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CSU

Colorado State 18 at Utah State 33

USU
2015 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2015 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+1.1USU 93.9%Brock Warren 34 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 26 · Q4 13:36
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:36 · Brock Warren 34 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Home team on offense+23.2Pregame prior+4.1Score differential+10.7Garbage-time factor+10.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0Time remaining−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:46: Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 16 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK) — CSU win probability +5.9 pts (now 43%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:47: Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 42 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK) — USU win probability +8.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:56: Kent Myers run for 26 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK) — USU win probability +8.6 pts (now 76%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 5:15: Brock Warren 40 yd FG GOOD — USU win probability +8.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:37: Nick Stevens run for 15 yds for a TD, (Nick Stevens pass to Rashard Higgins for Two-Point Conversion) — CSU win probability +7.7 pts (now 17%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9CSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00USU 4th & 19 at USU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:12CSU 4th & 4 at CSU 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:04USU 4th & 7 at CSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    67.9%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:06CSU 4th & 4 at USU 24, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.8%−0.2
    68% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:01USU 4th & 7 at USU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:40CSU 4th & 14 at CSU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−1.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:35USU 4th & 1 at USU 42, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.2%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:41CSU 4th & 9 at CSU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:01CSU 4th & 15 at midfield, down 7
    Numbers favored punt by 1.8 ptsWent for it · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.9%−1.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:30USU 4th & 6 at CSU 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    68.1%−7.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:30CSU 4th & 11 at CSU 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−1.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:06USU 4th & 1 at CSU 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    77.0%−2.8
    49% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−3.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:15USU 4th & 21 at CSU 23, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−3.0
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    74.9%−6.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:36USU 4th & 9 at CSU 17, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    86.2%−6.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:37CSU 4th & 8 at USU 15, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    6.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−3.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:31USU 4th & 9 at CSU 49, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:10CSU 4th & 21 at CSU 13, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−4.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:18CSU 4th & 10 at CSU 25, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:18CSU 4th & 2 at USU 43, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    2.5%−0.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−0.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:30CSU 4th & 8 at USU 8, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 12:46CSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:47USU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:56USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:37CSU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    14.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    13.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:18USU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
68.1%
Kent Myers pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 5 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
68.1%
Hunter Sharp run for 8 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
68.1%
Kennedy Williams run for 1 yd to the UthSt 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
68.1%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for no gain to the UthSt 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
-10
68.1%
Kent Myers pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 5 yds to the UthSt 44 UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the UthSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 29
-2
68.1%
Aaron Dalton punt for 46 yds , Joe Hansley returns for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
67.7%
Rashard Higgins run for 1 yd to the ColSt 24Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+5
67.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 5 yds to the ColSt 29Similar
Q1 12:12
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
67.7%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Kivon CartwrightSimilar
Q1 12:12
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
67.9%
Hayden Hunt punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Hunter Sharp at the UthSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 5:0968% → 68%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
67.7%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 20Similar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+7
67.6%
Devante Mays run for 7 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
67.7%
MYERS,Kent pass incomplete to SHARP,Hunter, PENALTY CS pass interference 15 yards to the USU42, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
67.9%
Kent Myers run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 2
50
+5
68.1%
Kent Myers pass complete to Brandon Swindall for 5 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
68.1%
Kent Myers run for 8 yds to the ColSt 37Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+3
68.1%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the ColSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
68.2%
Damion Hobbs run for 3 yds to the ColSt 31Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 7
OPP 31
-1
68.2%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 32Similar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 8
OPP 32
-4
68.0%
Devonte Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 36Similar
Q1 11:13
4TH & 12
OPP 36
+5
67.6%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the ColSt 31Similar
Q1 6:04
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+48
68.0%
Jake Thompson 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 4FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 3:5332% → 35%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
68.0%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 2 yds to the ColSt 25Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
68.0%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Rashard HigginsSimilar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+10
68.3%
Nick Stevens run for 10 yds to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
67.8%
Dalyn Dawkins run for no gain to the ColSt 35Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
67.9%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 8 yds to the ColSt 43Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+2
67.3%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 2 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
67.3%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 25 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
66.8%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Joe Hansley, broken up by Tyler FloydSimilar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
66.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Joe Hansley for 6 yds to the UthSt 24Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 4
OPP 24
0
67.1%
Nick Stevens pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:06
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+42
65.2%
Wyatt Bryan 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
66.4%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Brandon SwindallSimilar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+8
66.3%
Devante Mays run for 8 yds to the UthSt 26Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 2
OWN 26
-5
66.1%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 21Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
65.8%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Brandon SwindallSimilar
Q1 2:01
4TH & 7
OWN 21
+15
65.4%
Aaron Dalton punt for 40 yds , Joe Hansley returns for 15 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 46 yds · 2:5536% → 43%
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
63.9%
Dalyn Dawkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 49Similar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 13
OPP 49
+15
64.6%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Kivon Cartwright for 15 yds to the UthSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
63.4%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 4 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
63.2%
Dalyn Dawkins run for no gain to the UthSt 30Similar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+15
63.9%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Xavier Williams for 15 yds to the UthSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
63.3%
Dalyn Dawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 16Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+16
57.4%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 16 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 84 yds · 0:5459% → 68%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
59.4%
Kent Myers run for 8 yds to the UthSt 24 COLORADO ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+34
59.8%
Kent Myers run for 34 yds to the ColSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
68.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 42 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
65.1%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 3 yds to the ColSt 22Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+15
65.0%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 15 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
64.4%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 4 yds to the ColSt 41Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-15
63.4%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for no gain to the ColSt 41 COLORADO ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the ColSt 26Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 21
OWN 26
+7
65.7%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 7 yds to the ColSt 33Similar
Q2 11:40
4TH & 14
OWN 33
+8
66.0%
Hayden Hunt punt for 41 yds , Hunter Sharp returns for 8 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 1:1967% → 65%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-15
66.7%
MAYS,Devante rush for 15 yards to the USU49 (HODGES, Preston), PENALTY USU personal foul 15 yards to the USU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 25
OWN 19
+4
66.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 4 yds to the UthSt 23Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 21
OWN 23
+10
66.1%
MYERS,Kent pass incomplete to WILLIAMS,Kenne (MATTHEWS, Trent), PENALTY CS holding 10 yards to the USU33, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
66.7%
Devante Mays run for 4 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 6
OWN 37
-1
67.6%
Devante Mays run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 36Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+6
64.8%
Kent Myers run for 6 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q2 7:35
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
65.2%
Aaron Dalton punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
61.6%
Nick Stevens run for no gain to the ColSt 20Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
61.9%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 9 yds to the ColSt 29Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
61.5%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 2 yds to the ColSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
61.1%
STEVENS, Nick pass incomplete to GAINES, Deionte (GRAY,Daniel), PENALTY USU personal foul 15 yards to the CS46, 1ST DOWN CS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
59.4%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Rashard HigginsSimilar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
60.1%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Joe Hansley for 1 yd to the ColSt 47Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
60.8%
Nick Stevens pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:41
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
62.3%
Hayden Hunt punt for 14 yds, downed at the UthSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 2:0666% → 76%
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
65.6%
Devante Mays run for 5 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+1
66.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the UthSt 45Similar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+34
65.9%
Kent Myers run for 34 yds to the ColSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
67.8%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ColSt 26Similar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+26
76.3%
Kent Myers run for 26 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 15 yds · 0:5526% → 23%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
74.1%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 15 yds to the ColSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
72.6%
STEVENS, Nick pass incomplete, PENALTY USU roughing passer 15 yards to the USU45, 1ST DOWN CS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
71.0%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Deionte Gaines for 4 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
72.5%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Dalyn Dawkins, broken up by Nick VigilSimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 6
OPP 41
-9
72.8%
Nick Stevens sacked by Kyler Fackrell for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 15
50
-10
76.9%
Coleman Key sacked by Ricky Ali'ifua for a loss of 10 yards to the ColSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.4%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Joe HansleySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
73.5%
Nick Stevens sacked by David Moala for a loss of 5 yards to the ColSt 8 Nick Stevens fumbled, recovered by UthSt Kyler Fackrell , return for 0 yards , return for 12 yds to the ColSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1677% → 78%
Q3 14:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
76.7%
Damion Hobbs run for 2 yds to the ColSt 6Similar
Q3 14:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
76.7%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the ColSt 6Similar
Q3 14:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
75.9%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Andrew RodriguezSimilar
Q3 13:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
78.1%
Brock Warren 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0022% → 20%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.3%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 1 yd to the ColSt 26Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-2
78.4%
Dalyn Dawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 24Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
79.4%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Joe Hansley, broken up by Deshane HinesSimilar
Q3 13:30
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+1
79.9%
Hayden Hunt punt for 37 yds , Hunter Sharp returns for 1 yd to the UthSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 16FG
15 plays · 37 yds · 6:5180% → 88%
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
80.3%
Kent Myers run for no gain to the UthSt 40Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
79.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+15
79.3%
Kent Myers run for 15 yds to the ColSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
80.7%
Kent Myers run for 1 yd to the ColSt 41Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 9
OPP 41
-1
80.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 42Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+9
79.7%
Kent Myers run for 9 yds to the ColSt 33Similar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+5
79.2%
LaJuan Hunt run for 5 yds to the ColSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
81.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 11 yds to the ColSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
81.0%
Devante Mays run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 18Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 11
OPP 18
-4
80.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 22Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 15
OPP 22
+10
79.5%
MYERS,Kent pass incomplete to ROBINSON,Devon, PENALTY CS pass interference 10 yards to the CS12, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-4
81.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 16Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 14
OPP 16
-7
80.7%
Kent Myers sacked by Kiel Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the ColSt 23Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 21
OPP 23
0
79.5%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter SharpSimilar
Q3 5:15
4TH & 21
OPP 23
+40
88.1%
Brock Warren 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 17FUMBLE
11 plays · 62 yds · 0:0014% → 17%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
86.5%
UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the ColSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
85.2%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Rashard Higgins, broken up by Nick VigilSimilar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+11
85.6%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 11 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
84.4%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 10 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
84.4%
ODEN, Jasen rush for 4 yards to the USU35 (VIGIL,Nick;ROCQUEMORE,Jon), PENALTY CS holding 10 yards to the USU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 20
OPP 49
-5
85.3%
COLORADO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ColSt 46Similar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 25
OWN 46
0
86.0%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Jordon VadenSimilar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 25
OWN 46
+16
86.4%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Joe Hansley for 16 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+17
84.9%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 17 yds to the UthSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
83.1%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 8 yds to the UthSt 13 Dalyn Dawkins fumbled, forced by Jontrell Rocquemore, recovered by UthSt Jordan NielsenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 18FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 4:1590% → 94%
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
89.9%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 9 yds to the UthSt 22Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+7
90.1%
Devante Mays run for 7 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
90.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 5 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+30
90.1%
Devante Mays run for 30 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
90.8%
MYERS,Kent pass incomplete to SHARP,Hunter, PENALTY USU holding 10 yards to the CS46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+2
90.6%
Devante Mays run for 2 yds to the ColSt 44Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 18
OPP 44
0
90.5%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter SharpSimilar
Q3 2:51
3RD & 18
OPP 44
0
90.1%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Wyatt HoustonSimilar
Q3 2:51
4TH & 18
OPP 44
+15
89.4%
COLORADO ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the ColSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
90.8%
Devante Mays run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+12
93.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 12 yds to the ColSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
93.0%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter SharpSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+1
93.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the ColSt 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 17
0
92.8%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Devonte RobinsonSimilar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+34
93.9%
Brock Warren 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 1:538% → 17%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
92.0%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 5 yds to the ColSt 33Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+7
91.9%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 7 yds to the ColSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+43
91.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Xavier Williams for 43 yds to the UthSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
90.2%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 2 yds to the UthSt 15Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
90.2%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Kivon Cartwright, broken up by Jalen DavisSimilar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
91.0%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Deionte GainesSimilar
Q4 11:37
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+15
83.3%
Nick Stevens run for 15 yds for a TD, (Nick Stevens pass to Rashard Higgins for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+27
86.4%
Kent Myers run for 27 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
50
-15
88.1%
MYERS,Kent pass incomplete to RODRIGUEZ,Andr, PENALTY USU personal foul 15 yards to the USU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 25
OWN 35
0
86.3%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter Sharp, broken up by DeAndre ElliottSimilar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 25
OWN 35
+3
86.1%
Kent Myers run for 3 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 22
OWN 38
-5
86.3%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 33Similar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 27
OWN 33
+18
85.2%
Kent Myers run for 18 yds to the ColSt 49Similar
Q4 11:31
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
85.9%
Aaron Dalton punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Joe Hansley at the ColSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 11%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
87.3%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 6 yds to the ColSt 19Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+5
87.1%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Xavier Williams for 5 yds to the ColSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
87.1%
COLORADO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ColSt 19Similar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 15
OWN 19
-5
87.3%
COLORADO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ColSt 14Similar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 20
OWN 14
+3
87.3%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 3 yds to the ColSt 17Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 17
OWN 17
+6
87.5%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 6 yds to the ColSt 23Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 11
OWN 23
-10
88.1%
STEVENS, Nick rush for 10 yards to the CS33 (FILIAGA,LT), PENALTY CS holding 10 yards to the CS13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 21
OWN 13
0
88.2%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Xavier Williams, broken up by Deshane HinesSimilar
Q4 9:10
4TH & 21
OWN 13
0
88.7%
Hayden Hunt punt for 61 yds, downed at the UthSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 3:1192% → 98%
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
92.4%
Kent Myers run for 1 yd to the UthSt 27Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+22
92.1%
Kent Myers pass complete to Dax Raymond for 22 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
93.2%
LaJuan Hunt run for 5 yds to the ColSt 46Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+17
93.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 17 yds to the ColSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-4
93.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 33Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 14
OPP 33
+33
97.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 33 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 23INT
19 plays · 67 yds · 1:483% → 3%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.2%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Kivon CartwrightSimilar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.2%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Rashard HigginsSimilar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
97.3%
Nick Stevens pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+10
97.4%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Steven Walker for 10 yds to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
97.0%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 14 yds to the ColSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
96.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Xavier Williams for 8 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 2
OPP 43
0
96.5%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Xavier WilliamsSimilar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 2
OPP 43
0
96.6%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Jordon Vaden, broken up by Marwin EvansSimilar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+7
97.0%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 7 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
96.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Steven Walker for 15 yds to the UthSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
96.0%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Joe Hansley, broken up by Deshane HinesSimilar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
96.2%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Joe Hansley, broken up by Devin CentersSimilar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+13
96.6%
Nick Stevens run for 13 yds to the UthSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
96.0%
Nick Stevens pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
96.0%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Xavier WilliamsSimilar
Q4 2:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
96.4%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Dalyn DawkinsSimilar
Q4 0:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
0
97.5%
Nick Stevens pass intercepted, touchback. Jalen Davis return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.5%
TEAM run for no gain to the UthSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q3 5:15
Brock Warren 40 yd FG GOOD
+8.7
TD · Q2 0:56
Kent Myers run for 26 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)
+8.6
TD · Q2 11:47
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 42 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)
+8.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com