Try the model
UNM

New Mexico 38 at Wyoming 28

WYO
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · War Memorial Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:25 · Zack Rogers punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tanner Gentry at the Wyom 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 120Home team on offense−26.4Score differential−12.0Garbage-time factor−7.5Pregame prior−3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:54: Cameron Coffman pass complete to Shaun Wick for 13 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK) — WYO win probability +6.5 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q2 6:18: Lamar Jordan pass complete to Carlos Wiggins for 64 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +9.6 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:21: Richard McQuarley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +13.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:26: Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 14 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK) — WYO win probability +7.5 pts (now 25%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:43: Richard McQuarley run for 43 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +11.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 4 of 7UNM made the numbers' call on 2 of 7
  1. Q1 14:14WYO 4th & 7 at UNM 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    44.9%−<0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:40UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 22, up 7
    Close callPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:39WYO 4th & 11 at UNM 21, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.6%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    43.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    42.8%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:54UNM 4th & 7 at UNM 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:44WYO 4th & 20 at WYO 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−3.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:18WYO 4th & 26 at WYO 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−1.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 46, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:43UNM 4th & 1 at WYO 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    77.8%−3.9
    28% to make
    Punt
    78.8%−2.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:25UNM 4th & 2 at UNM 43, up 14
    Close callPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:25UNM 4th & 10 at WYO 41, up 14
    Close callPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    92.1%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:19UNM 4th & 5 at WYO 6, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.1%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−4.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:19WYO 4th & 21 at WYO 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:06UNM 4th & 2 at UNM 22, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:55WYO 4th & 1 at UNM 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    2.1%−0.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UNM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 14:14UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:41UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:54WYO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:18UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:21UNM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:26WYO Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:43UNM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:25WYO Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:43WYO Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.3%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 0:4660% → 60%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
40.3%
Jhurell Pressley run for 13 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
40.2%
Lamar Jordan run for 56 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 39 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
40.3%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 29 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
40.3%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 5 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+12
40.4%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 12 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
40.4%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+3
40.4%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q1 14:14
3RD & 5
OPP 34
-2
40.4%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 36Similar
Q1 14:14
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
40.3%
Ethan Wood punt for 23 yds, downed at the NMex 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
40.1%
Lamar Jordan run for 3 yds to the NMex 16Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+3
40.1%
Lamar Jordan run for 3 yds to the NMex 19Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+3
40.2%
Lamar Jordan run for 3 yds to the NMex 22Similar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 1
OWN 22
0
40.3%
Zack Rogers punt for 58 yds, downed at the Wyom 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4DOWNS
8 plays · 55 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+23
39.8%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 23 yds to the Wyom 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
40.3%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
40.3%
Cameron Coffman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+35
39.9%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Shaun Wick for 20 yds to the WYOMING 35 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the NMex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
40.8%
Shaun Wick run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 21Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
40.8%
Cameron Coffman pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 11
OPP 21
0
40.4%
Cameron Coffman pass incomplete to Jacob Hollister WYOMING Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 8:39
4TH & 11
OPP 21
-4
39.8%
Cameron Coffman sacked by Dakota Cox for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1561% → 66%
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
39.4%
Lamar Jordan run for 5 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
39.1%
Lamar Jordan run for 10 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
38.8%
Jhurell Pressley run for 4 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
38.8%
JORDAN, Lamar pass incomplete to REED, Patrick, PENALTY WY encroachment 5 yards to the NM49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+7
38.7%
Lamar Jordan run for 7 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
38.5%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+20
38.6%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Marquis Bundy for 20 yds to the Wyom 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
38.4%
WYOMING Penalty, encroachment (5 Yards) to the Wyom 19Similar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 5
OPP 19
+19
33.8%
Jhurell Pressley run for 19 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:4735% → 42%
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
34.8%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 20Similar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+8
34.7%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 8 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
34.9%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
35.1%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 4 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
35.2%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 38Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+8
35.3%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 8 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
35.0%
Cameron Coffman run for 2 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+25
35.2%
Cameron Coffman run for 10 yds to the WYOMING 42 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the NMex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-15
35.7%
HILL, Brian rush for 11 yards to the NM16 (CARSON, Kimmie), PENALTY WY IB 15 yards to the NM42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 25
OPP 42
+3
35.0%
Shaun Wick run for 3 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 22
OPP 39
+27
34.8%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 15 yds to the NMex 24 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul (12 Yards) to the NMex 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
35.7%
Shaun Wick run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 13Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+13
42.2%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Shaun Wick for 13 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
38.7%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
38.7%
Lamar Jordan run for 5 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
38.5%
Richard McQuarley run for 6 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
37.8%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 35Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 13
OWN 35
0
39.0%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Jhurell PressleySimilar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+6
39.4%
Jhurell Pressley run for 6 yds to the NMex 41Similar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
39.0%
Zack Rogers punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:0039% → 37%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
38.9%
Shaun Wick run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 26Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 15
OWN 26
+2
38.3%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Shaun Wick for 2 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 13
OWN 28
-7
37.6%
Cameron Coffman sacked by Ryan Langford for a loss of 7 yards to the Wyom 21Similar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 20
OWN 21
0
37.3%
Ethan Wood punt for 43 yds, downed at the NMex 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9TD
1 play · 64 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
27.7%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Carlos Wiggins for 64 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -16 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
28.4%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-13
28.4%
COFFMAN, C. pass complete to MAULHARDT, Jake for 27 yards to the NM47, out-of-bounds (JONES, Cranston), PENALTY WY pass interference 13 yards to the WY13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 22
OWN 13
0
28.2%
Cameron Coffman pass incomplete to Brian HillSimilar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 22
OWN 13
-4
27.9%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Brian Hill for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 9Similar
Q2 6:18
4TH & 26
OWN 9
0
27.7%
Ethan Wood punt for 52 yds, downed at the NMex 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:2174% → 87%
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
26.1%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Ridge Jones for 8 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+5
25.9%
Lamar Jordan run for 5 yds to the Wyom 27 for a 1ST down Jhurell Pressley for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
25.8%
Jhurell Pressley run for no gain to the Wyom 27Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
27.1%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Teriyon Gipson for 4 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
Q2 3:01
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+20
27.2%
Lamar Jordan run for 20 yds to the Wyom 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
26.8%
David Anaya run for no gain to the Wyom 3Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
13.5%
Richard McQuarley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 0:5519% → 25%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
18.7%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 37 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
21.0%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to James Price for 17 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
22.0%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 5 yds to the NMex 16Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+7
21.5%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 7 yds to the NMex 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
20.3%
Cameron Coffman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-15
20.2%
COFFMAN, C. pass complete to MAULHARDT, Jake for 9 yards to the NM0, clock 00:38, PENALTY WY pass interference 15 yards to the NM24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 24
+10
19.8%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 10 yds to the NMex 14Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+14
25.2%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 14 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
23.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0024% → 26%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
24.0%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
24.8%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
24.8%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
24.8%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 5 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+4
25.8%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
25.7%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Drew Van Maanen for no gain to the Wyom 46Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
25.5%
Ethan Wood punt for 34 yds, downed at the NMex 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:3679% → 92%
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
20.8%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMex 22Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
20.8%
Lamar Jordan run for 3 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+23
20.9%
Lamar Jordan run for 23 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
19.2%
Jhurell Pressley run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 8
50
+4
19.1%
Lamar Jordan run for 4 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+3
19.3%
Jhurell Pressley run for 3 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q3 7:43
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+43
7.8%
Richard McQuarley run for 43 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:1810% → 17%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
9.6%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
9.8%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 12 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+33
9.3%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 33 yds to the NMex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
10.8%
HILL, Brian rush for no gain to the NM27 (D'AVANZO, Nik), PENALTY WY holding 10 yards to the NM37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 20
OPP 37
+20
9.8%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 20 yds to the NMex 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
10.7%
Joshua Tapscott run for 3 yds to the NMex 14Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+7
10.7%
COFFMAN, C. pass incomplete to MAULHARDT, Jake, PENALTY NM holding 7 yards to the NM7, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
10.7%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 8Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
10.7%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 11Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
17.1%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 11 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
13.6%
Jhurell Pressley run for 1 yd to the NMex 36Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
13.4%
Jhurell Pressley run for 4 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+3
13.0%
Lamar Jordan run for 3 yds to the NMex 43Similar
Q3 3:25
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
13.9%
Zack Rogers punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tanner Gentry at the Wyom 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18INT
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:3314% → 15%
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
13.8%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 20Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+13
13.6%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 13 yds to the Wyom 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-8
14.1%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35 WYOMING Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Wyom 25Similar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 18
OWN 25
+14
13.7%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 14 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
14.3%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+5
14.0%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 5 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
14.7%
Cameron Coffman pass intercepted Markel Byrd return for no gain to the NMex 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19PUNT
14 plays · 38 yds · 5:1890% → 95%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
9.6%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Jhurell PressleySimilar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+2
9.7%
Jhurell Pressley run for 2 yds to the NMex 23Similar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+11
9.9%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 11 yds to the NMex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
9.5%
Jhurell Pressley run for 8 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+1
9.0%
Richard McQuarley run for 1 yd to the NMex 43Similar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
9.2%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
8.8%
Jhurell Pressley run for 13 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
8.7%
JORDAN, Lamar pass incomplete to REED, Patrick, PENALTY WY encroachment 5 yards to the WY36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 5
OPP 36
+2
8.3%
David Anaya run for 2 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 3
OPP 34
-4
8.2%
Jhurell Pressley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 38Similar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+2
4.8%
Richard McQuarley run for 2 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q4 8:25
4TH & 5
OPP 36
-5
5.2%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 41Similar
Q4 8:25
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
5.2%
Zack Rogers punt for 28 yds, fair catch by D.J. May at the Wyom 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
6.1%
Cameron Coffman pass intercepted Dakota Cox return for 8 yds to the Wyom 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:0596% → 97%
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
4.2%
Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the Wyom 8Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+3
4.2%
Jhurell Pressley run for 3 yds to the Wyom 5Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 4
OPP 5
-1
4.2%
Teriyon Gipson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 6Similar
Q4 5:19
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+22
2.7%
Jason Sanders 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
3.2%
Brian Hill run for 17 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
3.3%
Cameron Coffman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-11
3.3%
Cameron Coffman sacked by Kimmie Carson and Dakota Cox for a loss of 11 yards to the Wyom 31Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 21
OWN 31
0
3.1%
Cameron Coffman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:19
4TH & 21
OWN 31
0
3.1%
Ethan Wood punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0498% → 99%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
2.3%
Jhurell Pressley run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 12Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 12
OWN 12
+7
2.3%
Jhurell Pressley run for 7 yds to the NMex 19Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+3
2.3%
Jhurell Pressley run for 3 yds to the NMex 22Similar
Q4 2:06
4TH & 2
OWN 22
+9
1.2%
Zack Rogers punt for 46 yds , D.J. May returns for 9 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 1:122% → 7%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
2.2%
Cameron Coffman pass incomplete to Josh HarshmanSimilar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+11
2.2%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 11 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
2.3%
Cameron Coffman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
2.3%
Cameron Coffman pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+9
2.3%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to James Price for 9 yds James Price fumbled, recovered by Wyom James PriceSimilar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+2
2.4%
Cameron Coffman run for 2 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
2.4%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Kellen Overstreet for 11 yds to the NMex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
7.1%
Cameron Coffman pass complete to Josh Harshman for 26 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:1096% → 96%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
3.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 18Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 15
OWN 18
-5
3.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:21
Richard McQuarley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)
-13.3
TD · Q3 7:43
Richard McQuarley run for 43 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)
-11.5
TD · Q2 6:18
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Carlos Wiggins for 64 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)
-9.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com