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USU

Utah State 13 at New Mexico 14

UNM
2015 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2015 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:47 · Zack Rogers pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialBlowout margin
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Pregame prior−18.7Home team on offense+4.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Garbage-time factor+0.7Score differential+0.4Blowout margin−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:20: Richard McQuarley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK) — UNM win probability +19.7 pts (now 61%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:55: Kent Myers pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 24 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK) — USU win probability +16.3 pts (now 55%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:55: Devante Mays run for no gain to the NMex 31 — USU win probability +8.5 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:32: Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 23 — UNM win probability +12.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:59: TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 19 — UNM win probability +14.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 6 of 10USU made the numbers' call on 5 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00USU 4th & 1 at UNM 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.7%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    81.5%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    81.0%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:33UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:10USU 4th & 4 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:26UNM 4th & 2 at UNM 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00USU 4th & 2 at UNM 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    74.2%−0.4
    58% to make
    Punt
    72.7%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:55UNM 4th & 22 at UNM 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:53USU 4th & 8 at UNM 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    73.0%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:10USU 4th & 2 at UNM 7, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.6%−1.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    53.6%−7.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:47UNM 4th & 11 at USU 36, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.7%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    39.0%
    42% to make
    Punt
    38.2%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:42USU 4th & 3 at USU 43, down 4
    Close callPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:56UNM 4th & 2 at UNM 38, up 4
    Close callPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:20USU 4th & 10 at USU 41, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−1.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:31UNM 4th & 7 at UNM 26, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−1.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:49UNM 4th & 14 at UNM 38, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−3.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:22USU 4th & 1 at USU 24, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%−1.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:47USU 4th & 3 at UNM 24, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.4%−1.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−14.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:39UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 32, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−1.0
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:32UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 24, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−4.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:47USU 4th & 26 at USU 6, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−5.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:04UNM 4th & 12 at UNM 29, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%−7.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:59USU 4th & 4 at UNM 24, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−18.8
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−31.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2USU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 8:59UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 13:20UNM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:55USU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1DOWNS
8 plays · 73 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
19.2%
Devante Mays run for 1 yd to the UthSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
19.2%
Kent Myers run for no gain to the UthSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+63
19.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 63 yds to the NMex 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
19.2%
Devante Mays run for 8 yds to the NMex 3Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+1
19.2%
Devante Mays run for 1 yd to the NMex 2Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 2
0
19.2%
Devante Mays run for no gain to the NMex 2Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 2
0
19.2%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
21.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the NMex 6Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+5
20.9%
Teriyon Gipson run for 5 yds to the NMex 11Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+6
20.8%
Richard McQuarley run for 6 yds to the NMex 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
21.0%
Lamar Jordan run for 6 yds to the NMex 23Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+2
21.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+1
20.9%
Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 26Similar
Q1 11:33
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
20.8%
Zack Rogers punt for 41 yds, downed at the UthSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
22.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 5 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+6
22.2%
Damion Hobbs run for 6 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
22.2%
Damion Hobbs run for 7 yds to the NMex 49Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+1
22.0%
Devante Mays run for 1 yd to the NMex 48Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 2
OPP 48
-2
22.1%
Devante Mays run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:10
4TH & 4
50
0
22.4%
Aaron Dalton punt for 40 yds, downed at the NMex 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
24.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for 4 yds to the NMex 14Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+14
24.0%
Lamar Jordan run for 14 yds to the NMex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
24.1%
Teriyon Gipson run for 6 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+1
24.5%
Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd to the NMex 35Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+1
24.1%
Romell Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 36Similar
Q1 5:26
4TH & 2
OWN 36
+5
23.8%
Zack Rogers punt for 30 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for 5 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5DOWNS
5 plays · 32 yds · 2:1575% → 74%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+24
24.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 24 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
24.3%
Kent Myers run for 1 yd to the NMex 36Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+3
24.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 3 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+4
24.5%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 4 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 29
0
26.0%
Kent Myers run for no gain to the NMex 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:0028% → 26%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
27.5%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 3 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-5
27.6%
Austin Apodaca run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 27Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 12
OWN 27
-10
26.7%
Austin Apodaca sacked by David Moala for a loss of 10 yards to the NMex 17 Austin Apodaca fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 22
OWN 17
+24
26.4%
Zack Rogers punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 46 NEW MEXICO Penalty, IP (-5 Yards) to the NMex 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
26.2%
Devante Mays run for 3 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+4
26.2%
Devante Mays run for 4 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 3
OPP 34
-5
26.2%
Justen Hervey run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 39Similar
Q2 12:53
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
27.4%
Aaron Dalton punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 8TD
3 plays · 96 yds · 1:5830% → 38%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+11
29.6%
Teriyon Gipson run for 11 yds to the NMex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
29.7%
Jhurell Pressley run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 14Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+86
38.0%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 86 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:4064% → 66%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
35.7%
Devante Mays run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 45Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 15
OPP 45
0
36.9%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter Sharp, broken up by Jake RothschillerSimilar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 15
OPP 0
+15
36.7%
PENALTY NM roughing passer (CARSON, Kimmie) 15 yards to the NM30, 1ST DOWN US, PENALTY NM unsportsmanlike conduct (WHITE, Donnie) 15 yards to the NM15, 1ST DOWN US, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
34.6%
Chuckie Keeton run for 1 yd to the NMex 14Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+4
34.6%
Devante Mays run for 4 yds to the NMex 10Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+3
35.7%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 3 yds to the NMex 7Similar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+25
34.2%
Brock Warren 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10DOWNS
13 plays · 39 yds · 4:2336% → 41%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
36.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 17 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
37.8%
Daryl Chestnut run for 1 yd to the NMex 43Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+11
37.9%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Teriyon Gipson for 11 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
38.7%
Daryl Chestnut run for 3 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+8
38.6%
Jhurell Pressley run for 8 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
39.2%
Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 9
OPP 34
-1
42.4%
Lamar Jordan sacked by Kyler Fackrell for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 35Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 10
OPP 35
-5
41.1%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, illegal participation (Delane Hart-Johnson) to the UthSt 40Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 15
OPP 40
+4
39.7%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Teriyon Gipson for 4 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q2 1:47
4TH & 11
OPP 36
0
40.5%
Zack Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
38.1%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
38.6%
Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 7 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
36.5%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Wyatt HoustonSimilar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 3
OWN 43
+2
38.4%
Aaron Dalton punt for 49 yds , Carlos Wiggins returns for 2 yds to the NMex 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
41.3%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMex 12Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+6
41.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for 6 yds to the NMex 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
42.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 8 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 2
OWN 38
0
44.3%
Teriyon Gipson run for no gain to the NMex 38Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 2
OWN 38
0
43.1%
David Anaya pass incomplete to Richard McQuarleySimilar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 2
OWN 38
+4
41.3%
Zack Rogers punt for 52 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for 4 yds to the UthSt 3 Andrew Rodriguez fumbled, forced by David Anaya, recovered by NMex Reece WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q3 13:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
61.0%
Richard McQuarley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0042% → 40%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
58.1%
Devante Mays run for 5 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
57.4%
Tyler Fox run for 11 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
56.6%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter SharpSimilar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
57.1%
Kent Myers run for no gain to the UthSt 41Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
58.0%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Braelon RobertsSimilar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+5
59.6%
Aaron Dalton punt for 49 yds , Carlos Wiggins returns for 5 yds to the NMex 46 NEW MEXICO Penalty, illegal block (Romell Jordan) to the NMex 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0062% → 60%
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
61.5%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the NMex 11Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+12
61.5%
Lamar Jordan run for 12 yds to the NMex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
62.0%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to David AnayaSimilar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+4
61.8%
Jhurell Pressley run for 4 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 6
OWN 27
-1
60.9%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 26Similar
Q3 11:31
4TH & 7
OWN 26
+1
59.8%
Zack Rogers punt for 36 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for 1 yd to the UthSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 2:5937% → 55%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
62.7%
Devante Mays run for 3 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+24
62.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 24 yds to the NMex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
59.6%
Kent Myers run for no gain to the NMex 34Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+4
59.7%
Devante Mays run for 4 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+6
61.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Brandon Swindall for 6 yds to the NMex 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
45.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 24 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0056% → 51%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
56.2%
Lamar Jordan run for 2 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
56.2%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Delane Hart-Johnson, broken up by David MoalaSimilar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 8
OWN 44
-6
54.0%
Austin Apodaca sacked by Kyler Fackrell for a loss of 6 yards to the NMex 38Similar
Q3 5:49
4TH & 14
OWN 38
0
51.3%
Zack Rogers punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Andrew Rodriguez at the UthSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0047% → 45%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
52.7%
Kent Myers run for 2 yds to the UthSt 17Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+7
52.8%
Devante Mays run for 7 yds to the UthSt 24Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 1
OWN 24
0
52.4%
Devante Mays run for no gain to the UthSt 24Similar
Q3 4:22
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
54.8%
Aaron Dalton punt for 43 yds, downed at the NMex 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20INT
9 plays · 13 yds · 2:0659% → 59%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
58.5%
Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd to the NMex 34Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+6
58.3%
Jhurell Pressley run for 6 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+3
59.4%
Austin Apodaca run for 3 yds to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
60.6%
Austin Apodaca pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+11
59.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for 11 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
62.1%
Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd to the UthSt 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+1
64.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd to the UthSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 44
-10
62.8%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offensive holding (Eden Mahina) to the NMex 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 46
+44
58.9%
Austin Apodaca pass intercepted Devin Centers return for 44 yds to the NMex 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0850% → 50%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
50.4%
Devante Mays run for no gain to the NMex 31Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-5
50.5%
Devante Mays run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 36Similar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 15
OPP 36
+12
56.7%
Kent Myers pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 12 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q4 11:47
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+41
50.4%
Brock Warren 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0055% → 53%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
54.9%
JORDAN, Lamar at QB for New Mexico, PENALTY NM holding (MAHINA, Eden) 10 yards to the NM15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
54.5%
Lamar Jordan run for no gain to the NMex 15Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+6
54.1%
Teriyon Gipson run for 6 yds to the NMex 21Similar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+11
52.3%
Lamar Jordan run for 11 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q4 11:39
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+18
52.8%
Zack Rogers punt for 42 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for 18 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23FUMBLE
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:0050% → 53%
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
50.5%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Andrew Rodriguez, broken up by Cranston JonesSimilar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+3
51.7%
Kent Myers run for 3 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q4 8:59
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+14
51.5%
Kent Myers pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 14 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
49.2%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+18
49.3%
Damion Hobbs run for 18 yds to the NMex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-4
46.9%
Damion Hobbs run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 22 Damion Hobbs fumbled, recovered by NMex Daniel HenrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0059% → 56%
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
59.1%
Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 23Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+1
58.7%
Jhurell Pressley run for 1 yd to the NMex 24Similar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
56.7%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Delane Hart-JohnsonSimilar
Q4 6:32
4TH & 8
OWN 24
+53
55.5%
Zack Rogers punt for 53 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · -16 yds · 0:0043% → 37%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
57.2%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Brandon SwindallSimilar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-5
57.7%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (Jake Simonich) to the UthSt 17Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 15
OWN 17
-3
58.2%
MYERS, Kent pass complete to HUNT, LaJuan for 61 yards to the NM22 (HENRY, Daniel), PENALTY US holding (SIMONICH, Jake) 3 yards to the US14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 18
OWN 14
0
58.2%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Wyatt HoustonSimilar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 18
OWN 14
-8
60.2%
Kent Myers sacked by Taylor Timmons for a loss of 8 yards to the UthSt 6Similar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 26
OWN 6
0
62.6%
Aaron Dalton punt for 63 yds, downed at the NMex 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:1066% → 65%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
66.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 29Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 12
OWN 29
0
67.0%
Lamar Jordan run for no gain to the NMex 29Similar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 12
OWN 29
0
66.9%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Delane Hart-JohnsonSimilar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 12
OWN 29
0
65.1%
Zack Rogers punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Andrew Rodriguez at the UthSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 27MISSED FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 1:5540% → 39%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
59.8%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Wyatt HoustonSimilar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
60.7%
Kent Myers run for 5 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+14
58.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 14 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
54.5%
Jalen Davis run for 3 yds to the NMex 43Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+13
54.6%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 13 yds to the NMex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
52.6%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter SharpSimilar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+4
52.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 4 yds to the NMex 26Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+2
56.7%
Kent Myers run for 2 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q4 0:59
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+41
60.9%
Brock Warren 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 28END OF GAME
4 plays · -15 yds · 0:0676% → 76%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
75.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 19Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 15
OWN 19
-5
77.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 14Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 20
OWN 14
-5
75.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+24.4
TD · Q3 13:20
Richard McQuarley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)
+19.7
TD · Q3 5:55
Kent Myers pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 24 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)
-16.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com