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M-OH

Miami (OH) 14 at Kent State 20

KENT
2015 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2015 · Dix Stadium
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Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:45 · Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Spencer McInnis
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 118Home team on offense+22.5Pregame prior+10.7Score differential+16.3Garbage-time factor+4.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.2Time remaining+1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:03: Antwan Dixon run for 75 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK) — KENT win probability +8.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:52: Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 44 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK) — KENT win probability +10.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 3:15: Drew Kummer pass complete to Nate Becker for 2 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK) — M-OH win probability +19.6 pts (now 25%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:15: Kaleb Patterson kickoff for 60 yds — KENT win probability +8.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:15: Trayion Durham run for 3 yds to the KntSt 38 — KENT win probability +7.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 8 of 12M-OH made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 10:45KENT 4th & 9 at M-OH 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    75.3%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:45M-OH 4th & 9 at M-OH 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:59KENT 4th & 6 at M-OH 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    74.2%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:54M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 23, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:37KENT 4th & 1 at M-OH 25, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    76.3%−0.4
    66% to make
    Punt
    75.1%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00M-OH 4th & 15 at KENT 34, down 6
    Close callPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    24.0%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:16KENT 4th & 3 at KENT 10, up 6
    Close callPunted · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.4%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:08M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 48, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:57M-OH 4th & 16 at M-OH 18, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:48KENT 4th & 19 at KENT 19, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%−2.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:50KENT 4th & 16 at KENT 45, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:41M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 33, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.4
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:46KENT 4th & 6 at M-OH 37, up 13
    Close callPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    86.0%−0.6
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:03M-OH 4th & 11 at M-OH 14, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:45M-OH 4th & 12 at KENT 36, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%
    42% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:13KENT 4th & 14 at KENT 32, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−1.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:38M-OH 4th & 6 at M-OH 21, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00KENT 4th & 3 at M-OH 30, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%−0.4
    56% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 13:43KENT 4th & 26 at M-OH 35, up 20
    Close callPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%−0.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 11:07KENT 4th & 10 at M-OH 44, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  21. Q4 8:57M-OH 4th & 4 at KENT 20, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−0.5
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−1.7
    average punt
  22. Q4 4:41M-OH 4th & 2 at KENT 6, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%−1.0
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    6.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−3.9
    average punt
  23. Q4 3:04KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 41, up 6
    Close callPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2M-OH made the numbers' call on 0 of 2
  1. Q2 9:03KENT Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:52KENT Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 5:36M-OH Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.1%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:15M-OH Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.8%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 4:1578% → 77%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-4
78.1%
Colin Reardon run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 23 Colin Reardon fumbled, recovered by KntSt Trayion DurhamSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 23
+19
78.1%
Trayion Durham run for 19 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
78.1%
Trayion Durham run for 3 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+5
78.1%
MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive offside (TJ Williams) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
50
+14
78.1%
Colin Reardon run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
78.1%
Colin Reardon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
78.1%
Trayion Durham run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+9
78.1%
Colin Reardon run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
78.1%
Colin Reardon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+1
78.1%
Trayion Durham run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 22
0
78.1%
Colin Reardon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:45
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+38
77.4%
Shane Hynes 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
77.3%
Leonard Ross run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 9
OWN 17
0
77.4%
Drew Kummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 9
OWN 17
0
77.5%
Drew Kummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:45
4TH & 9
OWN 17
0
77.6%
Christian Koch punt for 49 yds, downed at the KntSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3FG
6 plays · 55 yds · 2:4377% → 78%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
77.2%
Raekwon James run for 1 yd to the KntSt 35Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+50
77.2%
Raekwon James run for 50 yds to the MiaOh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
77.7%
Trayion Durham run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+4
77.7%
Trayion Durham run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 3
OPP 8
-3
77.5%
Trayion Durham run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q1 6:59
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+28
77.9%
Shane Hynes 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
77.7%
Gus Ragland run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
77.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
77.6%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Maurice Thomas, broken up by Anthony JohnsonSimilar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
77.8%
Drew Kummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:54
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
77.9%
Christian Koch punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5DOWNS
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
78.4%
P.J. Simmons run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
78.4%
Colin Reardon run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+9
78.4%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 9 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+1
78.2%
Miles Hibbler run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q1 5:37
4TH & 1
OPP 25
0
77.9%
Trayion Durham run for no gain to the MiaOh 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 41 yds · 3:2223% → 23%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.3%
Drew Kummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
77.3%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+16
77.7%
Gus Ragland run for 16 yds to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+21
76.8%
Gus Ragland run for 6 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, illegal use of hands (Nate Terhune) to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
76.3%
Gus Ragland run for 5 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+2
75.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+4
76.3%
Gus Ragland run for 4 yds to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
74.9%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
75.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Ryan Smith for 3 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 26
-8
75.6%
Drew Kummer sacked by Elcee Refuge and Matt Dellinger for a loss of 8 yards to the KntSt 34Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OPP 34
0
77.2%
Christian Koch punt for 31 yds, downed at the KntSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
77.4%
Trayion Durham run for 1 yd to the KntSt 4Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+3
77.4%
Trayion Durham run for 3 yds to the KntSt 7Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+3
76.9%
Trayion Durham run for 3 yds to the KntSt 10Similar
Q2 13:16
4TH & 3
OWN 10
0
76.5%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 67 yds, downed at the MiaOh 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+22
76.3%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Nate Becker for 22 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
75.2%
Drew Kummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-5
75.6%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+2
76.2%
Gus Ragland run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 13
OWN 42
+6
76.5%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 6 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q2 11:08
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
76.4%
Christian Koch punt for 27 yds , Ernest Calhoun returns for no gain to the KntSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
84.6%
Antwan Dixon run for 75 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
82.9%
Leonard Ross run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 13
OWN 21
+1
83.1%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 1 yd to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 12
OWN 22
-4
83.3%
Gus Ragland run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q2 8:57
4TH & 16
OWN 18
0
83.4%
Christian Koch punt for 54 yds , Ernest Calhoun returns for no gain to the KntSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
84.7%
Colin Reardon run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 27Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 11
OWN 27
-1
84.7%
Colin Reardon pass complete to P.J. Simmons for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 26Similar
Q2 6:48
3RD & 12
OWN 26
-2
84.2%
Colin Reardon run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 24Similar
Q2 6:48
4TH & 14
OWN 24
-5
83.7%
KENT ST Penalty, encroachment (Ernest Calhoun) to the KntSt 19Similar
Q2 6:48
4TH & 19
OWN 19
0
83.7%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
83.6%
Drew Kummer pass intercepted Demetrius Monday return for 1 yd to the KntSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0086% → 84%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
85.5%
Raekwon James run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 34Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+9
85.2%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Raekwon James for 9 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+8
85.4%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Johnny Woods for 8 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
85.9%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Johnny WoodsSimilar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-6
85.8%
Raekwon James run for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 45Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 16
OWN 45
0
85.0%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Antwan Dixon KENT ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:50
4TH & 16
OWN 45
0
84.3%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 1:4915% → 16%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
84.7%
Gus Ragland run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+5
84.5%
Gus Ragland run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
84.6%
Gus Ragland run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
84.4%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
84.6%
Gus Ragland run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q2 0:41
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
83.6%
Christian Koch punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ernest Calhoun at the KntSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
86.5%
Raekwon James run for 11 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
87.1%
Raekwon James run for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16INT
5 plays · 49 yds · 0:0015% → 17%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
85.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 7 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+3
84.6%
Gus Ragland run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+39
84.7%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 39 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+38
83.1%
Drew Kummer pass intercepted Demetrius Monday return for 38 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
87.8%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 13 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
87.7%
Raekwon James run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+5
87.7%
Colin Reardon pass complete to P.J. Simmons for 5 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
87.2%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q3 13:46
4TH & 6
OPP 37
0
86.6%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 34 yds, downed at the MiaOh 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 11 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
86.2%
Leonard Ross run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 8
OWN 5
-2
86.3%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-2 Yards) to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+2
86.3%
Leonard Ross run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 8
OWN 5
+10
86.6%
Gus Ragland run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
86.0%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Brandyn Cook) to the MiaOh 10Similar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+7
86.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+5
86.0%
Drew Kummer run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 3
OWN 22
-3
86.1%
Gus Ragland run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q3 12:03
4TH & 6
OWN 19
-5
86.6%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q3 12:03
4TH & 11
OWN 14
0
86.7%
Christian Koch punt for 40 yds , Ernest Calhoun returns for no gain to the MiaOh 44 Ernest Calhoun fumbled, recovered by KntSt Marcus ElliottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19TD
1 play · 44 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
96.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 44 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20DOWNS
11 plays · 36 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
96.1%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
96.3%
Rokeem Williams run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+14
96.2%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Sam Martin for 14 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
96.1%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+21
96.1%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Chris Hudson for 21 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
95.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 5
OPP 29
-10
95.5%
KUMMER, Drew pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, Ro., PENALTY MIAMI holding (HOVEY, Zach) 10 yards to the KENT39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 15
OPP 39
0
96.1%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 15
OPP 39
+3
96.3%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Chris Hudson for 3 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q3 6:45
4TH & 12
OPP 36
0
96.2%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Spencer McInnisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
97.2%
Trayion Durham run for 4 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-1
97.3%
Antwan Dixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 39 KENT ST Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-7
97.3%
P.J. Simmons run for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 32Similar
Q3 3:13
4TH & 14
OWN 32
0
96.9%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
97.7%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Spencer McInnis, broken up by Najee MurraySimilar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+4
97.7%
Drew Kummer run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 6
OWN 21
0
97.7%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Chris HudsonSimilar
Q3 1:38
4TH & 6
OWN 21
0
97.7%
Christian Koch punt for 32 yds , Ernest Calhoun returns for no gain to the KntSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23PUNT
11 plays · 18 yds · 2:0798% → 98%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
98.2%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 16 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
98.2%
Trayion Durham run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+8
98.3%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Brice Fackler for 8 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 30
0
98.2%
Colin Reardon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+11
98.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 11 yds to the MiaOh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
98.3%
Trayion Durham run for no gain to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
98.3%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Johnny WoodsSimilar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 10
OPP 19
-5
98.6%
KENT ST Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 15
OPP 24
-6
98.6%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Antwan Dixon for a loss of 6 yards Antwan Dixon fumbled, forced by TJ Williams, recovered by KntSt Brice FacklerSimilar
Q4 13:43
4TH & 26
OPP 35
0
98.2%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 24INT
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+35
98.6%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Sam Martin for 35 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.4%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
98.4%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-8
98.5%
Drew Kummer sacked by Marques Moore for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q4 13:00
4TH & 18
OWN 37
+15
98.6%
KOCH, Christian punt 36 yards to the KENT27, fair catch by CALHOUN, Ernest, PENALTY KENT roughing the kicker (ARLIA, Connor) 15 yards to the KENT48, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
98.4%
Drew Kummer run for no gain to the KntSt 48Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
98.4%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 10
OPP 48
-10
98.5%
KUMMER, Drew pass complete to SMITH, Ryan for 20 yards to the KENT28 (MOORE, Marques), PENALTY MIAMI holding (HOVEY, Zach) 10 yards to the MIAMI42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 20
OWN 42
+8
98.6%
Drew Kummer pass intercepted Elcee Refuge return for 8 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
98.9%
Antwan Dixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+2
98.8%
Raekwon James run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
98.8%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Antwan Dixon, broken up by JT JonesSimilar
Q4 11:07
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
98.7%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 21 yds, downed at the MiaOh 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 26TD
13 plays · 77 yds · 3:571% → 8%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+19
98.8%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Chris Hudson for 19 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+32
98.7%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Ryan Smith for 32 yds to the KntSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
98.5%
Drew Kummer sacked by James Alexander for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 31Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 15
OPP 31
0
98.6%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Alonzo SmithSimilar
Q4 8:57
3RD & 15
OPP 31
-5
98.8%
KUMMER, Drew pass complete to WILLIAMS, Ro. for 16 yards to the KENT15 (McRAE, Juantez;ELLIOTT, Marcus), PENALTY MIAMI IF 5 yards to the KENT36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:57
3RD & 20
OPP 36
+16
98.9%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 16 yds to the KntSt 20Similar
Q4 8:57
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+7
98.7%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Ryan Smith for 7 yds to the KntSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
98.5%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Sam Martin for 12 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.4%
KENT ST Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) to the KntSt 1Similar
Q4 8:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.4%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the KntSt 1Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.5%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the KntSt 1Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 27FUMBLE
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:0597% → 97%
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.8%
Trayion Durham run for 2 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+25
97.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 25 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-15
97.3%
DURHAM, Trayion rush for 1 yard to the MIAMI47 (MOSES, Paul;ALBRIGHT, B.), PENALTY KENT personal foul (SCOTT, Wayne) 15 yards to the KENT37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 25
OWN 37
-4
97.0%
Colin Reardon run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 35 Colin Reardon fumbled, recovered by MiaOh JT JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 28TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 1:264% → 25%
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+37
95.9%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Fred McRae IV for 37 yds to the KntSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
95.0%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Chris Hudson, broken up by James AlexanderSimilar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
95.4%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Ryan Smith, broken up by Marques MooreSimilar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+14
95.6%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Ryan Smith for 14 yds to the KntSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
95.0%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+8
95.0%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 8 yds to the KntSt 6Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 2
OPP 6
0
95.2%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Fred McRae IVSimilar
Q4 4:41
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+2
95.3%
Drew Kummer run for 2 yds to the KntSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
95.0%
KUMMER, Drew pass incomplete to JENKINS, A. (CUTHBERT, Nick), PENALTY KENT pass interference (CUTHBERT, Nick) 2 yards to the KENT2, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
75.4%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Nate Becker for 2 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 29PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:1192% → 92%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
91.5%
Trayion Durham run for 3 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
92.8%
Trayion Durham run for no gain to the KntSt 38Similar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+3
93.0%
Trayion Durham run for 3 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
92.4%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 30INT
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:009% → 10%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
91.5%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+14
91.9%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Ryan Smith for 14 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
90.4%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Chris HudsonSimilar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+13
90.9%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 13 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
89.1%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Chris HudsonSimilar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+9
89.4%
Drew Kummer run for 9 yds to the KntSt 36 Drew Kummer fumbled, forced by Quan Robinson Jr., recovered by MiaOh Chris Hudson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
88.6%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
89.1%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
89.7%
Drew Kummer pass intercepted Juantez McRae return for no gain to the KntSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 31END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
95.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 8Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 11
OWN 8
-1
95.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:15
Drew Kummer pass complete to Nate Becker for 2 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)
-19.6
TD · Q3 6:52
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 44 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)
+10.3
TD · Q2 9:03
Antwan Dixon run for 75 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)
+8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com