Try the model
UNLV

UNLV 28 at Wyoming 35

WYO
2015 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2015 · War Memorial Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:03 · Logan Yunker punt for 47 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Home team on offense−6.0Pregame prior−5.7Garbage-time factor−1.7Score differential−2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:37: Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 19 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK) — WYO win probability +12.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:29: Blake Decker pass complete to Brandon Presley for 13 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK) — UNLV win probability +21.9 pts (now 57%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:04: Justin Berger run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK) — WYO win probability +28.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:37: Kurt Palandech run for 10 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK) — UNLV win probability +36.5 pts (now 61%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:20: Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 64 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK) — WYO win probability +37.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 6 of 8UNLV made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:36WYO 4th & 6 at UNLV 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    43.2%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    43.2%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:45UNLV 4th & 2 at WYO 19, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.9%−0.5
    77% to make
    Punt
    56.2%−3.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:45WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:06WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:18UNLV 4th & 2 at UNLV 35, up 7
    Close callPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:50WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 30, down 7
    Close callPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:03UNLV 4th & 7 at WYO 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:48UNLV 4th & 2 at WYO 18, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.1%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    48.0%−6.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00UNLV 4th & 6 at UNLV 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:45WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−1.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:49UNLV 4th & 6 at UNLV 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:15WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−1.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:20UNLV 4th & 23 at UNLV 1, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%−1.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:07WYO 4th & 1 at UNLV 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.1%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%−0.7
    91% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−2.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:36UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:37WYO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:06WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:37WYO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:15UNLV Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:29UNLV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:04WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.1%−1.7
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:37UNLV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:20WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−2.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WYODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
40.9%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jacob Hollister for no gain to the Wyom 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
40.9%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
40.9%
Cameron Coffman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 23
-5
40.9%
Ethan Wood punt for 46 yds , Keith Whitely returns for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:5259% → 60%
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+38
41.4%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 38 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
41.2%
Keith Whitely run for 4 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+2
41.2%
Keith Whitely run for 2 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+8
41.2%
Blake Decker pass complete to Kendal Keys for 8 yds to the Wyom 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
41.2%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the Wyom 22Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+22
40.2%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 22 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3INT
15 plays · 62 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
40.7%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 4 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
40.8%
Cameron Coffman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+13
40.6%
COFFMAN, C. pass incomplete to MAULHARDT, Jake, PENALTY LV pass interference 13 yards to the WY44, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
41.0%
Brian Hill run for 8 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+8
41.2%
Brian Hill run for 8 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-6
41.2%
Joshua Tapscott run for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 46Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 16
OPP 46
+10
40.9%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 10 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
41.1%
Cameron Coffman pass incomplete to Jake Maulhardt, broken up by Sonny SanitoaSimilar
Q1 10:36
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+9
40.8%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to James Price for 9 yds to the UNLV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
41.3%
Brian Hill run for 8 yds to the UNLV 19Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+3
41.3%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the UNLV 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
41.4%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the UNLV 16Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+5
41.4%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Tyree Mayfield for 5 yds to the UNLV 11Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+42
41.2%
Cameron Coffman pass intercepted Sonny Sanitoa return for 42 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4MISSED FG
7 plays · 31 yds · 3:1561% → 61%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
50
+13
39.0%
Blake Decker pass complete to Jake Phillips for 13 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
39.0%
Kurt Palandech run for 8 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+2
38.8%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the Wyom 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
38.8%
Blake Decker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+9
38.9%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 9 yds to the Wyom 18Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 1
OPP 18
-1
39.0%
Kurt Palandech run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 19Similar
Q1 1:45
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+36
38.6%
Nicolai Bornand 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
39.5%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
39.4%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
39.0%
Cameron Coffman pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q1 1:45
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
38.7%
Ethan Wood punt for 44 yds , Keith Whitely returns for no gain to the UNLV 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6INT
5 plays · 31 yds · 0:1762% → 62%
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
38.5%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+9
37.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 9 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+2
37.5%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 2 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
37.6%
Blake Decker pass complete to Keith Whitely for 2 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+5
37.6%
Blake Decker pass intercepted Tim Kamana return for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
39.3%
HILL, Brian rush for 2 yards to the WY32 (MCALEENAN, Ryan;SANITOA, Sonny), PENALTY WY holding 10 yards to the WY20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 20
OWN 20
0
38.9%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 20Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 20
OWN 20
+8
38.9%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Brian Hill for 8 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+10
38.4%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Brian Hill for 10 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q2 13:06
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
38.9%
Ethan Wood punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Keith Whitely at the UNLV 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
38.2%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
38.6%
Keith Whitely run for 6 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q2 11:18
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+2
38.2%
Blake Decker pass complete to Aaron Criswell for 2 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q2 11:18
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
38.6%
Logan Yunker punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Andrew Wingard at the Wyom 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
38.2%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+7
38.3%
Brian Hill run for 7 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+2
38.0%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
38.4%
Cameron Coffman pass incomplete to James PriceSimilar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
38.3%
Joshua Tapscott run for 6 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
38.1%
Cameron Coffman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
37.6%
Ethan Wood punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Keith Whitely at the UNLV 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
35.7%
Blake Decker pass complete to Kendal Keys for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
50
0
34.3%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Lexington ThomasSimilar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 10
50
+3
34.4%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 3 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
34.7%
Blake Decker pass complete to Aaron Criswell for no gain to the Wyom 47Similar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
35.9%
Logan Yunker punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:2937% → 48%
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
36.6%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
37.0%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+72
48.4%
Brian Hill run for 72 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12MISSED FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 2:4956% → 55%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
44.4%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 15 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
42.9%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the Wyom 47Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+10
43.2%
Blake Decker pass complete to Anthony Williams for 10 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-4
42.9%
Blake Decker sacked by Eddie Yarbrough for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 41Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 14
OPP 41
+15
44.2%
DECKER, Blake pass incomplete to KEYS, Kendal (WACHA, Lucas), PENALTY WY pass interference 15 yards to the WY26, 1ST DOWN LV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
42.0%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Aaron Criswell, broken up by Antonio HullSimilar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+8
42.3%
Blake Decker run for 8 yds to the Wyom 18Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 2
OPP 18
0
43.1%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Aaron CriswellSimilar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+35
44.8%
Nicolai Bornand 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 0:4251% → 64%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
50.8%
Joshua Tapscott run for no gain to the Wyom 20Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
49.3%
Cameron Coffman pass incomplete to James Price, broken up by Torry McTyerSimilar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+30
47.8%
Joshua Tapscott run for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
50
0
52.7%
Cameron Coffman run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
50
+15
52.0%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 15 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
53.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+35
64.1%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to James Price for 35 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 32 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
50
+32
58.0%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 32 yds to the Wyom 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
60.5%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the UNLV 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+3
60.8%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 3 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
61.2%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Anthony WilliamsSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
62.4%
Logan Yunker punt for 61 yds, downed at the Wyom 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:4363% → 60%
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+7
62.9%
Brian Hill run for 7 yds to the Wyom 11Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 3
OWN 11
+8
62.2%
Brian Hill run for 8 yds to the Wyom 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
62.5%
Nico Evans run for 4 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
62.6%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 23Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
61.0%
Cameron Coffman pass incomplete to Jake Maulhardt, broken up by Kimble JensenSimilar
Q3 12:45
4TH & 6
OWN 23
0
60.1%
Ethan Wood punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Keith Whitely at the UNLV 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0038% → 36%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
61.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
60.5%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Kendal KeysSimilar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
61.7%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Kendal Keys, broken up by Antonio HullSimilar
Q3 10:49
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+50
63.7%
Logan Yunker punt for 50 yds , Andrew Wingard returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18TD
7 plays · 91 yds · 3:1966% → 83%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
65.5%
Brian Hill run for 9 yds to the Wyom 18Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+2
66.5%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
66.4%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+7
66.6%
Joshua Tapscott run for 7 yds to the Wyom 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+36
66.9%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 36 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
70.1%
Brian Hill run for 12 yds to the UNLV 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
83.1%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 19 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 4:2221% → 38%
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
79.4%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Kendal Keys, broken up by C.J. JenningsSimilar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+2
79.9%
Keith Whitely run for 2 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+9
80.2%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 9 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
78.0%
Keith Whitely run for 8 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+15
76.8%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 15 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
76.0%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Antonio ZepedaSimilar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
76.2%
Keith Whitely run for 4 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+27
76.5%
Blake Decker pass complete to Aaron Criswell for 27 yds to the Wyom 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
74.5%
Keith Whitely run for 1 yd to the Wyom 8Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
61.7%
Blake Decker pass complete to Kendal Keys for 8 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0074% → 72%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.0%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
73.6%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-1
73.5%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 31Similar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+6
72.3%
Ethan Wood punt for 48 yds , Keith Whitely returns for 6 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:3429% → 57%
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
71.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+17
72.1%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 17 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
69.2%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the UNLV 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+26
69.8%
Blake Decker pass complete to Aaron Criswell for 26 yds to the Wyom 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
64.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 9 yds to the Wyom 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+3
64.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the Wyom 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
64.5%
Keith Whitely run for 3 yds to the Wyom 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 13
0
64.5%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+13
42.6%
Blake Decker pass complete to Brandon Presley for 13 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22TD
12 plays · 85 yds · 5:2553% → 89%
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-7
53.1%
HILL, Brian rush for 1 yard to the WY16 (SANITOA, Sonny), PENALTY WY holding 7 yards to the WY8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 17
OWN 8
+10
51.8%
Brian Hill run for 10 yds to the Wyom 18Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
53.0%
Cameron Coffman pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+13
51.0%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Joseph Parker for 13 yds to the Wyom 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
54.2%
Brian Hill run for 10 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
57.2%
Joshua Tapscott run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 1
50
+3
59.1%
Joshua Tapscott run for 3 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+20
59.3%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 20 yds to the UNLV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
60.7%
Brian Hill run for 15 yds to the UNLV 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
60.7%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the UNLV 8Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+8
89.4%
Justin Berger run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2717% → 61%
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
83.2%
Blake Decker pass complete to Kendal Keys for 11 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
81.0%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Kendal Keys, broken up by Andrew WingardSimilar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+13
81.5%
Kurt Palandech run for 13 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
78.4%
Keith Whitely run for 11 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
78.0%
Keith Whitely run for 6 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+24
75.2%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 24 yds to the Wyom 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
38.7%
Kurt Palandech run for 10 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 1:1756% → 93%
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
55.5%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+4
55.5%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+64
92.9%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 64 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0014% → 12%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-9
86.4%
Blake Decker sacked by Eddie Yarbrough for a loss of 9 yards to the UNLV 1 Blake Decker fumbled, recovered by UNLV Keith Whitely , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 23
OWN 1
0
86.6%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Kendal KeysSimilar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 23
OWN 1
0
87.5%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 23
OWN 1
+14
88.0%
Blake Decker pass complete to Anthony Williams for 14 yds to the UNLV 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 26END OF GAME
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:2195% → 97%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
95.2%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the UNLV 11Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+3
96.3%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the UNLV 8Similar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+2
96.7%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the UNLV 6Similar
Q4 1:07
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+4
96.3%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the UNLV 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
97.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:20
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 64 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK)
+37.4
TD · Q4 3:37
Kurt Palandech run for 10 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)
-36.5
TD · Q4 6:04
Justin Berger run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK)
+28.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com