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UNM

New Mexico 10 at Arizona State 34

ASU
2015 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2015 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:39 · Zack Rogers punt for 44 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Pregame prior+38.7Home team on offense−0.6Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:37: Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 14 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK) — ASU win probability +4.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:55: Mike Bercovici pass complete to Demario Richard for 33 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK) — ASU win probability +3.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:15: Tyrone Owens run for 65 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +4.8 pts (now 10%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:46: Mike Bercovici run for 8 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK) — ASU win probability +5.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:26: Mike Bercovici pass complete to Demario Richard for 93 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK) — ASU win probability +2.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9UNM made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 9:45UNM 4th & 5 at UNM 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:15ASU 4th & 10 at ASU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:00UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.2%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:39UNM 4th & 7 at ASU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    10.0%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:22ASU 4th & 13 at ASU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:39UNM 4th & 10 at UNM 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:30ASU 4th & 1 at UNM 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    88.6%−0.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    87.8%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:26ASU 4th & 4 at UNM 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.6%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    86.3%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:36UNM 4th & 8 at ASU 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    12.1%−3.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:59ASU 4th & 4 at ASU 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:33UNM 4th & 9 at UNM 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:13UNM 4th & 10 at UNM 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:44UNM 4th & 13 at ASU 15, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−1.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−3.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:18ASU 4th & 14 at ASU 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−1.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:54UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 45, down 14
    Close callPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:58UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:44ASU 4th & 5 at ASU 30, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:49UNM 4th & 13 at UNM 15, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:55ASU 4th & 5 at UNM 6, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:05ASU 4th & 6 at ASU 36, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:26UNM 4th & 15 at UNM 35, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UNM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 0:37ASU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:55ASU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:15UNM Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:46ASU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:26ASU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
13 plays · 33 yds · 5:106% → 7%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
93.9%
Jhurell Pressley run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 14Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+2
93.8%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 2 yds to the NMex 16Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+16
93.7%
David Anaya run for 16 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
93.5%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 27Similar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+2
93.5%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+1
93.4%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Teriyon Gipson for 1 yd to the NMex 30Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+13
93.2%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Reece White for 13 yds to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
93.0%
Lamar Jordan run for no gain to the NMex 43Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
92.8%
David Anaya run for 5 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
92.6%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Carlos WigginsSimilar
Q1 9:45
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
92.7%
Zack Rogers punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2393% → 93%
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
92.7%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Devin LucienSimilar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
92.7%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Demario RichardSimilar
Q1 9:26
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
92.6%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to D.J. FosterSimilar
Q1 9:15
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
92.5%
Matt Haack punt for 52 yds, downed at the NMex 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 38 yds · 5:218% → 9%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
92.5%
David Anaya run for 1 yd to the NMex 19Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+4
92.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the NMex 23Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+17
92.3%
Jhurell Pressley run for 17 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
91.9%
Lamar Jordan run for 5 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
91.6%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Dameon GamblinSimilar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+4
91.6%
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the NMex 49Similar
Q1 6:00
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+4
91.5%
Jhurell Pressley run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-3
91.1%
Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 13
50
0
91.1%
Jhurell Pressley run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 13
50
+6
91.0%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Carlos Wiggins for 6 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q1 3:39
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
90.8%
Zack Rogers punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:1791% → 90%
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
91.0%
Demario Richard run for no gain to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
90.8%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-5
90.5%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (Evan Goodman) to the ArzSt 17Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 13
OWN 17
0
90.5%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Tim WhiteSimilar
Q1 2:22
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
90.3%
Matt Haack punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Carlos Wiggins at the NMex 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4310% → 10%
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
89.9%
Jhurell Pressley run for no gain to the NMex 41Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
89.8%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Patrick ReedSimilar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
90.0%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Dameon GamblinSimilar
Q1 1:39
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
90.2%
Zack Rogers punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tim White at the ArzSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6FG
17 plays · 74 yds · 5:1390% → 90%
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
90.4%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 12 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
90.4%
Mike Bercovici pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+33
90.3%
Demario Richard run for 33 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
90.9%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to D.J. Foster for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 35Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+11
90.7%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Demario Richard for 11 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 24
0
90.5%
D.J. Foster run for no gain to the NMex 24Similar
Q2 14:30
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+3
90.1%
Mike Bercovici run for 3 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
90.4%
Mike Bercovici pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+9
90.3%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 9 yds to the NMex 12Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+1
89.9%
D.J. Foster run for 1 yd to the NMex 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
90.1%
Demario Richard run for 4 yds to the NMex 7Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 6
OPP 7
0
90.0%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Ellis JeffersonSimilar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+6
89.7%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 6 yds to the NMex 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
89.9%
Demario Richard run for no gain to the NMex 1Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
89.8%
Mike Bercovici run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 4 Mike Bercovici fumbled, recovered by ArzSt Mike BercoviciSimilar
Q2 11:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
89.4%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Kody KohlSimilar
Q2 11:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
89.5%
Zane Gonzalez 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7MISSED FG
19 plays · 62 yds · 8:3911% → 14%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
89.2%
Jhurell Pressley run for 5 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
88.7%
Austin Apodaca run for no gain to the NMex 25Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+18
89.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for 3 yds to the NMex 28 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
88.5%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Carlos WigginsSimilar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
88.6%
Jhurell Pressley run for 3 yds to the NMex 46Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+12
88.3%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Carlos Wiggins for 12 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
87.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 8
OPP 40
-5
87.5%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+9
87.7%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Reece White for 9 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+5
87.2%
Jhurell Pressley run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
86.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+3
86.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+2
86.4%
Richard McQuarley run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
85.6%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Carlos WigginsSimilar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-5
85.5%
Dameon Gamblin run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 15
OPP 25
+7
86.6%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 7 yds to the ArzSt 18Similar
Q2 2:36
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
86.4%
Jason Sanders 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 1:5987% → 92%
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
86.5%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 8 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+17
86.9%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 17 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
86.8%
Mike Bercovici run for no gain to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
86.3%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Kody Kohl for 8 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+14
86.8%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Demario Richard for 14 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
87.6%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Kody Kohl for 7 yds to the NMex 26Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+12
87.5%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Devin Lucien for 12 yds to the NMex 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
92.2%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 14 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9END OF HALF
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:209% → 9%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
91.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for 6 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
90.3%
Jhurell Pressley run for 3 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+3
90.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for 3 yds to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
90.6%
Austin Apodaca pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 1:4591% → 95%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
90.5%
Mike Bercovici run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+6
91.0%
Mike Bercovici run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
91.0%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (Tim White) to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+14
90.7%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Ellis Jefferson for 14 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+11
91.0%
Demario Richard run for 11 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
94.7%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Demario Richard for 33 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:405% → 10%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.6%
Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd to the NMex 26Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
94.7%
Jhurell Pressley run for 8 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
94.4%
Richard McQuarley run for 1 yd to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
89.7%
Tyrone Owens run for 65 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0190% → 90%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.3%
D.J. Foster run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
90.2%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Ellis Jefferson for 4 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q3 10:09
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
89.9%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Ellis JeffersonSimilar
Q3 9:59
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+7
89.5%
Matt Haack punt for 51 yds , Carlos Wiggins returns for 7 yds to the NMex 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2610% → 9%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.9%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Marquis BundySimilar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
90.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 23Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+3
90.5%
Lamar Jordan run for 3 yds to the NMex 26Similar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
90.6%
Zack Rogers punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tim White at the ArzSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 2:4790% → 96%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
90.3%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to D.J. Foster for 9 yds to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 1
OWN 46
-2
90.7%
Demario Richard run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+7
90.1%
Demario Richard run for 7 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+24
91.0%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Gary Chambers for 24 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
91.2%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to D.J. Foster for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 27Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+11
91.1%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to D.J. Foster for 11 yds to the NMex 16Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+8
90.7%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Kody Kohl for 8 yds to the NMex 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
96.4%
Mike Bercovici run for 8 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:074% → 4%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.6%
Teriyon Gipson run for 5 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
95.6%
Jhurell Pressley run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 25Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
95.9%
Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Reece WhiteSimilar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
96.0%
Zack Rogers punt for 51 yds , Tim White returns for no gain to the ArzSt 22 Tim White fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by NMex Jhurell PressleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16FG
8 plays · 7 yds · 1:465% → 6%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
94.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 19Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+7
94.9%
Teriyon Gipson run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
94.9%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 17Similar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+1
95.4%
Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 14
OPP 16
+1
95.4%
Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 15Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 13
OPP 15
0
95.8%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:44
4TH & 13
OPP 15
+32
94.2%
Jason Sanders 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:0996% → 96%
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.0%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 7 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-11
96.2%
Mike Bercovici sacked by Maurice Daniels for a loss of 11 yards to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q3 0:27
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
95.9%
Mike Bercovici pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:18
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
95.6%
Matt Haack punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:115% → 5%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
94.9%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Daryl Chestnut for 2 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+5
94.9%
Austin Apodaca run for 5 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
95.1%
Richard McQuarley run for no gain to the NMex 45Similar
Q4 13:54
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
95.2%
Zack Rogers punt for 48 yds, downed at the ArzSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19TD
3 plays · 93 yds · 0:2396% → 99%
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
96.2%
Mike Bercovici pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 7
0
96.2%
Mike Bercovici pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+93
99.1%
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Demario Richard for 93 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:021% → 1%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for 4 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
99.0%
Tyrone Owens run for 3 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.0%
Austin Apodaca pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:58
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.1%
Zack Rogers punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tim White at the ArzSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1499% → 99%
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.2%
D.J. Foster run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
99.2%
D.J. Foster run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.2%
Mike Bercovici pass incomplete to Demario RichardSimilar
Q4 10:44
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.2%
Matt Haack punt for 52 yds, downed at the NMex 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:311% → 1%
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
99.1%
Lamar Jordan sacked by Jordan Simone for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 15Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 13
OWN 15
0
99.2%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 13
OWN 15
0
99.2%
Lamar Jordan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:49
4TH & 13
OWN 15
+4
99.2%
Zack Rogers punt for 39 yds , Tim White returns for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 23FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:3599% → 99%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.3%
Mike Bercovici run for 5 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+18
99.3%
Demario Richard run for 18 yds to the NMex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
99.3%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+13
99.3%
Demario Richard run for 13 yds to the NMex 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
99.4%
Demario Richard run for 6 yds to the NMex 5Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 4
OPP 5
-1
99.4%
Demario Richard run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 6Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 5
OPP 6
0
99.4%
Mike Bercovici pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:55
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+24
99.4%
Zane Gonzalez 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 24INT
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:311% → 1%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.5%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 11 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.5%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
99.5%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for no gain to the NMex 38Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+36
99.5%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 36 yds to the ArzSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
99.4%
Apodaca, Austin rush for 5 yards to the ARIZONAST21, PENALTY NEWMEXICO holding 10 yards to the ARIZONAST36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 20
OPP 36
0
99.5%
Austin Apodaca pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 20
OPP 36
0
99.5%
Austin Apodaca pass intercepted, touchback. Jordan Simone return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:35100% → 100%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
99.5%
Demario Richard run for 12 yds to the ArzSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
99.6%
Demario Richard run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+6
99.6%
Jacom Brimhall run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
99.6%
Mike Bercovici pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Matt Haack punt for 36 yds, downed at the NMex 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:341% → 0%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.5%
Austin Apodaca pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+12
99.6%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Chris Davis for 12 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.5%
Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
99.5%
Austin Apodaca pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-7
99.6%
Austin Apodaca sacked by JoJo Wicker for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 35Similar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 15
OWN 35
0
99.6%
Zack Rogers punt for 61 yds, downed at the ArzSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:46
Mike Bercovici run for 8 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)
+5.7
TD · Q3 11:15
Tyrone Owens run for 65 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)
-4.8
TD · Q2 0:37
Mike Bercovici pass complete to Tim White for 14 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)
+4.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com