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UNLV

UNLV 23 at Nevada 17

NEV
2015 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2015 · Mackay Stadium
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Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:35 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:30: Kurt Palandech 12 Yd Run (Nicolai Bornand PAT failed) — UNLV win probability +8.9 pts (now 59%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:47: Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 22 yds for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK) — NEV win probability +22.7 pts (now 58%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q4 8:27: Tyler Stewart pass intercepted for a TD Ryan McAleenan return for 52 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK) — UNLV win probability +30.7 pts (now 80%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:50: Don Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK) — NEV win probability +26.9 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:16: Timeout UNLV, clock 02:16 — UNLV win probability +16.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 8 of 10UNLV made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 8:58NEV 4th & 5 at UNLV 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:01NEV 4th & 4 at NEV 9, down 7
    Close callPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00UNLV 4th & 4 at NEV 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    31.0%−0.8
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:00NEV 4th & 9 at NEV 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:28UNLV 4th & 8 at UNLV 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:04NEV 4th & 3 at NEV 9, down 7
    Close callPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:05UNLV 4th & 13 at NEV 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−0.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    38.7%−1.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:37NEV 4th & 5 at NEV 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:35NEV 4th & 6 at UNLV 10, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    35.0%−7.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:14UNLV 4th & 8 at NEV 43, up 10
    Close callPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    55.6%−1.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:32NEV 4th & 13 at NEV 14, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−2.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:50UNLV 4th & 4 at NEV 48, up 10
    Close callPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:45NEV 4th & 10 at NEV 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−1.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00UNLV 4th & 9 at UNLV 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−3.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:41UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 16, up 3
    Close callPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:37UNLV 4th & 6 at UNLV 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−4.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:21NEV 4th & 2 at NEV 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.0%−4.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:53UNLV 4th & 5 at NEV 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    63.3%−17.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:53NEV 4th & 10 at UNLV 43, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.4%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    11.5%−4.9
    28% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−5.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEV made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UNLV made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:58UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:30UNLV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    54.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:47NEV Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:27UNLV Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.9%−0.6
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:50NEV Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1TD
13 plays · 81 yds · 6:0224% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
76.1%
Keith Whitely run for 10 yds to the UNLV 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
76.1%
Blake Decker sacked by Lenny Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+4
76.1%
Keith Whitely run for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+14
76.1%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 14 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
76.1%
Aaron Criswell run for 9 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+4
76.1%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 4 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
76.1%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 6 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
76.1%
Keith Whitely run for no gain to the Nevad 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+5
76.1%
Keith Whitely run for 5 yds to the Nevad 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
76.1%
DECKER, Blake pass incomplete to BOYD, Devonte, PENALTY LV holding (GSTREIN, Nick) 10 yards to the NEV43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 43
+6
76.1%
Blake Decker pass complete to Lexington Thomas for 6 yds to the Nevad 37Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 14
OPP 37
+37
72.4%
Keith Whitely run for 37 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
72.8%
Don Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
72.9%
Don Jackson run for 5 yds to the Nevad 34Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
73.0%
Don Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
73.0%
James Butler run for 12 yds to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
73.3%
James Butler run for 3 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+2
73.4%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 2 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
73.3%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Hasaan HendersonSimilar
Q1 8:58
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
73.0%
Alex Boy punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Keith Whitely at the UNLV 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3INT
12 plays · 66 yds · 0:0029% → 30%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
71.1%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 3 yds to the UNLV 17Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+11
71.1%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 11 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
70.9%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Aaron CriswellSimilar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
71.1%
Keith Whitely run for 5 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+5
70.9%
DECKER, Blake pass incomplete to BOYD, Devonte, PENALTY NEV pass interference (JOHNSON, K.) 5 yards to the LV38, 1ST DOWN LV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
70.6%
Blake Decker run for 10 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
70.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 12 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
70.3%
Keith Whitely run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 43Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 13
OPP 43
+5
70.5%
Blake Decker run for 5 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+15
70.5%
DECKER, Blake pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, A., PENALTY NEV roughing passer (CHOUDJA, P.) 15 yards to the NEV23, 1ST DOWN LV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
70.2%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 3 yds to the Nevad 20Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
70.2%
Blake Decker pass intercepted Dameon Baber return for no gain to the Nevad 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:5368% → 65%
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
67.5%
James Butler run for 4 yds to the Nevad 7Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 6
OWN 7
-3
67.5%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (Evan Faunce) to the Nevad 4Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 9
OWN 4
0
67.5%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico RichardsonSimilar
Q1 0:54
3RD & 9
OWN 4
+5
67.0%
James Butler run for 5 yds to the Nevad 9Similar
Q1 0:01
4TH & 4
OWN 9
0
65.3%
Alex Boy punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
65.8%
Blake Decker pass complete to Lexington Thomas for 10 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
65.1%
Blake Decker pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 11 yds to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
64.9%
Keith Whitely run for 5 yds to the Nevad 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+3
64.8%
Keith Whitely run for 3 yds to the Nevad 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 40
-2
64.9%
Xzaviar Campbell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 42Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
65.7%
Logan Yunker punt for 40 yds, downed at the Nevad 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
63.8%
Don Jackson run for no gain to the Nevad 2Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+12
63.7%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 12 yds to the Nevad 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
64.1%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (Evan Faunce) to the Nevad 9Similar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 15
OWN 9
+1
63.8%
Don Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nevad 10Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 14
OWN 10
+5
64.0%
Tyler Stewart run for 5 yds to the Nevad 15Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 9
OWN 15
0
63.4%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Wyatt DempsSimilar
Q2 12:00
4TH & 9
OWN 15
0
63.1%
Alex Boy punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Keith Whitely at the UNLV 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
60.1%
Xzaviar Campbell run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 41Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 12
OWN 41
-10
61.0%
CAMPBELL, X. rush for 11 yards to the NEV48 (BABER, Dameon), PENALTY LV holding (GSTREIN, Nick) 10 yards to the LV31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 22
OWN 31
+4
62.3%
Blake Decker run for 4 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 18
OWN 35
+10
62.8%
Blake Decker pass complete to Aaron Criswell for 10 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q2 9:28
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
61.8%
Logan Yunker punt for 53 yds, downed at the Nevad 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+8
58.4%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 8 yds to the Nevad 10Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 2
OWN 10
+1
59.0%
James Butler run for 1 yd to the Nevad 11Similar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+2
58.1%
James Butler run for 2 yds to the Nevad 9 James Butler fumbled, forced by Blake Richmond, recovered by Nevad Jarred Gipson , return for 1 yd to the Nevad 9Similar
Q2 7:04
4TH & 3
OWN 9
+8
57.1%
Alex Boy punt for 42 yds , Keith Whitely returns for 8 yds to the Nevad 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0046% → 42%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
54.3%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
54.5%
Keith Whitely run for 1 yd to the Nevad 42Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 9
OPP 42
-4
54.8%
Blake Decker sacked by Malik Reed for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 46Similar
Q2 5:05
4TH & 13
OPP 46
0
57.7%
Logan Yunker punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Andrew Celis at the Nevad 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
56.2%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 13 yds to the Nevad 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
55.4%
Don Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 6Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 11
OWN 6
+1
55.3%
Tyler Stewart run for 1 yd to the Nevad 7Similar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+13
54.3%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jarred Gipson for 13 yds to the Nevad 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
56.8%
Don Jackson run for 7 yds to the Nevad 40Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 3
OWN 40
-2
58.8%
Tyler Stewart run for 8 yds to the Nevad 48 NEVADA Penalty, Offensive holding (Jerico Richardson) to the Nevad 38Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
58.4%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Hasaan Henderson NEVADA Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
57.4%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Hasaan HendersonSimilar
Q2 3:37
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
55.9%
Alex Boy punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Keith Whitely at the UNLV 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 0:5749% → 59%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
51.5%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Aaron CriswellSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+11
52.5%
Blake Decker pass complete to Keith Whitely for 11 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+24
50.0%
Blake Decker pass complete to Aaron Criswell for 24 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
48.2%
Blake Decker run for no gain to the Nevad 38Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+1
48.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the Nevad 37Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+25
49.7%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Kendal Keys for 25 yds to the Nevad 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
40.8%
Kurt Palandech 12 Yd Run (Nicolai Bornand PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
45.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 4:2046% → 44%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
45.6%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 11 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
46.3%
STEWART, Tyler pass complete to HENDERSON, H. for 15 yards to the LV46 (MCTYER, Torry), PENALTY NEV pass interference (HENDERSON, H.) 15 yards to the NEV24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 25
OWN 24
+15
44.9%
STEWART, Tyler pass incomplete to HENDERSON, H., PENALTY LV pass interference (MCTYER, Torry) 15 yards to the NEV39, 1ST DOWN NEV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
46.3%
Don Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nevad 40Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+8
46.2%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 8 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
46.8%
Tyler Stewart run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
50
+6
47.3%
Don Jackson run for 6 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+15
47.6%
Tyler Stewart run for 15 yds to the UNLV 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
48.9%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 15 yds to the UNLV 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
48.9%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Wyatt DempsSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
48.9%
Don Jackson run for 4 yds to the UNLV 10Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
47.3%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico RichardsonSimilar
Q3 10:35
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
43.7%
Brent Zuzo 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:1758% → 57%
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
41.8%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 3 yds to the Nevad 42Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
41.8%
Xzaviar Campbell run for no gain to the Nevad 42Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 7
OPP 42
-1
41.7%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Aaron Criswell for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 43Similar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
43.0%
Logan Yunker punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Andrew Celis at the Nevad 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+11
41.3%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 11 yds to the Nevad 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
41.8%
Tyler Stewart run for 3 yds to the Nevad 20Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 7
OWN 20
-6
41.7%
Tyler Stewart sacked by Torry McTyer and Ryan McAleenan for a loss of 6 yards to the Nevad 14Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 13
OWN 14
0
40.3%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico Richardson, broken up by Blake RichmondSimilar
Q3 8:32
4TH & 13
OWN 14
0
39.8%
Alex Boy punt for 62 yds, fair catch by Keith Whitely at the UNLV 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 0:0060% → 61%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
39.9%
Keith Whitely run for no gain to the UNLV 24Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+10
40.1%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 10 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
39.3%
Kurt Palandech run for 7 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+2
38.1%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 2 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 1
OWN 43
-5
38.6%
PALANDECH, Kurt pass complete to BOYD, Devonte for 7 yards to the 50 yardline (BERTRANDO, Alex), PENALTY LV ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the LV38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+8
38.6%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Keith Whitely for 8 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
38.0%
Keith Whitely run for 2 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+2
38.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 6
50
+2
38.4%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Brandon Presley for 2 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q3 6:50
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
39.5%
Logan Yunker punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nevad 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0033% → 30%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
33.1%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Don JacksonSimilar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
32.4%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico Richardson, broken up by Darius MoutonSimilar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
31.0%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Don JacksonSimilar
Q3 1:45
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
29.9%
Alex Boy punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Keith Whitely at the UNLV 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2169% → 68%
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
31.5%
Keith Whitely run for 6 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 4
OWN 36
-2
30.7%
Xzaviar Campbell run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 34
-3
30.7%
Kurt Palandech sacked by Lenny Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 31Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
32.5%
Logan Yunker punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Andrew Celis at the Nevad 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 19TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 3:2329% → 58%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
29.0%
James Butler run for 3 yds to the Nevad 25Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
29.3%
James Butler run for no gain to the Nevad 25Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+9
27.5%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 9 yds to the Nevad 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
29.6%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 3 yds to the Nevad 37Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+19
30.1%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to James Butler for 4 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
32.9%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Wyatt DempsSimilar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+11
32.4%
Tyler Stewart run for 11 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
35.3%
James Butler run for 11 yds to the UNLV 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
58.0%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 22 yds for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0058% → 54%
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
42.5%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 4 yds to the UNLV 14Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+2
42.5%
Keith Whitely run for 2 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 4
OWN 16
0
44.0%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Devonte Boyd, broken up by Lenny JonesSimilar
Q4 10:41
4TH & 4
OWN 16
+20
45.9%
Logan Yunker punt for 59 yds , Andrew Celis returns for 20 yds to the Nevad 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 21INT TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:4450% → 20%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
50.3%
Tyler Stewart run for 4 yds to the Nevad 49Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+52
19.7%
Tyler Stewart pass intercepted for a TD Ryan McAleenan return for 52 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 22TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3717% → 50%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
17.3%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico RichardsonSimilar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+25
16.8%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
50
+5
19.7%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 5 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+9
20.8%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 9 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
20.6%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 10 yds to the UNLV 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
23.1%
Don Jackson run for 5 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+8
23.1%
Tyler Stewart run for 8 yds to the UNLV 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
23.1%
STEWART, Tyler pass incomplete to RICHARDSON, K., PENALTY LV pass interference (RICHMOND, BLAKE) 11 yards to the LV2, 1ST DOWN NEV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
23.2%
Don Jackson run for 1 yd to the UNLV 1Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
50.1%
Don Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:0770% → 70%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
30.5%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 2 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-5
30.6%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 18Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 13
OWN 18
+7
31.0%
Kurt Palandech run for 7 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
28.3%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Aaron CriswellSimilar
Q4 3:37
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
30.1%
Logan Yunker punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Andrew Celis at the Nevad 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.4%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico RichardsonSimilar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
34.6%
James Butler run for 8 yds to the Nevad 33Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
36.6%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico RichardsonSimilar
Q4 3:21
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
33.9%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Kameron RichardsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 25FG
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:2383% → 90%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
17.0%
Keith Whitely run for no gain to the Nevad 33Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-1
15.9%
Keith Whitely run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 34Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+6
17.9%
Kurt Palandech run for 6 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+45
9.8%
Nicolai Bornand 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 26DOWNS
12 plays · 32 yds · 0:0018% → 19%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
18.2%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 12 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
19.5%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 3 yds to the Nevad 40Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
20.9%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Kameron RichardsonSimilar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+7
19.0%
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Kameron Richardson for 7 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
21.4%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico RichardsonSimilar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
21.0%
Tyler Stewart pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+10
19.2%
Tyler Stewart run for 10 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
23.8%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico RichardsonSimilar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
22.4%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Don JacksonSimilar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
21.4%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico RichardsonSimilar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
18.8%
Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico RichardsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
5.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:27
Tyler Stewart pass intercepted for a TD Ryan McAleenan return for 52 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)
-30.7
TD · Q4 4:50
Don Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)
+26.9
TD · Q4 10:47
Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 22 yds for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)
+22.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com