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USU

Utah State 56 at Fresno State 14

FRES
2015 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2015 · Valley Children's Stadium
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Win probability · FRES
modelFRES aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playFRES scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:33 · Marteze Waller run for 6 yds to the UthSt 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:59: Kilton Anderson pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 21 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK) — FRES win probability +5.8 pts (now 35%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:04: Devante Mays run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK) — USU win probability +5.0 pts (now 73%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:45: LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren PAT MISSED) — USU win probability +4.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:58: Kent Myers pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 44 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK) — USU win probability +5.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:53: Devante Mays run for 41 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK) — USU win probability +5.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FRES made the numbers' call on 10 of 10USU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 14:46USU 4th & 10 at USU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:19FRES 4th & 1 at USU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    27.4%−0.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    27.5%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 13:19FRES 4th & 4 at USU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    27.6%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    27.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:52USU 4th & 1 at USU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    70.5%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:36FRES 4th & 7 at FRES 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:11USU 4th & 5 at FRES 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:51FRES 4th & 27 at FRES 3, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−1.1
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00USU 4th & 17 at USU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 14:14FRES 4th & 1 at USU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    34.0%−1.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    34.4%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:27FRES 4th & 9 at FRES 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:45FRES 4th & 20 at FRES 27, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−1.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  12. Q2 4:45USU 4th & 4 at FRES 41, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    75.5%−1.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:53FRES 4th & 2 at FRES 33, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:32FRES 4th & 10 at FRES 25, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:53USU 4th & 8 at USU 38, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:57FRES 4th & 1 at USU 1, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:53USU 4th & 18 at USU 41, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 2 of 2USU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 6:36USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:59FRES Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:04USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:45USU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:58USU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:53USU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:43USU Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:57FRES Touchdown, down 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:20USU Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:33USU Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FRESDrive 1INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
26.0%
Kilton Anderson pass intercepted Devin Centers return for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+16
26.1%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 16 yds to the UthSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
26.1%
Hunter Sharp run for 1 yd to the UthSt 19Similar
Q1 14:46
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
26.1%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:46
3RD & 9
OWN 19
-1
26.1%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 18Similar
Q1 14:46
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
26.1%
Aaron Dalton punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Da'Mari Scott at the FrsSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 3DOWNS
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
26.8%
Marteze Waller run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
26.9%
Kilton Anderson run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 6
OWN 49
-2
26.9%
Marteze Waller run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+7
26.8%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 7 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+2
26.9%
Marteze Waller run for 2 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
27.0%
Marteze Waller run for 6 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 4
OPP 38
-2
27.0%
Marteze Waller run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 40Similar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+2
26.9%
Marteze Waller run for 2 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+2
26.9%
Kilton Anderson run for 2 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:1671% → 74%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
28.6%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
28.7%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 9 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
28.4%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter SharpSimilar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+2
28.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
28.3%
Kent Myers sacked by Brandon Hughes for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 42Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 15
OWN 42
0
28.7%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Kennedy WilliamsSimilar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 15
OWN 42
+43
28.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 43 yds to the FrsSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
26.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for 15 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
27.3%
Dustin Garrison run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
27.3%
Kilton Anderson run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
27.1%
Kilton Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:36
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
26.9%
Garrett Swanson punt for 26 yds, downed at the UthSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
26.7%
Devante Mays run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 6
50
+1
26.6%
Kent Myers run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
26.7%
Kent Myers run for no gain to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q1 5:11
4TH & 5
OPP 0
0
27.0%
FRESNO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q1 5:11
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
27.1%
Aaron Dalton punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -17 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
27.7%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 15Similar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+2
27.7%
Marteze Waller run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 17Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 13
OWN 17
0
27.7%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Jamire JordanSimilar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 13
OWN 17
-5
27.3%
FRESNO ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 12Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 18
OWN 12
-9
27.3%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Marwin Evans for a loss of 9 yards to the FrsSt 3Similar
Q1 3:51
4TH & 27
OWN 3
0
27.1%
Garrett Swanson punt for 42 yds , Hunter Sharp returns for no gain to the UthSt 35 Hunter Sharp fumbled, forced by Stratton Brown, recovered by FrsSt Michael MartensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 8TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 1:1629% → 35%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
29.4%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 9 yds to the UthSt 26Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 1
OPP 26
0
29.4%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Jamire Jordan for no gain to the UthSt 26Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+5
28.9%
Marteze Waller run for 5 yds to the UthSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
34.7%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 21 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:5968% → 66%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
32.1%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
32.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-8
33.0%
Kent Myers sacked by Nela Otukolo for a loss of 8 yards to the UthSt 18Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
33.7%
Aaron Dalton punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Da'Mari Scott at the FrsSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 10DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
35.2%
Kilton Anderson run for 5 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+2
35.5%
Marteze Waller run for 2 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+2
35.1%
Marteze Waller run for 2 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 1
OPP 45
-1
34.5%
Marteze Waller run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 2:2168% → 73%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
32.4%
Kent Myers run for 2 yds to the UthSt 48Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+12
32.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 12 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+34
32.1%
Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 34 yds to the FrsSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
31.6%
Devante Mays run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 5Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
26.6%
Devante Mays run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:3729% → 27%
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
28.7%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 20Similar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
28.5%
Marteze Waller run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
27.4%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 5 yds to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
26.9%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to KeeSean JohnsonSimilar
Q2 9:27
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
26.6%
Garrett Swanson punt blocked by Bryant Hayes blocked by Bryant HayesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13TD
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:4675% → 78%
Q2 8:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
25.5%
Kent Myers pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 5 yds to the FrsSt 3Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
21.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
23.0%
Jamire Jordan run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
23.2%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 7 yds to the FrsSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
23.4%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Chad Olsen for 3 yds to the FrsSt 40Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-5
23.6%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Tyler Floyd for a loss of 5 yards to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 12
OWN 35
-8
22.6%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Nick Vigil for a loss of 8 yards to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q2 7:45
4TH & 20
OWN 27
+2
22.5%
Garrett Swanson punt for 40 yds , Hunter Sharp returns for 2 yds to the UthSt 29 UTAH ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the UthSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:0078% → 79%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
21.7%
Kent Myers pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 28 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
20.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 42Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+4
20.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 1
OPP 38
-3
20.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 41 UTAH ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:45
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
21.5%
Aaron Dalton punt for 39 yds, downed at the FrsSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 16SF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
18.4%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Marwin Evans for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETY Kilton Anderson fumbled, recovered by FrsSt , return for 0 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 1:2283% → 90%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
17.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 12 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
16.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 5 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+4
16.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+3
16.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
14.7%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Wyatt HoustonSimilar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+44
9.6%
Kent Myers pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 44 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 18END OF HALF
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
12.7%
Marteze Waller run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 23Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-2
12.6%
Marteze Waller run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0790% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
9.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 4 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
9.8%
FRESNO ST Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the UthSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+11
9.8%
Devante Mays run for 11 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
9.3%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Devonte RobinsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
9.3%
Devante Mays run for 3 yds to the UthSt 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+11
9.7%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 11 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
9.3%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (Jake Simonich) to the FrsSt 46Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+5
9.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 5 yds to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+41
4.3%
Devante Mays run for 41 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
5.3%
Marteze Waller run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 31Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
5.2%
Marteze Waller run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
5.2%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Chad OlsenSimilar
Q3 11:53
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
5.2%
Garrett Swanson punt for 40 yds, downed at the UthSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 4:5296% → 99%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
3.7%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 22Similar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+7
3.7%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 7 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+3
3.7%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+14
3.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to Brandon Swindall for 14 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
3.5%
Kent Myers pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 14 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
3.5%
Damion Hobbs run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 2
OPP 32
-5
3.0%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+4
3.5%
Devante Mays run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+10
3.1%
Devante Mays run for no gain to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST down FRESNO ST Penalty, Defensive holding (Nathan Madsen) to the FrsSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
1.0%
Devante Mays run for 23 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
1.3%
Marteze Waller run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
1.3%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Jordan Nielsen for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 25Similar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
1.3%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to KeeSean JohnsonSimilar
Q3 5:32
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+6
1.3%
Garrett Swanson punt for 35 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for 6 yds to the UthSt 31 UTAH ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the UthSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
0.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 35Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+3
0.9%
Kent Myers pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 3 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
0.8%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter SharpSimilar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+6
1.0%
Aaron Dalton punt for 38 yds , Da'Mari Scott returns for 6 yds to the FrsSt 44 UTAH ST Penalty, kick catching interference (-9 Yards) to the FrsSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 24TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:401% → 2%
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
0.7%
Malique Micenheimer run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 45Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+5
0.6%
Malique Micenheimer run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
50
+42
0.7%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 42 yds to the UthSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
0.9%
Malique Micenheimer run for 3 yds to the UthSt 5Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
0.7%
Dustin Garrison run for 4 yds to the UthSt 1Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.8%
Malique Micenheimer run for no gain to the UthSt 1Similar
Q4 14:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.5%
Marteze Waller run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 25PUNT
11 plays · 17 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
0.6%
Tonny Lindsey run for 3 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+3
0.6%
Kennedy Williams run for 3 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+6
0.6%
Damion Hobbs pass complete to Tyler Fox for 21 yds to the FRESNOST 49 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
0.5%
Tonny Lindsey run for 4 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
0.5%
Tonny Lindsey run for 5 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+4
0.5%
Tonny Lindsey run for 4 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-12
0.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the UthSt 37Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 22
OWN 37
0
0.5%
Damion Hobbs pass incomplete to Tyler FoxSimilar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 22
OWN 37
+4
0.5%
Justen Hervey run for 4 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 18
OWN 41
0
0.7%
Aaron Dalton punt for 42 yds, downed at the FrsSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 26INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
0.3%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Malique MicenheimerSimilar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
0.3%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Marteze WallerSimilar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+19
0.3%
Kilton Anderson pass intercepted Brock Carmen return for 19 yds to the FrsSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 27TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:48100% → 100%
Q4 9:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
0.2%
Damion Hobbs run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 5Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.2%
Damion Hobbs run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 28INT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
0.2%
Marteze Waller run for no gain to the FrsSt 3Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+3
0.2%
Marteze Waller run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 6Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 7
OWN 6
+14
0.2%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 14 yds to the FrsSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
0.2%
Marteze Waller run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
0.2%
Kilton Anderson pass intercepted Jentz Painter return for no gain to the FrsSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 29TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 3:04100% → 100%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
0.2%
Justen Hervey run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 46Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+2
0.2%
Justen Hervey run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q4 5:37
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+33
0.2%
Damion Hobbs run for 33 yds to the FrsSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
0.2%
Justen Hervey run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 7Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+2
0.2%
Justen Hervey run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 5Similar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
0.1%
Justen Hervey 5 Yd Run (Jake Thompson PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 30END OF GAME
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.1%
Marteze Waller run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
0.1%
Marteze Waller run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
0.1%
Marteze Waller run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+5
0.1%
Marteze Waller run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 43Similar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+4
0.1%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Kyle Riddering for 4 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
0.1%
Marteze Waller run for 6 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:59
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 21 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)
+5.8
TD · Q2 0:58
Kent Myers pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 44 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)
-5.1
TD · Q2 10:04
Devante Mays run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)
-5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com