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WYO

Wyoming 17 at Air Force 31

AF
2015 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2015 · Falcon Stadium
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Win probability · AF
modelAF aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playAF scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:30 · Ethan Wood punt for 56 yds , Garrett Brown returns for 6 yds to the AFA 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 6Pregame prior+40.7Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:27: Karson Roberts run for 9 yds for a TD, (Drew Oehrle KICK) — AF win probability +5.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:37: Jalen Robinette pass complete to Garrett Brown for 56 yds for a TD, (Drew Oehrle KICK) — AF win probability +6.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:18: Shayne Davern run for 46 yds for a TD, (Drew Oehrle KICK) — AF win probability +3.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:24: Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 17 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK) — WYO win probability +2.5 pts (now 3%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:03: Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 31 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK) — WYO win probability +2.6 pts (now 3%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AF made the numbers' call on 4 of 7WYO made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00AF 4th & 1 at AF 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:30WYO 4th & 14 at WYO 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:59AF 4th & 12 at AF 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:22AF 4th & 2 at WYO 30, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.9%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    88.8%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:22WYO 4th & 18 at WYO 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:24AF 4th & 4 at AF 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:21WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:19WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:59WYO 4th & 19 at AF 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−1.1
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−2.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:05WYO 4th & 8 at WYO 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00WYO 4th & 4 at AF 48, down 4
    Close callPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:14AF 4th & 6 at AF 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:20WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 23, down 4
    Close callPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:18WYO 4th & 1 at AF 39, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:30AF 4th & 7 at WYO 32, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.9%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:30WYO 4th & 15 at AF 49, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:25AF 4th & 5 at AF 26, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AF made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WYO made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 14:21AF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:27AF Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:37AF Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:18AF Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:24WYO Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:03WYO Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AFDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.4%
D.J. Johnson run for 4 yds to the AFA 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
91.4%
D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the AFA 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
91.4%
Karson Roberts run for 2 yds to the AFA 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
91.4%
Steve Brosy punt for 48 yds, downed at the Wyom 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 13:30
4TH & 14
OWN 14
+6
91.0%
Ethan Wood punt for 56 yds , Garrett Brown returns for 6 yds to the AFA 36Similar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
91.0%
Cameron Coffman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
91.0%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 20Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 8
OWN 20
-6
91.0%
Cameron Coffman sacked by Claude Alexander III for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 11:59
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
90.5%
Steve Brosy punt for 45 yds, fair catch by D.J. May at the Wyom 21Similar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
90.6%
Karson Roberts run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 35Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 11
OWN 35
-1
90.6%
Jacobi Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 34Similar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
90.5%
Karson Roberts pass complete to Garrett Brown for no gain to the AFA 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4INT
4 plays · 24 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
90.0%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 10 yds to the Wyom 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
90.0%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 32Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+13
90.0%
Brian Hill run for 13 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
89.9%
Cameron Coffman pass intercepted Brodie Hicks return for no gain to the AFA 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 5MISSED FG
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:0290% → 89%
Q1 8:24
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+4
89.8%
Shayne Davern run for 4 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
89.8%
Karson Roberts pass incomplete to Garrett BrownSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
89.8%
Karson Roberts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+9
89.7%
Karson Roberts run for 9 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+5
89.8%
D.J. Johnson run for 5 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q1 8:24
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+3
89.8%
Karson Roberts run for 3 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q1 6:22
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+47
89.0%
Drew Oehrle 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+24
88.7%
Brian Hill run for 24 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
88.3%
Nico Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 47Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 11
OPP 47
0
88.4%
Cameron Coffman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 11
OPP 47
-7
88.6%
Cameron Coffman sacked by Claude Alexander III for a loss of 7 yards to the Wyom 46Similar
Q1 6:22
4TH & 18
OWN 46
0
88.9%
Ethan Wood punt for 53 yds, downed at the AFA 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
88.0%
Jacobi Owens run for no gain to the AFA 1Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
87.9%
Karson Roberts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+6
87.7%
D.J. Johnson run for 6 yds to the AFA 7Similar
Q1 4:24
4TH & 4
OWN 7
0
87.6%
Steve Brosy punt for 44 yds, fair catch by D.J. May at the Wyom 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
87.0%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 49 Brian Hill fumbled, recovered by AFA Patrick HealySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 9TD
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:3988% → 89%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
88.2%
Shayne Davern run for 3 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+12
88.2%
Tyler Williams run for 12 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
88.3%
Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+4
88.3%
Shayne Davern run for 4 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+4
88.1%
Jacobi Owens run for 4 yds to the Wyom 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
88.3%
Benton Washington run for 5 yds to the Wyom 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+5
87.5%
Karson Roberts run for 5 yds to the Wyom 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
87.5%
Shayne Davern run for 7 yds to the Wyom 6Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+6
89.4%
Shayne Davern run for 6 yds for a TD, (Drew Oehrle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.5%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
88.6%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
88.4%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 1 yd to the Wyom 33Similar
Q2 14:21
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
88.6%
Ethan Wood punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 11KICKOFF
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0088% → 89%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
88.4%
Jacobi Owens run for 6 yds to the AFA 34Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 4
OWN 34
-5
88.7%
Garrett Brown run for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 29Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+10
88.0%
Karson Roberts pass complete to Alex Ludowig for 10 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
88.8%
D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the AFA 41Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+1
88.9%
Karson Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 42Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
88.5%
Karson Roberts pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
87.6%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 8 yds Tanner Gentry fumbled, , return for no gain to the Wyom 27Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+3
87.2%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
87.3%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
87.2%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 33Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
87.6%
Cameron Coffman run for no gain to the Wyom 33Similar
Q2 9:19
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
88.0%
Ethan Wood punt for 62 yds, downed at the AFA 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 13FUMBLE
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-1
87.1%
Tyler Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 4Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 11
OWN 4
+11
87.0%
Karson Roberts pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 11 yds Jalen Robinette fumbled, forced by Robert Priester, recovered by Wyom Shaun WickSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14FG
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:5015% → 15%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
84.6%
Cameron Coffman pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
84.6%
Cameron Coffman pass incomplete to Jake Maulhardt, broken up by Roland LadipoSimilar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 10
OPP 15
-9
86.4%
Cameron Coffman sacked by Samuel Byers for a loss of 9 yards to the AFA 24Similar
Q2 3:59
4TH & 19
OPP 24
+41
85.1%
Tristan Bailey 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 15INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
84.8%
Shayne Davern run for 3 yds to the AFA 35Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+2
84.8%
Shayne Davern run for 2 yds to the AFA 37Similar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
84.7%
Karson Roberts pass intercepted TEAM return for no gain to the Wyom 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
83.9%
AIR FORCE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
82.9%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 46Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+2
83.1%
Nico Evans run for 2 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 7
OWN 48
-1
83.3%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Brian Hill for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 47Similar
Q2 3:05
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
84.4%
Ethan Wood punt for 35 yds, downed at the AFA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
83.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 16Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 12
OWN 16
-1
83.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
82.5%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+20
82.5%
Brian Hill run for 20 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
80.7%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
50
0
80.3%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
50
+2
80.7%
Cameron Coffman run for 2 yds to the AFA 48Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
81.9%
Ethan Wood punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
81.4%
Jacobi Owens run for 1 yd to the AFA 21Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
81.3%
Karson Roberts run for no gain to the AFA 21Similar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+3
80.5%
Karson Roberts pass complete to Garrett Brown for 3 yds to the AFA 24Similar
Q3 12:14
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+2
80.1%
Steve Brosy punt for 54 yds , D.J. May returns for 2 yds to the Wyom 26 WYOMING Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Wyom 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
81.9%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 16Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 8
OWN 16
0
81.9%
Cameron Coffman pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+7
82.8%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Brian Hill for 7 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
Q3 10:20
4TH & 1
OWN 23
0
82.9%
Ethan Wood punt for 46 yds, downed at the AFA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 21TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:1783% → 91%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
82.5%
Karson Roberts run for 12 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
83.6%
Shayne Davern run for 8 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+9
84.2%
Karson Roberts run for 9 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
84.3%
Karson Roberts run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 42Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+21
83.5%
Karson Roberts run for 21 yds to the Wyom 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
84.8%
D.J. Johnson run for 7 yds to the Wyom 14Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+5
84.8%
Karson Roberts run for 5 yds to the Wyom 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
84.8%
D.J. Johnson run for no gain to the Wyom 9Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
90.6%
Karson Roberts run for 9 yds for a TD, (Drew Oehrle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22FUMBLE
9 plays · 71 yds · 0:0011% → 14%
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
89.0%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 6 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
88.4%
Kellen Overstreet run for 2 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q3 5:22
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
88.8%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
88.4%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 6 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+5
87.8%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+44
87.8%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 44 yds to the AFA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
86.3%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the AFA 5Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
86.3%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the AFA 4 Brian Hill fumbled, recovered by AFA Brodie HicksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 23TD
6 plays · 96 yds · 1:3690% → 98%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
90.4%
Jacobi Owens run for 4 yds to the AFA 8Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+4
90.3%
Jacobi Owens run for 4 yds to the AFA 12Similar
Q3 1:13
3RD & 2
OWN 12
+12
89.8%
D.J. Johnson run for 12 yds to the AFA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
90.6%
D.J. Johnson run for 7 yds to the AFA 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+13
91.4%
D.J. Johnson run for 13 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
97.5%
Jalen Robinette pass complete to Garrett Brown for 56 yds for a TD, (Drew Oehrle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.5%
Cameron Coffman pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
96.6%
Cameron Coffman pass intercepted Brodie Hicks return for no gain to the Wyom 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 25TD
1 play · 46 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
99.5%
Shayne Davern run for 46 yds for a TD, (Drew Oehrle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 26TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:541% → 3%
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.2%
Brian Hill run for 8 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
99.2%
Nico Evans run for 4 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.1%
Cameron Coffman pass incomplete to Tanner Gentry, broken up by Jesse WashingtonSimilar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+15
99.2%
AIR FORCE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Roland Ladipo) to the AFA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
99.1%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the AFA 44Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
99.1%
Cameron Coffman pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+5
99.2%
Cameron Coffman run for 5 yds to the AFA 39Similar
Q4 14:18
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+3
99.2%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+19
99.1%
Brian Hill run for 19 yds to the AFA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
96.7%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 17 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 27FG
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:5498% → 99%
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
97.8%
Shayne Davern run for 40 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
98.0%
Jacobi Owens run for 1 yd to the Wyom 34Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+1
98.0%
Shayne Davern run for 1 yd to the Wyom 33Similar
Q4 10:24
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+1
97.9%
Karson Roberts run for 1 yd to the Wyom 32Similar
Q4 7:30
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+49
99.2%
Drew Oehrle 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 28PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.2%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 18 yds to the Wyom 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.1%
Cameron Coffman pass incomplete to Tanner Gentry, broken up by Roland LadipoSimilar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+13
99.1%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Justin Berger for 13 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.1%
Cameron Coffman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-5
99.1%
Cameron Coffman sacked by Claude Alexander III for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 49Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 15
OPP 49
0
99.2%
Cameron Coffman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:30
4TH & 15
OPP 49
0
99.2%
Ethan Wood punt for 38 yds, downed at the AFA 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 29PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:2499% → 100%
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
99.3%
Shayne Davern run for 4 yds to the AFA 15Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+4
99.3%
Karson Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 19Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+2
99.3%
Shayne Davern run for 2 yds to the AFA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
99.3%
Jacobi Owens run for 2 yds to the AFA 23Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
99.3%
Jacobi Owens run for no gain to the AFA 23Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+3
99.6%
Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the AFA 26Similar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Steve Brosy punt for 37 yds, downed at the Wyom 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 30TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 1:081% → 3%
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
99.5%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 15 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
99.5%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Taytoyn Montgomery for 2 yds to the AFA 46Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
99.5%
Cameron Coffman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+15
99.5%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Joseph Parker for 15 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
96.8%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 31 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 31END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 47Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 12
OWN 47
-1
98.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:37
Jalen Robinette pass complete to Garrett Brown for 56 yds for a TD, (Drew Oehrle KICK)
+6.2
TD · Q3 5:27
Karson Roberts run for 9 yds for a TD, (Drew Oehrle KICK)
+5.9
TD · Q4 14:18
Shayne Davern run for 46 yds for a TD, (Drew Oehrle KICK)
+3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com