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PRES

Presbyterian 7 at Miami (OH) 26

M-OH
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadPRES aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scorePRES score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:50 · Stephen Doar punt for 47 yds , Fred McRae IV returns for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 31 MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive holding (Spencer McInnis) to the MiaOh 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 98Pregame prior+12.4Home team on offense+10.2Score differential+4.7Garbage-time factor+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.6Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:43: Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson PAT BLOCKED) — M-OH win probability +6.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:04: Darrell Bridges run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brett Norton KICK) — PRES win probability +17.3 pts (now 32%) (top driver: PRES has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 4:04: Tim Hartshorn kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — M-OH win probability +5.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: PRES has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:11: Kenny Young run for 26 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST down — M-OH win probability +5.7 pts (now 80%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:53: Drew Kummer pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 52 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — M-OH win probability +12.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 5 of 7PRES made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00M-OH 4th & 10 at M-OH 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:43M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:55PRES 4th & 7 at PRES 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:40PRES 4th & 8 at M-OH 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    38.1%−4.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:48PRES 4th & 7 at PRES 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:43M-OH 4th & 4 at M-OH 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:44PRES 4th & 7 at PRES 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−1.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:36PRES 4th & 10 at M-OH 48, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:52M-OH 4th & 18 at M-OH 40, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−2.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:50PRES 4th & 10 at PRES 33, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:22M-OH 4th & 1 at PRES 47, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%−2.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:49PRES 4th & 1 at PRES 37, down 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:06M-OH 4th & 9 at M-OH 8, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:45PRES 4th & 1 at M-OH 17, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    18.1%−1.9
    80% to make
    Punt
    12.3%−7.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:04M-OH 4th & 4 at PRES 43, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    68.4%−3.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%−1.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00PRES 4th & 4 at PRES 34, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:45PRES 4th & 21 at PRES 27, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−2.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:42PRES 4th & 12 at M-OH 25, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−2.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 2 of 4PRES made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:26M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:43M-OH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    72.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:04PRES Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:53M-OH Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    89.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:48M-OH Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-4
74.5%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 14
OWN 5
+4
74.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
74.5%
Drew Kummer run for no gain to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 9
0
74.5%
Drew Kummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 9
0
74.5%
Christian Koch punt for 49 yds, downed at the Presb 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 2FUMBLE
8 plays · 58 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
74.2%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the Presb 45Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+4
74.2%
Darrell Bridges run for 4 yds to the Presb 49Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+15
74.2%
Tamyn Garrick pass complete to Daryl Wilson for 15 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
74.2%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+6
74.1%
Tamyn Garrick pass complete to Malik Risher for 17 yds to the MiaOh 16 PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, illegal block (-11 Yards) to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 1
OPP 27
-5
74.1%
BRIDGES, D. rush up middle for 2 yards to the MIAMI25 (TRAWICK, Nate), PENALTY PC false start (HALLUMS, J.) 5 yards to the MIAMI32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+1
74.1%
Ben Cheek run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+24
74.2%
Tamyn Garrick pass complete to Daryl Wilson for 24 yds Daryl Wilson fumbled, forced by Brison Burris, recovered by MiaOh Tony ReidSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:2273% → 76%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
73.4%
PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
73.5%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Jared Murphy for 16 yds to the Presb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
73.9%
Kenny Young run for 6 yds to the Presb 43Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+3
73.9%
Kenny Young run for 3 yds to the Presb 40Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+15
73.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 15 yds to the Presb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
74.0%
KUMMER, Drew pass incomplete to HUDSON, Chris, PENALTY PC pass interference (BYERS, S.) 15 yards to the PC10, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
75.6%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Chris Hudson for 10 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 4INT
9 plays · 69 yds · 0:0025% → 26%
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+16
75.0%
Darrell Bridges run for 16 yds to the Presb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
74.7%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the Presb 42Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
74.6%
Tamyn Garrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+28
74.9%
Tamyn Garrick pass complete to Daryl Wilson for 28 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
74.2%
Darrell Bridges run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+19
74.2%
Tamyn Garrick pass complete to Marquel Hines for 19 yds to the MiaOh 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
74.2%
Darrell Bridges run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
74.2%
Tamyn Garrick pass intercepted, touchback. Tony Reid return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
75.4%
RAGLAND, Gus rush over left end for 5 yards to the MIAMI25, out-of-bounds (WILLIAMS, D.), PENALTY MIAMI holding (BROWN, Trevan) 10 yards to the MIAMI10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+5
75.3%
Leonard Ross run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 15Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+8
75.3%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 8 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-1
75.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Rokeem Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+55
74.7%
Christian Koch punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MIAMIOH 38 PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Presb 23Similar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 20
OWN 0
0
75.3%
RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, Ro., PENALTY PC pass interference off-setting, PENALTY MIAMI ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
75.2%
Darrell Bridges run for no gain to the Presb 23Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
75.2%
Tamyn Garrick pass incomplete to Marquel HinesSimilar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+3
75.6%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the Presb 26Similar
Q1 2:55
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
75.8%
Stephen Doar punt for 32 yds, downed at the MiaOh 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7FUMBLE
5 plays · 39 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
76.1%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q1 1:16
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
76.2%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:16
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+11
75.8%
Drew Kummer run for 11 yds to the Presb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
76.3%
Kenny Young run for 7 yds to the Presb 36Similar
Q1 1:16
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+58
76.3%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Sam Martin for 17 yds Sam Martin fumbled, forced by Shonquille Byers, recovered by Presb DaRon Dickey , return for 58 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 8MISSED FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:3627% → 25%
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
73.3%
MIAMI OH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (12 Yards) to the MiaOh 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
73.3%
Darrell Bridges run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+3
73.2%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 8
-2
73.8%
Daryl Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 10Similar
Q2 13:40
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+27
74.7%
Brandon Morrow 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9FUMBLE
8 plays · 76 yds · 0:5476% → 77%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
75.5%
SMITH, Alonzo rush for no gain to the MIAMI20 (YELDELL, G.), PENALTY PC offside defense (YELDELL, G.) 5 yards to the MIAMI25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+12
75.6%
Drew Kummer run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+50
76.0%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Jared Murphy for 50 yds to the Presb 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 5
OWN 25
0
75.8%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
77.6%
Drew Kummer run for 8 yds to the Presb 5Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+1
77.6%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the Presb 4Similar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 1
OPP 4
0
77.1%
Kenny Young run for no gain to the Presb 4 Kenny Young fumbled, forced by Donelle Williams, recovered by Presb Obinna NtiasagweSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+21
76.5%
Darrell Bridges run for 21 yds to the Presb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
76.0%
Marquel Hines run for 16 yds to the Presb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
75.3%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the Presb 44Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
74.9%
Tamyn Garrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
75.4%
Tamyn Garrick pass incomplete PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 11:48
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
76.3%
Stephen Doar punt for 20 yds, downed at the MiaOh 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
77.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-2
77.7%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Fred McRae IV for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+3
76.7%
Drew Kummer run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q2 9:43
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+5
76.4%
Christian Koch punt for 44 yds , Marquel Hines returns for 5 yds to the Presb 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
76.9%
Tamyn Garrick pass incomplete to Marquel Hines, broken up by Heath HardingSimilar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+3
77.0%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the Presb 22Similar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
77.5%
Tamyn Garrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:44
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
77.9%
Stephen Doar punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Fred McRae IV at the MiaOh 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 1:1178% → 85%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
78.1%
Kenny Young run for no gain to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+15
77.9%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Ryan Smith for 15 yds to the Presb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
78.9%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Kenny Young for 9 yds to the Presb 39Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+38
79.0%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Chris Hudson for 38 yds to the Presb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+23
83.1%
Tamyn Garrick pass complete to Malik Risher for 8 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, personal foul (Ikeem Allen) to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
82.2%
Malik Risher run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+4
82.3%
Tamyn Garrick pass complete to Malik Risher for 4 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 5
OPP 43
-5
82.2%
PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
83.0%
Tamyn Garrick pass incomplete to Daryl WilsonSimilar
Q2 5:36
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
83.4%
Stephen Doar punt for 11 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 2:5285% → 86%
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
85.4%
Gus Ragland run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+4
85.8%
Spencer McInnis run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q2 3:44
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
85.3%
Spencer McInnis run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-14
85.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 24
OWN 34
-1
85.1%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Alonzo Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q2 3:44
3RD & 25
OWN 33
+7
84.7%
Gus Ragland run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 18
OWN 40
0
85.9%
Christian Koch punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Marquel Hines at the Presb 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
84.9%
Darrell Bridges run for 6 yds to the Presb 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
83.4%
Tamyn Garrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
83.5%
Tamyn Garrick pass incomplete to Darrell BridgesSimilar
Q3 14:50
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
84.0%
Tamyn Garrick pass incomplete to Tre'von HowellSimilar
Q3 14:50
4TH & 10
OWN 33
-2
84.2%
Stephen Doar punt for 47 yds , Fred McRae IV returns for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 31 MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive holding (Spencer McInnis) to the MiaOh 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 44 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
84.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+4
85.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q3 14:22
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+13
84.6%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Jared Murphy for 13 yds to the MiaOh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
85.2%
Kenny Young run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+7
85.7%
Gus Ragland run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
86.1%
Gus Ragland run for no gain to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
85.9%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Rokeem Williams, broken up by Grant BeidelSimilar
Q3 14:22
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+9
85.1%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Fred McRae IV for 9 yds to the Presb 47Similar
Q3 14:22
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
84.9%
Christian Koch punt for 19 yds, downed at the Presb 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
85.8%
Tamyn Garrick pass complete to Daryl Wilson for 7 yds to the Presb 35Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 3
OWN 35
-5
84.9%
PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, false start (Austin Allen) to the Presb 30Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+2
85.7%
Tamyn Garrick pass complete to Jordan Hallums for 2 yds to the Presb 32Similar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+5
85.8%
Tamyn Garrick pass complete to Daryl Wilson for 5 yds to the Presb 37Similar
Q3 10:49
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+2
85.7%
Stephen Doar punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 7 , Fred McRae IV returns for 2 yds to the MiaOh 39 MIAMI OH Penalty, illegal block (Gus Ragland) to the MiaOh 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0088% → 86%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-4
87.5%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 14
OWN 3
+4
87.5%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 7Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+1
87.5%
Drew Kummer run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q3 9:06
3RD & 9
OWN 8
0
87.0%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete, broken up by Rock Ya-SinSimilar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 9
OWN 8
0
86.4%
Christian Koch punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Marquel Hines at the MiaOh 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 21TD
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:4115% → 32%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
85.2%
Marquel Hines run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
84.0%
Darrell Bridges run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+3
84.0%
Malik Risher run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+2
85.0%
Tre'von Howell run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q3 7:45
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+1
85.5%
Tamyn Garrick run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
84.0%
Tamyn Garrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+2
84.0%
Darrell Bridges run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+12
85.0%
GARRICK, T. pass incomplete, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (REID, Tony) 12 yards to the MIAMI2, 1ST DOWN PC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
67.7%
Darrell Bridges run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brett Norton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
76.8%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Jared Murphy for 14 yds to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
78.3%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 5 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+7
79.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 7 yds to the Presb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
79.3%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Kenny Young for 9 yds to the Presb 40Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
79.5%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Sam Martin, broken up by Rock Ya-SinSimilar
Q3 4:04
3RD & 1
OPP 40
-3
78.6%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Presb 43Similar
Q3 4:04
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
77.0%
Christian Koch punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Presb 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 1:5627% → 25%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
73.5%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the Presb 20Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+1
73.7%
Darrell Bridges run for 1 yd to the Presb 21Similar
Q3 1:56
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+7
74.8%
Tamyn Garrick pass complete to Jordan Hallums for 7 yds to the Presb 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
73.1%
Marquel Hines run for 3 yds to the Presb 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-5
72.6%
PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, false start (Ryan Raley) to the Presb 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 26
-1
73.8%
Tamyn Garrick run for a loss of 1 yard to the Presb 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 25
+9
75.2%
Tamyn Garrick pass complete to Tre'von Howell for 9 yds to the Presb 34Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 34
+39
74.7%
Stephen Doar punt for 37 yds , Fred McRae IV returns for 39 yds to the MIAMIOH 27 MIAMI OH Penalty, illegal block (46 Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 24TD
2 plays · 78 yds · 0:1880% → 93%
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+26
80.4%
Kenny Young run for 26 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
92.8%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 52 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
89.8%
Darrell Bridges run for 18 yds to the Presb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
88.3%
Darrell Bridges run for 2 yds to the Presb 40Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-8
88.4%
Tamyn Garrick sacked by Ikeem Allen and Zach Smierciak for a loss of 8 yards to the Presb 32Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 16
OWN 32
-5
90.3%
PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Presb 27Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 21
OWN 27
0
90.3%
Tamyn Garrick pass incomplete to Tre'von HowellSimilar
Q4 12:45
4TH & 21
OWN 27
0
90.4%
Stephen Doar punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 26TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 3:2494% → 99%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+28
93.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 28 yds to the Presb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
93.8%
Leonard Ross run for 6 yds to the Presb 25Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+3
93.8%
Leonard Ross run for 3 yds to the Presb 22Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+21
93.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 21 yds to the Presb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
93.8%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the Presb 1Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 27DOWNS
14 plays · 55 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
97.2%
Darrell Bridges run for 6 yds to the Presb 25Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+3
97.1%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the Presb 28Similar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+11
97.1%
GARRICK, T. pass incomplete, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (TAYLOR, M.) 11 yards to the PC39, 1ST DOWN PC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
97.0%
MIAMI OH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
97.0%
Darrell Bridges run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+3
96.8%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+3
96.8%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
96.6%
Tamyn Garrick pass complete to Tre'von Howell for 11 yds to the MiaOh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
96.4%
Malik Risher run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 8
OPP 21
-5
96.4%
RISHER, M. rush up middle for 3 yards to the MIAMI18 (SMIERCIAK,Zach), PENALTY PC illegal formation 5 yards to the MIAMI26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 13
OPP 26
0
96.7%
Tamyn Garrick pass complete to DarQuez Watson for no gain to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 13
OPP 26
+1
96.9%
Tamyn Garrick run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q4 6:42
4TH & 12
OPP 25
-1
97.0%
Ben Cheek run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
99.1%
ROSS, Leonard rush up middle for no gain to the MIAMI26, PENALTY PC offside defense 6 yards to the MIAMI32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 4
OWN 32
+2
99.2%
Leonard Ross run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 2
OWN 34
-2
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:04
Darrell Bridges run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brett Norton KICK)
-17.3
TD · Q4 12:53
Drew Kummer pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 52 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+12.4
TD · Q2 5:43
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson PAT BLOCKED)
+6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com