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BOIS

Boise State 55 at UNLV 27

UNLV
2015 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2015 · Sam Boyd Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFUMBLETDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:30 · Logan Yunker punt for 44 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 29Pregame prior−39.2Home team on offense−0.4Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:28: Eric Noone 0 Yd Fumble Return (Nicolai Bornand Kick) — UNLV win probability +3.8 pts (now 16%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 5:34: Nicolai Bornand 27 yd FG GOOD — UNLV win probability +4.8 pts (now 21%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:22: Shane Williams-Rhodes run for 9 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +9.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:12: Xzaviar Campbell run for 11 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK) — UNLV win probability +16.0 pts (now 27%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:48: Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 54 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +14.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 9BOIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00UNLV 4th & 8 at BOIS 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:30BOIS 4th & 8 at UNLV 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    87.1%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:30UNLV 4th & 11 at UNLV 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:48UNLV 4th & 3 at BOIS 3, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.0%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    11.6%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:13BOIS 4th & 2 at UNLV 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    85.0%−0.8
    27% to make
    Punt
    85.3%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:08UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:24BOIS 4th & 6 at BOIS 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:31UNLV 4th & 7 at BOIS 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:28BOIS 4th & 5 at UNLV 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−0.4
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    83.1%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:53BOIS 4th & 7 at BOIS 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:32UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 19, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:23BOIS 4th & 6 at UNLV 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    76.8%−5.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:34UNLV 4th & 10 at BOIS 10, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−1.0
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−6.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:29BOIS 4th & 8 at UNLV 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.9%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:31UNLV 4th & 3 at UNLV 10, down 7
    Close callPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%−0.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:42UNLV 4th & 5 at BOIS 5, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    7.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−4.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BOIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 3:51BOIS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:13BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:52BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:28UNLV Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:22BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:12UNLV Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:48BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−0.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:53BOIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:37BOIS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
9.5%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 11 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
9.5%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 5 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+10
9.5%
DECKER, Blake pass incomplete to BOYD, Devonte, PENALTY BSU holding (MOXEY, Jonathan) 10 yards to the BSU49, 1ST DOWN LV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
9.5%
Blake Decker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
9.5%
Blake Decker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+7
9.5%
Blake Decker pass complete to Aaron Criswell for 7 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 42
-5
9.5%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
9.5%
Logan Yunker punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2FG
12 plays · 72 yds · 3:3790% → 88%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
10.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 7 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+9
10.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 9 yds to the BoiSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
10.2%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+28
10.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 13 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, personal foul (Blake Richmond) to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
10.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 8 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 2
OPP 28
-4
10.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 32Similar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+9
10.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 9 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
10.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, personal foul (9 Yards) to the UNLV 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
10.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 11 TEAM fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Brett RypienSimilar
Q1 13:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+3
10.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the UNLV 8Similar
Q1 13:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
10.2%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q1 9:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
11.6%
Tyler Rausa 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
11.6%
Keith Whitely run for 3 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
11.6%
Keith Whitely run for 1 yd to the UNLV 29Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
11.6%
Blake Decker run for 7 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
11.7%
Blake Decker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
11.7%
Keith Whitely run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 35Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
11.5%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Aaron Criswell, broken up by Chanceller JamesSimilar
Q1 9:30
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
11.5%
Logan Yunker punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 3:2288% → 88%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+19
12.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 19 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
12.3%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+11
12.4%
Thomas Sperbeck run for 11 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
12.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 5 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+10
12.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 10 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+21
12.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 21 yds to the UNLV 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
12.1%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+9
12.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the UNLV 9 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, personal foul (Jeremiah Valoaga) to the UNLV 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
12.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for no gain to the UNLV 4Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
12.1%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Holden HuffSimilar
Q1 3:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
11.9%
Thomas Sperbeck pass complete to Brett Rypien for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5FG
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:0312% → 14%
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
12.4%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 20Similar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
12.4%
Blake Decker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+35
12.4%
Blake Decker pass complete to Aaron Criswell for 35 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+30
12.9%
Brandon Presley pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 30 yds to the BoiSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
13.1%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 8 yds to the BoiSt 7Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+5
13.1%
Blake Decker pass complete to Andrew Price for 3 yds to the BoiSt 4 for a 1ST down BOISE ST Penalty, personal foul (Kameron Miles) to the BoiSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
13.1%
Keith Whitely run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 1Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
13.1%
Xzaviar Campbell run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 3Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
12.9%
Blake Decker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
13.7%
Nicolai Bornand 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:3187% → 89%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
13.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
13.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 36 BOISE ST Penalty, illegal block (Chaz Anderson) to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
13.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz Anderson, broken up by Tim HoughSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
13.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 10 yds to the BoiSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
13.1%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Shane Williams-Rhodes, broken up by Sonny SanitoaSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+12
13.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 12 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
12.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 8 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 44
0
12.8%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
12.9%
Jeremy McNichols run for no gain to the UNLV 44Similar
Q2 13:13
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+44
10.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Hardee for 44 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0011% → 12%
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
11.3%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 14 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
11.5%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Keith WhitelySimilar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
11.4%
Blake Decker pass complete to Kendal Keys for 5 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
11.7%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Andrew Price, broken up by Chanceller JamesSimilar
Q2 13:08
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
11.5%
Logan Yunker punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8FUMBLE TD
1 play · -6 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
14.6%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 3 yards Jeremy McNichols fumbled, forced by Mike Hughes Jr., recovered by UNLV Fred Wilson , return for 1 yd, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 2:5586% → 90%
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
14.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 11 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
13.8%
Kelsey Young run for 15 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
13.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 7 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+2
13.6%
Kelsey Young run for 2 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q2 11:47
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+7
13.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 7 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+24
13.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Holden Huff for 24 yds to the UNLV 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
13.5%
Kelsey Young run for 4 yds to the UNLV 2Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
10.2%
Kelsey Young run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) UNLV Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10FUMBLE RETURN TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2411% → 16%
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
11.2%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 29 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+22
12.0%
Blake Decker pass complete to Aaron Criswell for 22 yds to the BoiSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
12.2%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Kendal KeysSimilar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+19
12.2%
Blake Decker pass complete to Andrew Price for 19 yds to the BoiSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
12.2%
DECKER, Blake pass incomplete to BOYD, Devonte, PENALTY BSU pass interference (MOXEY, Jonathan) 3 yards to the BSU2, 1ST DOWN LV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
12.2%
DECKER, Blake pass incomplete to BOYD, Devonte, PENALTY BSU holding (HORTON, Tyler) 1 yards to the BSU1, 1ST DOWN LV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
12.2%
Xzaviar Campbell run for no gain to the BoiSt 1Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 0
OWN 1
0
16.1%
Eric Noone 0 Yd Fumble Return (Nicolai Bornand Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
15.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Shane Williams-RhodesSimilar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
15.5%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+4
15.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to David Lucero for 4 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
16.1%
Sean Wale punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Keith Whitely at the UNLV 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
16.2%
Blake Decker run for 2 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+7
16.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 7 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q2 5:31
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+6
17.0%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 6 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
17.3%
Blake Decker pass complete to Aaron Criswell for 5 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 5
OPP 46
-3
17.7%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q2 5:31
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+1
16.9%
Blake Decker pass complete to Keith Whitely for 1 yd to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q2 5:31
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
16.0%
Logan Yunker punt for 45 yds, downed at the BoiSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13MISSED FG
9 plays · 64 yds · 1:4784% → 84%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+8
16.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 8 yds to the BoiSt 11Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 2
OWN 11
+40
15.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 40 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
14.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 7 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+4
14.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 4 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
14.7%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+5
14.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 5 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 5
OPP 33
0
14.9%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+50
15.8%
Tyler Rausa 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
18.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
16.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+4
15.9%
Brett Rypien run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+6
16.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Holden Huff for 6 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
15.3%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+5
16.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 5 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
15.6%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
16.5%
Sean Wale punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Keith Whitely at the UNLV 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
17.8%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Kendal KeysSimilar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+9
17.7%
Blake Decker pass complete to Jake Phillips for 9 yds to the UNLV 19Similar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 1
OWN 19
0
17.3%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q3 12:32
4TH & 1
OWN 19
+5
16.9%
Logan Yunker punt for 46 yds , Shane Williams-Rhodes returns for 5 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17FG
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:0484% → 84%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
16.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 14 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
15.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 8 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+7
15.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 7 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
15.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 4 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 6
OPP 27
0
15.3%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas Sperbeck, broken up by Tim HoughSimilar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
15.7%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to A.J. RichardsonSimilar
Q3 9:23
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+44
15.7%
Tyler Rausa 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:4915% → 21%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
15.0%
Blake Decker pass complete to Aaron Criswell for 19 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
16.0%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 10 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
16.8%
Blake Decker run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+18
16.8%
Keith Whitely run for 18 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
17.7%
Keith Whitely run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+5
17.7%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 5 yds to the BoiSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
17.7%
Blake Decker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
17.7%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 10Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
16.6%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q3 5:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
21.4%
Nicolai Bornand 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
18.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 9 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+1
17.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
18.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+15
17.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
50
-3
16.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+5
17.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 5 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
16.7%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Shane Williams-RhodesSimilar
Q3 5:29
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
18.0%
Sean Wale punt for 45 yds, downed at the UNLV 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
20.6%
Xzaviar Campbell run for no gain to the UNLV 3Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
20.6%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Jake Phillips, broken up by Tyler HornSimilar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 10
OWN 3
+7
19.5%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 7 yds to the UNLV 10Similar
Q3 2:31
4TH & 3
OWN 0
0
18.9%
YUNKER, Logan punt 43 yards to the BSU47, WILLIAMS-RHODES return to the LV35 (MYLES, Jay'Onn), PENALTY LV holding off-setting, PENALTY BSU illegal block off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:31
4TH & 3
OWN 10
0
19.2%
Logan Yunker punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Shane Williams-Rhodes at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 21TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 1:3183% → 94%
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
50
+28
16.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 28 yds to the UNLV 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
16.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 13 yds to the UNLV 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
16.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the UNLV 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
15.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 9Similar
Q4 14:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
6.4%
Shane Williams-Rhodes run for 9 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 22TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:109% → 27%
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
9.3%
Blake Decker pass complete to Jake Phillips for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
9.4%
Lexington Thomas run for 11 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
10.2%
DECKER, Blake pass incomplete to CRISWELL, Aaron (JAMES, C.), PENALTY BSU personal foul (NANCE, Armand) 15 yards to the BSU45, 1ST DOWN LV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
11.0%
Aaron Criswell run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
11.5%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 5 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 5
OPP 27
-1
11.6%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q4 14:22
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+17
11.1%
Blake Decker pass complete to Aaron Criswell for 17 yds to the BoiSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
27.0%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 11 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 23TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 1:1883% → 95%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
17.5%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
17.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 3 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 7
OWN 35
-5
17.9%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (Mario Yakoo) to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+16
19.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 16 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
4.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 54 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:017% → 6%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+61
7.4%
Blake Decker pass complete to Kendal Keys for 61 yds to the BoiSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
10.2%
Blake Decker pass complete to Andrew Price for 14 yds to the BoiSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
10.2%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 3Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
10.2%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Aaron CriswellSimilar
Q4 9:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
9.5%
Blake Decker pass complete to Andrew Price for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 5Similar
Q4 7:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
6.1%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Jake PhillipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 25TD
4 plays · 95 yds · 1:4596% → 100%
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
4.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 10Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+10
4.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+40
3.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 40 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
0.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for 40 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 26INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.0%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
1.0%
Blake Decker pass intercepted Darian Thompson return for no gain to the BoiSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 27TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 3:0599% → 100%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
0.6%
Kelsey Young run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+10
0.6%
Kelsey Young run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+35
0.5%
Kelsey Young run for 35 yds to the UNLV 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+13
0.5%
Kelsey Young run for 13 yds to the UNLV 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
0.5%
Kelsey Young run for 4 yds to the UNLV 2Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.1%
Thomas Stuart run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 28INT
12 plays · 56 yds · 2:250% → 0%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.1%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
0.1%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 29Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
0.1%
Blake Decker pass complete to Andrew Price for 6 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
0.1%
Blake Decker pass complete to Kendal Keys for 6 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
0.1%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+13
0.1%
Blake Decker pass complete to Brandon Presley for 13 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+18
0.1%
Blake Decker pass complete to Andrew Price for 18 yds to the BoiSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
0.1%
Blake Decker pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+9
0.1%
Blake Decker pass complete to Lexington Thomas for 9 yds to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q4 0:12
3RD & 1
OPP 19
0
0.0%
Blake Decker pass intercepted, touchback. Raymond Ford return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:12
Xzaviar Campbell run for 11 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)
+16
TD · Q4 9:48
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 54 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)
-14.5
TD · Q4 14:22
Shane Williams-Rhodes run for 9 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)
-9.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com