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WYO

Wyoming 13 at App State 31

APP
2015 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2015 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Ethan Wood punt for 42 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Pregame prior+12.1Home team on offense+28.0Score differential+19.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.1Garbage-time factor+7.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:56: Brian Hill run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK) — WYO win probability +3.2 pts (now 14%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 3:58: Brian Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 31 — WYO win probability +3.0 pts (now 17%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:12: Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 18 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK) — APP win probability +6.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:27: Taylor Lamb run for 9 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK) — APP win probability +5.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:44: Cameron Coffman pass complete to Joshua Tapscott for 8 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey PAT MISSED) — WYO win probability +0.6 pts (now 1%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 8WYO made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 10:55WYO 4th & 9 at APP 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:45APP 4th & 3 at APP 35, up 14
    Close callPunted · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:50APP 4th & 8 at APP 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:45WYO 4th & 12 at APP 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:24APP 4th & 6 at APP 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:06WYO 4th & 9 at APP 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−3.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:58WYO 4th & 1 at APP 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    16.1%−1.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−4.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:24APP 4th & 5 at WYO 24, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.4%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    84.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    81.2%−2.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:46WYO 4th & 1 at APP 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    9.1%−1.6
    32% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:46WYO 4th & 27 at APP 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    9.5%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:19APP 4th & 6 at WYO 33, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:09WYO 4th & 15 at APP 33, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%
    49% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:58APP 4th & 4 at APP 39, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:24APP 4th & 6 at APP 48, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:17WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:06APP 4th & 24 at WYO 34, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:41APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:55APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:56WYO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:12APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:27APP Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:44WYO Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1TD
2 plays · 59 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
89.4%
Marcus Cox run for 59 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2INT TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:3111% → 11%
Q1 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
89.4%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+10
89.4%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 10 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+25
89.4%
Brian Hill run for 25 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
89.4%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Drew Van Maanen for 4 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+21
89.4%
Brian Hill run for 21 yds to the AppSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
89.3%
Joshua Tapscott run for 2 yds to the AppSt 13Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+91
89.2%
Cameron Coffman pass intercepted for a TD Latrell Gibbs return for 91 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
89.4%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-3
89.4%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 34Similar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+17
89.5%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 17 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
89.4%
Cameron Coffman sacked by Olawale Dada for a loss of 10 yards to the Wyom 41Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 20
OWN 41
+7
89.4%
Nico Evans run for 7 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+4
89.4%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Taytoyn Montgomery for 4 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q1 10:55
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
89.5%
Ethan Wood punt for 20 yds, downed at the AppSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
90.0%
Marcus Cox run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 26Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 12
OWN 26
0
90.0%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 12
OWN 26
+9
89.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malachi Jones for 9 yds to the AppSt 35Similar
Q1 6:45
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
89.8%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:2410% → 14%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
89.6%
Brian Hill run for 9 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+12
89.4%
Joshua Tapscott run for 12 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
89.3%
Nico Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 11
50
-10
89.5%
COFFMAN, C. pass incomplete to HILL, Brian, PENALTY WY holding (CUMMINGS, Ryan) 10 yards to the WY40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 21
OWN 40
0
89.6%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for no gain to the Wyom 40Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 21
OWN 40
+25
89.6%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 25 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
89.1%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
89.1%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the AppSt 33Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+9
89.3%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 9 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
89.1%
Tanner Gentry run for 15 yds to the AppSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
89.1%
Brian Hill run for 7 yds to the AppSt 2Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
85.9%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
87.2%
Marcus Cox run for 14 yds to the AppSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
87.3%
Marcus Cox run for 10 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
87.6%
Marcus Cox run for 1 yd to the AppSt 40Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+1
87.5%
Marcus Cox run for 1 yd to the AppSt 41Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
87.2%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
86.9%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+27
86.5%
Brian Hill run for 27 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
85.7%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the AppSt 41Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 9
OPP 41
-1
85.8%
Cameron Coffman run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 42 Cameron Coffman fumbled,Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 10
OPP 42
-10
86.2%
COFFMAN, C. pass complete to GENTRY, Tanner for 6 yards to the APP36 (Stringer, Devan), PENALTY WY holding (WALLACE, Zach) 10 yards to the WY48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 20
OWN 48
+8
86.7%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to James Price for 8 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q2 12:45
4TH & 12
OPP 44
0
86.9%
Ethan Wood punt for 43 yds, downed at the AppSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
86.3%
Terrence Upshaw run for no gain to the AppSt 1Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+2
86.2%
Terrence Upshaw run for 2 yds to the AppSt 3Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+2
85.8%
Taylor Lamb run for 2 yds to the AppSt 5Similar
Q2 9:24
4TH & 6
OWN 5
+10
85.5%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 41 yds , D.J. May returns for 10 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9MISSED FG
6 plays · 13 yds · 3:0615% → 15%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
84.8%
Brian Hill run for 12 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
84.0%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the AppSt 19Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+1
84.0%
Joshua Tapscott run for 1 yd to the AppSt 18Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 4
OPP 18
-5
84.7%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 23Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
84.9%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the AppSt 23Similar
Q2 4:06
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+40
85.0%
Tristan Bailey 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
86.0%
Taylor Lamb pass intercepted Marcus Epps return for 8 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11FUMBLE
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
83.1%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 31Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+3
83.4%
Cameron Coffman run for 3 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+8
84.1%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 8 yds to the AppSt 20Similar
Q2 3:58
4TH & 1
OPP 20
0
84.5%
Cameron Coffman run for no gain to the AppSt 22 Cameron Coffman fumbled, recovered by AppSt Osvaldo SomboSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 1:3886% → 92%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
85.5%
Marcus Cox run for 11 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+38
85.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 38 yds to the Wyom 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
86.9%
Marcus Cox run for 5 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 5
OPP 24
0
86.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Shaedon Meadors, broken up by Antonio HullSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 5
OPP 24
0
86.0%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Shaedon MeadorsSimilar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+6
85.0%
Zach Matics run for 6 yds to the Wyom 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
91.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 18 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
89.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 10 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
50
+3
89.7%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q3 14:46
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+3
89.8%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q3 14:46
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+3
89.9%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q3 14:46
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+8
90.1%
Brian Hill run for 8 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
89.3%
Joshua Tapscott run for 9 yds to the AppSt 24Similar
Q3 14:46
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+1
89.1%
Nico Evans run for 1 yd to the AppSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
89.1%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the AppSt 17Similar
Q3 14:46
2ND & 4
OPP 17
-11
89.1%
Cameron Coffman sacked by John Law for a loss of 11 yards to the AppSt 28Similar
Q3 14:46
3RD & 15
OPP 28
-12
90.4%
Cameron Coffman sacked by Ronald Blair for a loss of 12 yards to the AppSt 40Similar
Q3 14:46
4TH & 27
OPP 40
0
91.0%
Ethan Wood punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:5292% → 98%
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
92.1%
Taylor Lamb run for 9 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+9
92.2%
Marcus Cox run for 9 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+50
92.4%
Marcus Cox run for 50 yds to the Wyom 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
92.5%
Terrence Upshaw run for 3 yds to the Wyom 9Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
97.6%
Taylor Lamb run for 9 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0498% → 98%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
97.6%
Marcus Cox run for 6 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 4
OPP 31
-2
97.6%
Marcus Cox run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 33Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
97.5%
Marcus Cox run for no gain to the Wyom 33Similar
Q3 5:19
4TH & 6
OPP 33
0
97.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Simms McElfreshSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:043% → 2%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+28
96.9%
Brian Hill run for 28 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
96.8%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
96.7%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the AppSt 36Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+8
96.9%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Brian Hill for 8 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
96.4%
Nico Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 8
OPP 26
-7
96.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the AppSt 33Similar
Q3 2:09
3RD & 15
OPP 33
0
98.0%
Cameron Coffman pass incomplete to Jacob Hollister, broken up by John LawSimilar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 15
OPP 33
0
98.1%
Cameron Coffman pass incomplete to James PriceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
99.0%
Marcus Cox run for 7 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 3
OWN 40
-10
99.0%
Cox, Marcus rush for 6 yards to the APP46 (PRIESTER,Robert;EPPS, Marcus), PENALTY APP holding 10 yards to the APP30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+9
98.9%
Marcus Cox run for 9 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
99.0%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:58
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
98.9%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 58 yds, downed at the Wyom 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:081% → 1%
Q3 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+22
98.6%
Brian Hill run for 22 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.6%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
98.6%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
98.7%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Joshua Tapscott for 2 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.7%
Ethan Wood punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
99.3%
Terrence Upshaw run for 8 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+7
99.3%
Terrence Upshaw run for 7 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
99.3%
Terrence Upshaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 43Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+5
99.3%
Terrence Upshaw run for 5 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q4 13:24
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
99.3%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Shaedon MeadorsSimilar
Q4 13:24
4TH & 6
OWN 48
+40
99.3%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 40 yds , D.J. May returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:461% → 1%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
99.0%
Brian Hill run for 15 yds to the Wyom 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
99.0%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 25Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+2
99.0%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 9
OWN 27
0
99.2%
Cameron Coffman pass incomplete to Tanner Gentry, broken up by Devan StringerSimilar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 9
OWN 27
0
99.2%
Ethan Wood punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 23FG
14 plays · 31 yds · 5:56100% → 100%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.5%
Terrence Upshaw run for 4 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
99.6%
Terrence Upshaw run for no gain to the AppSt 39Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+10
99.5%
Lamb, Taylor pass incomplete to Beathard, Bobo, PENALTY WY pass interference 10 yards to the APP49, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.6%
Josh Boyd run for 4 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
99.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Simms McElfresh, broken up by D.J. MaySimilar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+15
99.6%
WYOMING Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
99.6%
Josh Boyd run for 5 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+7
99.6%
Josh Boyd run for 7 yds to the Wyom 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
99.6%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 25Similar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 15
OPP 25
+3
99.6%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 12
OPP 22
+1
99.6%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the Wyom 21Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 11
OPP 21
-10
99.6%
Lamb, Taylor rush for 4 yards to the WY17, out-of-bounds (MAY, D.J.), PENALTY APP holding 10 yards to the WY31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 21
OPP 31
-3
99.5%
Terrence Upshaw run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 34Similar
Q4 3:06
4TH & 24
OPP 34
+51
99.8%
Zach Matics 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:140% → 1%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+43
99.6%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 43 yds to the AppSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.5%
Joshua Tapscott run for no gain to the AppSt 22Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
99.5%
Cameron Coffman run for 5 yds to the AppSt 17Similar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+9
99.5%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Joseph Parker for 9 yds to the AppSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.8%
Cameron Coffman pass incomplete to Tanner Gentry, broken up by Latrell GibbsSimilar
Q4 0:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.1%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Joshua Tapscott for 8 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
99.4%
Cameron Coffman run for 9 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 1
OPP 48
-10
99.1%
Cameron Coffman sacked by Devan Stringer for a loss of 10 yards to the Wyom 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:12
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 18 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)
+6.6
TD · Q3 7:27
Taylor Lamb run for 9 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)
+5.1
TD · Q2 14:56
Brian Hill run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK)
-3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com