Try the model
M-OH

Miami (OH) 3 at Ohio 34

OHIO
2015 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2015 · Peden Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+1.8OHIO 91.3%Josiah Yazdani 50 yd FG GOOD MIAMI OHPenalty, personal foul ( Yards)declinedAWAY 3 - HOME 17 · Q2 0:33
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:33 · Josiah Yazdani 50 yd FG GOOD MIAMI OH Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declined
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 85Pregame prior+22.9Home team on offense+13.9Score differential+5.8Garbage-time factor+3.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:43: Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 6 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +3.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 6:30: Kaleb Patterson 34 yd FG GOOD — M-OH win probability +1.0 pts (now 12%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:33: Josiah Yazdani 50 yd FG GOOD MIAMI OH Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declined — OHIO win probability +1.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:46: Billy Bahl pass intercepted for a TD Quentin Poling return for 25 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +4.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 12:00: OHIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 31 — OHIO win probability +1.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 7M-OH made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 9:06OHIO 4th & 12 at M-OH 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:00M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:23OHIO 4th & 4 at M-OH 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    85.9%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.1%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:54M-OH 4th & 15 at M-OH 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00OHIO 4th & 12 at OHIO 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:43M-OH 4th & 4 at M-OH 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:30M-OH 4th & 4 at OHIO 17, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.5%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−2.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:33OHIO 4th & 13 at M-OH 33, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.0%
    49% to make
    Punt
    86.9%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:33OHIO 4th & 8 at M-OH 24, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:27M-OH 4th & 12 at M-OH 39, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:37M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 38, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00OHIO 4th & 3 at M-OH 41, up 24
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:34OHIO 4th & 6 at M-OH 44, up 24
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:29M-OH 4th & 9 at M-OH 18, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:14OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:43OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:46OHIO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:33OHIO Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1TD
14 plays · 89 yds · 4:4689% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-4
89.2%
Daz'mond Patterson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 7Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 7
+4
89.2%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds to the Ohio 11Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+18
89.2%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 18 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
88.6%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+36
88.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Papi White for 36 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
88.7%
Derrius Vick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+13
88.7%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 13 yds to the MiaOh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
88.7%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Papi White, broken up by Brison BurrisSimilar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+16
88.7%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 16 yds to the MiaOh 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
88.7%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Daz'mond Patterson for 3 yds to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
88.7%
VICK, Derrius pass intercepted by ALLEN, Josh at the MIAMI0, ALLEN, Josh return to the MIAMI0, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference 1 yards to the MIAMI2, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.8%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2INT
4 plays · 35 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
88.5%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 8 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+27
88.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 12 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
88.3%
Billy Bahl pass intercepted Ian Wells return for no gain to the Ohio 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
88.4%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 1 yd to the Ohio 24Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+3
88.4%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+11
88.3%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 11 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
88.5%
Derrius Vick run for no gain to the Ohio 38Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+15
88.5%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 15 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
88.6%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
88.6%
Derrius Vick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 9
OPP 46
-15
88.5%
VICK, Derrius pass complete to PATTERSON, D. for 10 yards to the MIAMI36 (ALLEN, Josh;BURRIS, Brison), PENALTY OHIO personal foul 15 yards to the OHIO39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 24
OWN 39
+12
88.3%
Derrius Vick pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 12 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q1 9:06
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
88.3%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
87.7%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
87.8%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+3
87.9%
Kenny Young run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q1 5:00
4TH & 7
OWN 14
+4
88.1%
Christian Koch punt for 51 yds , Papi White returns for 4 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
87.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
50
0
88.0%
Derrius Vick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 10
50
+6
87.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Brendan Cope for 6 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
87.9%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Brendan CopeSimilar
Q1 3:23
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
87.6%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
87.0%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
87.1%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+17
87.3%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Maurice Thomas for 17 yds to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
86.9%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Jared Murphy, broken up by Devin JonesSimilar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-5
87.0%
Billy Bahl sacked by Kurt Laseak and Tarell Basham for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 15
OWN 22
0
87.3%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q1 1:54
4TH & 15
OWN 22
0
87.4%
Christian Koch punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:1987% → 86%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
87.2%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 11 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
87.4%
Derrius Vick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
87.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 45
-8
87.3%
Derrius Vick sacked by JT Jones for a loss of 8 yards to the Ohio 47Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 47
0
86.4%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
86.4%
Gus Ragland run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+4
86.5%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 4
OWN 23
0
86.6%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q2 13:43
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
86.8%
Christian Koch punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:3587% → 91%
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
87.0%
Papi White run for 5 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+3
87.1%
Papi White run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:18
3RD & 2
50
+5
86.8%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 5 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+39
87.2%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Papi White for 39 yds to the MiaOh 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
90.7%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 6 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10FG
9 plays · 66 yds · 3:0610% → 12%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
89.9%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 15 yds to the MiaOh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
89.7%
Kenny Young run for no gain to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+45
89.9%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 45 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
88.8%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+4
88.9%
Gus Ragland run for 4 yds to the Ohio 19Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+2
89.2%
Gus Ragland run for 2 yds to the Ohio 17Similar
Q2 6:30
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+34
88.1%
Kaleb Patterson 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11FG
17 plays · 42 yds · 5:5789% → 91%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
89.1%
Dorian Brown run for 4 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
89.1%
Dorian Brown run for no gain to the Ohio 29Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
88.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Robbie Walker for 8 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
89.3%
Dorian Brown run for 5 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+7
89.5%
Dorian Brown run for 7 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
89.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Herman Brunis for 8 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 2
OPP 43
0
89.7%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Herman BrunisSimilar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+2
89.4%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Robbie Walker for 2 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
89.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Herman Brunis for 5 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+6
89.7%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
89.8%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Keith HeitzmanSimilar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-10
89.7%
VICK, Derrius pass incomplete, QB hurry by KOENIG, Brad, PENALTY OHIO holding 10 yards to the MIAMI40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 20
OPP 40
+10
89.4%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Daz'mond Patterson for 10 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 10
OPP 30
-3
89.4%
Daz'mond Patterson run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 13
OPP 33
+50
91.3%
Josiah Yazdani 50 yd FG GOOD MIAMI OH Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
91.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+25
95.8%
Billy Bahl pass intercepted for a TD Quentin Poling return for 25 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14INT
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
95.8%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+11
95.8%
De'Andre Montgomery run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+23
95.6%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 23 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
95.4%
Leonard Ross run for 4 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
95.2%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem Williams, broken up by Ian WellsSimilar
Q3 14:42
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+43
95.4%
Billy Bahl pass intercepted Jovon Johnson return for 43 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2797% → 97%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
97.1%
OHIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+4
97.1%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 11
OPP 27
+3
97.1%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 8
OPP 24
0
97.1%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q3 10:33
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+41
97.1%
Josiah Yazdani 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
97.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 16 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
96.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
96.9%
Leonard Ross run for no gain to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 7
OWN 44
-5
97.0%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 12
OWN 39
0
97.1%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q3 10:27
4TH & 12
OWN 39
+16
97.1%
Christian Koch punt for 49 yds , Papi White returns for 16 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17INT
10 plays · 62 yds · 0:0097% → 98%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
97.3%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Robbie Walker for no gain to the Ohio 28Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+11
97.3%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 11 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
97.4%
Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+13
97.4%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Maleek Irons for 13 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
97.5%
VICK, Derrius pass incomplete to REID, Jordan, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference 15 yards to the MIAMI30, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
97.5%
Maleek Irons run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+13
97.5%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Maleek Irons for 13 yds to the MiaOh 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
97.5%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
97.5%
Maleek Irons run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 10Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+6
97.5%
Derrius Vick pass intercepted Brison Burris return for 6 yds to the MiaOh 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
98.1%
Leonard Ross run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+16
98.2%
BAHL, Billy pass incomplete to MARTIN, Sam, PENALTY OHIO pass interference 16 yards to the MIAMI25, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.1%
Leonard Ross run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
98.0%
Billy Bahl run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-12
98.0%
Billy Bahl run for a loss of 12 yards to the MiaOh 27 Billy Bahl fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Billy BahlSimilar
Q3 3:37
3RD & 18
OWN 27
+16
98.1%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Kenny Young for 16 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q3 3:37
4TH & 2
OWN 43
-5
98.0%
MIAMI OH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q3 3:37
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
98.1%
Christian Koch punt for 28 yds, downed at the Ohio 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0299% → 99%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+18
98.8%
Greg Windham pass complete to Robbie Walker for 18 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
98.9%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Robbie WalkerSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
98.9%
Dorian Brown run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+3
98.8%
Greg Windham pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 3 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
98.7%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20INT
4 plays · 66 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+43
98.9%
Maurice Thomas run for 43 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
98.8%
Gus Ragland run for 9 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+14
98.6%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 14 yds to the Ohio 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+20
98.6%
Billy Bahl pass intercepted Langston Provitt return for 20 yds to the Ohio 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.0%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Brendan CopeSimilar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+22
99.0%
Dorian Brown run for 22 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
99.1%
Dorian Brown run for 2 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+8
99.1%
Greg Windham pass complete to Ian Dixon for 8 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
99.1%
Greg Windham run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 12
50
+6
99.1%
Greg Windham pass complete to Dorian Brown for 6 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
99.1%
Greg Windham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:34
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
99.0%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.1%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+1
99.2%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 9
OWN 18
0
99.2%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:29
4TH & 9
OWN 18
+3
99.2%
Christian Koch punt for 31 yds , Kylan Nelson returns for 3 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23TD
9 plays · 46 yds · 5:1799% → 100%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
99.3%
Maleek Irons run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+15
99.3%
Maleek Irons run for 15 yds to the MiaOh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
99.3%
Maleek Irons run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+3
99.3%
Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+9
99.3%
Maleek Irons run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
99.3%
Greg Windham run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+4
99.3%
Maleek Irons run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.3%
Maleek Irons run for no gain to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
100.0%
Maurice Thomas run for no gain to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
100.0%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to James Gardner, broken up by Tony PorterSimilar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 10
OWN 11
-6
100.0%
THOMAS, Maurice rush for 15 yards to the MIAMI26, out-of-bounds (MEYERS, Seth), PENALTY MIAMI clipping 6 yards to the MIAMI5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 16
OWN 5
+1
100.0%
Maurice Thomas run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:46
Billy Bahl pass intercepted for a TD Quentin Poling return for 25 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)
+4.6
TD · Q2 9:43
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 6 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)
+3
FG · Q2 0:33
Josiah Yazdani 50 yd FG GOOD MIAMI OH Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declined
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com