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AKR

Akron 47 at Eastern Michigan 21

EMU
2015 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2015 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:42 · Van Edwards Jr. run for 4 yds to the EMich 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:20: Brogan Roback pass complete to Austin Stone for 7 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK) — EMU win probability +3.6 pts (now 33%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:44: Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 39 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK) — AKR win probability +5.8 pts (now 76%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:36: Brogan Roback pass complete to Sam Browning for 2 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK) — EMU win probability +8.1 pts (now 34%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:55: Conor Hundley run for 29 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK) — AKR win probability +7.9 pts (now 78%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:18: Thomas Woodson pass complete to Josh McNeil for 1 yd for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK) — AKR win probability +5.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7AKR made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00AKR 4th & 6 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:04EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 22, tied
    Close callPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:12EMU 4th & 1 at AKR 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    26.9%−1.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−3.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:24EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:29AKR 4th & 10 at EMU 22, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    77.2%−5.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:56EMU 4th & 2 at AKR 25, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%−0.9
    66% to make
    Punt
    -2.8%−6.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:49AKR 4th & 10 at midfield, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00EMU 4th & 6 at AKR 35, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:22AKR 4th & 4 at AKR 41, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:49EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 45, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:39AKR 4th & 3 at EMU 37, up 26
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:12EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 10, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3AKR made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 6:07AKR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:12AKR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:20EMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:44AKR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:36EMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 7:55AKR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:18AKR Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:05AKR Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 3:49EMU Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
30.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Josh McNeil for 10 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
30.3%
Conor Hundley run for no gain to the Akron 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-6
30.3%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Luke Maclean for a loss of 6 yards to the Akron 40 AKRON Penalty, intentional grounding ( Yards) to the Akron 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 40
+10
30.3%
Conor Hundley run for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
50
0
30.3%
Zach Paul punt for 49 yds, downed at the EMich 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
31.2%
Darius Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMich 4Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 7
OWN 4
0
31.2%
Darius Jackson run for no gain to the EMich 4Similar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+9
31.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 9 yds to the EMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
31.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Kris Strange for 4 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 6
OWN 17
-5
31.2%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 12Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 11
OWN 12
+5
31.2%
Darius Jackson run for 5 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+5
31.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 5 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q1 13:04
4TH & 1
OWN 22
0
31.1%
Dylan Mulder punt for 38 yds, downed at the Akron 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:1668% → 70%
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
32.4%
Conor Hundley run for 8 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+3
32.3%
Conor Hundley run for 3 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+20
32.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 20 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
32.1%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Imani DavisSimilar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+6
32.5%
Conor Hundley run for 6 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+13
32.7%
Thomas Woodson run for 13 yds to the EMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
32.4%
Thomas Woodson run for 1 yd to the EMich 9Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
30.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 9 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5TD
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:5070% → 73%
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
30.2%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
30.2%
Donnell Alexander run for no gain to the EMich 22Similar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+22
27.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 22 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:5228% → 33%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
28.4%
Darius Jackson run for 24 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
29.1%
Darius Jackson run for 5 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+9
29.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Cody Tuttle for 9 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
29.2%
Darius Jackson run for 3 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
29.4%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+6
29.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for 6 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q1 5:12
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+9
29.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sam Browning for 9 yds to the Akron 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
29.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Darius Jackson for 12 yds to the Akron 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
33.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Austin Stone for 7 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:3669% → 76%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
31.0%
Conor Hundley run for 2 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
30.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Conor Hundley for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 26Similar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
31.4%
WOODSON, Thomas pass incomplete to GOODMAN, Tyrell, QB hurry by DAWSON, Clay, PENALTY EMU holding (BROWN, Anthony) 10 yards to the AKRON36, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
30.6%
Thomas Woodson run for 8 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
30.2%
Thomas Woodson run for no gain to the Akron 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+5
30.2%
Donnell Alexander run for 5 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
30.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Imani DavisSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
30.0%
Donnell Alexander run for 7 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 44
-5
30.0%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+10
30.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 10 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
24.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 39 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8TD
13 plays · 78 yds · 2:0226% → 34%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
26.0%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Darius JacksonSimilar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-5
25.9%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Kris Strange) to the EMich 17Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+21
25.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 21 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+48
26.8%
Cody Tuttle pass complete to Sam Browning for 48 yds to the Akron 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
25.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 12 yds to the Akron 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
25.9%
Darius Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 3Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
25.9%
Darius Jackson run for 1 yd to the Akron 2Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
25.6%
AKRON Penalty, personal foul (Se'Von Pittman) to the Akron 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
25.9%
Darius Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 2Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
34.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sam Browning for 2 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:3369% → 78%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
30.9%
Conor Hundley run for 9 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
30.1%
Conor Hundley run for no gain to the Akron 39Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
30.3%
Cody Grice run for 3 yds to the Akron 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
30.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
30.4%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Michael Means Jr.Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+17
30.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 17 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
29.7%
Conor Hundley run for 12 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
21.7%
Conor Hundley run for 29 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10SF
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:3123% → 22%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
22.7%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Austin StoneSimilar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
22.7%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
22.5%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Austin StoneSimilar
Q2 7:24
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
22.3%
TEAM punt blocked by Andrew Hauser for a SAFETY blocked by Andrew Hauser for a SAFETY for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11FG
14 plays · 48 yds · 4:4981% → 82%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
18.8%
Donnell Alexander run for 2 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
18.9%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Austin Wolf, broken up by Anthony BrownSimilar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+9
19.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 9 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
18.4%
Donnell Alexander run for no gain to the Akron 41Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+26
18.5%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 26 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
18.1%
Donnell Alexander run for 2 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+9
18.1%
Donnell Alexander run for 9 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
18.0%
Thomas Woodson run for 2 yds to the EMich 20Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
18.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Imani DavisSimilar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+3
19.7%
Donnell Alexander run for 3 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q2 3:10
4TH & 5
OPP 17
-5
21.0%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 22Similar
Q2 2:29
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+39
18.3%
Robert Stein 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
18.5%
Darius Jackson run for 9 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
19.1%
Darius Jackson run for 4 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
19.4%
Brogan Roback pass intercepted Zach Guiser return for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 36 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 1:2487% → 96%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+36
13.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 36 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
11.8%
Thomas Woodson run for 6 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+5
11.1%
Conor Hundley run for 5 yds to the EMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+18
11.1%
Thomas Woodson run for 18 yds to the EMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
4.5%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Josh McNeil for 1 yd for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
7.7%
Darius Jackson run for 8 yds to the EMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15DOWNS
17 plays · 50 yds · 4:045% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
5.4%
Darius Jackson run for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
5.4%
Darius Jackson run for 4 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
5.5%
Darius Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
5.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Darius JacksonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
5.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for 2 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+11
5.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for 11 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
5.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sam Browning for 7 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 45
-1
5.9%
Darius Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+13
5.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Darius Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 48 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, roughing passer (Daumantas Venckus-Cucchiara) to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
3.5%
Darius Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 36Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 13
OPP 36
+6
3.2%
Darius Jackson run for 6 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
3.3%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Darius JacksonSimilar
Q3 10:56
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+5
3.3%
ROBACK, Brogan pass incomplete to CREEL, Dustin, PENALTY AKRON offside (MARCUS, Jamal) 5 yards to the AKRON25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:56
4TH & 2
OPP 25
0
3.5%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the Akron 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:3597% → 99%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
2.8%
Conor Hundley run for 2 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
2.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Josh McNeil for 7 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
2.8%
Conor Hundley run for 3 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
2.7%
Thomas Woodson run for 18 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
2.6%
Conor Hundley run for 3 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+1
2.6%
Donnell Alexander run for 1 yd to the EMich 41Similar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+17
2.6%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 17 yds to the EMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
2.4%
Darryl Monroe run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 27Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 13
OPP 27
+12
2.6%
Conor Hundley run for 12 yds to the EMich 15Similar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+10
2.5%
Conor Hundley run for 10 yds to the EMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
1.0%
Conor Hundley run for 5 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 1:072% → 2%
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
1.5%
Shaq Vann run for 11 yds to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
1.5%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Blake BanhamSimilar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
1.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Kris Strange for 6 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+41
1.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 41 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
1.1%
Donnell Alexander run for 13 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
1.1%
Thomas Woodson run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
50
-15
1.0%
WOODSON, Thomas rush for 6 yards to the EMU44 (WILLIAMS, Jalen), PENALTY AKRON personal foul 15 yards to the AKRON35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 25
OWN 35
+13
1.1%
Donnell Alexander run for 13 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+2
1.1%
Donnell Alexander run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 10
50
0
1.1%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete, broken up by Anthony BrownSimilar
Q3 3:49
4TH & 10
50
0
1.3%
Zach Paul punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 48 yds · 0:401% → 1%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
0.8%
Darius Jackson run for 15 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-7
0.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Darius Jackson for 3 yds to the EMich 35 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (Sam Browning) to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 17
OWN 25
+36
0.7%
Shaq Vann run for 36 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
0.9%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the Akron 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+3
0.9%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
0.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Austin Stone, broken up by Larry HopeSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 35
0
0.8%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Darius Jackson, broken up by Larry HopeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
0.6%
Donnell Alexander run for 4 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
0.6%
Donnell Alexander run for 3 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-1
0.6%
Kyle Pohl run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 41Similar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+13
0.6%
Zach Paul punt for 49 yds , Blake Banham returns for 13 yds to the EMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21FUMBLE
9 plays · 51 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
0.4%
Darius Jackson run for 8 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+5
0.4%
Darius Jackson run for 5 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
0.4%
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-6
0.4%
Brogan Roback sacked by Jatavis Brown and Rodney Coe for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+13
0.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for 13 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+4
0.4%
Darius Jackson run for 4 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
0.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 7 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+6
0.4%
Darius Jackson run for 6 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
0.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 11 yds Eddie Daugherty fumbled, forced by Bryce Cheek, recovered by Akron John SenterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22PUNT
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:23100% → 100%
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
0.2%
Donnell Alexander run for 4 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+4
0.2%
Donnell Alexander run for 4 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+4
0.2%
Donnell Alexander run for 4 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+18
0.2%
Donnell Alexander run for 3 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Anthony Zappone) to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
0.2%
Donnell Alexander run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 46 AKRON Penalty, Offensive holding (-8 Yards) to the Akron 46Similar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 20
OWN 46
+1
0.2%
Donnell Alexander run for 1 yd to the Akron 47Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 19
OWN 47
0
0.2%
Donnell Alexander run for no gain to the Akron 47Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 19
OWN 47
+6
0.2%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 6 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q4 2:39
4TH & 13
OPP 47
+10
0.2%
TEAM rush for loss of 29 yards to the AKRON24, PENALTY EMU holding 10 yards to the EMU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:39
4TH & 3
OPP 37
0
0.1%
Zach Paul punt for 34 yds, downed at the EMich 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
0.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Blake Banham for no gain to the EMich 3Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+8
0.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for 8 yds to the EMich 11Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 2
OWN 11
-5
0.1%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Kevin Davis) to the EMich 6Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 7
OWN 6
+4
0.1%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q4 2:12
4TH & 3
OWN 10
+49
0.1%
Dylan Mulder punt for 34 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the EMich 44 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, illegal formation (15 Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
0.1%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 4 yds to the EMich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:36
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sam Browning for 2 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)
+8.1
TD · Q2 7:55
Conor Hundley run for 29 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)
-7.9
TD · Q2 12:44
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 39 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)
-5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com