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IDST

Idaho State 0 at Boise State 52

BOIS
2015 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2015 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadIDST aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreIDST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:40 · Sean Wale punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Hagen Graves at the IdaSt 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 70Pregame prior+36.0Home team on offense+9.8Score differential+4.6Blowout margin−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0Garbage-time factor+2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:21: Jeremy McNichols run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +0.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:34: Devan Demas run for 13 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:42: Thomas Stuart pass complete to Holden Huff for 9 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +2.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:02: Kelsey Young run for 9 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 6IDST made the numbers' call on 12 of 12
  1. Q1 13:15BOIS 4th & 3 at BOIS 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:26IDST 4th & 5 at IDST 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:01IDST 4th & 6 at IDST 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:55BOIS 4th & 2 at IDST 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    93.7%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:10IDST 4th & 7 at IDST 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:06BOIS 4th & 18 at IDST 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:50IDST 4th & 15 at IDST 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:40BOIS 4th & 16 at IDST 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:15IDST 4th & 2 at IDST 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.0%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:11IDST 4th & 6 at IDST 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:35IDST 4th & 7 at BOIS 19, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:05IDST 4th & 9 at IDST 42, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:47IDST 4th & 22 at IDST 35, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:29IDST 4th & 1 at BOIS 35, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:57BOIS 4th & 11 at IDST 28, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:55IDST 4th & 8 at BOIS 41, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:47BOIS 4th & 1 at IDST 1, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:29IDST 4th & 5 at IDST 7, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:21BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:34BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:42BOIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:02BOIS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:50BOIS Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:46BOIS Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:05BOIS Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4096% → 96%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
96.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+2
96.3%
Ryan Finley run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+7
96.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 7 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q1 13:15
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
96.1%
Sean Wale punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Hagen Graves at the IdaSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:294% → 4%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
96.1%
Xavier Finney run for no gain to the IdaSt 14Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+5
96.0%
Xavier Finney run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 19Similar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 5
OWN 19
0
96.0%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Broc MalcomSimilar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 5
OWN 19
+11
96.0%
Zak Johnson punt for 40 yds , Donte Deayon returns for 11 yds to the IdaSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3TD
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:0096% → 96%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
96.0%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 12 yds to the IdaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
96.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 33Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+15
95.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to David Lucero for 15 yds to the IdaSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
95.9%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 16Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+3
95.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 13Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+10
95.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 10 yds to the IdaSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
95.6%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 3 yards to the IdaSt 6Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
95.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 3:114% → 5%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
95.7%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Broc MalcomSimilar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
95.7%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Broc Malcom for 4 yds to the IdaSt 24Similar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+7
95.6%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Josh Cook for 7 yds to the IdaSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
95.5%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Broc MalcomSimilar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+9
95.5%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Josh Cook for 9 yds to the IdaSt 40Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
95.4%
Xavier Finney run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
95.3%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Tyler Graves for a loss of 1 yard to the IdaSt 41Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+5
95.3%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Broc Malcom for 5 yds to the IdaSt 46Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
95.2%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Broc Malcom, broken up by Tyler GraySimilar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 6
OWN 46
+4
95.2%
Zak Johnson punt for 48 yds , Donte Deayon returns for 4 yds to the 50 yard line BOISE ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Jonathan Moxey) to the BoiSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5TD
12 plays · 95 yds · 3:2395% → 96%
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
95.2%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jake HardeeSimilar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+15
95.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Holden Huff for 15 yds to the BoiSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
95.1%
Ryan Finley run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+17
95.1%
Shane Williams-Rhodes run for 17 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
95.2%
Thomas Stuart pass complete to Jake Roh for 3 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+10
95.1%
Thomas Stuart pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 10 yds to the IdaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
95.1%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (Travis Averill) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 15
50
+6
94.9%
Thomas Stuart run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 44Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
95.0%
Thomas Stuart pass incomplete to Jeremy McNicholsSimilar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+7
94.9%
Thomas Stuart run for 7 yds to the IdaSt 37Similar
Q1 2:55
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+24
94.8%
Thomas Stuart run for 24 yds to the IdaSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
95.9%
Devan Demas run for 13 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:075% → 5%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
95.5%
Xavier Finney run for no gain to the IdaSt 12Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
95.5%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Madison MangumSimilar
Q1 1:44
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+12
95.5%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Josh Cook for 12 yds to the IdaSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
95.4%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Madison MangumSimilar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
95.4%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Xavier Finney for no gain to the IdaSt 24Similar
Q1 0:40
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+3
95.4%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Kw Williams for 3 yds to the IdaSt 27Similar
Q1 0:10
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
95.4%
Zak Johnson punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 3:0196% → 95%
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
95.7%
Thomas Stuart pass incomplete to Jake Roh, broken up by Chance SalutreguiSimilar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+11
95.7%
Thomas Stuart pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 11 yds to the IdaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
95.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 48Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+4
95.7%
Chaz Anderson run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 44Similar
Q2 13:54
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+6
95.6%
Thomas Stuart run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-4
95.7%
Thomas Stuart sacked by Tyler Kuder for a loss of 4 yards to the IdaSt 42Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+3
95.6%
Thomas Stuart pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 3 yds to the IdaSt 39Similar
Q2 12:18
3RD & 11
OPP 39
-7
95.5%
Thomas Stuart sacked by Rasheed Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the IdaSt 46Similar
Q2 12:06
4TH & 18
OPP 46
0
95.2%
Sean Wale punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Hagen Graves at the IdaSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 1:555% → 5%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
95.0%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Broc Malcom for 3 yds to the IdaSt 18Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-2
95.0%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Tyler Graves for a loss of 2 yards to the IdaSt 16Similar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 9
OWN 16
-8
95.3%
Sanders, Michael pass complete to Mangum, Madison for 13 yards to the IDAHOST29, PENALTY IDAHOST holding (Phillips, Skyler) 8 yards to the IDAHOST8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:34
3RD & 17
OWN 8
+7
95.4%
Xavier Finney run for 7 yds to the IdaSt 15Similar
Q2 10:08
4TH & 10
OWN 15
-5
95.3%
IDAHO ST Penalty, False Start (Jordan White) to the IdaSt 10Similar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 15
OWN 10
-4
95.3%
Zak Johnson punt for 40 yds , Donte Deayon returns for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:0096% → 95%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
95.7%
Thomas Stuart run for 9 yds to the IdaSt 45Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+4
95.7%
Thomas Stuart pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 4 yds to the IdaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
95.7%
Thomas Stuart run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 38Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-9
95.5%
Thomas Stuart sacked by Kurt Karstetter for a loss of 9 yards to the IdaSt 47Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 16
OPP 47
0
95.2%
Thomas Stuart pass incomplete to Devan DemasSimilar
Q2 7:40
4TH & 16
OPP 47
0
95.1%
Sean Wale punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Hagen Graves at the IdaSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 10INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:165% → 5%
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
95.1%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete, broken up by Justin TaimatuiaSimilar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
95.1%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Madison Mangum, broken up by Donte DeayonSimilar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 10
OWN 14
0
95.1%
Michael Sanders pass intercepted Jonathan Moxey return for no gain to the BoiSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11TD
12 plays · 58 yds · 3:2995% → 98%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
95.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+9
95.3%
Thomas Stuart pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 2
50
+11
95.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 11 yds to the IdaSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
95.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 37Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
95.3%
Thomas Stuart pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+13
95.2%
Thomas Stuart pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 13 yds to the IdaSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
95.4%
Thomas Stuart run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 18Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+5
95.3%
Kelsey Young run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
95.3%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 3 yards to the IdaSt 16Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+7
95.2%
Thomas Stuart pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 7 yds to the IdaSt 9Similar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+9
98.1%
Thomas Stuart pass complete to Holden Huff for 9 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 12END OF HALF
20 plays · 71 yds · 3:362% → 3%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.6%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Madison Mangum for 8 yds to the IdaSt 33Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
97.4%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Madison Mangum, broken up by Jabril FrazierSimilar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
97.5%
Xavier Finney run for no gain to the IdaSt 33Similar
Q2 3:15
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+2
97.5%
Xavier Finney run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
97.5%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Xavier Finney for 7 yds to the IdaSt 42Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-5
97.4%
IDAHO ST Penalty, False Start (Xavier Finney) to the IdaSt 37Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+5
97.5%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Jakori Ford for 5 yds to the IdaSt 42Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+9
97.4%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Josh Cook for 9 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
97.3%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Madison MangumSimilar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+17
97.4%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Tyler Graves for 17 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
97.9%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Madison MangumSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+17
98.1%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Xavier Finney for 17 yds to the BoiSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
97.9%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Josh Cook for 6 yds to the BoiSt 9Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 4
OPP 9
0
97.2%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Josh CookSimilar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+5
97.4%
BOISE ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the BoiSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.4%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Kw WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.4%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Madison MangumSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:272% → 2%
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.6%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Kw Williams for 9 yds to the IdaSt 34Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
97.4%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Madison MangumSimilar
Q3 14:17
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
97.5%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Tyler GravesSimilar
Q3 14:17
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
97.5%
IDAHO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the IdaSt 29Similar
Q3 14:11
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+2
97.7%
Zak Johnson punt blocked by Tanner Vallejo blocked by Tanner Vallejo Tanner Vallejo return for 2 yds to the IdaSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14TD
4 plays · 27 yds · 0:5898% → 100%
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
98.2%
Kelsey Young run for 7 yds to the IdaSt 20Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+6
98.2%
Kelsey Young run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
98.2%
Thomas Stuart run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 9Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
99.6%
Kelsey Young run for 9 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 15MISSED FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 3:151% → 1%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
99.5%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Madison Mangum for 15 yds to the IdaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
99.5%
Xavier Finney run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 45Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
99.5%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Broc MalcomSimilar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+23
99.5%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Madison Mangum for 23 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
99.5%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Josh Cook for 6 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+4
99.5%
Jakori Ford run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
99.5%
Jakori Ford run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 8
OPP 20
-5
99.5%
Sanders, Michael pass incomplete to Malcom, Broc, PENALTY IDAHOST ineligible downfield on pass (Wingrove, Wesley) 5 yards to the BOISEST25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+6
99.5%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Kw Williams for 6 yds to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 7
OPP 19
0
99.6%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Josh CookSimilar
Q3 9:35
4TH & 7
OPP 19
+36
99.4%
Zak Johnson 36 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Tanner VallejoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 1:35100% → 100%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
99.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 12 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
99.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Kelsey Young for 9 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+7
99.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Hardee for 7 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+26
99.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 26 yds to the IdaSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+14
99.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 14 yds to the IdaSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
99.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 8Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 6
OPP 8
0
99.7%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+4
99.7%
IDAHO ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (4 Yards) to the IdaSt 4Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.8%
Xavier Finney run for 8 yds to the IdaSt 33Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
99.8%
Xavier Finney run for 8 yds to the IdaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.8%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Josh Cook for 3 yds to the IdaSt 44Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-2
99.8%
Jakori Ford run for a loss of 2 yards to the IdaSt 42Similar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
99.8%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete, broken up by Tyler GraySimilar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 9
OWN 42
+6
99.8%
Zak Johnson punt for 26 yds , Donte Deayon returns for 6 yds to the BoiSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18TD
2 plays · 62 yds · 0:11100% → 100%
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+46
99.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 46 yds to the IdaSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 16 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 1:460% → 0%
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Madison MangumSimilar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Kw WilliamsSimilar
Q3 5:22
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+13
99.8%
Michael Sanders pass complete to Madison Mangum for 13 yds to the IdaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.8%
Xavier Finney run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 48Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Michael Sanders pass incomplete to Tyler WrightSimilar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 9
OWN 48
-13
99.8%
Michael Sanders sacked by Tyler Gray for a loss of 13 yards to the IdaSt 35 Michael Sanders fumbled, forced by Tyler Gray, recovered by IdaSt Wesley Wingrove , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 3:47
4TH & 22
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Zak Johnson punt for 52 yds, downed at the BoiSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20TD
6 plays · 87 yds · 1:12100% → 100%
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
99.8%
Devan Demas run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+27
99.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Holden Huff for 27 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+47
99.8%
Devan Demas run for 47 yds to the IdaSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
99.9%
Kelsey Young run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 3Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.9%
Kelsey Young run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 1Similar
Q3 2:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Kelsey Young run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 50 yds · 2:210% → 0%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Madison Mangum for 15 yds to the IdaSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Xavier Finney run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 32Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+12
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Madison Mangum for 12 yds to the IdaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Madison Mangum for 12 yds to the BoiSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Broc Malcom for 9 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 1
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Kw Williams, broken up by Cameron HartsfieldSimilar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Xavier Finney run for no gain to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q4 14:29
4TH & 1
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Tanner Gueller run for no gain to the BoiSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22FG
13 plays · 37 yds · 5:25100% → 100%
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
99.9%
Terrell Johnson run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
99.9%
Jack Fields run for 7 yds to the IdaSt 45Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 3
OPP 45
-5
99.9%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (Troy Bacon) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 8
50
+5
99.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Holden Huff for 5 yds to the IdaSt 45Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+6
99.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Terrell Johnson for 6 yds to the IdaSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.9%
Jack Fields run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 34Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+7
99.9%
Jack Fields run for 7 yds to the IdaSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Jack Fields run for no gain to the IdaSt 27Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+1
99.9%
Jack Fields run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 26Similar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+3
99.9%
Kelsey Young run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 23Similar
Q4 9:18
4TH & 6
OPP 23
-5
99.9%
BOISE ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the IdaSt 28Similar
Q4 8:57
4TH & 11
OPP 28
+45
99.9%
Tyler Rausa 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 23DOWNS
10 plays · 34 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
100.0%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Kw Williams for 12 yds to the IdaSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
100.0%
Xavier Finney run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 39Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Hagen GravesSimilar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+18
100.0%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Hagen Graves for 18 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete, broken up by Sam McCaskillSimilar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Broc MalcomSimilar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+2
100.0%
Jakori Ford run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q4 6:55
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Madison MangumSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 57 yds · 2:59100% → 100%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+33
100.0%
Cory Young run for 33 yds to the IdaSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+16
100.0%
Cory Young run for 16 yds to the IdaSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
100.0%
Cory Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the IdaSt 11Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+10
100.0%
Cory Young run for 10 yds to the IdaSt 1Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
100.0%
Cory Young run for no gain to the IdaSt 1Similar
Q4 3:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
100.0%
Cory Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the IdaSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:120% → 0%
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
100.0%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Hagen GravesSimilar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+3
100.0%
Jakori Ford run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 5Similar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 7
OWN 5
+2
100.0%
Jakori Ford run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 7Similar
Q4 2:29
4TH & 5
OWN 7
-4
100.0%
Zak Johnson punt for 44 yds , Raymond Ford returns for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
100.0%
Cory Young run for 7 yds to the IdaSt 48Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+2
100.0%
Cory Young run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 46Similar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+3
100.0%
Cory Young run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the IdaSt 45Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 12
OPP 45
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the IdaSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:42
Thomas Stuart pass complete to Holden Huff for 9 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)
+2.8
TD · Q3 13:02
Kelsey Young run for 9 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)
+1.3
TD · Q1 2:34
Devan Demas run for 13 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com