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OHIO

Ohio 45 at Idaho 28

IDHO
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2015 · Kibbie Dome
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Win probability · IDHO
modelIDHO aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playIDHO scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:11 · Matt Linehan pass intercepted Nathan Carpenter return for 25 yds to the Ohio 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:37: OHIO Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Ohio 20 — OHIO win probability +1.1 pts (now 81%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 0:25: Austin Rehkow 40 Yd Field Goal — OHIO win probability +1.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:54: Elijhaa Penny 1 Yd Run (Austin Rehkow Kick) — OHIO win probability +3.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:15: Keith Heitzman 2 Yd pass from JD Sprague (Josiah Yazdani Kick) — OHIO win probability +1.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 8:55: Josiah Yazdani 37 Yd Field Goal — OHIO win probability +1.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IDHO made the numbers' call on 5 of 9OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 12:14OHIO 4th & 6 at IDHO 6, tied
    Close callWent for it · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.5%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    65.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    65.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:46IDHO 4th & 2 at IDHO 30, down 15
    Close callPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:34IDHO 4th & 1 at IDHO 48, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    20.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:25IDHO 4th & 4 at OHIO 23, down 29
    Close callKicked a field goal · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.6%−<0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00OHIO 4th & 16 at OHIO 33, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:12IDHO 4th & 1 at IDHO 38, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.8%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:04IDHO 4th & 3 at OHIO 3, down 29
    Close callKicked a field goal · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.2%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    7.8%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:11OHIO 4th & 12 at OHIO 46, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:54IDHO 4th & 8 at IDHO 37, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:55OHIO 4th & 2 at IDHO 19, up 29
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.1%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:41IDHO 4th & 2 at IDHO 27, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:41IDHO 4th & 2 at OHIO 46, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:22IDHO 4th & 2 at OHIO 29, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:14OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4673% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
26.9%
Derrius Vick run for 2 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+50
26.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Brendan Cope for 50 yds to the Idaho 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-8
26.9%
OHIO Penalty, Offensive holding (Brendan Cope) to the Idaho 31Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 18
OPP 31
+23
26.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 23 yds to the Idaho 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
26.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Keith Heitzman for no gain to the Idaho 8Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
26.9%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Keith Heitzman, broken up by Russell SiaviiSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
26.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Idaho 6Similar
Q1 12:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
27.2%
D. Vick pass,to B. Cope for 6 yds for a TD, (J. Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 2FUMBLE
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
26.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 6 yds to the Idaho 15Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+1
26.4%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the Idaho 16Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+5
26.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 5 yds to the Idaho 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
26.4%
Elijhaa Penny run for 6 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 4
OWN 27
-8
26.5%
Matt Linehan sacked by Quentin Poling for a loss of 8 yards to the Idaho 19Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 12
OWN 19
0
26.3%
Matt Linehan sacked by Quentin Poling for 0 yards to the Idaho 25 Matt Linehan fumbled, recovered by Ohio Nathan Carpenter , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
24.8%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Keith HeitzmanSimilar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
24.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Idaho 24Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
24.9%
Derrius Vick sacked by Quinton Bradley for 0 yards to the Idaho 22 Derrius Vick fumbled, recovered by Idaho Tony Lashley , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
25.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 6 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+2
26.0%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 2
OWN 30
0
25.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Dezmon EppsSimilar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
25.8%
Austin Rehkow punt for 48 yds , Papi White returns for no gain to the Ohio 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 1:5175% → 76%
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
25.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
25.0%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to A.J. OuelletteSimilar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+30
25.1%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 30 yds to the Idaho 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
24.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Idaho 43Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+28
24.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 28 yds to the Idaho 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
24.1%
Jordan Reid 15 Yd pass from Derrius Vick (Josiah Yazdani Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 6INT TD
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:4321% → 20%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
20.9%
Matt Linehan sacked by Jovon Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 25Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+29
20.4%
M. Linehan pass intercepted for a TD,J. Johnson return for 29 yds for a TD, (J. Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-15
19.3%
OHIO Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Ohio 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 8FG
11 plays · 38 yds · 3:0919% → 13%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
19.4%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
19.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Callen HightowerSimilar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+6
19.3%
Matt Linehan run for 6 yds to the Idaho 48Similar
Q1 3:34
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+7
19.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Elijhaa Penny for 7 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
20.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 16 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
20.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-7
15.1%
Matt Linehan sacked by Tarell Basham for a loss of 7 yards to the Ohio 36Similar
Q1 1:48
3RD & 17
OPP 36
+13
15.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for 13 yds to the Ohio 23Similar
Q1 0:25
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+40
13.4%
Austin Rehkow 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:2182% → 81%
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
17.8%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 11 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
17.5%
JD Sprague pass complete to Papi White for 11 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-6
17.3%
JD Sprague sacked by Quinton Bradley for a loss of 6 yards to the Ohio 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 33
0
17.8%
JD Sprague pass complete to Daz'mond Patterson for no gain to the Ohio 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 33
0
18.3%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Daz'mond PattersonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 33
0
18.7%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dezmon Epps at the Idaho 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 10TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 5:1812% → 9%
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
12.0%
Matt Linehan run for 3 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+5
11.8%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the Idaho 37Similar
Q2 13:12
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+1
11.8%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the Idaho 38Similar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+17
11.8%
Matt Linehan run for 17 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
12.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+6
12.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Rueben Mwehla for 6 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q2 13:12
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+8
12.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jake Manley for 8 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
13.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete, broken up by Casey SaylesSimilar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+12
12.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Elijhaa Penny for 12 yds to the Ohio 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
12.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 11 yds to the Ohio 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
12.6%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the Ohio 1Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
9.2%
Elijhaa Penny 1 Yd Run (Austin Rehkow Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3986% → 89%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+65
13.7%
JD Sprague pass complete to Brendan Cope for 65 yds to the Idaho 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
12.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Idaho 7Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
12.7%
JD Sprague pass complete to Papi White for 5 yds to the Idaho 2Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
10.9%
Keith Heitzman 2 Yd pass from JD Sprague (Josiah Yazdani Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 12FG
10 plays · 77 yds · 3:058% → 5%
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+38
8.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 23 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, personal foul (Bryan DiCillo) to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
8.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 6 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+8
8.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 8 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+20
8.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 20 yds to the Ohio 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
9.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the Ohio 8Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
10.0%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the Ohio 3Similar
Q2 3:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
4.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Dezmon Epps, broken up by Quentin PolingSimilar
Q2 3:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
4.7%
Austin Rehkow 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13PUNT
14 plays · 21 yds · 2:5389% → 94%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
11.5%
Papi White run for 6 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
11.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
10.9%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
11.4%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+7
11.2%
JD Sprague pass complete to Daz'mond Patterson for 7 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
11.1%
OHIO Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Ohio 38Similar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 20
OWN 38
0
11.3%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Keith HeitzmanSimilar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 20
OWN 38
+2
11.4%
JD Sprague pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 2 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 18
OWN 40
+11
7.6%
JD Sprague run for 11 yds to the Idaho 49Similar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 7
OPP 49
-5
5.6%
OHIO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 46Similar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 12
OWN 46
+43
5.6%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 43 yds , Dezmon Epps returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
3.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Idaho 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
6.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 5 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+6
5.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 6 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
6.5%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the Idaho 36Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
6.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Elijhaa Penny for no gain to the Idaho 36Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+1
6.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 1 yd to the Idaho 37Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
6.2%
Austin Rehkow punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16FG
8 plays · 45 yds · 3:0295% → 97%
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
4.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for no gain to the Ohio 36Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
4.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Keith Heitzman for 5 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+15
4.6%
IDAHO Penalty, personal foul (Trent Cowan) to the Idaho 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+17
4.4%
Derrius Vick run for 17 yds to the Idaho 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
4.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the Idaho 21Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 4
OPP 21
0
4.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the Idaho 21Similar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+2
4.4%
Derrius Vick run for 2 yds to the Idaho 19Similar
Q3 8:55
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+37
3.2%
Josiah Yazdani 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 17DOWNS
13 plays · 35 yds · 0:075% → 2%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
4.8%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
2.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 5 yds to the Idaho 24Similar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+3
2.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 3 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q3 8:41
4TH & 2
OWN 27
+6
2.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 6 yds to the Idaho 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
2.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 6 yds to the Idaho 39Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
2.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+7
2.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Elijhaa Penny for 7 yds to the Idaho 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
2.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Rueben Mwehla for 5 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
2.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Trent Cowan, broken up by Devin BassSimilar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+3
2.4%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q3 8:41
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
2.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Dezmon Epps, broken up by Devin BassSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18MISSED FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 5:3698% → 99%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
2.0%
OHIO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 41Similar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 15
OWN 41
-10
2.1%
OHIO Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Ohio 31Similar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 25
OWN 31
+9
2.1%
Derrius Vick run for 9 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 16
OWN 40
+18
2.1%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Keith Heitzman for 18 yds to the Idaho 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
2.0%
Derrius Vick run for no gain to the Idaho 42Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+10
2.0%
Papi White run for 10 yds to the Idaho 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
1.9%
Derrius Vick run for 3 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+24
1.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Papi White for 24 yds to the Idaho 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
1.8%
Papi White run for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 8Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-4
1.9%
Derrius Vick run for a loss of 4 yards to the Idaho 12Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+8
2.0%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Brendan Cope for 8 yds to the Idaho 4Similar
Q3 5:36
4TH & 0
OPP 4
-5
1.9%
OHIO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 9Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 0
OPP 9
+31
0.7%
Josiah Yazdani 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 19TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 3:091% → 1%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
0.8%
OHIO Penalty, personal foul (Mike McQueen) to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
0.8%
Matt Linehan run for 10 yds to the Idaho 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
0.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 7 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+9
0.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 9 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
0.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 7 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+5
0.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 5 yds to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
1.0%
Matt Linehan run for 13 yds to the Ohio 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
1.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 13 yds to the Ohio 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.5%
Elijhaa Penny 1 Yd Run (Austin Rehkow Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:19100% → 100%
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.5%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 7 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
0.4%
Derrius Vick run for 3 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
0.5%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 4 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
0.5%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 2 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q4 11:51
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+9
0.5%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
50
+15
0.4%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 15 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
0.4%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 8 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+7
0.4%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 7 yds to the Idaho 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
0.4%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 15 yds to the Idaho 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
0.4%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds to the Idaho 1Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
Daz'mond Patterson 1 Yd Run (Josiah Yazdani Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 21TD
12 plays · 62 yds · 2:480% → 0%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+25
0.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 25 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
0.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Elijhaa Penny for 6 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 4
OPP 31
0
0.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+2
0.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Isaiah Saunders for 2 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q4 5:22
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+6
0.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 6 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
0.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for 9 yds to the Ohio 14Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+5
0.1%
OHIO Penalty, Defensive offside (Travis Daugherty) to the Ohio 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
0.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for 4 yds to the Ohio 5Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
0.1%
Matt Linehan run for no gain to the Ohio 5Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.1%
Deon Watson 5 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Matt Linehan Pass to Deon Watson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22TD
7 plays · 43 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
0.1%
IDAHO Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
0.1%
IDAHO Penalty, illegal touching (Deon Watson) to the Idaho 44Similar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
0.1%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 1 yd to the Idaho 42 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, personal foul (Marc Millan) to the Idaho 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
0.1%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 6 yds to the Idaho 21Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+4
0.1%
Kylan Nelson run for 4 yds to the Idaho 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
0.1%
Maleek Irons 17 Yd Run (Josiah Yazdani Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 23INT
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:260% → 0%
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
0.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 9 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+8
0.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 8 yds to the Idaho 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
0.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 11 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+25
0.0%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted Nathan Carpenter return for 25 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:54
Elijhaa Penny 1 Yd Run (Austin Rehkow Kick)
-3.4
TD · Q2 6:15
Keith Heitzman 2 Yd pass from JD Sprague (Josiah Yazdani Kick)
-1.8
FG · Q1 0:25
Austin Rehkow 40 Yd Field Goal
-1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com