Try the model
CSU

Colorado State 26 at Wyoming 7

WYO
2015 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2015 · War Memorial Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:25 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:51: Izzy Matthews run for 9 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK) — CSU win probability +4.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:14: Nick Stevens run for 1 yd for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan PAT BLOCKED) — CSU win probability +4.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:57: Dalyn Dawkins run for 5 yds to the ColSt 40 — CSU win probability +3.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 12:51: Dalyn Dawkins run for 6 yds to the ColSt 31 — CSU win probability +4.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:25: Brian Hill run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK) — WYO win probability +2.6 pts (now 3%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 4 of 7CSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00CSU 4th & 1 at CSU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    76.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:54CSU 4th & 1 at WYO 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    75.1%−0.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    74.2%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:40CSU 4th & 2 at WYO 15, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.7%−0.2
    83% to make
    Punt
    73.2%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:40WYO 4th & 16 at WYO 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 41, down 17
    Close callPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:14WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 28, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:12CSU 4th & 10 at CSU 28, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:05WYO 4th & 5 at CSU 28, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.8%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    13.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−4.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 45, down 23
    Close callPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:51CSU 4th & 8 at CSU 38, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:26WYO 4th & 24 at WYO 45, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−1.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:26CSU 4th & 6 at WYO 14, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:54CSU 4th & 23 at CSU 34, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:01CSU 4th & 21 at CSU 36, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:35WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 37, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:10CSU 4th & 1 at CSU 27, up 26
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 0 of 1CSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:34CSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:51CSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:14CSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:25WYO Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1TD
14 plays · 72 yds · 5:2677% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
23.2%
Dalyn Dawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+1
23.2%
Deionte Gaines run for 1 yd to the ColSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+9
23.2%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Kivon Cartwright for 9 yds to the ColSt 37Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+3
23.2%
Nick Stevens run for 3 yds to the ColSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
23.2%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 15 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
23.2%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 6 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+6
23.2%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 6 yds to the Wyom 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
23.2%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+22
23.2%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Kivon Cartwright for 22 yds to the Wyom 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
23.2%
Izzy Matthews run for no gain to the Wyom 8Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
23.2%
Craig Leonard run for 6 yds to the Wyom 2Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
24.1%
Izzy Matthews run for 2 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
24.5%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
24.7%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 33 Brian Hill fumbled, forced by Deonte Clyburn, recovered by ColSt Trent MatthewsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3FG
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:1476% → 75%
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
23.7%
Deionte Gaines run for 3 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-1
23.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Deionte Gaines for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 31Similar
Q1 8:54
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+1
24.2%
Nick Stevens run for 1 yd to the Wyom 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+7
23.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Joe Hansley for 7 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
23.7%
Izzy Matthews run for 6 yds to the Wyom 17Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+2
23.9%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 2
OPP 15
0
24.0%
Nick Stevens pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:40
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+33
24.7%
Wyatt Bryan 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
25.0%
Nick Smith pass complete to Brian Hill for 6 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 4
OWN 23
-7
25.1%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 7 yards to the Wyom 16Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 11
OWN 16
-5
24.7%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 11Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 16
OWN 11
0
24.7%
Nick Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:40
4TH & 16
OWN 11
+8
24.6%
Ethan Wood punt for 43 yds , Joe Hansley returns for 8 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:5576% → 80%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
24.4%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 12 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+18
24.4%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Kivon Cartwright for 18 yds to the Wyom 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
24.3%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Kivon Cartwright for 7 yds to the Wyom 9Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+9
19.6%
Izzy Matthews run for 9 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:5120% → 20%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
20.0%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 18Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+14
20.0%
Nico Evans run for 14 yds to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
20.1%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
19.7%
Nick Smith pass incomplete WYOMING Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+7
19.6%
Nick Smith pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 7 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 41
-3
20.2%
Ethan Wood punt for 44 yds , Joe Hansley returns for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 7TD
14 plays · 88 yds · 6:0381% → 87%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
18.6%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 8 yds to the ColSt 20Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 2
OWN 20
0
18.5%
Dalyn Dawkins run for no gain to the ColSt 20Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+8
18.7%
Nick Stevens run for 8 yds to the ColSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
18.5%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 8 yds to the ColSt 36Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+18
18.4%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 18 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
18.0%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 11 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
18.0%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 9 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+9
18.0%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Xavier Williams for 9 yds to the Wyom 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
18.0%
Izzy Matthews run for 8 yds to the Wyom 9Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+6
18.0%
Izzy Matthews run for 6 yds to the Wyom 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
17.9%
MATTHEWS, Izzy rush for no gain to the WY3 (YARBROUGH, E.;WACHA, Lucas), PENALTY CS illegal motion 5 yards to the WY8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
18.0%
Craig Leonard run for 5 yds to the Wyom 3Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
18.0%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 1 yd to the Wyom 2 for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, personal foul (1 Yards) to the Wyom 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
13.5%
Nick Stevens run for 1 yd for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
14.5%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
14.6%
Nico Evans run for no gain to the Wyom 28Similar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
14.3%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q2 8:14
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+59
14.3%
Ethan Wood punt for 49 yds, downed at the WYOMING 23 COLORADO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the ColSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:2386% → 86%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
13.9%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 15 yds to the ColSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
13.6%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 7 yds to the ColSt 35Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 3
OWN 35
-10
13.7%
DAWKINS, Dalyn rush for no gain to the CS35 (MAY, D.J.), PENALTY CS holding 10 yards to the CS25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:12
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
13.7%
Hayden Hunt punt for 67 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 5Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 13
OWN 25
-12
13.3%
GAINES, Deionte rush for 75 yards to the WY0, clock 05:12, PENALTY CS IB 12 yards to the CS13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 25
OWN 13
+8
13.5%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 8 yds to the ColSt 21Similar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 17
OWN 21
+7
13.7%
Deionte Gaines run for 7 yds to the ColSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
12.9%
Nick Smith run for 3 yds to the Wyom 8Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+9
12.9%
Brian Hill run for 9 yds to the Wyom 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
13.2%
Nick Smith sacked by Kiel Robinson for 0 yards to the Wyom 17 Nick Smith fumbled, recovered by ColSt Terry Jackson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 11INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
11.5%
Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the Wyom 14Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
11.5%
Nick Stevens pass intercepted, touchback. Andrew Wingard return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12DOWNS
11 plays · 45 yds · 0:4612% → 13%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
12.4%
Nick Smith pass complete to Brian Hill for 19 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
13.1%
SMITH, Nick pass incomplete to HOLLISTER, J., PENALTY CS pass interference 15 yards to the CS46, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
13.8%
Nick Smith pass complete to James Price for 6 yds to the ColSt 40Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 4
OPP 40
-5
13.6%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ColSt 45Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+12
13.3%
Nick Smith pass complete to James Price for 12 yds to the ColSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
14.4%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to James PriceSimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
14.3%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the ColSt 28Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 5
OPP 28
0
13.3%
Nick Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 5
OPP 28
-7
12.9%
Nick Smith sacked by Kiel Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the ColSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
9.3%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 5 yds to the ColSt 40Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
9.0%
Dalyn Dawkins run for no gain to the ColSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0011% → 12%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
11.4%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
11.8%
Nick Smith pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 8 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
12.1%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
12.5%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
12.3%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
12.3%
Ethan Wood punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ColSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
7.8%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 6 yds to the ColSt 31Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
7.8%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 5 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-9
7.7%
DAWKINS, Dalyn rush for 9 yards to the CS45 (WINGARD, Andrew), PENALTY CS holding 9 yards to the CS27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:51
1ST & 19
OWN 27
-1
7.8%
Dalyn Dawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 26Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 20
OWN 26
+3
7.9%
Craig Leonard run for 3 yds to the ColSt 29 COLORADO ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 17
OWN 29
+9
8.2%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 9 yds to the ColSt 38Similar
Q3 12:51
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
8.1%
Hayden Hunt punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Andrew Wingard at the Wyom 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16PUNT
14 plays · 26 yds · 5:106% → 4%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
5.7%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 21Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+6
5.6%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+3
5.8%
Nick Smith run for 3 yds to the Wyom 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
5.8%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+12
5.8%
Brian Hill run for 12 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
6.1%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to Jacob Hollister, broken up by Tyree SimmonsSimilar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+15
6.0%
Kellen Overstreet run for 15 yds to the ColSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
6.4%
HILL, Brian rush for 3 yards to the CS38 (JACKSON, Terry;MATTHEWS, Trent), PENALTY WY illegal formation 5 yards to the CS46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+4
6.1%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the ColSt 42Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
6.3%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 11
OPP 42
-8
6.2%
Nick Smith sacked by Deonte Clyburn and SteveO Michel for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:26
4TH & 19
50
-5
4.1%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (Andrew Wingard) to the Wyom 45Similar
Q3 4:26
4TH & 24
OWN 45
+17
4.0%
Ethan Wood punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WYOMING 23 WYOMING Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the ColSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 17FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:5397% → 99%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
2.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 11 yds to the ColSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+15
2.6%
STEVENS, Nick pass incomplete to HIGGINS, Rashar (PRIESTER,Robert), PENALTY WY pass interference 5 yards to the WY46, 1ST DOWN CS, NO PLAY, PENALTY WY personal foul 15 yards to the WY31, 1ST DOWN CS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
2.6%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+5
2.6%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 5 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+6
2.6%
Izzy Matthews run for 6 yds to the Wyom 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
2.6%
Izzy Matthews run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 20Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 12
OPP 20
0
2.7%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Rashard HigginsSimilar
Q3 1:08
3RD & 12
OPP 20
+6
1.8%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 6 yds to the Wyom 14Similar
Q3 0:26
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+31
1.0%
Wyatt Bryan 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18INT
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:261% → 1%
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
0.7%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
0.6%
Nick Smith pass intercepted Trent Matthews return for no gain to the Wyom 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -28 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 14:54
4TH & 23
OWN 34
0
0.9%
Hayden Hunt punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Andrew Wingard at the Wyom 25Similar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-15
0.7%
COLORADO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the ColSt 47Similar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 25
OWN 47
+2
0.7%
Izzy Matthews run for 2 yds to the ColSt 49Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 23
OWN 49
0
0.8%
Izzy Matthews run for no gain to the ColSt 49Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 23
OWN 49
-15
0.8%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Joe Hansley COLORADO ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the ColSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 28 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.7%
Nick Smith run for 4 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+16
0.7%
Kellen Overstreet run for 16 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
0.8%
Nick Smith run for 6 yds to the ColSt 47 Nick Smith fumbled, forced by Tyree Simmons, recovered by ColSt Trent MatthewsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
0.4%
Izzy Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 46Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 11
OWN 46
-5
0.5%
COLORADO ST Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the ColSt 41Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 16
OWN 41
0
0.5%
Izzy Matthews run for no gain to the ColSt 41Similar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 16
OWN 41
-5
0.5%
Nick Stevens sacked by Eddie Yarbrough for a loss of 5 yards to the ColSt 36Similar
Q4 12:01
4TH & 21
OWN 36
+16
0.5%
Hayden Hunt punt for 48 yds , Andrew Wingard returns for 16 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
0.3%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 31Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+6
0.3%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
0.3%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q4 9:35
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
0.3%
Ethan Wood punt for 52 yds , Joe Hansley returns for no gain to the ColSt 37 COLORADO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (5 Yards) to the ColSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+12
0.4%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 12 yds to the ColSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
0.3%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 1 yd to the ColSt 19Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+7
0.3%
Izzy Matthews run for 7 yds to the ColSt 26Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+1
0.3%
Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd to the ColSt 27Similar
Q4 8:10
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
0.3%
Hayden Hunt punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Andrew Wingard at the Wyom 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:000% → 3%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
0.2%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+22
0.2%
Nick Smith pass complete to Justin Berger for 22 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
0.2%
Nick Smith pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 6 yds to the ColSt 46Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+13
0.2%
Nick Smith pass complete to James Price for 13 yds to the ColSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
0.2%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the ColSt 31Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+7
0.2%
Nick Smith run for 7 yds to the ColSt 24Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+10
0.2%
Nick Smith run for 10 yds to the ColSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
0.2%
Nick Smith pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 10 yds to the ColSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
2.8%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
1.0%
Craig Leonard run for 2 yds to the ColSt 11Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+8
1.0%
Izzy Matthews run for 8 yds to the ColSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
1.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 18Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 11
OWN 18
-1
1.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:51
Izzy Matthews run for 9 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)
-4.8
TD · Q2 8:14
Nick Stevens run for 1 yd for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan PAT BLOCKED)
-4.5
KEY PLAY · Q3 12:51
Dalyn Dawkins run for 6 yds to the ColSt 31
-4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com