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UNLV

UNLV 35 at Colorado State 49

CSU
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2015 · Sonny Lubick Field at Hughes Stadium
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Win probability · CSU
modelCSU aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playCSU scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:48 · Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 11 yds to the ColSt 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 150Home team on offense+24.7Pregame prior+1.5Score differential+8.5Garbage-time factor+7.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:56: Kurt Palandech run for 14 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK) — UNLV win probability +10.6 pts (now 44%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:13: Nu'uvali Fa'apito run for 1 yd for a TD UNLV Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Wyatt Bryan KICK) — CSU win probability +8.5 pts (now 74%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:13: Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 8 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK) — CSU win probability +10.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:21: Kurt Palandech pass complete to Kendal Keys for 20 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK) — UNLV win probability +15.9 pts (now 28%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:41: Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 4 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK) — CSU win probability +9.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00UNLV 4th & 3 at UNLV 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:45UNLV 4th & 9 at CSU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    35.0%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:25UNLV 4th & 2 at CSU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    26.8%−1.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−2.3
    average punt
  4. Q3 11:13UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  5. Q3 9:41CSU 4th & 14 at CSU 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%−2.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 2:16CSU 4th & 8 at UNLV 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    79.6%−1.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q4 14:24UNLV 4th & 13 at UNLV 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−3.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  8. Q4 7:35UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 29, down 14
    Close callPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:48UNLV 4th & 14 at CSU 43, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%
    28% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:42UNLV 4th & 10 at CSU 24, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:34CSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:09UNLV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:19UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:16CSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:41CSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:56UNLV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:13CSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:13CSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:21UNLV Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:41CSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:45CSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 1:00UNLV Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
65.6%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 8 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 48
-1
65.6%
Keith Whitely run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
65.6%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Kendal KeysSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
65.6%
Logan Yunker punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Joe Hansley at the ColSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:0266% → 67%
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+69
65.5%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Steven Walker for 69 yds to the UNLV 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
65.7%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the UNLV 9Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
66.5%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 9 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:2534% → 36%
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
66.2%
Blake Decker run for 2 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
66.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 9 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
66.1%
Blake Decker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
66.2%
Keith Whitely run for 8 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+14
66.0%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 14 yds to the ColSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-8
66.0%
Blake Decker sacked by Joe Kawulok for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 18
50
0
66.1%
Blake Decker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 18
50
+25
66.2%
Blake Decker pass complete to Keith Whitely for 40 yds to the COLOST 10 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, personal foul (Keith Whitely) to the ColSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
65.9%
Blake Decker run for 8 yds to the ColSt 17Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+7
65.9%
Keith Whitely run for 7 yds to the ColSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
65.9%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the ColSt 9Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
63.6%
Blake Decker pass complete to Kendal Keys for 9 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 4INT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
65.6%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Joe HansleySimilar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-6
65.6%
Nick Stevens run for a loss of 6 yards to the ColSt 48 Nick Stevens fumbled, recovered by ColSt Nick StevensSimilar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 16
OWN 48
+25
64.7%
Nick Stevens pass intercepted Tim Hough return for 25 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:4336% → 41%
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
64.3%
Blake Decker pass complete to Andrew Price for 4 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+29
63.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 29 yds to the ColSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
63.4%
Lexington Thomas run for 13 yds to the ColSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
63.4%
Blake Decker pass complete to Jake Phillips for 9 yds to the ColSt 10Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+2
63.4%
Keith Whitely run for 2 yds to the ColSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
58.6%
Blake Decker pass complete to Kendal Keys for 8 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 2:5960% → 66%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+24
60.1%
Deionte Gaines run for 24 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
61.0%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 5
50
+21
61.4%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 21 yds to the UNLV 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
62.0%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 5 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+7
62.0%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 7 yds to the UNLV 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
66.1%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 17 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7MISSED FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 4:3137% → 38%
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.3%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q1 0:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
63.3%
Keith Whitely run for 6 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
63.3%
Blake Decker pass complete to Lexington Thomas for 7 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
62.6%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 16 yds to the ColSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
61.8%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the ColSt 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+8
61.8%
Lexington Thomas run for 8 yds to the ColSt 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+3
61.8%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 3 yds to the ColSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
61.4%
Blake Decker pass complete to Keith Whitely for 3 yds to the ColSt 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
61.2%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devonte Boyd, broken up by Martavius FosterSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 31
-7
62.0%
Blake Decker sacked by Martavius Foster for a loss of 7 yards to the ColSt 33 Blake Decker fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+50
62.3%
Nicolai Bornand 50 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Joe Kawulok DeAndre Elliott return for no gain to the ColSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 3:0465% → 73%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
65.0%
STEVENS, Nick sacked for loss of 9 yards to the CS31 (HUGHES JR., Mike), PENALTY LV offside 5 yards to the CS45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 5
OWN 45
+1
65.6%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 1 yd to the ColSt 46Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
65.5%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the ColSt 49Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+46
65.0%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 46 yds to the UNLV 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
66.2%
Craig Leonard run for 3 yds to the UNLV 2Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
66.2%
Craig Leonard run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 3Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
72.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for 3 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4529% → 44%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.8%
Blake Decker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+34
70.9%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 34 yds to the ColSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
68.8%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 7 yds to the ColSt 34Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 3
OPP 34
0
67.5%
Keith Whitely run for no gain to the ColSt 34Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+1
68.6%
Keith Whitely run for 1 yd to the ColSt 33Similar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+17
69.6%
Blake Decker pass complete to Jake Phillips for 17 yds to the ColSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
66.9%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 7 yds to the ColSt 9Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 3
OPP 9
-5
66.9%
Blake Decker run for a loss of 5 yards to the ColSt 14Similar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+14
56.2%
Kurt Palandech run for 14 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 89 yds · 3:3762% → 74%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+10
62.4%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 10 yds to the ColSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+33
62.6%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 33 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
65.6%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for no gain to the UNLV 46Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+40
65.3%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 40 yds to the UNLV 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
66.1%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 5 yds to the UNLV 1Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
66.1%
Nick Stevens run for no gain to the UNLV 1Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.1%
Nu'uvali Fa'apito run for 1 yd for a TD UNLV Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
71.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 3:3973% → 86%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
73.4%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Rashard Higgins, broken up by Torry McTyerSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
73.2%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 5 yds to the ColSt 23Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+22
72.4%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Kivon Cartwright for 22 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
75.1%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 14 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
75.5%
Dalyn Dawkins run for no gain to the UNLV 41Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+13
75.3%
Deionte Gaines run for 13 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
75.6%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Dalyn DawkinsSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+18
75.5%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 18 yds to the UNLV 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
75.6%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Jordon Vaden for 2 yds to the UNLV 8Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
85.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 8 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.0%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Jake PhillipsSimilar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
84.2%
Keith Whitely run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 24Similar
Q3 11:13
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+6
84.5%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Anthony Williams for 6 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q3 11:13
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+7
84.6%
Logan Yunker punt for 53 yds , Joe Hansley returns for 7 yds to the ColSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
86.2%
Nick Stevens run for 6 yds to the ColSt 30Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+7
86.4%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 7 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
86.4%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 2 yds to the ColSt 39Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
86.7%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the ColSt 41Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-8
86.2%
Nick Stevens sacked by Tau Lotulelei for a loss of 8 yards to the ColSt 33Similar
Q3 9:41
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
85.0%
Hayden Hunt punt for 58 yds, fair catch by Keith Whitely at the UNLV 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15TD
11 plays · 91 yds · 4:1313% → 28%
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
86.6%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Aaron CriswellSimilar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
86.8%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+11
87.0%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Kendal Keys for 11 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
85.9%
Keith Whitely run for 7 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+10
84.9%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Kendal Keys for 10 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+29
85.1%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Kendal Keys for 29 yds to the ColSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
83.1%
Kurt Palandech run for 8 yds to the ColSt 26Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+4
82.6%
Keith Whitely run for 4 yds to the ColSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
82.6%
Kurt Palandech run for 2 yds to the ColSt 20Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+20
71.9%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Kendal Keys for 20 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
81.7%
Joe Hansley run for 6 yds to the ColSt 26Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+14
81.9%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 14 yds to the ColSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
83.9%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Jordon VadenSimilar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
83.8%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Steven WalkerSimilar
Q3 2:16
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+2
82.5%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q3 2:16
4TH & 8
OPP 43
+30
81.6%
Hayden Hunt punt for 35 yds, downed at the UNLV 8 COLORADO ST Penalty, illegal touching (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 0:4220% → 19%
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-3
79.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 7 yds to the UNLV 20 UNLV Penalty, Offensive holding (Aaron Criswell) to the UNLV 10Similar
Q3 0:06
1ST & 13
OWN 10
+5
79.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 5 yds to the UNLV 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+2
79.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 17Similar
Q4 14:24
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+15
80.4%
PALANDECH, Kurt pass incomplete to KEYS, Kendal, PENALTY CS pass interference (ELLIOTT, DeAndre) 15 yards to the LV32, 1ST DOWN LV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
78.0%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Aaron CriswellSimilar
Q4 14:24
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
78.7%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Devonte Boyd, broken up by DeAndre ElliottSimilar
Q4 14:24
3RD & 10
OWN 32
-3
80.2%
Kurt Palandech sacked by SteveO Michel for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 29Similar
Q4 14:24
4TH & 13
OWN 29
0
81.3%
Logan Yunker punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ColSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 5:4785% → 96%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
85.2%
Deionte Gaines run for 9 yds to the ColSt 46Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+3
86.1%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 3 yds to the ColSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
86.2%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 8 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+3
86.4%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+21
86.4%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 21 yds to the UNLV 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
86.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Joe Hansley for 7 yds to the UNLV 12Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+2
86.8%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 2 yds to the UNLV 10Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+1
85.9%
Nick Stevens run for 1 yd to the UNLV 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
86.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Nu'uvali Fa'apito for 4 yds to the UNLV 5Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
86.8%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 1 yd to the UNLV 4Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.4%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 4 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
95.1%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Lexington ThomasSimilar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+6
95.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 6 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
94.9%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Jake Phillips, broken up by Kevin DavisSimilar
Q4 7:35
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
95.3%
Logan Yunker punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Joe Hansley at the ColSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 20FUMBLE
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
96.4%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 9 yds to the ColSt 39 Dalyn Dawkins fumbled, forced by Mike Hughes Jr., recovered by UNLV Tuli FakauhoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:445% → 4%
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-4
95.1%
Kurt Palandech sacked by Cory James for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 43Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 14
OPP 43
0
95.2%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Anthony WilliamsSimilar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 14
OPP 43
0
95.6%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Anthony WilliamsSimilar
Q4 5:48
4TH & 14
OPP 43
+11
96.2%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 11 yds to the ColSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 3:5697% → 100%
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+20
97.4%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 5 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, personal foul (Blake Richmond) to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
97.6%
Dalyn Dawkins run for no gain to the UNLV 48Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+14
97.6%
Izzy Matthews run for 14 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
97.7%
Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+30
97.7%
Izzy Matthews run for 30 yds to the UNLV 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.8%
Nu'uvali Fa'apito run for no gain to the UNLV 1Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Nu'uvali Fa'apito run for 1 yd for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 0:451% → 3%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 6 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
99.5%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 11 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.5%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Kendal Keys, broken up by Braylin ScottSimilar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+26
99.5%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Lexington Thomas for 26 yds to the ColSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.4%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Devonte Boyd, broken up by Shun JohnsonSimilar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+32
96.8%
Lexington Thomas run for 32 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:152% → 2%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
97.6%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Keith Whitely, broken up by Kevin DavisSimilar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
97.6%
Kurt Palandech run for 5 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+30
98.6%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 30 yds to the ColSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
98.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
98.1%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Devonte Boyd, broken up by DeAndre ElliottSimilar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
98.2%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q4 0:42
4TH & 10
OPP 24
0
98.4%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Aaron CriswellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:21
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Kendal Keys for 20 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)
-15.9
TD · Q2 3:56
Kurt Palandech run for 14 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)
-10.6
TD · Q3 11:13
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 8 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)
+10.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com