENT made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 11:57MASS 4th & 22 at KENT 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    63.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:57KENT 4th & 14 at KENT 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:12MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:18KENT 4th & 2 at KENT 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:04KENT 4th & 5 at MASS 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    26.8%−4.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:31MASS 4th & 11 at KENT 11, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    62.0%−4.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:25KENT 4th & 1 at MASS 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    42.7%−1.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    37.7%−6.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:04MASS 4th & 12 at MASS 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−1.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:14KENT 4th & 10 at MASS 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%−1.9
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    33.1%−9.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:14MASS 4th & 8 at MASS 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%−2.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:01KENT 4th & 3 at MASS 48, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%−1.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:54MASS 4th & 19 at KENT 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−3.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    48.8%−2.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 3, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−5.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:49MASS 4th & 8 at KENT 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:26KENT 4th & 8 at MASS 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    54.2%−3.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:54KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 43, up 5
    Close callPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:07MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 15, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%−1.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:39KENT 4th & 5 at MASS 49, up 5
    Close callPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%−0.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:38MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 14, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:58KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 38, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:07MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 39, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.8%−5.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1KENT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 14:13MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:14KENT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1MISSED FG
11 plays · 62 yds · 3:0367% → 66%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
66.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+1
66.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 1 yd to the UMass 15Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+62
66.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Rodney Mills for 62 yds to the KntSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
66.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 7 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+4
66.6%
Jamal Wilson run for 4 yds to the KntSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
66.6%
Jamal Wilson run for 3 yds to the KntSt 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 9
-6
66.6%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, substitution infraction (-6 Yards) to the KntSt 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 15
-9
66.6%
Blake Frohnapfel sacked by Nate Terhune for a loss of 9 yards to the KntSt 24 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, intentional grounding (Blake Frohnapfel) to the KntSt 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 22
OPP 24
0
66.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Kassan MessiahSimilar
Q1 11:57
4TH & 22
OPP 24
+41
66.2%
Logan Laurent 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
66.2%
George Bollas pass complete to Johnny Woods for 4 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+4
66.2%
Raekwon James run for 4 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q1 11:57
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+4
66.2%
George Bollas pass complete to Johnny Woods for 4 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:57
4TH & 14
OWN 32
0
66.5%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Trey Dudley-Giles at the UMass 19Similar
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
66.1%
George Bollas run for 5 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
66.0%
Raekwon James run for 1 yd to the KntSt 42Similar
Q1 11:57
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-10
66.0%
BOLLAS, George rush for no gain to the KENT42 (Brackett, K.), PENALTY KENT holding (SCOTT, Wayne) 10 yards to the KENT32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:57
3RD & 14
OWN 32
0
66.4%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Kris White, broken up by Kelton BrackettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
66.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae Sharpe, broken up by Najee MurraySimilar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
66.0%
Jamal Wilson run for no gain to the UMass 19Similar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+17
65.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Rodney Mills for 17 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
66.2%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 30Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 16
OWN 30
0
66.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jamal Wilson for no gain to the UMass 30Similar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 16
OWN 30
+10
65.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 10 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q1 9:12
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+7
65.8%
Logan Laurent punt for 40 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for 7 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
65.3%
George Bollas pass complete to Raekwon James for 7 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+2
64.9%
Myles Washington run for 2 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+2
65.0%
Myles Washington run for 2 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
65.0%
KENT ST Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 33Similar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 15
OWN 33
0
65.4%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Johnny Woods, broken up by Enock AsanteSimilar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+13
65.4%
Raekwon James run for 13 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
64.8%
George Bollas run for no gain to the KntSt 46Similar
Q1 6:18
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
65.2%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 3:5165% → 71%
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
65.1%
Marquis Young run for 7 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+6
65.4%
Marquis Young run for 16 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding (Marken Michel) to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
65.3%
Frohnapfel, B. pass complete to Sharpe, T. for 8 yards to the UMASS41, PENALTY KENT holding 9 yards to the UMASS42, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
66.0%
Jamal Wilson run for 12 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
66.4%
Marquis Young run for 13 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
66.6%
Marquis Young run for 7 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 3
OPP 26
-1
66.6%
Jamal Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+11
66.2%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 11 yds to the KntSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
66.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 5 yds to the KntSt 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+1
66.8%
Blake Frohnapfel run for 1 yd to the KntSt 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+5
66.3%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 5 yds to the KntSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
71.2%
Jamal Wilson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:0931% → 35%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+25
69.1%
George Bollas run for 25 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
68.0%
Raekwon James run for 2 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+4
68.0%
George Bollas pass complete to Raekwon James for 4 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+5
68.0%
George Bollas run for 5 yds to the UMass 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
67.2%
George Bollas pass complete to Kris White for 4 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+19
67.2%
George Bollas pass complete to P.J. Simmons for 19 yds to the UMass 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
67.2%
Myles Washington run for 1 yd to the UMass 5Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
67.2%
Myles Washington run for no gain to the UMass 5Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
68.0%
George Bollas pass incomplete KENT ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 10:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
65.4%
Shane Hynes 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 2:3366% → 72%
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
66.4%
Sekai Lindsay run for 13 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
66.6%
Doyle, A. pass intercepted by McRAE, Juantez at the KENT33, McRAE, Juantez return to the UMASS44, PENALTY KENT pass interference (McRAE, Juantez) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
50
+2
68.0%
Sekai Lindsay run for 2 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
68.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Rodney MillsSimilar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+14
67.3%
Frohnapfel, B. pass incomplete to Sharpe, T., PENALTY KENT pass interference (SIMPSON, Erik) 14 yards to the KENT34, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+25
68.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 25 yds to the KntSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
68.6%
Jamal Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 11Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
68.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Rodney Mills, broken up by Jon CunninghamSimilar
Q2 10:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
67.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q2 7:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
72.0%
Logan Laurent 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:1729% → 44%
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
70.8%
George Bollas pass complete to Raekwon James for 16 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
69.3%
Myles Washington run for no gain to the UMass 49Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+13
70.0%
Raekwon James run for 13 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
69.3%
George Bollas run for 11 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
68.1%
KENT ST Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+9
69.1%
George Bollas run for 9 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+15
68.1%
BOLLAS, George pass incomplete to JAMES, Raekwon, PENALTY UMASS pass interference (Dudley-Giles, T) 15 yards to the UMASS6, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
68.1%
Raekwon James run for 4 yds to the UMass 2Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
67.5%
Trayion Durham run for 1 yd to the UMass 1Similar
Q2 3:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.5%
George Bollas pass complete to Charles Chandler for 1 yd for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
65.2%
Blake Frohnapfel pass intercepted Nick Cuthbert return for 11 yds to the UMass 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10DOWNS
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:2144% → 43%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
56.3%
Myles Washington run for 13 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
55.4%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Raekwon JamesSimilar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+1
55.5%
Raekwon James run for 1 yd to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 2:46
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+8
56.7%
George Bollas pass complete to Johnny Woods for 8 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 1
OPP 22
0
57.1%
Trayion Durham run for no gain to the UMass 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:1663% → 62%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
62.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Rodney MillsSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-2
62.6%
Jamal Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 20Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 12
OWN 20
0
62.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jamal Wilson for no gain to the UMass 20Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
62.1%
Logan Laurent punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Zaquon Tyson at the KntSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12INT
4 plays · 31 yds · 0:0040% → 44%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+20
60.3%
George Bollas pass complete to Raekwon James for 20 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
57.0%
George Bollas pass complete to Brice Fackler for 6 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+5
56.3%
George Bollas pass complete to Raekwon James for 5 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
56.1%
George Bollas pass intercepted, touchback. Joe Colton return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13FG
14 plays · 44 yds · 5:4641% → 50%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
58.6%
George Bollas run for 7 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+13
56.7%
Raekwon James run for 13 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
56.2%
Trayion Durham run for 3 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+2
56.2%
George Bollas run for 2 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+5
56.7%
George Bollas pass complete to Raekwon James for 5 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
54.7%
Trayion Durham run for 3 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+1
53.0%
George Bollas run for 1 yd to the UMass 32Similar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+10
54.9%
George Bollas run for 10 yds to the UMass 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
53.0%
Trayion Durham run for 4 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+7
53.0%
George Bollas run for a loss of 13 yards to the UMass 24 George Bollas fumbled, recovered by KntSt Raekwon James , return for 7 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 12
OPP 24
+2
55.8%
George Bollas pass complete to Myles Washington for 2 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+39
49.6%
Shane Hynes 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0052% → 49%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
51.7%
Blake Frohnapfel sacked by Nate Holley and Terence Waugh for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 22Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+3
51.3%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 3 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
49.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Rodney MillsSimilar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 8
OWN 25
+12
49.1%
Logan Laurent punt for 54 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for 12 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
48.3%
Raekwon James run for 1 yd to the KntSt 34Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+8
48.5%
George Bollas pass complete to Johnny Woods for 8 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+3
47.0%
George Bollas pass complete to P.J. Simmons for 3 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
46.6%
Raekwon James run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 44Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+4
47.5%
P.J. Simmons run for 4 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+4
47.1%
George Bollas run for 4 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q3 8:01
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
48.3%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Trey Dudley-Giles at the UMass 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 40 yds · 0:0049% → 47%
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
48.7%
Lindsay, S. rush for loss of 2 yards to the UMASS13 (CUNNINGHAM, Jon), PENALTY KENT personal foul (CUNNINGHAM, Jon) 15 yards to the UMASS30, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
49.6%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+15
50.0%
Frohnapfel, B. pass complete to Young, M. for 5 yards to the UMASS38 (REFUGE, Elcee), PENALTY KENT personal foul (CUNNINGHAM, Jon) 15 yards to the UMASS48, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
53.7%
Marquis Young run for 16 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
54.6%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the KntSt 36Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
54.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q3 4:54
3RD & 10
OPP 36
-10
52.8%
Frohnapfel, B. pass complete to Sharpe, T. for 14 yards to the KENT22, out-of-bounds (MURRAY, Najee), PENALTY UMASS holding (Wilkinson, E.) 10 yards to the KENT46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:54
3RD & 20
OPP 46
+1
49.2%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the KntSt 45Similar
Q3 4:54
4TH & 19
OPP 45
0
47.1%
Logan Laurent punt for 44 yds, downed at the KntSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2254% → 51%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
46.4%
Raekwon James run for no gain to the KntSt 1Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+1
46.9%
Raekwon James run for 1 yd to the KntSt 2Similar
Q3 1:22
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+1
48.3%
Raekwon James run for 1 yd to the KntSt 3Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 3
+9
49.1%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 55 yds , Trey Dudley-Giles returns for 9 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0052% → 46%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
52.4%
Ross Comis sacked by Terence Waugh and Jon Cunningham for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 46Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 15
OWN 46
0
47.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Marquis YoungSimilar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 15
OWN 46
+7
45.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marquis Young for 7 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
46.2%
Logan Laurent punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 1:5756% → 58%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
44.0%
Raekwon James run for 20 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
40.2%
George Bollas pass complete to P.J. Simmons for 12 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-15
39.3%
JAMES, Raekwon rush for no gain to the UMASS48 (Messiah, K.), PENALTY KENT illegal block (SCOTT, Wayne) 15 yards to the KENT37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 25
OWN 37
+9
43.7%
George Bollas run for 9 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 16
OWN 46
+8
43.2%
George Bollas pass complete to P.J. Simmons for 8 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
38.3%
George Bollas pass complete to Raekwon James for no gain to the UMass 46Similar
Q4 11:26
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
41.9%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 45 yds, downed at the UMass 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20SF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:4842% → 35%
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
42.1%
Sekai Lindsay run for 2 yds to the UMass 3Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 8
OWN 3
-3
35.3%
Blake Frohnapfel run for a loss of 3 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0071% → 69%
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
28.8%
Raekwon James run for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 32Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+2
31.9%
Raekwon James run for 2 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+9
32.9%
George Bollas run for 9 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q4 9:54
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
30.7%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 48 yds, downed at the UMass 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0034% → 31%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
34.1%
Marken Michel run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 8Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+7
33.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 7 yds to the UMass 15Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 4
OWN 15
0
32.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:07
4TH & 4
OWN 15
+9
31.2%
Logan Laurent punt for 48 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for 9 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0078% → 76%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
22.2%
Raekwon James run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 6
50
+1
21.5%
Raekwon James run for 1 yd to the UMass 49Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 5
OPP 49
-5
22.0%
George Bollas sacked by Kassan Messiah and Jovan Santos-Knox for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 46Similar
Q4 6:39
4TH & 10
OWN 46
+5
26.4%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, offside defense (John Robinson-Woodgett) to the UMass 49Similar
Q4 6:39
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
24.5%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 47 yds, downed at the UMass 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0025% → 23%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+12
25.2%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Rodney Mills for 12 yds to the UMass 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
25.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-5
25.2%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Matt Sparks) to the UMass 9Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 15
OWN 9
+5
24.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Rodney Mills for 5 yds to the UMass 14Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 10
OWN 14
0
23.7%
Blake Frohnapfel sacked by Terence Waugh and Nate Terhune for 0 yards to the UMass 14Similar
Q4 4:38
4TH & 10
OWN 14
0
22.5%
Logan Laurent punt for 50 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for no gain to the KntSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:1386% → 84%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
14.2%
Raekwon James run for 4 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-1
12.3%
Raekwon James run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 39Similar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-1
13.3%
George Bollas pass complete to Raekwon James for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 38Similar
Q4 2:58
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
15.6%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Trey Dudley-Giles at the UMass 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
21.8%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 5
OWN 39
0
24.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Marken MichelSimilar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
22.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:07
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
21.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
6.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 40Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 11
OPP 40
-2
6.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 42Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 13
OPP 42
-2
7.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:37
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 40
-14.7
TD · Q2 3:14
George Bollas pass complete to Charles Chandler for 1 yd for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)
-11
KEY PLAY · Q4 6:39
Raekwon James run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line
-9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com