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CMU

Central Michigan 39 at Western Michigan 41

WMU
2015 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2015 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGSAFETYTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:10 · J. Schroeder punt for 22 yds, downed at the WMich 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 136Pregame prior+4.3Home team on offense+14.7Garbage-time factor+9.4Score differential+3.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.6Blowout margin−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:00: Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 6 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +11.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:10: Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 1 yd for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +9.5 pts (now 18%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:09: Corey Willis 21 Yd pass from Cooper Rush (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — CMU win probability +19.1 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 10:53: Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 64 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +21.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:24: Jahray Hayes run for 15 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +24.7 pts (now 42%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5CMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:35CMU 4th & 10 at CMU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:40WMU 4th & 11 at CMU 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    65.3%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:17WMU 4th & 4 at CMU 8, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.7%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    65.1%−2.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:05WMU 4th & 10 at CMU 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    60.4%−4.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:05CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 38, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:36CMU 4th & 11 at CMU 37, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:09CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:03CMU 4th & 3 at WMU 40, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    7.6%−2.0
    34% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:53CMU 4th & 5 at WMU 5, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−6.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:10CMU 4th & 1 at WMU 1, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    6.3%−2.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−9.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:10WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 23, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−1.9
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:47WMU 4th & 2 at CMU 8, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.4%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    77.4%−5.0
    90% to make
    Punt
    51.3%−31.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:17WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:21CMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:35WMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:53CMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:32WMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:00WMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:10CMU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:09CMU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    36.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    36.6%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:53WMU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:24CMU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.7%−1.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:2532% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
68.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 5 yds to the CMich 10Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+10
68.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 10 yds to the CMich 20 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
68.2%
Jahray Hayes run for no gain to the CMich 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-8
68.2%
Cooper Rush sacked by Cleveland Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the CMich 12Similar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 18
OWN 12
+8
68.1%
Jahray Hayes run for 8 yds to the CMich 20Similar
Q1 12:35
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
68.1%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 63 yds · 0:3268% → 69%
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
68.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 5 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST down CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
69.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 43 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the WMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3INT
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
68.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jahray Hayes for 8 yds to the CMich 21Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+4
68.8%
Mark Chapman run for 4 yds to the CMich 34 Mark Chapman fumbled, forced by Asantay Brown, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
68.8%
Ryan Lamb run for 2 yds to the CMich 36Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+38
68.8%
Cooper Rush pass intercepted Asantay Brown return for 38 yds to the CMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4MISSED FG
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5170% → 70%
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
70.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 13Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 11
OPP 13
0
70.1%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis, broken up by Kavon FrazierSimilar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 11
OPP 13
0
69.9%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel BravermanSimilar
Q1 8:40
4TH & 11
OPP 13
+30
69.9%
Andrew Haldeman 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · 52 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
69.4%
RUSH, Cooper pass incomplete to CONKLIN, Tyler, PENALTY WMU pass interference 5 yards to the CMU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 5
OWN 25
+10
69.3%
Jahray Hayes run for 10 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+30
69.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 30 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
68.6%
Jahray Hayes run for no gain to the WMich 28 Jahray Hayes fumbled, forced by Robert Spillane, recovered by WMich Asantay BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6FG
14 plays · 64 yds · 5:2670% → 71%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
70.0%
Zach Terrell run for 10 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
70.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 13 yds to the CMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
70.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+7
70.5%
Zach Terrell run for 7 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
70.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the CMich 36Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
70.5%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+5
70.3%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the CMich 31Similar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+6
70.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 6 yds to the CMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
70.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 11 yds to the CMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
70.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the CMich 11Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+3
71.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the CMich 8Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
71.3%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q1 2:17
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+25
71.2%
Andrew Haldeman 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 1:5628% → 35%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
71.7%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse KrollSimilar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+11
71.8%
Martez Walker run for 11 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+52
71.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 52 yds to the WMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
70.0%
Corey Willis run for 1 yd to the WMich 14Similar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+14
65.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 14 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:4669% → 73%
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
68.8%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+9
68.8%
Zach Terrell run for 9 yds to the CMich 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+10
68.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 10 yds to the CMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
72.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 11 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:4228% → 36%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
72.4%
Martez Walker run for 12 yds to the CMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
71.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 17 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
71.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 15 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
70.6%
Martez Walker run for no gain to the WMich 30Similar
Q2 14:35
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
70.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 6 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q2 14:35
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+7
71.0%
Jay Roberson run for 7 yds to the WMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
70.4%
Jay Roberson run for no gain to the WMich 17Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
64.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 17 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10FG
8 plays · 59 yds · 2:4867% → 72%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 26Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+58
66.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 58 yds to the CMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
69.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the CMich 14Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
69.0%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis, broken up by Josh CoxSimilar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 8
OPP 14
-15
68.3%
TERRELL, Zach pass complete to BRAVERMAN, D for 9 yards to the CMU5 (ANNESE, Tony;FRAZIER, Kavon), PENALTY WMU unsportsmanlike conduct (FRANKLIN, J) 15 yards to the CMU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 23
OPP 29
+13
67.2%
Zach Terrell run for 13 yds to the CMich 16Similar
Q2 8:05
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+34
72.4%
Andrew Haldeman 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
71.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Ben McCordSimilar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-4
72.0%
Corey Willis run for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 25Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 14
OWN 25
+13
72.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 13 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q2 8:05
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
71.7%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Daniel Braverman at the WMich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12SF
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:5572% → 69%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-3
72.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 5Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 13
OWN 5
0
68.5%
TERRELL, Zach pass incomplete to ERNSBERGER, D, dropped pass, PENALTY WMU holding (OKORAFOR, C) 5 yards to the WMU0, NO PLAY, TEAM safety, clock 05:17. for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:4133% → 27%
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
67.4%
Martez Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 36Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 12
OWN 36
0
71.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Anthony RiceSimilar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+1
72.2%
Cooper Rush run for 1 yd to the CMich 37Similar
Q2 4:36
4TH & 11
OWN 37
+30
72.7%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 50 yds , Daniel Braverman returns for 30 yds to the WMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:0472% → 82%
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
72.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 9 yds to the CMich 48Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+7
72.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 7 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
72.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+3
72.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the CMich 35Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+5
72.2%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, offside defense (Blake Serpa) to the CMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+19
73.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 19 yds to the CMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
73.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the CMich 8Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
82.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 8 yds for a TD CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (Malik Fountain) to the CMich 0, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:2319% → 18%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
81.2%
Martez Walker run for 4 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
81.0%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse KrollSimilar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-1
81.5%
Martez Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 28Similar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
81.7%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 61 yds, downed at the WMich 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 5:0080% → 93%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
79.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+22
80.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 22 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
81.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 9 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+8
81.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 8 yds to the CMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
81.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the CMich 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+12
80.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 12 yds to the CMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
80.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the CMich 8Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+2
80.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the CMich 6Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+6
92.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 6 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 6:0710% → 11%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
90.1%
Martez Walker run for 5 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
89.9%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse Kroll, broken up by Grant DePalmaSimilar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+15
90.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 15 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
89.5%
Jahray Hayes run for 6 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
89.1%
Jahray Hayes run for no gain to the WMich 41Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+1
89.7%
Martez Walker run for 1 yd to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 7:03
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+5
91.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 5 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+26
90.6%
Cooper Rush run for 26 yds to the WMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-15
90.3%
ROBERSON, Jay rush for no gain to the WMU9 (DEPALMA, Grant), PENALTY CMU illegal block (EDWARDS, Derek) 15 yards to the WMU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 24
+17
90.7%
Cooper Rush run for 17 yds to the WMich 7Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
90.3%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Tyler ConklinSimilar
Q3 7:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
91.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Joe Bacci for 2 yds to the WMich 5Similar
Q3 3:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
89.0%
Brian Eavey 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.1%
Zach Terrell run for 4 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
93.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 33 Jarvion Franklin fumbled, forced by Malik Fountain, recovered by CMich Amari ColemanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:5812% → 18%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
88.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 8 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+1
88.0%
Martez Walker run for 1 yd to the WMich 24Similar
Q3 3:08
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+3
88.9%
Cooper Rush run for 3 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-15
88.0%
RUSH, Cooper pass incomplete to CHAPMAN, Mark, PENALTY CMU illegal use of hands (BEAMISH, Nick) 15 yards to the WMU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 25
OPP 36
+10
89.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Martez Walker for 10 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 15
OPP 26
+16
88.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 16 yds to the WMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
88.0%
Martez Walker run for 2 yds to the WMich 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
91.1%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Mark Chapman, broken up by Asantay BrownSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
91.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 7 yds to the WMich 1Similar
Q4 14:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 1 yd for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
87.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+1
87.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the WMich 23Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
86.5%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel Braverman, broken up by Kelby LattaSimilar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 6
OWN 23
0
85.9%
J. Schroeder punt for 22 yds, downed at the WMich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 21TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 1:1718% → 39%
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+25
81.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 25 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
79.9%
Martez Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 21Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
80.2%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 11
OPP 21
+21
61.1%
Corey Willis 21 Yd pass from Cooper Rush (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22TD
2 plays · 64 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
87.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 64 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2913% → 42%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
86.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 15 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+19
84.9%
Mark Chapman run for 19 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
83.7%
RUSH, Cooper pass incomplete to RICE, Anthony, PENALTY WMU pass interference (LEWIS, Austin) 11 yards to the WMU30, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
82.8%
Jahray Hayes run for 6 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+9
82.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 9 yds to the WMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
57.8%
Jahray Hayes run for 15 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 24END OF GAME
20 plays · 66 yds · 6:3770% → 88%
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-10
69.5%
TERRELL, Zach pass incomplete to DAVIS, Corey (COX, Josh), PENALTY WMU holding (BEAVERS, Willie) 10 yards to the WMU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 20
OWN 19
+3
68.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 3 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 17
OWN 22
+8
68.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 8 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+15
67.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 15 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
72.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 17 yds to the CMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
73.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the CMich 33Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+3
75.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the CMich 30Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+3
73.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the CMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
75.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the CMich 24Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+8
75.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 8 yds to the CMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
75.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the CMich 16Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+2
83.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the CMich 14Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+6
82.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 6 yds to the CMich 8Similar
Q4 1:47
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+7
84.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jason Meichtry for 7 yds to the CMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
88.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 3Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
88.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:24
Jahray Hayes run for 15 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)
-24.7
TD · Q4 10:53
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 64 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
+21.2
TD · Q4 11:09
Corey Willis 21 Yd pass from Cooper Rush (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-19.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com