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MONM

Monmouth 10 at Central Michigan 31

CMU
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
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Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadMONM aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreMONM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:51 · Ron Coluzzi punt for 36 yds , Joe Johnson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the MonNJ 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 112Pregame prior+24.7Home team on offense+23.5Score differential+16.7Garbage-time factor+8.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:21: Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 17 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +1.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 9:53: Brian Eavey 30 yd FG GOOD — CMU win probability +1.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:08: Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 83 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +2.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:16: Cooper Rush pass complete to Joe Bacci for 1 yd for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:51: Zach Welch run for 7 yds for a TD, (Matt White KICK) — MONM win probability +1.5 pts (now 3%) (top driver: MONM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5MONM made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 8:58MONM 4th & 12 at MONM 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:19CMU 4th & 10 at CMU 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:32MONM 4th & 11 at CMU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    6.9%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:21MONM 4th & 21 at MONM 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:53CMU 4th & 4 at MONM 13, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.4%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    91.4%−2.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:53MONM 4th & 5 at MONM 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:53MONM 4th & 7 at CMU 20, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:51CMU 4th & 4 at CMU 48, up 21
    Close callPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:45MONM 4th & 9 at MONM 16, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:53MONM 4th & 7 at CMU 39, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:34CMU 4th & 22 at CMU 23, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00MONM 4th & 2 at CMU 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00MONM 4th & 1 at CMU 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.5
    68% to make
    Punt
    -0.8%−2.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00MONM 4th & 2 at CMU 14, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−0.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−2.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:58CMU 4th & 4 at CMU 32, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:25MONM 4th & 6 at midfield, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MONM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:04CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:21CMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:08CMU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:16CMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:51MONM Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1TD
16 plays · 73 yds · 5:5695% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
94.9%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+8
94.9%
Martez Walker run for 8 yds to the CMich 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+4
94.9%
Martez Walker run for 4 yds to the CMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
94.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 13 yds to the MonNJ 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
94.9%
Devon Spalding run for no gain to the MonNJ 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
94.9%
Devon Spalding run for 8 yds to the MonNJ 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+4
94.9%
Devon Spalding run for 4 yds to the MonNJ 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
94.9%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
94.9%
Devon Spalding run for no gain to the MonNJ 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+14
94.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 14 yds to the MonNJ 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
94.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for no gain to the MonNJ 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
94.9%
Martez Walker run for no gain to the MonNJ 22Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+11
93.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 11 yds to the MonNJ 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
94.2%
Mark Chapman run for 11 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
94.0%
Lavon Chaney run for 2 yds to the MonNJ 19 MONMOUTH Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 8
OWN 19
-4
94.1%
Lavon Chaney run for a loss of 4 yards to the MonNJ 15Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 12
OWN 15
+5
94.1%
Cody Williams pass complete to Reggie White Jr. for 5 yds to the MonNJ 20 MONMOUTH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 8:58
4TH & 7
OWN 20
-5
94.1%
MONMOUTH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MonNJ 15Similar
Q1 8:58
4TH & 12
OWN 15
+2
94.1%
Matt White punt for 57 yds , Emmitt Thomas returns for 2 yds to the CMich 17 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the CMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
93.8%
Martez Walker run for no gain to the CMich 20Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
93.8%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Mark Chapman, broken up by LeKeith CelestainSimilar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
93.7%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse KrollSimilar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
93.6%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
93.4%
Cody Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
93.4%
Zach Welch run for 4 yds to the CMich 39Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
93.5%
Cody Williams pass complete to Reggie White Jr. for no gain to the CMich 39Similar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 6
OPP 39
-5
93.5%
MONMOUTH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the CMich 44Similar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
93.7%
Matt White punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5TD
13 plays · 71 yds · 5:1893% → 94%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
93.4%
Devon Spalding run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 28Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+4
93.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 4 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+11
93.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 11 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
93.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 12 yds to the MonNJ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
93.6%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-1
93.6%
Jay Roberson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MonNJ 46Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+17
93.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 17 yds to the MonNJ 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
93.6%
Jay Roberson run for 4 yds to the MonNJ 25Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 6
OPP 25
-5
93.6%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MonNJ 30Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 11
OPP 30
0
93.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Martez WalkerSimilar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+12
93.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 12 yds to the MonNJ 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
92.9%
Martez Walker run for 1 yd to the MonNJ 17Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+17
94.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 17 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
93.6%
Cody Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
93.6%
Cody Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 10
OWN 21
-11
93.7%
Cody Williams sacked by Nate Brisson-Fast for a loss of 11 yards to the MonNJ 10Similar
Q2 14:21
4TH & 21
OWN 10
0
93.8%
Matt White punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MonNJ 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7FG
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:2094% → 95%
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
94.2%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse Kroll, broken up by Anthony McDonnaughSimilar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-4
94.2%
Cooper Rush run for a loss of 4 yards to the MonNJ 46Similar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 14
OPP 46
+27
93.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 27 yds to the MonNJ 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
94.2%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the MonNJ 18Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+5
94.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 5 yds to the MonNJ 13Similar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
94.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for no gain to the MonNJ 13Similar
Q2 9:53
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+30
95.2%
Brian Eavey 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
94.6%
Zach Welch run for no gain to the MonNJ 35Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
94.7%
Cody Williams pass complete to Darren Ambush for 7 yds to the MonNJ 42Similar
Q2 9:53
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-2
94.4%
Zach Welch run for a loss of 2 yards to the MonNJ 40 Zach Welch fumbled, forced by Shafer Johnson, recovered by MonNJ Zach WelchSimilar
Q2 9:53
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
94.7%
Matt White punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Emmitt Thomas at the CMich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9TD
2 plays · 76 yds · 0:5595% → 97%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-7
95.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Martez Walker for a loss of 7 yards to the CMich 17Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 17
OWN 17
+83
97.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 83 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 10FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 3:153% → 4%
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
96.6%
Lavon Chaney run for a loss of 1 yard to the MonNJ 22Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+15
96.6%
WILLIAMS, Cody pass incomplete to EZEMMA, Ugo, PENALTY CMU pass interference (ARMSTEAD, S.) 15 yards to the MU37, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
96.4%
Cody Williams pass complete to Hakeem Valles for 16 yds to the CMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
96.2%
Lavon Chaney run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 49Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+15
96.4%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (Nathan Ricketts) to the CMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
96.1%
Darren Ambush run for 9 yds to the CMich 25Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 1
OPP 25
0
96.0%
Cody Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
96.1%
Cody Williams pass complete to Darren Ambush for 2 yds to the CMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
96.0%
Cody Williams pass incomplete, broken up by Tyree WallerSimilar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+3
96.1%
Zach Welch run for 3 yds to the CMich 20Similar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 7
OPP 20
0
96.1%
Cody Williams pass incomplete to Darren Ambush, broken up by Josh CoxSimilar
Q2 3:53
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+37
96.3%
Matt White 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11TD
13 plays · 67 yds · 3:3798% → 99%
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
97.5%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the CMich 34Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+10
97.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 10 yds to the CMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
97.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Mark Chapman, broken up by Andrew JurczynskiSimilar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-1
97.6%
Devon Spalding run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 43Similar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+22
97.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 22 yds to the MonNJ 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-15
97.6%
RUSH, Cooper pass complete to RICE, Anthony for 9 yards to the MU26 (BASILE, Mike), PENALTY CMU personal foul (AHMETI, Ramadan) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 25
50
+7
97.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 7 yds to the MonNJ 43Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 18
OPP 43
+15
97.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 15 yds to the MonNJ 28Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+27
97.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 27 yds to the MonNJ 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Joe Bacci for 1 yd for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MonNJ 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 13TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:091% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.0%
Lavon Chaney run for a loss of 2 yards to the MonNJ 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
99.0%
Cody Williams pass incomplete to Reggie White Jr., broken up by Amari ColemanSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+15
99.1%
Lavon Chaney run for 15 yds to the MonNJ 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.0%
Cody Williams pass complete to Pat Gray for no gain to the MonNJ 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+12
99.0%
Cody Williams pass complete to Hakeem Valles for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
99.0%
Cody Williams pass complete to Reggie White Jr. for 4 yds to the CMich 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+14
98.7%
Cody Williams run for 14 yds to the CMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
98.8%
Cody Williams pass incomplete to Zach Fabel, broken up by Kavon FrazierSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
98.8%
Ed Royds run for 3 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+9
98.8%
Ed Royds run for 9 yds to the CMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
98.7%
Cody Williams pass complete to Darren Ambush for 6 yds to the CMich 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+1
98.6%
Ed Royds run for 1 yd to the CMich 13Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+6
98.6%
Cody Williams pass complete to Darren Ambush for 6 yds to the CMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
97.1%
Zach Welch run for 7 yds for a TD, (Matt White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
98.0%
Martez Walker run for 15 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
98.1%
Martez Walker run for 5 yds to the CMich 47Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+1
98.1%
Martez Walker run for 1 yd to the CMich 48Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
98.1%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Martez Walker, broken up by Joe JohnsonSimilar
Q3 9:51
4TH & 4
OWN 48
+36
97.9%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 36 yds , Joe Johnson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the MonNJ 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
97.8%
Cody Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+1
97.8%
Cody Williams run for 1 yd to the MonNJ 16Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 9
OWN 16
0
97.9%
Cody Williams pass incomplete to Hakeem Valles, broken up by Josh CoxSimilar
Q3 7:45
4TH & 9
OWN 16
0
97.9%
Matt White punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MonNJ 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16INT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
98.2%
Devon Spalding run for 4 yds to the MonNJ 37Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+1
98.2%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the MonNJ 36Similar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+6
98.2%
RUSH, Cooper pass incomplete to McCORD, Ben, PENALTY MU pass interference (MCDONNAUGH, A.) 6 yards to the MU30, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
98.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jay Roberson for 10 yds to the MonNJ 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
98.2%
ROBERSON, Jay rush for 14 yards to the MU6, out-of-bounds, , PENALTY CMU holding (BACCI, Joe) 10 yards to the MU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 20
OPP 30
+33
98.2%
Cooper Rush pass intercepted Deonta Fair return for 33 yds to the MonNJ 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
98.1%
Cody Williams pass complete to Darren Ambush for 7 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+7
98.0%
Zach Welch run for 7 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
98.1%
Zach Welch run for 3 yds to the CMich 39Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
98.1%
Cody Williams pass incomplete to Ed Royds, broken up by Amari ColemanSimilar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
98.2%
Cody Williams pass incomplete to Darren AmbushSimilar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
98.2%
Matt White punt for 4 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:0099% → 98%
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-18
98.5%
Cooper Rush sacked by Mike Basile for a loss of 18 yards to the CMich 17Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 28
OWN 17
-1
98.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 16Similar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 29
OWN 16
+7
98.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 7 yds to the CMich 23Similar
Q3 2:34
4TH & 22
OWN 23
0
98.3%
Ron Coluzzi puntSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 19DOWNS
12 plays · 30 yds · 0:201% → 1%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
98.7%
Cody Williams pass complete to Ed Royds for 1 yd to the CMich 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+7
98.8%
Cody Williams run for 7 yds to the CMich 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 35
0
98.7%
Ed Royds run for no gain to the CMich 35Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+2
98.8%
Ben Onett run for 2 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
98.7%
Zach Welch run for no gain to the CMich 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
98.7%
Cody Williams pass complete to Zach Welch for 1 yd to the CMich 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+8
98.8%
Cody Williams pass complete to Hakeem Valles for 8 yds to the CMich 24Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+2
98.7%
Zach Welch run for 2 yds to the CMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
98.6%
Cody Williams pass incomplete to Zach Fabel, broken up by Josh CoxSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+8
98.7%
Cody Williams pass complete to Ed Royds for 8 yds to the CMich 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 14
0
98.7%
Cody Williams run for no gain to the CMich 14Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+1
98.7%
Zach Welch run for 1 yd to the CMich 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
99.1%
Jahray Hayes run for 7 yds to the CMich 20Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+6
99.1%
Jahray Hayes run for 6 yds to the CMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.1%
Jahray Hayes run for 3 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+3
99.1%
Jahray Hayes run for 3 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
99.1%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Corey WillisSimilar
Q4 9:58
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
99.1%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Joe Johnson at the MonNJ 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 21INT
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
99.2%
Ed Royds run for 1 yd to the MonNJ 35Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+11
99.2%
Cody Williams pass complete to Ed Royds for 11 yds to the MonNJ 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.2%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive offside (Kelby Latta) to the CMich 49Similar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 5
OPP 49
0
99.1%
Cody Williams pass complete to Pat Gray for no gain to the CMich 49Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-3
99.2%
Cody Williams sacked by Tyree Waller for a loss of 3 yards to the MonNJ 48Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+2
99.2%
Zach Welch run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:25
4TH & 6
50
+9
99.2%
Cody Williams pass complete to Hakeem Valles for 9 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
99.1%
Cody Williams pass complete to Pat Gray for 11 yds to the CMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.0%
Cody Williams pass intercepted Tony Annese return for no gain to the CMich 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22END OF GAME
11 plays · 23 yds · 1:4799% → 100%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
99.4%
Jay Roberson run for 2 yds to the CMich 9Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+1
99.4%
Jay Roberson run for 1 yd to the CMich 10Similar
Q4 2:36
3RD & 7
OWN 10
+11
99.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 11 yds to the CMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
99.6%
Jahray Hayes run for 4 yds to the CMich 25Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Jahray Hayes run for 5 yds to the CMich 30Similar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+4
99.7%
Jahray Hayes run for 4 yds to the CMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 32Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 12
OWN 32
-2
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:08
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 83 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)
+2.4
TD · Q2 0:16
Cooper Rush pass complete to Joe Bacci for 1 yd for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)
+1.5
TD · Q3 9:51
Zach Welch run for 7 yds for a TD, (Matt White KICK)
-1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com