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IDST

Idaho State 8 at UNLV 80

UNLV
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Sam Boyd Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadIDST aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreIDST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:12 · Logan Yunker punt for 38 yds, downed at the IdaSt 6 IDAHO ST Penalty, Offensive offside ( Yards) declined
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 11Pregame prior+32.7Home team on offense+0.4Score differential+0.1Blowout margin+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:54: Blake Decker 12 Yd Run (Nicolai Bornand Kick) — UNLV win probability +2.3 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:33: Lexington Thomas 40 Yd Run (Nicolai Bornand Kick) — UNLV win probability +3.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:45: Keith Whitely 2 Yd Run (Nicolai Bornand Kick) — UNLV win probability +3.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 14:13: Cj Hatchett 25 Yd pass from Michael Sanders (Michael Sanders Pass to Cj Hatchett for Two-Point Conversion) — IDST win probability +1.1 pts (now 6%) (top driver: IDST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 8:39: Devonte Boyd 4 Yd pass from Kurt Palandech (Nicolai Bornand Kick) — IDST win probability +3.6 pts (now 8%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 6IDST made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:12UNLV 4th & 11 at IDST 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    80.9%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:33IDST 4th & 6 at UNLV 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    19.2%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    19.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:27UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    80.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:22IDST 4th & 11 at UNLV 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    18.5%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:33IDST 4th & 5 at IDST 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:45IDST 4th & 9 at IDST 26, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:13IDST 4th & 10 at UNLV 25, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    7.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:04UNLV 4th & 7 at IDST 45, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    92.4%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:32IDST 4th & 6 at IDST 35, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:49IDST 4th & 5 at IDST 30, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00UNLV 4th & 1 at IDST 13, up 44
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:54IDST 4th & 15 at UNLV 46, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:53UNLV 4th & 16 at IDST 29, up 58
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00IDST 4th & 8 at UNLV 33, down 65
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:38UNLV 4th & 8 at IDST 12, up 65
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:46IDST 4th & 3 at IDST 16, down 65
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 11 of 11IDST made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 14:09UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:54UNLV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:33UNLV Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:45UNLV Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 0:44UNLV Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 14:13IDST Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    6.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 8:39UNLV Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 3:49UNLV Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 12:01UNLV Touchdown, up 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 6:45UNLV Touchdown, up 57 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 2:59UNLV Touchdown, up 64 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 2:51UNLV Touchdown, up 71 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1TD
3 plays · 28 yds · 0:5184% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
83.6%
Keith Whitely run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 24Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+24
83.6%
B. Decker pass,to K. Whitely for 24 yds for a TD (Nicolai Bornand Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 2FUMBLE
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
83.5%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Madison Mangum for 5 yds to the IdaSt 30Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
83.5%
Xavier Finney run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 32Similar
Q1 14:09
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+11
83.5%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Tyler Wright for 11 yds Tyler Wright fumbled, forced by Blake Richmond, recovered by UNLV Peni VeaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
83.6%
Blake Decker run for a loss of 1 yard to the IdaSt 44Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 11
OPP 44
0
83.5%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Jake PhillipsSimilar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 11
OPP 44
0
83.5%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Kendal KeysSimilar
Q1 13:12
4TH & 11
OPP 44
+38
83.4%
Logan Yunker punt for 38 yds, downed at the IdaSt 6 IDAHO ST Penalty, Offensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 4DOWNS
11 plays · 62 yds · 1:5217% → 17%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
83.4%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Madison Mangum for 9 yds to the IdaSt 15Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+6
83.4%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Madison Mangum for 6 yds to the IdaSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
83.4%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Madison Mangum, PENALTY LV personal foul (BALDWIN, D.) 15 yards to the ISU36, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
83.3%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Josh CookSimilar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+13
83.3%
Michael Sanders pass complete to KW Williams for 13 yds to the IdaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
83.2%
UNLV Penalty, personal foul (Tim Hough) to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
83.2%
Xavier Finney run for no gain to the UNLV 36Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
83.2%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to KW Williams, broken up by Peni VeaSimilar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+4
83.3%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Madison Mangum for 4 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q1 10:33
4TH & 6
OPP 32
0
83.0%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Cj Hatchett, broken up by Jay'Onn MylesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
83.4%
Kurt Palandech run for 4 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
83.5%
Keith Whitely run for no gain to the UNLV 36Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
83.4%
Kurt Palandech pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 6
OWN 36
+5
83.3%
YUNKER, Logan punt 30 yards to the ISU34, fair catch by Madison Mangum, PENALTY ISU illegal participation 5 yards to the LV41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
83.4%
Salanoa-Alo Wily run for no gain to the UNLV 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 6MISSED FG
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:3917% → 17%
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
82.9%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Madison Mangum for 16 yds to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
82.7%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Madison MangumSimilar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-1
82.7%
Xavier Finney run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 26Similar
Q1 9:01
3RD & 11
OPP 26
0
82.9%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Tyler GravesSimilar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+54
83.1%
Zak Johnson 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by null Tim Hough return for 54 yds to the IdaSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7TD
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:2884% → 86%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
83.7%
Blake Decker run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 18Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+5
83.7%
Blake Decker run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
83.5%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 12Similar
Q1 5:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
83.5%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Salanoa-Alo Wily) to the IdaSt 8Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+12
85.8%
Blake Decker 12 Yd Run (Nicolai Bornand Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 8INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.1%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to KW Williams, broken up by Najee JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
85.1%
Michael Sanders pass intercepted Jay'Onn Myles return for no gain to the IdaSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9TD
1 play · 40 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
88.8%
Lexington Thomas 40 Yd Run (Nicolai Bornand Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.7%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Hagen GravesSimilar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.7%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Josh Cook for 5 yds to the IdaSt 30Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
87.6%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Cj Hatchett, broken up by Torry McTyerSimilar
Q1 5:33
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
87.8%
Zak Johnson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Keith Whitely at the UNLV 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 2:5789% → 92%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
88.6%
Blake Decker pass complete to Kendal Keys for 16 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
89.0%
Keith Whitely run for 2 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+6
89.0%
Blake Decker pass complete to Kendal Keys for 6 yds to the IdaSt 46Similar
Q1 4:42
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+45
88.9%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 45 yds to the IdaSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
89.0%
Xzaviar Campbell run for a loss of 1 yard to the IdaSt 2Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.3%
Keith Whitely 2 Yd Run (Nicolai Bornand Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.5%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to KW Williams, broken up by Blake RichmondSimilar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
93.6%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to KW Williams IDAHO ST Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.6%
Xavier Finney run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 26Similar
Q1 1:45
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
93.6%
Zak Johnson punt blocked by J.T. Nettleton blocked by J.T. NettletonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13TD
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0793% → 94%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-10
92.7%
PALANDECH, Kurt rush for 11 yards to the ISU0, clock 00:51, PENALTY LV holding (NEALE, Alex) 10 yards to the ISU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 20
OPP 21
+21
93.5%
Xzaviar Campbell 21 Yd Run (Nicolai Bornand Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 14TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:315% → 6%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
94.8%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Madison Mangum for 37 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
94.4%
Xavier Finney run for 7 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+6
94.0%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Madison Mangum for 6 yds Madison Mangum fumbled, forced by Torry McTyer, recovered by IdaSt Madison Mangum for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
94.5%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Tyler GravesSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
94.6%
Xavier Finney run for no gain to the UNLV 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
94.8%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Xavier Finney, broken up by Sonny SanitoaSimilar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+25
93.7%
Cj Hatchett 25 Yd pass from Michael Sanders (Michael Sanders Pass to Cj Hatchett for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
93.4%
Blake Decker pass complete to Andrew Price for 10 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
93.5%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Jake Phillips, broken up by Tavonte JacksonSimilar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+11
93.5%
Keith Whitely run for 11 yds to the IdaSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
93.5%
Blake Decker run for no gain to the IdaSt 48Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
93.5%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 44Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 6
OPP 44
-1
93.4%
Blake Decker pass complete to Xzaviar Campbell for a loss of 1 yard to the IdaSt 45Similar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
93.1%
Logan Yunker punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 16INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
96.0%
UNLV Penalty, illegal shift (5 Yards) to the IdaSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+33
96.1%
Michael Sanders pass intercepted Tim Hough return for 33 yds to the IdaSt 6Similar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.0%
Michael Sanders run for a loss of 4 yards to the IdaSt 23 Michael Sanders fumbled, recovered by IdaSt Xavier Finney , return for 2 yds to the IdaSt 23Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
96.0%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Madison Mangum, broken up by Jay'Onn MylesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17TD
3 plays · 6 yds · 1:1496% → 92%
Q2 9:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
95.7%
Keith Whitely run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 4Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
95.6%
Keith Whitely run for no gain to the IdaSt 4Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
92.0%
Devonte Boyd 4 Yd pass from Kurt Palandech (Nicolai Bornand Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
97.2%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Madison MangumSimilar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+9
97.4%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Josh Cook for 9 yds to the IdaSt 40Similar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
97.0%
Xavier Finney run for no gain to the IdaSt 40Similar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 1
OWN 40
-5
97.0%
IDAHO ST Penalty, false start (Jake Pettit) to the IdaSt 35Similar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
97.2%
Sean Cheney punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Keith Whitely at the UNLV 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 2:4198% → 99%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
97.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 15 yds to the IdaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
97.6%
THOMAS, L. rush for 8 yards to the ISU38 (Cody Sorensen), PENALTY LV illegal formation 5 yards to the LV49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+12
97.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 12 yds to the IdaSt 39Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+2
97.5%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 37Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+1
97.5%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
98.5%
Aaron Criswell 36 Yd pass from Blake Decker (Nicolai Bornand Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.7%
Xavier Finney run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 26Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
98.8%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Cj Hatchett for 4 yds to the IdaSt 30Similar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
98.7%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to KW Williams, broken up by Ryan McAleenanSimilar
Q2 3:49
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
98.8%
Sean Cheney punt for 18 yds, downed at the IdaSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21FG
11 plays · 35 yds · 2:2199% → 99%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
98.9%
Keith Whitely run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 42Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+8
98.9%
Blake Decker pass complete to Kendal Keys for 8 yds to the IdaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
98.9%
Keith Whitely run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 32Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+10
98.9%
Blake Decker run for 10 yds to the IdaSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.2%
Blake Decker pass incomplete to Devonte BoydSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+7
99.2%
Keith Whitely run for 7 yds to the IdaSt 15Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+2
99.1%
Keith Whitely run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 13Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+30
99.0%
N. Bornand 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 22INT
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.1%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Madison Mangum, PENALTY LV pass interference (MCTYER, Torry) 15 yards to the ISU40, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
99.0%
Xavier Finney run for 12 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
99.0%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Madison Mangum for 14 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
98.9%
Xavier Finney run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
98.9%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Hagen Graves, broken up by Tim HoughSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 35
-5
99.0%
IDAHO ST Penalty, false start (Christian Diehm) to the UNLV 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 40
0
99.1%
Michael Sanders pass intercepted, touchback. Tim Hough return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:2499% → 99%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+57
99.2%
Keith Whitely run for 57 yds to the IdaSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
99.2%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 13 yds to the IdaSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
99.2%
Kurt Palandech run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 6Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.4%
K. Palandech pass,to J. Phillips for 6 yds for a TD, (N. Bornand KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+17
99.6%
Xavier Finney run for 17 yds to the IdaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.6%
Xavier Finney run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 5
50
+9
99.5%
Xavier Finney run for 9 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
99.5%
Xavier Finney run for 1 yd to the UNLV 40Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
99.5%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Tyler Wright for no gain to the UNLV 40Similar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 9
OPP 40
-6
99.6%
Tanner Gueller sacked by Ryan McAleenan for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 46Similar
Q3 11:54
4TH & 15
OPP 46
0
99.6%
Sean Cheney punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Keith Whitely at the UNLV 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 25TD
4 plays · 89 yds · 1:45100% → 100%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+13
99.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 13 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
99.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 14 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
99.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 9 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+53
99.7%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 53 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 26FUMBLE
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Madison MangumSimilar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Cj HatchettSimilar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.8%
Jakori Ford run for a loss of 2 yards to the IdaSt 23 Jakori Ford fumbled, recovered by UNLV Jason FaoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 27MISSED FG
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:38100% → 100%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
99.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 20Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+1
99.7%
George Naufahu run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 19Similar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 6
OPP 19
-10
99.7%
NAUFAHU, George rush for 4 yards to the ISU15 (Cody Sorensen), PENALTY LV holding (ZEPEDA, Antonio) 10 yards to the ISU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 16
OPP 29
0
99.7%
Kurt Palandech pass complete to Andrew Price for no gain to the IdaSt 29Similar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 16
OPP 29
+46
99.7%
Nicolai Bornand 46 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by TEAM Cody Sorensen return for 3 yds to the IdaSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 28INT TD
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Xavier Finney for a loss of 1 yard to the IdaSt 32Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 11
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Josh CookSimilar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 11
OWN 32
+47
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass intercepted for a TD Troy Hawthorne return for 47 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 29PUNT
13 plays · 42 yds · 2:590% → 0%
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Jakori Ford run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 31Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to KW Williams for 10 yds to the IdaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Madison MangumSimilar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+8
99.9%
Jakori Ford run for 8 yds to the IdaSt 49Similar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 2
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Jakori Ford run for no gain to the IdaSt 49Similar
Q3 2:59
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+5
99.8%
Sean Cheney punt 23 yards to the LV28, out-of-bounds, PENALTY LV offside (NEALE, Alex) 5 yards to the LV46, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.9%
Xavier Finney run for 4 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+7
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Jordan White for 7 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.9%
Jakori Ford run for 2 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete, broken up by Jason FaoSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Cj Hatchett IDAHO ST Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Sean Cheney punt for 33 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 30DOWNS
11 plays · 71 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
99.9%
David Greene run for 21 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+25
99.9%
George Naufahu run for 25 yds to the IdaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.9%
David Greene run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 33Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+9
99.9%
George Naufahu run for 9 yds to the IdaSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
99.9%
David Greene run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 20Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+6
99.9%
George Naufahu run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 14 for a 1ST down IDAHO ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-10
99.9%
GREENE, David rush for no gain to the ISU14 (Jake Pettit), PENALTY LV holding (GSTREIN, Nick) 10 yards to the ISU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 20
OPP 24
+3
99.9%
George Naufahu run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 21Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 17
OPP 21
+4
99.9%
David Greene run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 17Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 13
OPP 17
+5
99.9%
George Naufahu run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 12Similar
Q4 13:38
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+3
99.9%
David Greene run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 31PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
100.0%
Jakori Ford run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 10Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 9
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Jakori Ford run for no gain to the IdaSt 10Similar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+6
100.0%
Jakori Ford run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 16Similar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
100.0%
Sean Cheney punt for 40 yds, downed at the UNLV 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 32TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 3:10100% → 100%
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+28
99.9%
David Greene run for 28 yds to the IdaSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
99.9%
George Naufahu run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 24Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+1
99.9%
David Greene run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 23Similar
Q4 6:01
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+21
99.9%
George Naufahu run for 21 yds to the IdaSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
David Greene run for no gain to the IdaSt 2Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
George Naufahu run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nicolai Bornand KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 33END OF GAME
8 plays · 42 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
100.0%
Lonell Woodhouse run for 9 yds to the IdaSt 34Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
100.0%
Lonell Woodhouse run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
100.0%
Lonell Woodhouse run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 38Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+3
100.0%
Lonell Woodhouse run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 41Similar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+9
100.0%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Trae Pilster for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
50
+12
100.0%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Jakori Ford for 12 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
100.0%
Lonell Woodhouse run for 5 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 5:33
Lexington Thomas 40 Yd Run (Nicolai Bornand Kick)
+3.7
TD · Q2 8:39
Devonte Boyd 4 Yd pass from Kurt Palandech (Nicolai Bornand Kick)
-3.6
TD · Q1 1:45
Keith Whitely 2 Yd Run (Nicolai Bornand Kick)
+3.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com