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EMU

Eastern Michigan 48 at Wyoming 29

WYO
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:02 · Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.5+26.30−26.3−52.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 133Home team on offense−30.7Pregame prior+9.2Score differential−19.2Garbage-time factor−10.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:48: Darius Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK) — EMU win probability +9.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:17: Shaun Wick run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK) — WYO win probability +16.3 pts (now 33%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:50: Brian Hill run for 65 yds for a TD, (N. Smith Run For Two-point Conversion) — WYO win probability +10.7 pts (now 37%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:46: Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 64 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK) — EMU win probability +17.4 pts (now 84%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:32: Brian Hill run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK) — WYO win probability +10.1 pts (now 22%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 7 of 9EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:07WYO 4th & 15 at EMU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    74.0%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:56WYO 4th & 21 at EMU 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−1.9
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    52.6%−3.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:44WYO 4th & 12 at WYO 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−1.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:46EMU 4th & 6 at WYO 22, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    74.5%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:31WYO 4th & 9 at EMU 47, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:54EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 26, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%−1.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:02WYO 4th & 1 at EMU 37, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    6.8%−4.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−4.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:02WYO 4th & 5 at EMU 30, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    10.7%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    8.5%−2.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 32, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:40WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 40, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.0%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:40WYO 4th & 9 at EMU 12, down 16
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.1%−1.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    18.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−9.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:46EMU 4th & 3 at WYO 24, up 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.5%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−1.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:46WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 26, down 19
    Close callPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 3 of 4EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:15WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:19EMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:54EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:11EMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:44EMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:48EMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:17WYO Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 13:50WYO Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    32.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    31.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 11:46EMU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 0:32WYO Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.3%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
75.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Cody Tuttle for 9 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
75.3%
Darius Jackson run for no gain to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
75.3%
Austin Barnes punt for 53 yds , Tanner Gentry returns for 3 yds to the Wyom 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 3:2275% → 76%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+19
75.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 19 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
75.1%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 36Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
75.1%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+7
75.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 7 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
75.2%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 6 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+40
75.2%
Brian Hill run for 40 yds to the EMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
75.2%
Shaun Wick run for 1 yd to the EMich 5Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
76.1%
Justice Murphy run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:5625% → 26%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
75.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Blake Banham for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+57
75.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dustin Creel for 57 yds to the Wyom 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
73.6%
Shaq Vann run for 15 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4MISSED FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 3:1274% → 73%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
74.3%
Josh Allen run for 11 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
74.4%
ALLEN, Josh pass incomplete to GENTRY, Tanner, PENALTY EMU personal foul 15 yards to the EMU49, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
74.8%
Josh Allen run for 5 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
74.8%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+24
74.7%
Josh Allen run for 24 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
75.0%
Shaun Wick run for 1 yd to the EMich 19Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
75.0%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 9
OPP 19
-6
74.8%
Nick Smith pass complete to Brian Hill for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 25Similar
Q1 6:07
4TH & 15
OPP 25
+42
73.0%
Tristan Bailey 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:1327% → 34%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
73.0%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 23Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
73.1%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Blake Banham, broken up by Anthony MakranskySimilar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+21
73.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Kris Strange for 21 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
72.4%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 45Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+11
72.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dustin Creel for 11 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+20
72.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Cody Tuttle for 20 yds to the Wyom 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
71.9%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the Wyom 21Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+5
71.9%
ROBACK, Brogan pass incomplete to STRANGE, Kris, PENALTY WY encroachment 5 yards to the WY16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+9
71.9%
Shaq Vann run for 9 yds to the Wyom 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
71.9%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the Wyom 4Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
71.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Blake Banham for 1 yd to the Wyom 3Similar
Q1 1:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sam Browning for 3 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:4334% → 41%
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
66.4%
Darius Jackson run for 4 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+3
66.3%
Brogan Roback run for 3 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+5
66.4%
Darius Jackson run for 5 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
66.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dustin Creel for 8 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+21
65.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Kris Strange for 21 yds to the Wyom 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
65.9%
Darius Jackson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 17
0
64.6%
Shaq Vann pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for no gain to the Wyom 17Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 15
OPP 17
+17
58.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Darius Jackson for 17 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7MISSED FG
14 plays · 49 yds · 4:1560% → 58%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.7%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+16
60.2%
Brian Hill run for 16 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
60.9%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 6
50
+3
61.0%
Nick Smith run for 3 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+8
61.0%
Nick Smith run for 8 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+24
56.8%
Shaun Wick run for 24 yds to the EMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
57.3%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 16Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 11
OPP 16
0
57.2%
Nick Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:08
3RD & 11
OPP 16
0
59.2%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to Brian HillSimilar
Q2 10:01
4TH & 11
OPP 16
-10
58.8%
BAILEY, Tristan field goal attempt from 33 GOOD, clock 10:01, PENALTY WY holding 10 yards to the EMU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:56
4TH & 21
OPP 26
+43
57.6%
Tristan Bailey 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8TD
1 play · 74 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+74
50.8%
Shaq Vann run for 74 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
48.5%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-6
48.6%
Nick Smith sacked by Clay Dawson for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 23Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
48.1%
Nick Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:44
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+2
48.1%
Ethan Wood punt for 44 yds , Dustin Creel returns for 2 yds to the EMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:2151% → 72%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
48.7%
Darius Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 33Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+41
48.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 41 yds to the Wyom 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
46.1%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+10
46.8%
Darius Jackson run for 10 yds to the Wyom 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
46.0%
Shaq Vann run for 8 yds to the Wyom 8Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+4
46.0%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the Wyom 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
45.8%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the Wyom 1Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
45.8%
Darius Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 2Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
28.4%
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11FUMBLE
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
18.7%
Justice Murphy run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26 Justice Murphy fumbled, forced by Clay Dawson, recovered by EMich Clay DawsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5572% → 67%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
28.1%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Kris StrangeSimilar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
28.7%
Darius Jackson run for 4 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 6
OPP 22
0
28.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Kris StrangeSimilar
Q2 3:46
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+39
33.4%
Dylan Mulder 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:2917% → 33%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
17.3%
Shaun Wick run for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
14.6%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+11
14.4%
Nick Smith run for 11 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
17.8%
Shaun Wick run for 16 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
18.6%
Joseph Parker run for no gain to the EMich 43Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
17.8%
Nick Smith run for 1 yd to the EMich 42Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+15
15.6%
SMITH, Nick pass incomplete to HILL, Brian, PENALTY EMU personal foul 15 yards to the EMU27, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
17.3%
Nick Smith run for 12 yds to the EMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
16.8%
Brian Hill run for 14 yds to the EMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
16.6%
SMITH, Nick pass incomplete to MAULHARDT, Jake, PENALTY EMU pass interference 0 yards to the EMU1, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
16.6%
Nick Smith run for no gain to the EMich 1Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
32.9%
Shaun Wick run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
23.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1026% → 37%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
25.9%
Brian Hill run for 10 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
26.6%
Nick Smith pass complete to Jacob Hollister for no gain to the Wyom 35Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+65
37.4%
Brian Hill run for 65 yds for a TD, (N. Smith Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 2:0467% → 84%
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+18
33.5%
Darius Jackson run for 18 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
33.1%
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+1
33.1%
Darius Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMich 36Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+64
15.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 64 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 2:1522% → 14%
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
22.4%
Shaun Wick run for no gain to the Wyom 25Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
22.3%
Shaun Wick run for 9 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
23.5%
Shaun Wick run for 7 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
24.0%
Brian Hill run for 11 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
24.7%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the EMich 47Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
24.7%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q3 9:31
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
14.6%
Shaun Wick run for no gain to the EMich 47Similar
Q3 9:31
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
14.2%
Ethan Wood punt for 39 yds, downed at the EMich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
12.0%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the EMich 13Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+1
12.0%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 14Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+10
12.3%
ROBACK, Brogan pass incomplete to DAUGHERTY, E., PENALTY WY holding 10 yards to the EMU24, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
11.9%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
11.8%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the EMich 26Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
12.1%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Kris StrangeSimilar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 8
OWN 26
+19
12.4%
Austin Barnes punt for 53 yds , Tanner Gentry returns for 19 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19TD
12 plays · 60 yds · 5:3010% → 22%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
10.1%
Brian Hill run for 14 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
10.6%
Brian Hill run for 7 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+2
11.0%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 1
OPP 37
0
11.1%
Shaun Wick run for no gain to the EMich 37Similar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+2
10.7%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
11.1%
Shaun Wick run for 4 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 6
OPP 31
0
11.4%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+1
11.0%
Shaun Wick run for 1 yd to the EMich 30Similar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+12
10.6%
Nick Smith run for 12 yds to the EMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+13
11.3%
Brian Hill run for 13 yds to the EMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
12.2%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the EMich 5Similar
Q3 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
22.3%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:3287% → 87%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
12.9%
Darius Jackson run for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
12.0%
Darius Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
12.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Blake Banham for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+3
12.8%
Austin Barnes punt for 54 yds , Tanner Gentry returns for 3 yds to the Wyom 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21DOWNS
14 plays · 71 yds · 0:0015% → 17%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
15.4%
Shaun Wick run for no gain to the Wyom 17Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+15
15.2%
SMITH, Nick pass incomplete to WICK, Shaun, PENALTY EMU roughing passer 15 yards to the WY32, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
15.9%
WICK, Shaun rush for 3 yards to the WY35 (PIPKINS, Aaron), PENALTY WY false start 5 yards to the WY27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+4
15.4%
Shaun Wick run for 4 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+4
15.4%
Shaun Wick run for 4 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+5
15.9%
Nick Smith run for 5 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q4 13:40
4TH & 2
OWN 40
+19
16.6%
Nick Smith run for 19 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
17.9%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+4
18.4%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+20
18.7%
Brian Hill run for 20 yds to the EMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
19.7%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+1
19.7%
Joshua Tapscott run for 1 yd to the EMich 12Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 9
OPP 12
0
18.3%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q4 13:40
4TH & 9
OPP 12
0
17.4%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to Jacob Hollister, broken up by Great IbeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 4:4994% → 99%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+21
6.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Kris Strange for 21 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
6.2%
Darius Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+20
6.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Darius Jackson for 20 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
5.6%
Darius Jackson run for no gain to the Wyom 45Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
3.1%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Darius JacksonSimilar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+14
3.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Darius Jackson for 14 yds to the Wyom 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
3.0%
Darius Jackson run for 4 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+3
3.0%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 3
OPP 24
0
3.0%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the Wyom 24Similar
Q4 2:46
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+41
0.9%
Dylan Mulder 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
1.9%
Shaun Wick run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
1.9%
Nick Smith pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 6 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q4 2:46
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-6
2.0%
Shaun Wick run for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 26Similar
Q4 2:46
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
1.9%
Ethan Wood punt for 67 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-4
0.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 3Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 14
OWN 3
-1
0.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:46
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 64 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)
-17.4
TD · Q2 0:17
Shaun Wick run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tristan Bailey KICK)
+16.3
TD · Q3 13:50
Brian Hill run for 65 yds for a TD, (N. Smith Run For Two-point Conversion)
+10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com