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WMU

Western Michigan 17 at Georgia Southern 43

GASO
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · J. Schroeder punt for 42 yds , Derek Keaton returns for 15 yds to the GeoSo 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Home team on offense+0.6Score differential+0.1Pregame prior−13.7Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:06: Matt Breida run for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK) — GASO win probability +16.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:38: Matt Breida run for 34 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK) — GASO win probability +16.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:28: Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman PAT MISSED) — WMU win probability +16.6 pts (now 34%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:13: Matt Breida run for 70 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK) — GASO win probability +16.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:51: Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 13 yds for a TD, (Zach Terrell pass to Jeremiah Mullinax for Two-Point Conversion) — WMU win probability +8.2 pts (now 10%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 5 of 7WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 7:40WMU 4th & 1 at GASO 17, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.1%−0.4
    80% to make
    Punt
    57.0%−1.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:40GASO 4th & 3 at WMU 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    41.5%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    41.5%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:58WMU 4th & 8 at WMU 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00WMU 4th & 5 at WMU 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:48GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:31GASO 4th & 4 at WMU 4, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.7%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    88.4%−3.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:31WMU 4th & 3 at GASO 40, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%−1.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:13GASO 4th & 4 at WMU 38, up 24
    Close callPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    93.9%−0.9
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:06WMU 4th & 12 at WMU 46, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 21, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:01GASO 4th & 7 at WMU 8, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:56WMU 4th & 17 at WMU 1, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:50GASO 4th & 1 at WMU 28, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 3:21GASO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:06GASO Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:38GASO Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:28WMU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    27.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:13GASO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:51WMU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    4.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:32GASO Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1FG
15 plays · 74 yds · 7:2068% → 66%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
32.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 11
-5
32.3%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 6Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 6
+2
32.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 2 yds to the WMich 8Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 8
+12
32.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 12 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
32.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+13
32.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 13 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
32.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 11 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
32.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+7
32.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
32.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 15 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
32.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+2
32.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 17
0
32.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q1 7:40
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+34
34.4%
Andrew Haldeman 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2DOWNS
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
34.6%
Matt Breida run for 32 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
35.5%
Favian Upshaw run for 5 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 5
OPP 38
-4
35.5%
Favian Upshaw run for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 42Similar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
35.2%
Favian Upshaw pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:40
4TH & 9
OPP 42
+6
34.5%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (6 Yards) to the WMich 36Similar
Q1 7:40
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+1
35.0%
Favian Upshaw run for 1 yd to the WMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
35.1%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
35.2%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Carrington Thompson, broken up by Caleb WilliamsSimilar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+2
35.5%
Zach Terrell run for 2 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q1 5:58
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
35.7%
J. Schroeder punt for 44 yds, downed at the GeoSo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4TD
4 plays · 81 yds · 1:3835% → 40%
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
35.1%
Matt Breida run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+25
35.3%
Wesley Fields run for 25 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+35
36.4%
Wesley Fields run for 35 yds to the WMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
40.3%
Matt Breida run for 9 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:2161% → 60%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
38.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for no gain to the WMich 26 to LeVante Bellamy for 1 yd to the WMich 26Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
39.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
39.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 10 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
38.2%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 40Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
38.4%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis, broken up by Matt DobsonSimilar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+5
38.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 5 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+15
40.5%
J. Schroeder punt for 42 yds , Derek Keaton returns for 15 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0041% → 39%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
40.6%
Favian Upshaw run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+1
41.2%
Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 3
OWN 35
-7
40.6%
Favian Upshaw run for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
39.4%
Matt Flynn punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7SF
4 plays · -28 yds · 1:3359% → 55%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
41.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 6 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+1
40.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 35Similar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
41.3%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel Braverman, broken up by Tay HicklinSimilar
Q2 11:10
4TH & 3
OWN 35
-35
45.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 35 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8TD
12 plays · 61 yds · 5:5848% → 65%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
47.5%
LA Ramsby run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+22
48.1%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Bj Johnson for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Jarrell McKinney) to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 20
OPP 45
+17
47.5%
Favian Upshaw run for 17 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+1
48.4%
Favian Upshaw run for 1 yd to the WMich 27Similar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+6
47.7%
LA Ramsby run for 6 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
48.4%
LA Ramsby run for 6 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+3
48.4%
LA Ramsby run for 3 yds to the WMich 12Similar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+7
47.8%
LA Ramsby run for 7 yds to the WMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
48.4%
Favian Upshaw run for no gain to the WMich 5Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
48.4%
Favian Upshaw run for 1 yd to the WMich 4Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
64.6%
Matt Breida run for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
62.2%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the WMich 7Similar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 5
OWN 7
+1
62.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 8Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 4
OWN 8
0
62.4%
Zach Terrell pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10TD
2 plays · 42 yds · 0:3866% → 83%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
66.3%
Favian Upshaw run for 8 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+34
83.2%
Matt Breida run for 34 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:1020% → 34%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
80.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 11 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
79.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 11 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
79.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 9 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 1
OPP 44
0
78.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
78.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
78.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 11 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
77.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Kendrick Roberts for 10 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
77.4%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+19
82.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 19 yds to the GeoSo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
66.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
71.6%
TEAM takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4771% → 88%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
71.1%
Matt Breida run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+70
88.0%
Matt Breida run for 70 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.2%
Zach Terrell run for no gain to the WMich 25Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
85.3%
Zach Terrell pass intercepted Antonio Glover return for no gain to the WMich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15FG
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:5489% → 92%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
88.9%
LA Ramsby run for 1 yd to the WMich 35Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 9
OPP 35
-5
88.9%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 14
OPP 40
+4
88.7%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+17
88.6%
Favian Upshaw run for 17 yds to the WMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
88.9%
LA Ramsby run for 10 yds to the WMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
88.9%
LA Ramsby run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 11Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
88.9%
Favian Upshaw pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+7
88.7%
Favian Upshaw run for 7 yds to the WMich 4Similar
Q3 9:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
91.6%
Alex Hanks 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16INT
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
91.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
91.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 11 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
91.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 14 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
91.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
90.9%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Kendrick RobertsSimilar
Q3 9:31
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+3
91.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 3 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q3 9:31
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+18
91.2%
Zach Terrell pass intercepted Antonio Glover return for 18 yds to the WMich 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
94.8%
Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the WMich 43Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+3
94.8%
Favian Upshaw run for 3 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+2
94.7%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q3 6:13
4TH & 4
OPP 38
0
94.2%
Logan Hunt punt for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
95.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 7 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+5
95.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
95.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 5 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 5
OPP 47
-7
94.9%
Zach Terrell sacked by Antwione Williams and Bernard Dawson for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 46Similar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 12
OWN 46
0
95.3%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Carrington Thompson, broken up by Jr. Darius JonesSimilar
Q3 4:06
4TH & 12
OWN 46
0
95.4%
J. Schroeder punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Derek Keaton at the GeoSo 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0997% → 97%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
97.1%
Wesley Fields run for no gain to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
97.0%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to Bj Johnson, broken up by Ronald ZamortSimilar
Q3 1:09
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+5
97.0%
Favian Upshaw run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 21
0
97.3%
Matt Flynn punt for 34 yds, downed at the WMich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:583% → 10%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
97.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 10 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
97.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+7
97.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 7 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+3
97.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+17
97.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 17 yds to the GeoSo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
96.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 7
OPP 13
0
96.9%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Donnie ErnsbergerSimilar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+13
89.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 13 yds for a TD, (Zach Terrell pass to Jeremiah Mullinax for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 4:1994% → 99%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.2%
LA Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+17
94.3%
Wesley Fields run for 17 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
94.9%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+6
94.7%
Matt Breida run for 6 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+44
94.7%
Favian Upshaw run for 40 yds to the WMich 8 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Darius Phillips) to the WMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
94.9%
Favian Upshaw run for 3 yds to the WMich 1Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.3%
LA Ramsby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:1799% → 100%
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
99.4%
LA Ramsby run for 7 yds to the WMich 4Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 3
OPP 4
0
99.4%
LA Ramsby run for no gain to the WMich 4Similar
Q4 6:18
3RD & 3
OPP 4
-4
99.4%
LA Ramsby run for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 8Similar
Q4 4:01
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
99.8%
Alex Hanks 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
99.9%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Carrington ThompsonSimilar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
99.9%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel BravermanSimilar
Q4 3:56
3RD & 10
OWN 8
-7
99.9%
Zach Terrell sacked by Chris DeLaRosa for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 1Similar
Q4 3:56
4TH & 17
OWN 1
0
99.8%
J. Schroeder punt for 36 yds, downed at the WMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 25DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
99.9%
Chaz Thornton run for 4 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+3
99.9%
Chaz Thornton run for 3 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+2
99.9%
Thomas Banks run for 2 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 1
OPP 28
0
99.8%
Thomas Banks run for no gain to the WMich 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the WMich 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:38
Matt Breida run for 34 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)
+16.9
TD · Q3 14:13
Matt Breida run for 70 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)
+16.9
TD · Q2 0:28
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman PAT MISSED)
-16.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com