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UNM

New Mexico 31 at Boise State 24

BOIS
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2015 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:25 · Sean Wale punt for 60 yds , Carlos Wiggins returns for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 171Pregame prior+11.0Home team on offense−26.2Score differential−14.2Garbage-time factor−12.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:50: Jeremy McNichols run for 25 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +14.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:48: Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 18 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +19.3 pts (now 75%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:44: Richard McQuarley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK) — UNM win probability +32.3 pts (now 62%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:09: Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK) — UNM win probability +24.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:16: Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 28 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +25.5 pts (now 29%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 9UNM made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00UNM 4th & 28 at UNM 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:35UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 31, tied
    Close callPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:43BOIS 4th & 5 at UNM 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    93.5%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:51BOIS 4th & 10 at UNM 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    89.0%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:57BOIS 4th & 1 at UNM 3, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.5%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    85.6%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    83.3%−3.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:02UNM 4th & 6 at UNM 5, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:02BOIS 4th & 4 at UNM 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    80.2%−0.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    79.7%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:21UNM 4th & 3 at BOIS 15, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.4%−0.5
    83% to make
    Punt
    26.9%−8.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:50UNM 4th & 10 at UNM 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−2.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:19BOIS 4th & 3 at BOIS 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    68.1%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:19BOIS 4th & 10 at UNM 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    65.1%−2.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:27BOIS 4th & 15 at UNM 36, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.8 ptsWent for it · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.0%−1.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    17.7%
    42% to make
    Punt
    16.2%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:23UNM 4th & 11 at UNM 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−2.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:25BOIS 4th & 5 at BOIS 27, down 14
    Close callPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:41UNM 4th & 5 at UNM 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−1.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:02BOIS 4th & 1 at UNM 15, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.0%−0.6
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    10.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−5.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:22UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.2
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:05UNM 4th & 16 at BOIS 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−1.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    85.0%−1.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 3:52UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:28UNM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:50BOIS Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:48BOIS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:44UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:09UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.9%−0.5
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:16BOIS Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.9%−2.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -18 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
95.8%
Teriyon Gipson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-6
95.8%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 6 yards to the NMex 17Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 17
-5
95.8%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (Reno Henderson) to the NMex 12Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 23
OWN 12
-5
95.8%
Lamar Jordan sacked by Tyler Horn and Armand Nance for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 7Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 28
OWN 7
0
95.8%
Zack Rogers punt for 50 yds, downed at the BoiSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2INT
4 plays · 48 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+42
95.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 42 yds to the NMex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
95.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 6 yds to the NMex 9Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 4
OPP 9
0
95.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Shane Williams-RhodesSimilar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+7
95.4%
Brett Rypien pass intercepted Ryan Langford return for 7 yds to the NMex 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
95.1%
Teriyon Gipson run for no gain to the NMex 10Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+12
95.1%
Jhurell Pressley run for 12 yds to the NMex 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
95.1%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 16 Lamar Jordan fumbled, recovered by NMex Teriyon GipsonSimilar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 16
OWN 16
+11
95.1%
Daryl Chestnut run for 11 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+4
95.1%
Lamar Jordan run for 4 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q1 11:35
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+52
95.2%
Zack Rogers punt for 38 yds BOISE ST Penalty, illegal block (14 Yards) to the BoiSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4MISSED FG
12 plays · 78 yds · 3:3994% → 94%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
94.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
94.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+9
94.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 9 yds to the BoiSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
94.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 11 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
94.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+13
94.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 13 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
94.6%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+30
94.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 22 yds to the NMex 16 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, face mask (8 yards) (Kenny Maxwell) to the NMex 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
94.6%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 11Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+6
94.6%
Jeremy McNichols run for 6 yds to the NMex 5Similar
Q1 8:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
94.5%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Jeremy McNicholsSimilar
Q1 4:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
93.5%
Tyler Rausa 22 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:517% → 8%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
93.4%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Matt Quarells for 6 yds to the NMex 26Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+74
91.8%
Jhurell Pressley run for 74 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 4:0192% → 91%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+33
92.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 33 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
92.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the NMex 44Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+11
92.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 11 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
92.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+5
92.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 5 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+9
92.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 9 yds to the NMex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
92.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for no gain to the NMex 15Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
92.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for no gain to the NMex 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
90.5%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+32
91.2%
Tyler Rausa 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:239% → 14%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.0%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Marquis Bundy for 5 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+40
90.9%
Jhurell Pressley run for 40 yds to the BoiSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
90.4%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 3 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+8
90.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
85.9%
Lamar Jordan run for 19 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8FUMBLE
15 plays · 74 yds · 1:3187% → 87%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
86.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
86.9%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+31
86.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 31 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
87.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 41Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 11
OPP 41
0
87.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz Anderson, broken up by Nias MartinSimilar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+11
86.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 11 yds to the NMex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
87.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+13
87.1%
RYPIEN, Brett pass incomplete to ANDERSON, Chaz, PENALTY NM personal foul (HUGHES, Garrett) 13 yards to the NM12, 1ST DOWN BSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
87.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the NMex 8Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+3
87.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the NMex 5Similar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+2
86.6%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the NMex 3Similar
Q2 10:57
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+1
86.3%
Brett Rypien run for 1 yd to the NMex 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
87.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 1 Jeremy McNichols fumbled, recovered by NMex Ryan LangfordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
83.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd to the NMex 2Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+2
83.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMex 4Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+1
83.9%
Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 5Similar
Q2 8:02
4TH & 6
OWN 5
+2
84.1%
Zack Rogers punt for 45 yds , Shane Williams-Rhodes returns for 2 yds to the NMex 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-8
81.3%
Brett Rypien sacked by Cody Baker for a loss of 8 yards to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 18
OWN 44
-1
80.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 19
OWN 43
+18
79.8%
RYPIEN, Brett pass complete to WILLIAMS-RHODES for 3 yards to the BSU46 (CROSBY, Lee), PENALTY NM roughing passer (BYRD, Markel) 18 yards to the NM39, 1ST DOWN BSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
81.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Terrell Johnson for 3 yds to the NMex 36Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+3
81.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
81.3%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Terrell Johnson, broken up by Maurice DanielsSimilar
Q2 6:02
4TH & 4
OPP 33
0
80.5%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Terrell JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11INT
7 plays · 53 yds · 2:4523% → 31%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+46
77.0%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Marquis Bundy for 46 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
76.1%
Austin Apodaca run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+8
76.1%
Austin Apodaca run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
76.1%
Austin Apodaca run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 9Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 8
OPP 9
-5
76.1%
Jhurell Pressley run for a loss of 5 yards to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 13
OPP 14
0
69.5%
Austin Apodaca pass intercepted Ben Weaver return for no gain to the BoiSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12END OF HALF
10 plays · 45 yds · 0:4172% → 73%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
72.1%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Terrell JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+12
72.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 12 yds to the BoiSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
72.6%
Brett Rypien run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
72.6%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+14
71.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 14 yds to the BoiSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
72.3%
Brett Rypien sacked by Donnie White for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+21
70.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 21 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
72.5%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete, broken up by Maurice DanielsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
70.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
70.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 9 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
70.6%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
70.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 4 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+25
70.4%
Brett Rypien pass intercepted Markel Byrd return for 25 yds to the BoiSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5834% → 45%
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
65.8%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Carlos Wiggins for 2 yds to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+4
65.8%
Jhurell Pressley run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+1
66.1%
Jhurell Pressley run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q3 11:21
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+33
55.2%
Zack Rogers 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3157% → 73%
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
56.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 7 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Markel Byrd) to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
59.4%
Jack Fields run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+3
59.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 3 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+23
59.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 23 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
73.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 25 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0033% → 31%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
66.8%
David Anaya run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 22Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+3
67.6%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 3 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
68.1%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Marquis BundySimilar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+1
69.1%
Zack Rogers punt for 39 yds , Akilian Butler returns for 1 yd to the BoiSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
67.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz Anderson, broken up by Nik D'AvanzoSimilar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-1
66.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+8
65.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 8 yds to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q3 8:19
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+10
66.7%
Leighton Vander Esch run for 10 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
69.9%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas Sperbeck, broken up by Isaiah BrownSimilar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
69.5%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Jake HardeeSimilar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
67.5%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:19
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
65.7%
Sean Wale punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18FUMBLE
6 plays · 56 yds · 0:0039% → 43%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
61.1%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (Reno Henderson) to the NMex 15Similar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 15
OWN 15
-5
61.3%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (Reno Henderson) to the NMex 10Similar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 20
OWN 10
0
61.3%
Austin Apodaca run for no gain to the NMex 10Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+57
61.6%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Teriyon Gipson for 42 yds to the BOISEST 48 for a 1ST down BOISE ST Penalty, personal foul (Armand Nance) to the BoiSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
57.1%
Daryl Chestnut run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+2
56.9%
Austin Apodaca run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 24 Austin Apodaca fumbled, forced by Darian Thompson, recovered by BoiSt Tyler HornSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19TD
15 plays · 76 yds · 5:0260% → 75%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
60.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 19 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
62.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 9 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+2
64.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
64.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 7 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+4
64.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 4 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
66.2%
Kelsey Young run for 2 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+6
66.2%
Kelsey Young run for 6 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+3
64.5%
Kelsey Young run for 3 yds to the NMex 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
66.3%
YOUNG, Kelsey rush over right end for 4 yards to the NM20 (MARTIN, Nias), PENALTY NM offside defense (DANIELS, Mauric) 5 yards to the NM19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 5
OPP 19
+1
66.3%
Kelsey Young run for 1 yd to the NMex 18Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+4
66.3%
Kelsey Young run for 4 yds to the NMex 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-4
66.3%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 0
0
48.3%
PENALTY BSU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY NM unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 18
0
55.5%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Terrell JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 14
OPP 18
+18
74.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 18 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:0430% → 62%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
69.9%
JaJuan Lawson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 23Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-5
70.0%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (Dillon Romine) to the NMex 18Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+81
70.3%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 81 yds to the BoiSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.0%
Richard McQuarley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 21INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0048% → 47%
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
48.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
49.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q4 13:44
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
46.5%
Brett Rypien pass intercepted Cranston Jones return for no gain to the BoiSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22TD
4 plays · 30 yds · 0:5463% → 88%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
36.9%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (Reno Henderson) to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+30
36.8%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Daryl Chestnut for 30 yds to the BoiSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
36.7%
Richard McQuarley run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 4Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
12.5%
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 29 yds · 1:4224% → 18%
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
23.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 13 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
25.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 10 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
26.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 11 yds to the NMex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
28.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Holden HuffSimilar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-5
27.6%
Brett Rypien run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 36 Brett Rypien fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Brett RypienSimilar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 15
OPP 36
0
24.9%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to A.J. Richardson, broken up by Markel ByrdSimilar
Q4 10:27
4TH & 15
OPP 36
0
18.1%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
7.9%
Austin Apodaca run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 35Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
8.2%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Carlos WigginsSimilar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
8.4%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Teriyon GipsonSimilar
Q4 10:23
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
8.6%
Zack Rogers punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Akilian Butler at the BoiSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
14.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 5 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
14.7%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas Sperbeck, broken up by Maurice DanielsSimilar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
14.5%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz Anderson, broken up by Markel ByrdSimilar
Q4 9:25
4TH & 5
OWN 27
-3
13.7%
Sean Wale punt for 60 yds , Carlos Wiggins returns for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
6.8%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (Aaron Jenkins) to the NMex 5Similar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+5
7.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for 5 yds to the NMex 10Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 10
-5
6.8%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (Dillon Romine) to the NMex 5Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 15
OWN 5
0
7.1%
Austin Apodaca run for no gain to the NMex 5Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 15
OWN 5
+10
7.5%
Teriyon Gipson run for 10 yds to the NMex 15Similar
Q4 8:41
4TH & 5
OWN 15
0
7.2%
Zack Rogers punt for 41 yds, downed at the BoiSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 27DOWNS
10 plays · 41 yds · 0:009% → 10%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
8.6%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+22
8.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 22 yds to the NMex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
10.0%
Brett Rypien sacked by Dakota Cox and Ryan Langford for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 36Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+8
8.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 8 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 4
OPP 28
0
10.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Sean ModsterSimilar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+4
9.1%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, offside defense (Markel Byrd) to the NMex 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
10.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
10.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+9
9.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 9 yds to the NMex 15Similar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 1
OPP 15
0
9.8%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to A.J. RichardsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:4997% → 98%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
3.5%
Jhurell Pressley run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 14Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 11
OWN 14
0
3.5%
Teriyon Gipson run for no gain to the NMex 14Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 11
OWN 14
+8
2.5%
Jhurell Pressley run for 8 yds to the NMex 22Similar
Q4 3:22
4TH & 3
OWN 22
+5
2.2%
Zack Rogers punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 41 , Akilian Butler returns for 5 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 29TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 0:374% → 29%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
3.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 13 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
3.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 11 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
4.3%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-5
4.3%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (Archie Lewis) to the NMex 40Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+12
3.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 12 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+28
29.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 28 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 30PUNT
8 plays · -6 yds · 0:1191% → 88%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
9.3%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-1
9.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 8
OPP 38
-3
9.0%
Austin Apodaca run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 41 Austin Apodaca fumbled, recovered by NMex Austin ApodacaSimilar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 11
OPP 41
-5
11.6%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 16
OPP 46
+3
12.2%
Zack Rogers punt for 39 yds , Akilian Butler returns for 3 yds to the BoiSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 31END OF GAME
8 plays · 86 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+18
11.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 18 yds to the BoiSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-6
12.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 6 yards to the BoiSt 22Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 16
OWN 22
0
11.3%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Jeremy McNicholsSimilar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 16
OWN 22
-5
11.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for a loss of 5 yards to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 21
OWN 17
+17
10.6%
RYPIEN, Brett pass incomplete to ANDERSON, Chaz (MARTIN, Nias), PENALTY NM pass interference (MARTIN, Nias) 17 yards to the BSU34, 1ST DOWN BSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
12.2%
Brett Rypien run for a loss of 5 yards to the BoiSt 44 Brett Rypien fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Brett Rypien for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Garrett Hughes) to the BoiSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
13.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 13 yds to the BoiSt 40 lat. to Chaz Anderson for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 40 lat. to Darian Thompson for a loss of 6 yards Darian Thompson fumbled,Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 14
OWN 40
+40
11.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 16 yds to the NMex 4 for a 1ST down to Austin Cottrell for 40 yds to the NMex 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:44
Richard McQuarley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)
-32.3
TD · Q4 2:16
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 28 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)
+25.5
TD · Q4 12:09
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)
-24.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com