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SELA

SE Louisiana 14 at Ohio 35

OHIO
2015 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2015 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadSELA aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreSELA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+3.3OHIO 99.5%Derrius Vick pass complete to BrendanCope for 67 yds for a TD, (JosiahYazdani KICK)AWAY 14 - HOME 35 · Q4 6:21
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:21 · Derrius Vick pass complete to Brendan Cope for 67 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Pregame prior+5.1Home team on offense+32.4Score differential+22.6Garbage-time factor+13.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+7.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:40: Papi White run for 10 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +4.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:47: Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 31 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +6.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:15: Donovan Isom pass complete to Jeff Smiley for 10 yds for a TD, (Jonathon Tatum KICK) — SELA win probability +7.3 pts (now 11%) (top driver: SELA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:01: Donovan Isom pass complete to Dylan Bossier for 38 yds for a TD, (Jonathon Tatum KICK) — SELA win probability +10.5 pts (now 19%) (top driver: SELA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:44: Papi White run for 58 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +11.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 6 of 8SELA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00OHIO 4th & 22 at OHIO 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:50SELA 4th & 1 at SELA 24, tied
    Close callPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:51SELA 4th & 5 at SELA 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:50OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:39SELA 4th & 6 at SELA 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00OHIO 4th & 19 at OHIO 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%−1.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:13SELA 4th & 11 at SELA 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:40SELA 4th & 7 at SELA 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:59OHIO 4th & 1 at SELA 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    86.4%−1.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    86.2%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:47OHIO 4th & 6 at SELA 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    88.6%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    87.7%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:01SELA 4th & 16 at SELA 42, down 21
    Numbers favored punt by 1.0 ptsWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00SELA 4th & 2 at SELA 33, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:46OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 28, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:52OHIO 4th & 3 at SELA 44, up 14
    Close callPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    91.6%−1.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:44SELA 4th & 11 at SELA 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:18SELA 4th & 17 at SELA 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:05OHIO 4th & 22 at SELA 40, up 21
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 3 of 5SELA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:57OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:40OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:47OHIO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:15SELA Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:01SELA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:44OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:21OHIO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
89.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+18
89.0%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Brendan Cope for 18 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
89.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+5
89.0%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 5 yds to the SELa 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 48
-5
89.0%
OHIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 47
-5
89.0%
VICK, Derrius pass complete to COPE, Brendan for no gain to the OHIO47, PENALTY OHIO delay of game 5 yards to the OHIO42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 42
-11
89.0%
Derrius Vick sacked by Ashton Henderson for a loss of 11 yards to the Ohio 31Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 31
+3
89.0%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 53 yds , Harlan Miller returns for 3 yds to the SELa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
88.2%
Donovan Isom pass complete to Jeff Smiley for 4 yds to the SELa 23Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+9
88.2%
Donovan Isom pass complete to Brandon Acker for 9 yds to the SELa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
88.2%
Donovan Isom pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+13
88.2%
Donovan Isom pass complete to Chris Briggs for 13 yds to the SELa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
88.1%
Donovan Isom run for a loss of 4 yards to the SELa 38 Donovan Isom fumbled, recovered by Ohio Kurt LaseakSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
88.0%
VICK, Derrius pass incomplete to PATTERSON, D., PENALTY OHIO holding 10 yards to the SLU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 20
OPP 48
+9
87.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Papi White for 9 yds to the SELa 39Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 11
OPP 39
0
88.0%
Derrius Vick pass intercepted Jordan Batiste return for no gain to the SELa 39 OHIO Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
87.5%
Donovan Isom run for 3 yds to the SELa 18Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
87.5%
Donovan Isom run for no gain to the SELa 18Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+6
87.6%
Donovan Isom pass complete to Kody Sutton for 6 yds to the SELa 24Similar
Q1 9:50
4TH & 1
OWN 24
+13
87.6%
Harrison Heim punt for 45 yds , Papi White returns for 13 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 0:4987% → 88%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
87.1%
VICK, Derrius pass incomplete to WALKER, Robbie (Sandolph, J.), PENALTY SLU pass interference 15 yards to the SLU41, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+18
87.2%
VICK, Derrius pass complete to WALKER, Robbie for 3 yards to the SLU38 (Parker, S.), PENALTY SLU face mask 18 yards to the SLU23, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+20
87.3%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Keith Heitzman for 20 yds to the SELa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
88.3%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
87.9%
Kody Sutton run for 7 yds to the SELa 32Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
87.7%
Donovan Isom pass complete to Jeff Smiley for 7 yds to the SELa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
87.7%
Donovan Isom pass complete to Jarrell Bennett for no gain to the SELa 39Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
87.8%
Donovan Isom pass complete to Jeff Smiley for 5 yds to the SELa 44Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
87.7%
Donovan Isom pass incomplete to Trey Hallman, broken up by Travis DaughertySimilar
Q1 6:51
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
87.9%
Harrison Heim punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
87.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Ohio 23Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
87.7%
Derrius Vick pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 1 yd to the Ohio 24Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
87.5%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Brendan Cope, broken up by Denzel ThompsonSimilar
Q1 4:50
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+10
87.3%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SELa 41 , Harlan Miller returns for 10 yds to the SELa 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
87.1%
Jeff Smiley run for no gain to the SELa 41Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
87.2%
Donovan Isom run for 15 yds to the OHIO 44 SE LOUISIANA Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the SELa 41Similar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
87.1%
SE LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SELa 36Similar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+1
87.4%
Kody Sutton run for 1 yd to the SELa 37Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 14
OWN 37
+7
87.4%
Donovan Isom run for 7 yds to the SELa 44Similar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+1
87.2%
Donovan Isom run for 1 yd to the SELa 45Similar
Q1 3:39
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
87.5%
Harrison Heim punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:5687% → 86%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.0%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
87.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the Ohio 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
86.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 11 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
87.3%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Brendan Cope for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 37
-6
86.9%
Derrius Vick run for a loss of 6 yards to the Ohio 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 31
0
86.5%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 31
0
86.3%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Harlan Miller at the SELa 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
86.2%
Kody Sutton run for 3 yds to the SELa 33Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
86.1%
Donovan Isom pass incomplete to Jeff Smiley, broken up by Chad MooreSimilar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+1
86.6%
Donovan Isom pass complete to Kody Sutton for 1 yd to the SELa 29Similar
Q2 13:13
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
86.9%
Harrison Heim punt for 39 yds, downed at the Ohio 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:3886% → 91%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+30
86.4%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 30 yds to the SELa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-7
87.1%
Derrius Vick run for a loss of 7 yards to the SELa 45Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 17
OPP 45
0
86.6%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Brendan Cope, broken up by Harlan MillerSimilar
Q2 11:18
3RD & 17
OPP 45
+35
86.3%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Keith Heitzman for 35 yds to the SELa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
90.5%
Papi White run for 10 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.3%
Eugene Bethea run for 3 yds to the SELa 28Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
89.2%
Kody Sutton run for no gain to the SELa 28Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
89.4%
Justin Alo pass incomplete to Jeff Smiley, broken up by Chad Moore SE LOUISIANA Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 9:40
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
89.5%
Harrison Heim punt for 29 yds, downed at the Ohio 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13TD
13 plays · 57 yds · 5:1290% → 96%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
90.1%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Herman BrunisSimilar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+1
90.0%
Papi White run for 1 yd to the Ohio 44Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+10
89.7%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Herman Brunis for 10 yds to the SELa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
90.2%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Herman Brunis for 9 yds to the SELa 37Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 1
OPP 37
0
90.2%
Derrius Vick run for no gain to the SELa 37Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 1
OPP 37
0
89.9%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Brendan CopeSimilar
Q2 7:59
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+2
89.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the SELa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
90.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the SELa 33Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-15
90.2%
VICK, Derrius sacked for loss of 5 yards to the SLU38 (Bennett, T.), PENALTY OHIO clipping 15 yards to the SLU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 23
OPP 48
-4
90.0%
Derrius Vick sacked by Solomon Parker for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 48Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 27
OWN 48
+21
89.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Keith Heitzman for 21 yds to the SELa 31Similar
Q2 2:47
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+31
95.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 31 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 17 yds · 2:405% → 4%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.0%
Donovan Isom run for 4 yds to the SELa 29Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
94.7%
Brandon Acker run for 2 yds to the SELa 31Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+17
94.8%
Donovan Isom pass complete to William French for 17 yds to the SELa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
94.6%
Donovan Isom pass incomplete to William FrenchSimilar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-5
94.6%
Isom, D. pass complete to Hallman, T. for 8 yards to the OHIO44 (DICILLO,Bryan;BROWN, Blair), PENALTY SLU illegal formation 5 yards to the SLU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+7
95.1%
Donovan Isom pass complete to Eugene Bethea for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 8
50
-8
94.7%
Donovan Isom sacked by Tarell Basham and Kurt Laseak for a loss of 8 yards to the SELa 42 Donovan Isom fumbled, recovered by SELa Donovan Isom , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 16
OWN 42
0
95.8%
Donovan Isom pass incomplete to Brandon Acker, broken up by Aaron MacerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 15FUMBLE
11 plays · 74 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.7%
Donovan Isom pass complete to Brandon Acker for 3 yds to the SELa 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
95.5%
Kody Sutton run for 5 yds to the SELa 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
95.5%
Donovan Isom pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+22
95.6%
Jeff Smiley run for 22 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
95.3%
Donovan Isom run for 5 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+28
95.1%
Donovan Isom run for 28 yds to the Ohio 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
94.9%
Kody Sutton run for 6 yds to the Ohio 6Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+2
94.9%
Kody Sutton run for 2 yds to the Ohio 4Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+3
95.2%
Kody Sutton run for 3 yds to the Ohio 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.9%
Kody Sutton run for no gain to the Ohio 1 Kody Sutton fumbled, forced by Toran Davis, recovered by Ohio Devin JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
97.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the Ohio 1Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
97.0%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Brendan Cope, broken up by Derrick RaymondSimilar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+10
96.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 10 yds to the Ohio 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
97.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the Ohio 11Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+9
97.0%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 9 yds to the Ohio 20Similar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+7
97.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 7 yds to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
97.1%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Keith HeitzmanSimilar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-6
97.0%
Derrius Vick sacked by Tupou Aleamotua and Solomon Parker for a loss of 6 yards to the Ohio 21Similar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 16
OWN 21
+7
96.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 7 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q3 10:46
4TH & 9
OWN 28
+20
96.8%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 39 yds, downed at the OHIO 33 OHIO Penalty, IF (-19 Yards) to the Ohio 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 17TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 1:563% → 11%
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
97.0%
Donovan Isom pass incomplete to Brandon AckerSimilar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+7
97.0%
Eugene Bethea run for 7 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+5
97.0%
Kody Sutton run for 5 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
97.0%
Donovan Isom pass complete to Jeff Smiley for 4 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+21
96.6%
Donovan Isom pass complete to Da'Quan Smith for 6 yds to the Ohio 26 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Ohio 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
96.6%
Kody Sutton run for 1 yd to the Ohio 10Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+10
89.3%
Donovan Isom pass complete to Jeff Smiley for 10 yds for a TD, (Jonathon Tatum KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 48 yds · 1:0693% → 92%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+41
93.0%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Papi White for 41 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
93.6%
Papi White run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 46Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 13
OWN 46
0
93.4%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Brendan CopeSimilar
Q3 2:52
3RD & 13
OWN 46
+10
92.0%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Robbie Walker for 10 yds to the SELa 44Similar
Q3 2:52
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
92.0%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Harlan Miller at the SELa 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 19TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 5:588% → 19%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
91.7%
Donovan Isom run for 11 yds to the SELa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
91.4%
Bethea, E. rush for 2 yards to the SLU28 (PORTER, Tony), PENALTY SLU illegal formation 5 yards to the SLU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+3
91.7%
Eugene Bethea run for 3 yds to the SELa 24Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 12
OWN 24
-5
91.8%
SE LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SELa 19Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 17
OWN 19
+4
91.9%
Donovan Isom run for 4 yds to the SELa 23Similar
Q3 1:59
3RD & 13
OWN 23
+14
92.0%
Donovan Isom pass complete to Brandon Acker for 14 yds to the SELa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
91.8%
Donovan Isom pass complete to William French for 6 yds to the SELa 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
91.5%
Donovan Isom run for no gain to the SELa 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+5
91.7%
Eugene Bethea run for 5 yds to the SELa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
91.4%
Donovan Isom pass complete to William French for 3 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+1
91.2%
Eugene Bethea run for 1 yd to the Ohio 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+5
91.3%
Donovan Isom run for 5 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+5
91.4%
Bethea, E. rush for 2 yards to the OHIO41 (SMART, Trent;PORTER, Tony), PENALTY OHIO offside 5 yards to the OHIO38, 1ST DOWN SLU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
80.9%
Donovan Isom pass complete to Dylan Bossier for 38 yds for a TD, (Jonathon Tatum KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20TD
2 plays · 58 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
96.1%
Papi White run for 58 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
93.1%
Donovan Isom run for 8 yds to the SELa 33Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
92.2%
Eugene Bethea run for 4 yds to the SELa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
92.4%
Kody Sutton run for 3 yds to the SELa 40Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
92.1%
Donovan Isom run for no gain to the SELa 40Similar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-4
92.3%
Donovan Isom sacked by Tarell Basham for a loss of 4 yards to the SELa 36Similar
Q4 10:44
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
93.3%
Harrison Heim punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:4496% → 100%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.1%
Derrius Vick run for 3 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
96.2%
Derrius Vick run for 5 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q4 6:21
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+67
99.5%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Brendan Cope for 67 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.3%
OHIO Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the SELa 28Similar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 5
OWN 28
+8
99.2%
Donovan Isom pass complete to Jeff Smiley for 8 yds to the SELa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.2%
Donovan Isom run for no gain to the SELa 36Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.2%
Donovan Isom pass incomplete to Brandon AckerSimilar
Q4 6:18
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-7
99.3%
Donovan Isom sacked by Casey Sayles for a loss of 7 yards to the SELa 29Similar
Q4 6:18
4TH & 17
OWN 29
+3
99.3%
Harrison Heim punt for 50 yds , Papi White returns for 3 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 1:22100% → 100%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
99.6%
Dorian Brown run for 13 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
99.6%
Greg Windham pass complete to Brendan Cope for 19 yds to the SELa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
99.6%
Dorian Brown run for 2 yds to the SELa 42Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+14
99.7%
Greg Windham run for 14 yds to the SELa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
99.7%
Dorian Brown run for 3 yds to the SELa 25Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
99.7%
Dorian Brown run for no gain to the SELa 25Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
99.7%
Dorian Brown run for no gain to the SELa 25Similar
Q4 3:05
4TH & 7
OPP 25
-15
99.7%
OHIO Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the SELa 40Similar
Q4 3:05
4TH & 22
OPP 40
0
99.7%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Harlan Miller at the SELa 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
99.5%
Donovan Isom pass incomplete to Eugene BetheaSimilar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+7
99.5%
Donovan Isom pass complete to Brandon Acker for 7 yds to the SELa 18Similar
Q4 0:41
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+6
99.5%
Donovan Isom pass complete to Dylan Bossier for 6 yds to the SELa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.5%
Donovan Isom pass incomplete to Brandon AckerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:44
Papi White run for 58 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)
+11.7
TD · Q4 11:01
Donovan Isom pass complete to Dylan Bossier for 38 yds for a TD, (Jonathon Tatum KICK)
-10.5
TD · Q3 4:15
Donovan Isom pass complete to Jeff Smiley for 10 yds for a TD, (Jonathon Tatum KICK)
-7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com