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BYU

BYU 51 at Utah State 28

USU
2015 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2015 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFUMBLETDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:25 · Jake Thompson 32 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 51Home team on offense−0.6Score differential−0.4Pregame prior−6.3Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:00: Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 24 yds for a TD, (Jake Thompson KICK) — USU win probability +12.7 pts (now 68%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. FUMBLE · Q2 0:00: Chuckie Keeton run for a loss of 1 yard Chuckie Keeton fumbled, recovered by BYU Tomasi Laulile , return for 37 yds, (Trevor Samson KICK) — BYU win probability +14.4 pts (now 56%) (top driver: USU +2 timeouts on the defense).
  3. TD · Q3 3:01: Francis Bernard run for 10 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK) — BYU win probability +16.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:48: Nick Vigil run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK) — USU win probability +15.0 pts (now 28%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:06: Tanner Mangum pass complete to Francis Bernard for 4 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson PAT MISSED) — BYU win probability +14.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 5 of 10BYU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 4:44USU 4th & 5 at BYU 32, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.7%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    48.4%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:29BYU 4th & 13 at USU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    48.5%−2.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:25USU 4th & 7 at BYU 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    43.8%−4.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:25BYU 4th & 9 at BYU 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:21USU 4th & 8 at BYU 32, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    47.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    47.2%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:55BYU 4th & 2 at BYU 23, down 4
    Close callPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:35USU 4th & 7 at USU 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:26BYU 4th & 10 at BYU 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:40USU 4th & 14 at USU 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−2.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:07USU 4th & 8 at BYU 34, down 10
    Close callPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    30.3%−0.1
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:49BYU 4th & 8 at BYU 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−2.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:08USU 4th & 8 at BYU 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    16.1%−9.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:54USU 4th & 5 at BYU 23, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    16.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−7.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:00USU 4th & 10 at USU 44, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:06BYU 4th & 3 at BYU 19, up 16
    Close callPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:58USU 4th & 15 at BYU 37, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.9%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%
    40% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:14BYU 4th & 21 at BYU 26, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−1.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:02BYU 4th & 2 at USU 18, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    96.6%−0.3
    79% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−1.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:38BYU 4th & 16 at USU 19, up 23
    Close callWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:52USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:08BYU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:05USU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:00USU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:42BYU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:01BYU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:48USU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:06BYU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:02BYU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0841% → 43%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
41.0%
Devante Mays run for 6 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
41.0%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 3 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
41.0%
Chuckie Keeton run for 2 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
41.0%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 12 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
41.0%
Chuckie Keeton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+52
42.6%
Chuckie Keeton run for 52 yds for a TD, (Jake Thompson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4458% → 58%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
42.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 11 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
42.3%
Algernon Brown run for 9 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
42.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Francis Bernard for no gain to the BYU 45Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
43.2%
Algernon Brown run for 2 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
43.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 13 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+32
43.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 32 yds to the UthSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
42.0%
Algernon Brown run for 8 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3MISSED FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 5:1643% → 45%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
42.8%
Devante Mays run for 3 yds to the UthSt 25Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+4
42.8%
Devante Mays run for 4 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+21
42.7%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
50
-4
43.3%
Chuckie Keeton run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 46 Chuckie Keeton fumbled,Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 14
OWN 46
0
42.9%
Chuckie Keeton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 14
OWN 46
+17
42.7%
LaJuan Hunt run for 17 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
43.4%
Chuckie Keeton sacked by Travis Tuiloma for a loss of 10 yards to the BYU 47Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 20
OPP 47
-1
43.1%
Devante Mays run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 48Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 21
OPP 48
+16
42.8%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 16 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q1 4:44
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+49
45.0%
Jake Thompson 49 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Bronson Kaufusi N/A return for no gain to the BYU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4FG
12 plays · 45 yds · 4:1556% → 56%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
44.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-9
44.2%
Algernon Brown run for 1 yd to the BYU 33 BYU Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the BYU 23Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 19
OWN 23
+3
44.3%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 3 yds to the BYU 26Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 16
OWN 26
+38
44.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Kurt Henderson for 38 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
43.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Kurt Henderson for 1 yd to the UthSt 35Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
42.8%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Nick KurtzSimilar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+15
43.2%
MANGUM,Tanner pass incomplete to HOUK,Terenn, PENALTY USU pass interference 15 yards to the USU20, 1ST DOWN BYU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
42.8%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Jordan Nielsen for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 22Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 12
OPP 22
-5
42.8%
MANGUM,Tanner pass complete to HOUK,Terenn for 4 yards to the USU18 (HINES,Deshane), PENALTY BYU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the USU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 17
OPP 27
0
43.2%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Nick Kurtz, broken up by Deshane HinesSimilar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 17
OPP 27
+4
43.8%
Algernon Brown run for 4 yds to the UthSt 23Similar
Q1 0:29
4TH & 13
OPP 23
+41
44.2%
Trevor Samson 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5MISSED FG
12 plays · 40 yds · 3:5845% → 44%
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
45.2%
Devante Mays run for no gain to the UthSt 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
44.6%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Wyatt HoustonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+12
44.0%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 12 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
45.7%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the BYU 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+13
45.7%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Kennedy Williams for 13 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
46.5%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Brandon Swindall for 11 yds to the BYU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
46.5%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Wyatt HoustonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+3
46.5%
Devante Mays run for 3 yds to the BYU 15Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
45.4%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Hunter SharpSimilar
Q2 11:25
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
44.3%
Jake Thompson 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0057% → 55%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
43.1%
Algernon Brown run for 1 yd to the BYU 21Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
43.2%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
44.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Mitch MathewsSimilar
Q2 11:25
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
44.7%
Jonny Linehan punt for 38 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for no gain to the UthSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 3:1645% → 55%
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+25
45.2%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Tyler Fox for 25 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
46.6%
Devante Mays run for no gain to the BYU 34Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+2
46.6%
Devante Mays run for 2 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
45.6%
Chuckie Keeton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:21
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+13
44.1%
DJ Nelson run for 13 yds to the BYU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
46.6%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 2 yds to the BYU 17Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+11
46.6%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 11 yds to the BYU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
54.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Thompson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0048% → 46%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
52.5%
Tanner Mangum run for 3 yds to the BYU 18Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
52.6%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+5
53.5%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 5 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 2
OWN 23
+18
53.9%
Jonny Linehan punt for 53 yds , Hunter Sharp returns for 18 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:2355% → 68%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
55.1%
Devonte Robinson run for no gain to the UthSt 42Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
54.3%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Wyatt Houston, broken up by Teu KautaiSimilar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+23
53.3%
Chuckie Keeton run for 23 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
56.0%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Nick VigilSimilar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+8
55.9%
Devante Mays run for 8 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+3
55.0%
Nick Vigil run for 3 yds to the BYU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
67.7%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 24 yds for a TD, (Jake Thompson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 72 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+72
53.7%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 72 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:0055% → 55%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
54.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the UthSt 24Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
56.6%
Devante Mays run for 6 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 4
OWN 30
-3
56.3%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 27Similar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
54.6%
Aaron Dalton punt for 31 yds, downed at the BYU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0043% → 40%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
57.5%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
58.2%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
59.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Terenn Houk BYU Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:26
4TH & 10
OWN 42
+27
60.4%
Jonny Linehan punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Andrew Rodriguez at the UTAHST 16 BYU Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the UthSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13FUMBLE TD
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0257% → 44%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
57.2%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 4 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
57.9%
Chuckie Keeton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+7
56.4%
Devante Mays run for 7 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
58.7%
Chuckie Keeton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+37
44.3%
Chuckie Keeton run for a loss of 1 yard Chuckie Keeton fumbled, recovered by BYU Tomasi Laulile , return for 37 yds, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 1:1170% → 71%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+19
29.8%
Algernon Brown run for 19 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
29.5%
Tanner Mangum run for 3 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+5
29.5%
UTAH ST Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the UthSt 35Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+35
28.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 35 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:0030% → 28%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.5%
Devante Mays run for no gain to the UthSt 25Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-8
29.3%
Devante Mays run for 2 yds to the UthSt 27 UTAH ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the UthSt 17Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+4
29.2%
Chuckie Keeton run for 4 yds to the UthSt 21Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
28.2%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Dax RaymondSimilar
Q3 13:40
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
27.7%
Aaron Dalton punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Michael Shelton at the BYU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -26 yds · 0:0072% → 69%
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-7
28.5%
Algernon Brown run for a loss of 7 yards to the BYU 26 Algernon Brown fumbled, forced by LT Filiaga, recovered by BYU Tanner MangumSimilar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 20
OWN 26
0
29.8%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Kurt HendersonSimilar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 20
OWN 26
-16
30.5%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Bryant Hayes for a loss of 16 yards to the BYU 10 BYU Penalty, intentional grounding ( Yards) to the BYU 10Similar
Q3 12:03
4TH & 36
OWN 10
0
31.1%
Jonny Linehan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Andrew Rodriguez at the BYU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0031% → 28%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
30.8%
Devante Mays run for 11 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
30.9%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Devonte RobinsonSimilar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
30.9%
Devante Mays run for 2 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
30.6%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Devonte RobinsonSimilar
Q3 11:07
4TH & 8
OPP 34
0
28.2%
Aaron Dalton punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Michael Shelton at the BYU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0071% → 69%
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
29.3%
Algernon Brown run for 2 yds to the BYU 10Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+7
29.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Colby Pearson for 7 yds to the BYU 17Similar
Q3 9:49
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+3
29.8%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 3 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
28.8%
Algernon Brown run for 1 yd to the BYU 21Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+7
29.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Remington Peck for 7 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q3 9:49
3RD & 2
OWN 28
-6
28.9%
Tanner Mangum sacked by David Moala for a loss of 6 yards to the BYU 22Similar
Q3 9:49
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+27
30.6%
Jonny Linehan punt for 36 yds , Hunter Sharp returns for 27 yds to the BYU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20MISSED FG
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:5329% → 26%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-15
29.2%
Chuckie Keeton sacked by Bronson Kaufusi for a loss of 15 yards to the BYU 46 UTAH ST Penalty, intentional grounding ( Yards) to the BYU 46Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 25
OPP 46
+21
26.8%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 21 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+7
27.6%
Chuckie Keeton run for 7 yds to the BYU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
29.3%
Devante Mays run for 2 yds to the BYU 16Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
29.3%
Devante Mays run for no gain to the BYU 16Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
28.1%
Chuckie Keeton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:08
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+66
26.0%
Jake Thompson 34 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Bronson Kaufusi Micah Hannemann return for 66 yds to the UthSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 21TD
1 play · 76 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q3 3:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
9.2%
Francis Bernard run for 10 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22TD
10 plays · 86 yds · 3:0614% → 28%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+58
13.7%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 58 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
16.9%
Chuckie Keeton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+1
16.4%
Devante Mays run for 1 yd to the BYU 27Similar
Q3 2:54
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+4
15.9%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 4 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q3 2:54
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+9
15.5%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 9 yds to the BYU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
16.9%
Hunter Sharp run for 2 yds to the BYU 12Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 8
OPP 12
-2
16.9%
Devante Mays run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+12
13.4%
KEETON,Chuckie pass incomplete to RAYMOND,DAX, PENALTY BYU pass interference 12 yards to the BYU2, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
28.4%
Nick Vigil run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 23TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 2:3677% → 95%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
23.5%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Terenn HoukSimilar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
23.6%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Terenn HoukSimilar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+35
24.3%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Devon Blackmon for 35 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
21.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Devon BlackmonSimilar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+22
21.2%
Algernon Brown run for 22 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
20.1%
Harvey Langi run for 11 yds to the UthSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
20.0%
Harvey Langi run for 3 yds to the UthSt 19Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+15
20.0%
MANGUM,Tanner pass incomplete to KURTZ,Nick, PENALTY USU pass interference 15 yards to the USU4, 1ST DOWN BYU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
5.5%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Francis Bernard for 4 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
10.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 9 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+10
11.7%
LaJuan Hunt run for 10 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
12.0%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Tyler FoxSimilar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
11.9%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Jaren Colston-GreenSimilar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
11.7%
Chuckie Keeton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:00
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
11.2%
Aaron Dalton punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Michael Shelton at the BYU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
5.4%
Francis Bernard run for 2 yds to the BYU 14Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 8
OWN 14
0
5.5%
Algernon Brown run for no gain to the BYU 14Similar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 8
OWN 14
+5
5.8%
Francis Bernard run for 5 yds to the BYU 19Similar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 3
OWN 19
+5
6.0%
Jonny Linehan punt for 35 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for 5 yds to the BYU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 26DOWNS
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
8.0%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 46Similar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+14
7.4%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 14 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+8
8.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 8 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
9.1%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Brandon SwindallSimilar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-5
8.8%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Jake Simonich for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 37Similar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 15
OPP 37
0
7.7%
Chuckie Keeton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:58
4TH & 15
OPP 37
0
7.3%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Andrew Rodriguez, broken up by Michael SheltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 1:1196% → 96%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
4.1%
Algernon Brown run for 4 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-13
4.0%
BROWN,Algernon rush for 6 yards to the BYU47 (HINES,Deshane;ROCQUEMORE,Jon), PENALTY BYU personal foul 13 yards to the BYU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 19
OWN 28
0
4.3%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Nick KurtzSimilar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 19
OWN 28
-2
4.4%
Algernon Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 26Similar
Q4 6:14
4TH & 21
OWN 26
+17
3.6%
Jonny Linehan punt for 44 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for 17 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 28DOWNS
6 plays · -21 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
5.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 46Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 11
OWN 46
-15
5.2%
KEETON,Chuckie rush for 10 yards to the BYU44, PENALTY USU personal foul 15 yards to the USU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 26
OWN 31
0
4.9%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Braelon RobertsSimilar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 26
OWN 31
-5
4.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 26Similar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 31
OWN 26
0
4.8%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Hunter SharpSimilar
Q4 6:03
4TH & 31
OWN 26
0
4.8%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Hunter Sharp, broken up by Kai NacuaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 29TD
4 plays · 26 yds · 2:1097% → 100%
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
2.7%
Algernon Brown run for 6 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+1
2.7%
Harvey Langi run for 1 yd to the UthSt 19Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+1
2.7%
Algernon Brown run for 1 yd to the UthSt 18Similar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+18
0.5%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Algernon Brown for 18 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 30FUMBLE
3 plays · -9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
0.9%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Kennedy WilliamsSimilar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+7
0.9%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for a loss of 4 yards LaJuan Hunt fumbled, forced by Jordan Preator, recovered by BYU Fred Warner , return for 7 yds to the UthSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 31DOWNS
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
0.4%
Adam Hine run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 15Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 12
OPP 15
-2
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 17Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 14
OPP 17
-2
0.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 19Similar
Q4 2:38
4TH & 16
OPP 19
-2
0.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 32END OF GAME
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+24
0.7%
Tonny Lindsey run for 24 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
0.7%
Tonny Lindsey run for no gain to the UthSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:01
Francis Bernard run for 10 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)
-16.8
TD · Q4 14:48
Nick Vigil run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)
+15
TD · Q4 12:06
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Francis Bernard for 4 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson PAT MISSED)
-14.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com