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AKR

Akron 35 at Louisiana 14

UL
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:53 · Steven Coutts punt for 37 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the Akron 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+52.0+26.00−26.0−52.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 119Home team on offense−28.7Pregame prior+8.6Score differential−15.3Garbage-time factor−6.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:10: Thomas Woodson pass complete to Andrew Pratt for 9 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK) — AKR win probability +3.5 pts (now 33%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:54: Thomas Woodson run for 14 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK) — AKR win probability +9.8 pts (now 43%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:24: Conor Hundley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK) — AKR win probability +15.9 pts (now 71%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:53: Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 72 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK) — AKR win probability +21.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:09: Donnell Alexander run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 44 — AKR win probability +8.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 7 of 7AKR made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00AKR 4th & 22 at AKR 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:44UL 4th & 5 at UL 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:10UL 4th & 7 at UL 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:26AKR 4th & 17 at UL 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    38.6%−4.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:40UL 4th & 1 at AKR 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    50.0%−3.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    43.0%−10.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:44AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−1.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:24UL 4th & 5 at UL 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:53UL 4th & 20 at UL 16, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−4.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:09AKR 4th & 1 at UL 44, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    89.4%−3.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    90.5%−2.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:34UL 4th & 15 at UL 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−2.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:40AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 33, up 21
    Close callPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:08UL 4th & 4 at AKR 41, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 1 of 2AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 7:10AKR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:54AKR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:50UL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:24AKR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:53AKR Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:08AKR Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:22UL Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
72.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 11 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
72.3%
Conor Hundley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
72.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+20
72.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Andrew Pratt for 5 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST down UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
72.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Josh McNeil for 1 yd to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
72.3%
Conor Hundley run for no gain to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 44
-13
72.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the Akron 43 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Akron Conor HundleySimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 43
0
72.3%
Zach Paul punt for 34 yds, downed at the LaLaf 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
71.8%
Brooks Haack run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
71.8%
Brooks Haack pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
71.6%
Brooks Haack pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 5
OWN 28
0
71.5%
Steven Coutts punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 3:3729% → 33%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
71.5%
Conor Hundley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 18Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 11
OWN 18
0
71.5%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 11
OWN 18
+24
71.7%
Thomas Woodson run for 24 yds to the Akron 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
71.1%
Conor Hundley run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+33
71.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Conor Hundley for 33 yds to the LaLaf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
70.9%
Thomas Woodson run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 6 AKRON Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 15
OPP 16
0
70.9%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 15
OPP 16
+7
71.0%
Thomas Woodson run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+9
67.5%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Andrew Pratt for 9 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
68.4%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
68.4%
Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Gabe Fuselier, broken up by DeAndre ScottSimilar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
68.1%
Brooks Haack pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:10
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+62
68.0%
Steven Coutts punt for 52 yds AKRON Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Akron 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5TD
16 plays · 85 yds · 6:1232% → 43%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
67.8%
Donnell Alexander run for 9 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 1
OWN 24
0
67.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete, broken up by Jacoby BriscoeSimilar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+1
67.5%
Conor Hundley run for 1 yd to the Akron 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
67.6%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tyrell Goodman for 9 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
67.3%
Donnell Alexander run for no gain to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
67.4%
Conor Hundley run for 1 yd to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
67.4%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Andrew PrattSimilar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+13
67.5%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 13 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
67.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Imani DavisSimilar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
67.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Austin Wolf, broken up by Troy McCollumSimilar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 10
OPP 0
+15
67.0%
WOODSON, Thomas sideline pass incomplete to GOODMAN, Tyrell, PENALTY UL pass interference (Brown,Savion) 11 yards to the UL41, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY, PENALTY UL unsportsmanlike conduct 15 yards to the UL26, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
66.8%
GOODMAN, Tyrell sideline pass incomplete to PRATT, Andrew, PENALTY UL pass interference (McCollum,Troy) 15 yards to the UL11, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
66.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Donnell Alexander for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 13Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 12
OPP 13
-10
66.8%
WOODSON, Thomas rush left for 7 yards to the UL6 (Douglas, Remaine), PENALTY AKRON holding (BRUMBAUGH, Dylan) 10 yards to the UL23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 22
OPP 23
+9
66.8%
Donnell Alexander run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 13
OPP 14
+14
57.0%
Thomas Woodson run for 14 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0459% → 64%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
58.8%
McGuire,Elijah rush up middle for 3 yards to the UL28 (COE, Rodney), PENALTY AKRON offside (PITTMAN, Se'Von) 5 yards to the UL30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+15
59.5%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 15 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
60.0%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Devin Scott for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+9
59.4%
Haack,Brooks middle pass incomplete to Fuselier,Gabe, PENALTY AKRON pass interference (SCOTT, DeAndre) 9 yards to the AKRON49, 1ST DOWN UL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
60.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+21
60.2%
Torrey Pierce run for 6 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, personal foul (DeAndre Scott) to the Akron 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
60.6%
Torrey Pierce run for 2 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+7
60.6%
Elijah McGuire run for 7 yds to the Akron 17Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+17
63.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 17 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7MISSED FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 2:2039% → 41%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+41
60.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 41 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
58.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Michael Means Jr. for 8 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+6
58.8%
Conor Hundley run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-11
58.8%
WOODSON, Thomas sideline pass incomplete to GOODMAN, Tyrell, PENALTY AKRON holding (OSBORNE, Quaison) 11 yards to the UL29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 21
OPP 29
+4
58.9%
Conor Hundley run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 17
OPP 25
0
59.2%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 17
OPP 25
0
59.7%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Michael Means Jr.Similar
Q2 8:26
4TH & 17
OPP 25
+42
59.4%
Robert Stein 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8DOWNS
18 plays · 74 yds · 5:4660% → 57%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
60.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
60.6%
Elijah McGuire run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
60.9%
Brooks Haack pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-5
60.8%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+15
60.2%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 15 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
62.1%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 9 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+9
62.8%
Elijah McGuire run for 9 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
63.9%
Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Torrey Pierce, broken up by Zach GuiserSimilar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+19
63.8%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 19 yds to the Akron 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
63.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the Akron 11Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+10
63.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 8 yds to the Akron 3 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, face mask (2 yards) (Alfonso Horner) to the Akron 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-15
64.2%
Pierce,Torrey rush left for 1 yard to the AKRON0, PENALTY UL illegal block (Horst,Grant) 15 yards to the AKRON16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 16
0
63.8%
Brooks Haack pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
+9
63.3%
Brooks Haack run for 9 yds to the Akron 7Similar
Q2 2:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
57.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 6 yds to the Akron 1Similar
Q2 2:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
56.9%
Elijah McGuire run for no gain to the Akron 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:5143% → 45%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
56.7%
Thomas Woodson run for 1 yd to the Akron 2Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
57.0%
Thomas Woodson run for no gain to the Akron 2Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+4
55.3%
Conor Hundley run for 4 yds to the Akron 6Similar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 5
OWN 6
0
54.8%
Zach Paul punt for 44 yds , Torrey Pierce returns for no gain to the 50 yard line Torrey Pierce fumbled, recovered by Akron Michael Buddenberg , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10END OF HALF
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0052% → 48%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
50
-5
48.1%
AKRON Penalty, false start (Josh McNeil) to the Akron 45Similar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 15
OWN 45
-10
50.2%
HUNDLEY, Conor rush up middle for 13 yards to the UL42 (Crawford, Travis), PENALTY AKRON holding (BOHAN, Andrew) 10 yards to the AKRON35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 25
OWN 35
+4
51.6%
Thomas Woodson run for 4 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 21
OWN 39
0
51.1%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Andrew PrattSimilar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 21
OWN 39
+1
51.7%
Conor Hundley run for 1 yd to the Akron 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
50.9%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 7 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+4
51.7%
Brooks Haack run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
51.4%
Brooks Haack pass intercepted DeAndre Scott return for no gain to the Akron 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12TD
6 plays · 82 yds · 2:4051% → 71%
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
48.7%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Michael Means Jr.Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+9
49.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tyrell Goodman for 9 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+38
48.2%
Thomas Woodson run for 38 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
45.5%
Conor Hundley run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+29
45.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 29 yds to the LaLaf 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.4%
Conor Hundley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
33.5%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+3
33.4%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 3 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+5
33.2%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 5 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
33.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+4
33.5%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 4 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
33.8%
Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Jamal RobinsonSimilar
Q3 11:24
4TH & 5
OWN 34
+1
33.4%
Steven Coutts punt for 39 yds , A.J. Coney returns for 1 yd to the Akron 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14TD
1 play · 72 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+72
12.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 72 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
15.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+14
15.3%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Al Riles for 14 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
15.5%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
15.7%
Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Jamal RobinsonSimilar
Q3 7:53
3RD & 8
OWN 28
-12
15.3%
Jalen Nixon sacked by Daumantas Venckus-Cucchiara for a loss of 12 yards to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q3 7:53
4TH & 20
OWN 16
0
15.2%
Steven Coutts punt for 37 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the Akron 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
6.5%
Donnell Alexander run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 1
OPP 44
0
6.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Michael Means Jr.Similar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 1
OPP 44
0
6.4%
Donnell Alexander run for no gain to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q3 5:09
4TH & 1
OPP 44
0
7.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Tyrell GoodmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
8.9%
Jalen Nixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 12
OWN 42
-10
8.8%
Nixon,Jalen sideline pass complete to McGuire,Elijah for 11 yards to the AKRON47, PENALTY UL holding (Anderson, Octravian) 10 yards to the UL32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 22
OWN 32
+7
8.5%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Al Riles for 7 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q3 3:34
3RD & 15
OWN 39
0
8.5%
Jalen Nixon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:34
4TH & 15
OWN 39
+37
8.5%
Steven Coutts punt for 52 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the ULLAFAYTTE 9 UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, illegal block (Jake Guidry) to the Akron 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
4.7%
Conor Hundley run for 6 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+3
4.7%
Conor Hundley run for 3 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 1
OWN 33
0
4.8%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q3 1:40
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
5.0%
Zach Paul punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
6.7%
Jalen Nixon pass intercepted Dylan Evans return for 17 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0596% → 96%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
3.7%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Conor Hundley, broken up by Zachary DeGrangeSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+7
3.7%
Conor Hundley run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+12
3.8%
Thomas Woodson pass intercepted Zachary DeGrange return for 12 yds to the LaLaf 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
4.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+17
5.0%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Al Riles for 17 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
5.3%
Jalen Nixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 11
OWN 42
-5
5.1%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 5 yds to the LaLaf 47 UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Offensive holding (Jamal Robinson) to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 16
OWN 37
+12
4.9%
Jalen Nixon run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 21 Jalen Nixon fumbled, forced by Se'Von Pittman, recovered by Akron Cody Grice , return for 12 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22TD
4 plays · 33 yds · 2:1997% → 100%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
2.9%
Conor Hundley run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 17Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+3
2.9%
Conor Hundley run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+3
3.0%
Conor Hundley run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
0.5%
Conor Hundley run for 11 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 23TD
17 plays · 73 yds · 3:461% → 2%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
0.5%
Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Gabe FuselierSimilar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+13
0.4%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Nick Byrne for 13 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
0.5%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Nick Byrne for 3 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
0.5%
Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Nick ByrneSimilar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+10
0.5%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Devin Scott for 10 yds to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
0.5%
Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Devin ScottSimilar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-5
0.5%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (Gabe Fuselier) to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+11
0.5%
Jalen Nixon run for 11 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
0.5%
Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Devin ScottSimilar
Q4 10:08
4TH & 4
OPP 41
+23
0.5%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Nick Byrne for 23 yds to the Akron 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
0.6%
Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Al RilesSimilar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+9
0.5%
Torrey Pierce run for 9 yds to the Akron 9Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+2
0.5%
Torrey Pierce run for 2 yds to the Akron 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
0.7%
Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Jamal RobinsonSimilar
Q4 10:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
0.7%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Nick Byrne for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 8Similar
Q4 6:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
2.0%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 8 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24END OF GAME
11 plays · 36 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
1.3%
Donnell Alexander run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+1
1.3%
Donnell Alexander run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+5
1.3%
Conor Hundley run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
1.3%
Donnell Alexander run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+2
1.3%
Donnell Alexander run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 31 AKRON Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+18
1.3%
Donnell Alexander run for 18 yds to the LaLaf 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
1.3%
Donnell Alexander run for no gain to the LaLaf 13Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+7
1.3%
Donnell Alexander run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 6Similar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 3
OPP 6
-5
1.3%
AKRON Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 8
OPP 11
-2
1.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:53
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 72 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)
-21.3
TD · Q3 11:24
Conor Hundley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)
-15.9
TD · Q2 14:54
Thomas Woodson run for 14 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)
-9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com