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MUR

Murray State 20 at Western Michigan 52

WMU
2015 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2015 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadMUR aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreMUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:58 · Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Jeremy Harness, broken up by Darius Phillips
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 138Pregame prior+18.1Home team on offense+35.5Score differential+27.9Blowout margin+15.7Garbage-time factor+10.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:00: Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 56 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +0.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:50: Kd Humphries pass complete to Janawski Davis for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — MUR win probability +2.1 pts (now 6%) (top driver: MUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:12: Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 14 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +1.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:05: Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 17 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +1.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:07: Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3MUR made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00MUR 4th & 9 at MUR 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:50WMU 4th & 4 at MUR 13, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.8%−<0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:50MUR 4th & 4 at MUR 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:11WMU 4th & 9 at WMU 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:36MUR 4th & 2 at MUR 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:50WMU 4th & 1 at MUR 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.1%−0.3
    84% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:07MUR 4th & 3 at MUR 32, down 11
    Close callPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:29MUR 4th & 8 at WMU 22, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:22MUR 4th & 11 at WMU 41, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:58MUR 4th & 4 at WMU 9, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    43% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7MUR made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 0:00WMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:50MUR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    7.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:12WMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:05WMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:07WMU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:22WMU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:58WMU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:21MUR Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:05WMU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:38MUR Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MURDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
98.1%
Kd Humphries run for 3 yds to the MurrS 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 20
-6
98.1%
Roman Clay run for a loss of 6 yards to the MurrS 14Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 14
+4
98.1%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Jeremy Harness for 4 yds to the MurrS 18Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 18
0
98.1%
Landon Stratton punt for 55 yds, downed at the WMich 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2FG
12 plays · 60 yds · 6:1398% → 97%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
97.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+21
97.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 21 yds to the MurrS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
97.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the MurrS 40Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+3
97.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 3 yds to the MurrS 37Similar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+3
97.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the MurrS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
97.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the MurrS 30Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+11
97.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 11 yds to the MurrS 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
97.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the MurrS 19Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
97.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 4 yds to the MurrS 15Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+2
97.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the MurrS 13Similar
Q1 6:50
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+30
97.1%
Andrew Haldeman 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
97.1%
Kd Humphries run for 5 yds to the MurrS 12Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+15
97.1%
HUMPHRIES, KD sacked for loss of 3 yards to the MUR9 (BRASTER, Nathan;MCKINNEY, J), PENALTY WMU face mask (BRASTER, Nathan) 15 yards to the MUR27, 1ST DOWN MUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
97.1%
Roman Clay run for a loss of 5 yards to the MurrS 22Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 15
OWN 22
+11
97.1%
Kd Humphries run for 11 yds to the MurrS 33Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
97.1%
Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Jeremy Harness, broken up by Asantay BrownSimilar
Q1 6:50
4TH & 4
OWN 33
+10
97.1%
Landon Stratton punt for 44 yds , Daniel Braverman returns for 10 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 5
OWN 12
0
97.1%
Kd Humphries pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
96.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 13 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
96.7%
Zach Terrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
96.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 47Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
96.6%
Zach Terrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:11
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
96.5%
J. Schroeder punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Janawski Davis at the MurrS 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
96.3%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Drew Rutland for 9 yds to the MurrS 24Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 1
OWN 24
0
96.2%
Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Janawski Davis, broken up by Ronald ZamortSimilar
Q1 2:36
3RD & 1
OWN 24
-1
96.3%
Pokey Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 23Similar
Q1 2:36
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
96.4%
Landon Stratton punt for 40 yds, downed at the WMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6TD
3 plays · 63 yds · 1:0596% → 97%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
96.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+2
96.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+56
96.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 56 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 7TD
14 plays · 81 yds · 4:104% → 6%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
96.5%
MURRAY ST Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 14Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 14
0
96.5%
Roman Clay run for no gain to the MurrS 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+38
96.5%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Janawski Davis for 38 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
96.2%
HUMPHRIES, KD pass incomplete to DAVIS, Janawski, PENALTY WMU holding (ZAMORT, Ronald) 10 yards to the WMU38, 1ST DOWN MUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
96.2%
Kd Humphries run for 1 yd to the WMich 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+4
96.3%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Zach Shipley for 4 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+6
96.3%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Roman Clay for 6 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
96.1%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Paul Rice for 9 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 18
0
96.1%
Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Paul Rice, broken up by Rontavious AtkinsSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+2
96.2%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Janawski Davis for 2 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
96.1%
Kd Humphries run for 4 yds to the WMich 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+10
96.1%
Roman Clay run for 10 yds to the WMich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.0%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Janawski Davis for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:3895% → 96%
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
94.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 8 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
94.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 37Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+12
94.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 12 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+28
95.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 28 yds to the MurrS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
95.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the MurrS 20Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+4
95.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 4 yds to the MurrS 16Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+2
95.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the MurrS 14Similar
Q2 10:50
4TH & 1
OPP 14
-13
94.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the MurrS 12 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the MurrS 27Similar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
95.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the MurrS 24Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+5
95.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the MurrS 19Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+5
95.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the MurrS 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
93.9%
Zach Terrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
95.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 14 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:054% → 4%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.8%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Jeremy Harness for 7 yds to the MurrS 32Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
95.6%
Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Jeremy HarnessSimilar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
95.8%
Nick Taylor run for no gain to the MurrS 32Similar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
95.6%
Landon Stratton punt for 53 yds, downed at the WMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 2:5295% → 97%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+43
95.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 43 yds to the MurrS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-6
95.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 4 yds to the MurrS 38 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the MurrS 48Similar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 16
OPP 48
+12
95.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 12 yds to the MurrS 36Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+9
95.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 9 yds to the MurrS 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
95.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 4 yds to the MurrS 23Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-10
95.7%
Zach Terrell sacked by Joey Cicoria for a loss of 10 yards to the MurrS 33Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 16
OPP 33
+16
95.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 16 yds to the MurrS 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
95.7%
Zach Terrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
97.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 17 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 2:5397% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+54
96.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 54 yds to the MurrS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
97.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
97.0%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis, broken up by DeQuinten Spraggins WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+12
97.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 12 yds to the MurrS 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
97.9%
Zach Terrell run for 10 yds to the MurrS 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
97.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the MurrS 2Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 13MISSED FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:381% → 1%
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.0%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Jeremy Harness for 2 yds to the MurrS 27Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
99.0%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Jeremy Harness for 2 yds to the MurrS 29Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+32
99.0%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Jeremy Harness for 32 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
98.8%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Paul Rice for 15 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
98.7%
Kd Humphries run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 25Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+3
98.7%
Kd Humphries run for 3 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
98.8%
Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Janawski DavisSimilar
Q3 9:29
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+39
99.0%
Carson Greifenkamp 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 5:0799% → 100%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
99.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 5
OWN 0
+5
99.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST down MURRAY ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
99.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 30Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+10
99.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 10 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+5
99.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+23
99.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 23 yds to the MurrS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
99.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 10 yds to the MurrS 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
99.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 6 yds to the MurrS 16Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 4
OPP 16
-4
99.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for a loss of 4 yards to the MurrS 20Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+20
99.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 20 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.8%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Dominique Rhymes for a loss of 2 yards to the MurrS 23Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
99.8%
Kd Humphries run for 1 yd to the MurrS 24Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+36
99.8%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Dominique Rhymes for 36 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-9
99.8%
Roman Clay run for 1 yd to the WMich 39 MURRAY ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Chris White) to the WMich 49Similar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 19
OPP 49
+8
99.8%
Roman Clay run for 8 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 11
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Kd Humphries pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 11
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Dominique RhymesSimilar
Q3 4:22
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Landon Stratton punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16FUMBLE
7 plays · 61 yds · 1:15100% → 100%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 9 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
99.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 14 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
99.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 16 yds to the MurrS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
99.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the MurrS 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+25
99.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 12 yds to the MurrS 25 for a 1ST down MURRAY ST Penalty, personal foul (Jalen Harrington) to the MurrS 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
99.9%
Zach Terrell run for a loss of 4 yards to the MurrS 10 Zach Terrell fumbled, recovered by MurrS Joey Cicoria MURRAY ST Penalty, personal foul (Elijah Daniel) to the MurrS 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 17INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
99.9%
Kd Humphries pass intercepted for a TD Darius Phillips return for 10 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 66 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Jeremy HarnessSimilar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.9%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Dominique Rhymes for 16 yds to the MurrS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
99.9%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Paul Rice for 20 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Dominique Rhymes, broken up by Darius PhillipsSimilar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+24
99.9%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Jeremy Harness for 24 yds to the WMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Janawski DavisSimilar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+6
99.9%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Janawski Davis for 6 yds to the WMich 9Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Paul RiceSimilar
Q4 12:58
4TH & 4
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Jeremy Harness, broken up by Darius PhillipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 41 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+16
99.9%
Tom Flacco run for 16 yds to the WMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
99.9%
Tom Flacco pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 28 yds Carrington Thompson fumbled, forced by DeAndre Cooper, recovered by MurrS Demetric Johnson , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 20TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 0:420% → 0%
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
50
0
100.0%
Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Paul RiceSimilar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 10
50
+43
100.0%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Jeremy Harness for 43 yds to the WMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
100.0%
HUMPHRIES, KD pass incomplete to HARNESS, Jeremy, PENALTY WMU holding (BEAL, Sam) 4 yards to the WMU3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Roman Clay run for 3 yds for a TD, (Carson Greifenkamp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:16100% → 100%
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
99.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 11 yds to the MurrS 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
99.9%
Tom Flacco pass complete to Michael Henry for 5 yds to the MurrS 9Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
100.0%
Tom Flacco run for 9 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 22TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:270% → 0%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
100.0%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Paul Rice for 7 yds to the MurrS 37Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 3
OWN 37
-1
100.0%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Nick Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 36Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+23
100.0%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Dominique Rhymes for 23 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
100.0%
HUMPHRIES, KD pass incomplete to DAVIS, Janawski, PENALTY WMU pass interference (THOMAS, Ian) 15 yards to the WMU26, 1ST DOWN MUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
100.0%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Nick Taylor for 1 yd to the WMich 25Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 9
OPP 25
-9
100.0%
Kd Humphries sacked by Keion Adams for a loss of 9 yards to the WMich 45 Kd Humphries fumbled, recovered by MurrS Hunter Kingston , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 29
OPP 45
+29
100.0%
Nick Taylor run for 29 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
100.0%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Zach Shipley for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 17Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+11
100.0%
Kd Humphries run for 11 yds to the WMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Dominique Rhymes, broken up by Justin TranquillSimilar
Q4 2:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
100.0%
Kd Humphries run for 6 yds for a TD, (Carson Greifenkamp KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23END OF GAME
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
100.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 14 yds to the MurrS 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
100.0%
Tom Flacco run for 8 yds to the MurrS 18Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+5
100.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the MurrS 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
100.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the MurrS 9Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+6
100.0%
Tom Flacco pass complete to Jake Spinek for 6 yds to the MurrS 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
100.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 2 yards to the MurrS 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:50
Kd Humphries pass complete to Janawski Davis for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-2.1
TD · Q2 4:12
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 14 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q2 0:05
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 17 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com